We used an online aerosol-climate model (BCC_AGCM2.0_CUACE/Aero) to simulate effective radiative forcing and climate response to changes in the concentrations of short-lived climatic pollutants (SLCPs), including methane, tropospheric ozone, and black carbon, for the period 2010-2050 under Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios (RCPs) 8.5, 4.5, and 2.6. Under these three scenarios, the global annual mean effective radiative forcing were 0.1, -0.3, and -0.5Wm(-2), respectively. Under RCP 8.5, the change in SLCPs caused significant increases in surface air temperature (SAT) in middle and high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere and significant decreases in precipitation in the Indian Peninsula and equatorial Pacific. Global mean SAT and precipitation increased by 0.13K and 0.02 mmd(-1), respectively. The reduction in SLCPs from 2010 to 2050 under RCPs 4.5 and 2.6 led to significant decreases in SAT at high latitudes in the Northern Hemisphere. Precipitation increased slightly in most continental regions, and the Intertropical Convergence Zone moved southward under both of these mitigation scenarios. Global mean SAT decreased by 0.20 and 0.44K, and global averaged precipitation decreased by 0.02 and 0.03 mmd(-1) under RCPs 4.5 and 2.6, respectively.
This study simulates the effective radiative forcing (ERF) of tropospheric ozone from 1850 to 2013 and its effects on global climate using an aerosol-climate coupled model, BCC AGCM2.0.1 CUACE/Aero, in combination with OMI (Ozone Monitoring Instrument) satellite ozone data. According to the OMI observations, the global annual mean tropospheric column ozone (TCO) was 33.9 DU in 2013, and the largest TCO was distributed in the belts between 30A degrees N and 45A degrees N and at approximately 30A degrees S; the annual mean TCO was higher in the Northern Hemisphere than that in the Southern Hemisphere; and in boreal summer and autumn, the global mean TCO was higher than in winter and spring. The simulated ERF due to the change in tropospheric ozone concentration from 1850 to 2013 was 0.46 W m(-2), thereby causing an increase in the global annual mean surface temperature by 0.36A degrees C, and precipitation by 0.02 mm d(-1) (the increase of surface temperature had a significance level above 95%). The surface temperature was increased more obviously over the high latitudes in both hemispheres, with the maximum exceeding 1.4A degrees C in Siberia. There were opposite changes in precipitation near the equator, with an increase of 0.5 mm d(-1) near the Hawaiian Islands and a decrease of about -0.6 mm d(-1) near the middle of the Indian Ocean.