This study conducted load-bearing capacity tests to quantitatively analyze the impact of permafrost degradation on the vertical load-bearing capacity of railway bridge pile foundations. Meanwhile, a prediction model vertical load-bearing capacity for pile foundations considering permafrost degradation was developed and validated through these tests. The findings indicate that the permafrost degradation significantly influences both the failure patterns of the pile foundation and the surrounding soil. With the aggravation of permafrost degradation, damage to the pile foundation and the surrounding soil becomes more pronounced. Furthermore, permafrost degradation aggravates, both the vertical ultimate bearing capacity and maximum side friction resistance of pile foundations exhibit a significant downward trend. Under unfrozen soil conditions, the vertical ultimate bearing capacity of pile foundations is reduced to 20.1 % compared to when the permafrost thickness 160 cm, while the maximum side friction resistance drops to 13.2 %. However, permafrost degradation has minimal impact on the maximum end bearing capacity of pile foundations. Nevertheless, as permafrost degradation aggravates, the proportion of the maximum end bearing capacity attributed to pile foundations increases. Moreover, the rebound rate of pile foundations decreases with decreasing permafrost thickness. Finally, the results confirm that the proposed prediction model can demonstrates a satisfactory level of accuracy in forecasting the impact of permafrost degradation on the vertical load-bearing capacity of pile foundations.

来源平台：COLD REGIONS SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY