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Saltwater intrusion (SWI) exposed the significant risk to rice production in the tropical lowland delta, especially under the contact of climate change. This study have developed the economic loss functions for both direct and indirect losses caused by SWI after investigating several regression models (such as: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), Fixed Effects Model (FEM), Random Effects Model (REM), and Feasible Generalized Least Squares (FGLS), based on the 85 questionaires colleted in the tropical rice fields located in Ho Chi Minh City (HCMC). Direct damages were estimated based on cultivated area, rice yield, and salinity levels; while indirect damages were included the costs of water pumping, soil improvement, and irrigation infrastructure construction. The results showed that rice yield decreases sharply when salinity exceeds the threshold level of 1.5 parts per thousand, and indirect costs account for 9% of total damages. The new finding of this study is integrating indirect factors (water pumping, soil improvement, and irrigation infrastructure construction) into the economic loss function, enabling the estimation of both direct and indirect damages cause by SWI; which is a critical tool for water related disasters prevention and management, or land use planning, or developing socio-economic strategies to ensure food security for the deltas strongly affected by SWI.

期刊论文 2025-06-01 DOI: 10.1007/s40808-025-02395-y ISSN: 2363-6203

Tropical cyclones (TCs) pose a substantial threat to human life and property, with China being among the most affected countries. In this study, a significant increasing trend is detected for TC destructiveness, primarily measured by precipitation, and for TC-induced damage, measured by direct economic losses (DELs), in the inland areas of East China. In contrast, a similar trend cannot be observed in the coastal regions. The rapid increase of TC-induced damage in the inland areas of East China is directly related to an increase of the annual number of disastrous TCs, which is a result of the increased TC landfall frequency and the increased TC decay timescale after landfall. The increase in specific humidity, soil moisture, and the decrease in vertical wind shear in East China favor the survival of TCs inland. Our results highlight the significance of TC disaster prevention in the inland regions.

期刊论文 2024-12-16 DOI: 10.1029/2024GL111877 ISSN: 0094-8276

Selenium (Se)-rich farmland is a valuable and nonrenewable resource for addressing the global challenge of Se deficiency. However, frequent warnings of heavy metal pollution have threatened the safety and legitimacy of Se-rich functional agriculture, eventually damaged public health security. Definitive and judgmental quantitative studies on this hazardous phenomenon are still missing. Relevant reviews published in the past have summarized textual descriptions of the problem, lacking the support of the necessary statistical analysis of the data. Based on the collected publications, the present study evaluated and analyzed the sources, risks and impacts of heavy metal pollution in Se-rich farmland. Concentrations of cadmium (Cd), arsenic, lead and zinc in Se-rich farmland were significantly higher than those in non-Se-rich farmland, especially Cd. Pollution source analyses indicated that Se enrichment and heavy metal pollution occurred simultaneously in farmland, related to Se-heavy metal homology in rocks. According to environmental risk assessment, both serious Cd pollution and the narrow Se concentration range of safety utilization limited the availability of Se-rich farmland. Pollution impact predictions showed that the pollution in Se-rich farmland would result in serious human health risks to consumers and economic losses of 4000 yuan/hm2 2 on production side. Tackling Cd pollution was anticipated to recover economic losses (81 %) while lowering the carcinogenic (60%) and non-carcinogenic (10 %) health risks. Our study also provided recommendations to address heavy metal pollution in Se-rich farmland. The two criteria should be followed by pollution control strategies applied to Se-rich functional agriculture including (i) not affecting the original Se enrichment in plant and (ii) not being interfered by Se in soil-plant systems. This will provide valuable information for Se-rich functional agriculture and public health security.

期刊论文 2024-11-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175321 ISSN: 0048-9697

Cable-stayed bridges (CSBs) commonly experience scour-induced foundation issues during their service life, impacting both structural seismic resilience and economic losses. Nonetheless, these aspects remain inadequately addressed in existing seismic codes. This paper presents a comprehensive probabilistic multihazard fragility, resilience, and economic loss evaluation method for CSBs influenced by scour and earthquakes. Numerical models with various scour depths considering epistemic uncertainties in loads, structural properties, and soil conditions are first established using the Latin-hypercube sampling (LHS) method. Incremental dynamic analyses (IDAs) are then conducted on these models in cases with near-fault and far-field bidirectional ground motions, yielding probabilistic multihazard demand models and component- and system-level multihazard fragility surfaces for diverse limit states. Subsequently, resilience and economic losses are comparatively evaluated by integrating damage probabilities with corresponding uncertain functional recovery functions. Eventually, a rapid bridge traffic capacity evaluation method based on the critical traffic capacity surface concept is devised to effectively assess CSB open patterns under various peak ground accelerations (PGAs), scour depths, and repair times. The numerical results show apparent shifts in the nonmonotonic seismic fragility, resilience, and economic loss of the case CSB due to scour effects, with the rates of change reaching 31.4 %, 34 %, and 24.8 %, respectively, associated with a critical scour depth of 12 m at IM = 0.8 g. The developed analysis framework provides a reference for the life-cycle design and maintenance of CSBs affected by multihazard scour and earthquakes.

期刊论文 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.engstruct.2024.118033 ISSN: 0141-0296

Multiple research studies and seismic data analyses have shown that multi-directional long-period ground motion affects crucial and intricate large-scale structures like oil storage containers, long-span bridges, and high-rise buildings. Seismic damage data show a 3-55% chance of long-period ground motion. To clarify, the chance of occurrence is 3% in hard soil and 83% in soft soil. Due of the above characteristics, the aseismic engineering field requires a realistic stochastic model that accounts for long-period multi-directional ground motion. A weighted average seismic amplification coefficient selected NGA database multi-directional long-period ground motion recordings for this study. Due to the significant low-frequency component in the long-period ground motion, this research uses empirical mode decomposition (EMD) to efficiently decompose it into a composite structure with high- and low-frequency components. Given the above, further investigation is needed on the evolutionary power spectrum density (EPSD) functions of high- and low-frequency components. Analyzing the recorded data will reveal these functions and their corresponding parameters. Proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) is needed to simulate samples of high- and low-frequency components in different directions. These samples can be combined to illustrate multi-directional long-period ground motion. Representative samples exhibit the seismic characteristics of long-period multi-directional ground motion, as shown by numerical examples. This proves the method's engineering accuracy and usefulness. Moreover, this study used incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) to apply seismic vulnerability theory. This study investigated whether long-period ground motions in both x and multi-directional directions could enhance the seismic response of a high-rise frame structure. By using this method, a comprehensive seismic economic loss rate curve was created, making economic loss assessment clearer. This study shows that multi-directional impacts should be included when studying seismic events and calculating structure economic damages.

期刊论文 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.3390/buildings14010252
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