Slope failures resulting from thaw slumps in permafrost regions, have developed widely under the influence of climate change and engineering activities. The shear strength at the interface between the active layer and permafrost (IBALP) at maximum thawing depth is a critical factor to evaluate stability of permafrost slopes. Traditional direct shear, triaxial shear, and large-scale in-situ shear experiments are unsuitable for measuring the shear strength parameter of the IBALP. Based on the characteristics of thaw slumps in permafrost regions, this study proposes a novel test method of self-weight direct shear instrument (SWDSI), and its principle, structure, measurement system and test steps are described in detail. The shear strength of the IBALP under maximum thaw depth conditions is measured using this method. The results show that under the condition that the permafrost layer is thick underground ice and the active layer consists of silty clay with 20% water content, the test results are in good agreement with the results of field large-scale direct shear tests and are in accordance with previous understandings and natural laws. The above analysis indicates that the method of the SWDSI has a reliable theoretical basis and reasonable experimental procedures, and meets the needs of stability assessment of thaw slumps in permafrost regions. The experimental data obtained provide important parameter support for the evaluation of related geological hazards.
Black carbon (BC) is a major short-lived climate pollutant (SLCP) with significant climate and environmentalhealth impacts. This review synthesizes critical advancements in the identification of emerging anthropogenic BC sources, updates to global warming potential (GWP) and global temperature potential (GTP) metrics, technical progress in characterization techniques, improvements in global-regional monitoring networks, emission inventory, and impact assessment methods. Notably, gas flaring, shipping, and urban waste burning have slowly emerged as dominant emission sources, especially in Asia, Eastern Europe, and Arctic regions. The updated GWP over 100 years for BC is estimated at 342 CO2-eq, compared to 658 CO2-eq in IPCC AR5. Recent CMIP6-based Earth System Models (ESMs) have improved attribution of BC's microphysics, identifying a 22 % increase in radiative forcing (RF) over hotspots like East Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa. Despite progress, challenges persist in monitoring network inter-comparability, emission inventory uncertainty, and underrepresentation of BC processes in ESMs. Future efforts could benefit from the integration of satellite data, artificial intelligence (AI)assisted methods, and harmonized protocols to improve BC assessment. Targeted mitigation strategies could avert up to four million premature deaths globally by 2030, albeit at a 17 % additional cost. These findings highlight BC's pivotal roles in near-term climate and sustainability policy.
An anomalous warm weather event in the Antarctic McMurdo Dry Valleys on 18 March 2022 created an opportunity to characterize soil biota communities most sensitive to freeze-thaw stress. This event caused unseasonal melt within Taylor Valley, activating stream water and microbial mats around Canada Stream. Liquid water availability in this polar desert is a driver of soil biota distribution and activity. Because climate change impacts hydrological regimes, we aimed to determine the effect on soil communities. We sampled soils identified from this event that experienced thaw, nearby hyper-arid areas, and wetted areas that did not experience thaw to compare soil bacterial and invertebrate communities. Areas that exhibited evidence of freeze-thaw supported the highest live and dead nematode counts and were composed of soil taxa from hyper-arid landscapes and wetted areas. They received water inputs from snowpacks, hyporheic water, or glacial melt, contributing to community differences associated with organic matter and salinity gradients. Inundated soils had higher organic matter and lower conductivity (p < .02) and hosted the most diverse microbial and invertebrate communities on average. Our findings suggest that as liquid water becomes more available under predicted climate change, soil communities adapted to the hyper-arid landscape will shift toward diverse, wetted soil communities.
The Tibetan Railway has introduced pressures on the fragile grassland ecosystems of the Tibetan Plateau. However, the impact of the railway on the carbon sequestration remains unclear, as existing studies primarily focus on in-situ vegetation observations. In this study, we extracted the start and end of the growing season (SOS, EOS) and maximum daily GPP (GPPmax) along the railway corridor from the satellite-derived Gross Primary Productivity (GPP) data, and quantified the extent and intensity of the railway's disturbance on these indicators. We further employed the Statistical Model of Integrated Phenology and Physiology (SMIPP) to translate these disturbances into annual cumulative GPP (GPPann). Results show that Tibetan Railway significantly influences grassland within 50-meters, causing earlier SOS (0.1086 d m-1), delayed EOS (0.0646 d m-1), and reduced GPPmax (0.0069 gC m-2 d-1 m-1) as the distance to the railway gets closer. The advanced SOS and delayed EOS contributed gains of 28.82 and 104.26 MgC y-1, but reduction in GPPmax accounted for a loss of 2952.79 MgC y-1. Railway-induced phenology-physiology trade-off causes GPPann loss of 2819.71 MgC y-1. This study reveals Tibetan Railway's impact on grassland carbon cycling, offering insights for grassland conservation and sustainable transportation infrastructure projects.
Understanding soil organic carbon (SOC) distribution and its environmental controls in permafrost regions is essential for achieving carbon neutrality and mitigating climate change. This study examines the spatial pattern of SOC and its drivers in the Headwater Area of the Yellow River (HAYR), northeastern Qinghai-Xizang Plateau (QXP), a region highly susceptible to permafrost degradation. Field investigations at topsoils of 86 sites over three summers (2021-2023) provided data on SOC, vegetation structure, and soil properties. Moreover, the spatial distribution of key permafrost parameters was simulated: temperature at the top of permafrost (TTOP), active layer thickness (ALT), and maximum seasonal freezing depth (MSFD) using the TTOP model and Stefan Equation. Results reveal a distinct latitudinal SOC gradient (high south, low north), primarily mediated by vegetation structure, soil properties, and permafrost parameters. Vegetation coverage and above-ground biomass showed positive correlation with SOC, while soil bulk density (SBD) exhibited a negative correlation. Climate warming trends resulted in increased ALT and TTOP. Random Forest analysis identified SBD as the most important predictor of SOC variability, which explains 38.20% of the variance, followed by ALT and vegetation coverage. These findings likely enhance the understanding of carbon storage controls in vulnerable alpine permafrost ecosystems and provide insights to mitigate carbon release under climate change.
The aerosol scattering phase function (ASPF), a crucial element of aerosol optical properties, is pivotal for radiative forcing calculations and aerosol remote sensing detection. Current detection methods for the ASPF include multi-sensor detection, single-sensor rotational detection and imaging detection. However, these methods face challenges in achieving high-resolution full-angle measurement, particularly for small forward (i.e., less than 10 degrees) or backward (i.e., more than 170 degrees) scattering angles in open path. In this work, a full-angle ASPF detection system based on the multi-field-of-view Scheimpflug lidar technique has been proposed and demonstrated. A 450 nm continuous-wave semiconductor laser was utilized as the light source and four CMOS image sensors were employed as detectors. To detect the full-angle ASPF, four receiving units capture angular scattering signals across different angle ranges, namely 0 degrees-20 degrees, 10 degrees-96 degrees, 84 degrees-170 degrees, 160 degrees-180 degrees, respectively. The influence of the relative illumination and angular response of the used image sensors have been corrected, and a signal stitching algorithm was developed to obtain a complete 0-180 degrees angular scattering signal. Atmospheric measurements have been conducted by employing the full-angle ASPF detection system in open path. The experimental results of the ASPF have been compared with the AERONET data from the Socheongcho station and simulated ASPF based on the typical aerosol models in mainland China, showing excellent agreement. The promising results demonstrated in this work have shown a great potential for detecting the full-angle ASPF in open path.
The present study performed classification global aerosols based on particle linear depolarization ratio (PLDR) and single scattering albedo (SSA) provided from AErosol RObotic NETwork (AERONET) Version 3.0 and Level 2.0 inversion products of 171 AERONET sites located in six continents. Current methodology could distinguish effectively between dust and non-dust aerosols using PLDR and SSA. These selected sites include dominant aerosol types such as, pure dust (PD), dust dominated mixture (DDM), pollution dominated mixture (PDM), very weakly absorbing (VWA), strongly absorbing (SA), moderately absorbing(MA), and weakly absorbing (WA). Biomass-burning aerosols which are associated with black carbon are assigned as combinations of WA, MA and SA. The key important findings show the sites in the Northern African region are predominantly influenced by PD, while south Asian sites are characterized by DDM as well as mixture of dust and pollution aerosols. Urban and industrialized regions located in Europe and North American sites are characterized by VWA, WA, and MA aerosols. Tropical regions, including South America, South-east-Asia and southern African sites which prone to forest and biomass-burning, are dominated by SA aerosols. The study further examined the impacts by radiative forcing for different aerosol types. Among the aerosol types, SA and VWA contribute with the highest (30.14 +/- 8.04 Wm-2) and lowest (7.83 +/- 4.12 Wm-2) atmospheric forcing, respectively. Consequently, atmospheric heating rates are found to be highest by SA (0.85 K day-1) and lowest by VWA aerosols (0.22 Kday-1). The current study provides a comprehensive report on aerosol optical, micro-physical and radiative properties for different aerosol types across six continents.
The alpine ecosystems of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) provide multiple ecosystem services. In recent decades, these ecosystem services have been profoundly affected by climate change, human activity, and frozen ground degradation. However, related research remains lacking to date in the QTP. To address this gap, the upper reaches of the Shule River, a typical cryospheric-dominated basin in the QTP, was selected. We simultaneously assessed the spatial-temporal patterns and driving factors of ecosystem services, including habitat quality (HQ), net primary productivity (NPP), water conservation (WC), carbon storage (CS), water yield (WY), green space recreation (GSR), and total ecosystem service (TES), by employing the InVEST, CASA, and Noah-MP land surface models in combination with remote sensing and field survey data. Our results showed that: (1) HQ, NPP, WC, CS, WY, and GSR all increased significantly from 2001 to 2020 at rates of 0.004 a(-1), 1.920 g Cm(-2)a(-1), 0.709 mma(-1), 0.237 Mg & sdot;ha(-1)a(-1), 0.212 x 10(8) m(3)a(-1), and 0.038 x 10(9) km(2)a(-1) (P < 0.05), respectively; (2) warm and humid climates, combined with shrinking of barren, contributed to the increases in HQ, NPP, WC, CS, WY, and GSR; (3) frozen ground degradation had promoting effects on HQ, NPP, CS, GSR, and TES, while inhibiting effects were observed on WY and WC (P < 0.05); (4) synergies among ecosystem services were prominent over the past 20 years; (5) the total ecosystem service value increased significantly at a rate of 1.18 x 10(9) CNYa(-1) from 2001 to 2020 (P < 0.05), primarily due to the increase in the provisioning service value.
Thaw hazards in high-latitude and glaciated regions are becoming increasingly frequent because of global climate warming and human activities, posing significant threats to infrastructure stability and environmental sustainability. However, despite these risks, comprehensive investigations of thaw-hazard susceptibility in permafrost regions remain limited. Here, this gap is addressed by a systematic and long-term investigation of thaw hazards in China's Qinghai Province as a representative permafrost area. A detailed inventory of 534 thawhazard sites was developed based on remote sensing, field verification, and surveys by a UAV, providing critical data for susceptibility analysis. Eleven environmental factors influencing thaw hazards were identified and analyzed using information gain and Shapley additive explanation. By using the random forest model, a susceptibility map was generated, categorizing the study area into five susceptibility classes: very low, low, moderate, high, and very high. The key influencing factors include precipitation, permafrost type, temperature change rate, and human activity. The results reveal that 17.5 % of the permafrost region within the study area is classified as high to very high susceptibility, concentrated primarily near critical infrastructure such as the Qinghai-Tibet Railway, potentially posing significant risks to its structural stability. The random forest model shows robust predictive capability, achieving an accuracy of 0.906 and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.965. These findings underscore the critical role of advanced modeling in understanding the spatial distribution and drivers of thaw hazards, offering actionable insights for hazard mitigation and infrastructure protection in permafrost regions under a changing climate.
Understanding changes in water balance and land-atmosphere interaction under climate change is crucial for managing water resources in alpine regions, especially in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP). Evapotranspiration (ET), a key process in the land-atmosphere interaction, is influenced by permafrost degradation. As the active layer in permafrost regions deepens due to climate warming, the resulting shifts in surface hydrologic connectivity and water storage capacity affect vegetation's ability to access water, thereby influencing its growth and regulating ET dynamics, though the full complexity of this process remains unclear. This study employs the Budyko-Fu model to assess the spatiotemporal dynamics of ET and the ET ratio (the ratio of ET to precipitation) on the QTP from 1980 to 2100. While ET shows a continuous upward trend, the ET ratio exhibits a non-monotonic pattern, increasing initially and then decreasing. More than two-thirds of permafrost areas on the QTP surpassed the critical ET ratio threshold by 2023, under three emission scenarios. By 2100, nearly all areas are projected to reach the tipping point, with 97 % affected under the SSP5-8.5 scenario. Meadow and steppe regions are expected to encounter this threshold earlier, whereas forested areas will be less affected, with over 80 % unlikely to reach the tipping point by 2100. Basin-level differences are notable: nearly 90 % of the Qaidam basin exceeded the threshold before 2023, compared to less than 50 % in the Yangtze basin. By 2100, more than 80 % of regions in all basins are expected to cross the tipping point due to ongoing permafrost degradation. This study advances understanding of land-atmosphere interactions in alpine regions, providing critical insights for water resource management and improving extreme weather predictions.