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This study assesses the stability of the Bei'an-Hei'he Highway (BHH), located near the southern limit of latitudinal permafrost in the Xiao Xing'anling Mountains, Northeast China, where permafrost degradation is intensifying under combined climatic and anthropogenic influences. Freeze-thaw-induced ground deformation and related periglacial hazards remain poorly quantified, limiting regional infrastructure resilience. We developed an integrated framework that fuses multi-source InSAR (ALOS, Sentinel-1, ALOS-2), unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) photogrammetry, electrical resistivity tomography (ERT), and theoretical modeling to characterize cumulative deformation, evaluate present stability, and project future dynamics. Results reveal long-term deformation rates from -35 to +40 mm/yr within a 1-km buffer on each side of the BHH, with seasonal amplitudes up to 11 mm. Sentinel-1, with its 12-day revisit cycle, demonstrated superior capability for monitoring the Xing'an permafrost. Deformation patterns were primarily controlled by air temperature, while precipitation and the topographic wetness index enhanced spatial heterogeneity through thermo-hydrological coupling. Wavelet analysis identified a 334-day deformation cycle, lagging climate forcing by similar to 107 days due to the insulating effects of peat. Early-warning analysis classified 4.99 % of the highway length as high-risk (subsidence 10.91 mm/yr). The InSAR-based landslide prediction model achieved high accuracy (Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) Curve, or AUC = 0.9486), validated through field surveys of subsidence, cracking, and slow-moving failures. The proposed 'past-present-future' framework demonstrates the potential of multi-sensor integration for permafrost monitoring and provides a transferable approach for assessing infrastructure stability in cold regions.

期刊论文 2026-01-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.rse.2025.115143 ISSN: 0034-4257

Permafrost is undergoing widespread degradation affected by climate change and anthropogenic factors, leading to seasonal freezing and thawing exhibiting interannual, and fluctuating differences, thereby impacting the stability of local hydrological processes, ecosystems, and infrastructure. To capture this seasonal deformation, scholars have proposed various InSAR permafrost deformation models. However, due to spatial-temporal filtering smoothing high-frequency deformation and the presence of approximate assumptions in permafrost models, such differences are often difficult to accurately capture. Therefore, this paper applies an InSAR permafrost monitoring method based on moving average models and annual variations to detect freezing and thawing deformation in the Russian Novaya Zemlya region from 2017 to 2021 using Sentinel-1 data. Most of the study area's deformation rates remained between 10 and 10 mm/yr, while in key oil extraction areas, they reached -20 mm/yr. Seasonal deformation amplitudes were relatively stable in urban areas, but reached 90 mm in regions with extensive development of thermokarst lakes, showing a significant increasing trend. To validate the accuracy of the new method in capturing seasonal deformations, we used seasonal deformations obtained from different methods to retrieval the Active Layer Thickness (ALT), and compared them with field ALT measurement data. The results showed that the new method had a smaller RMSE and improved accuracy by 5% and 30% in two different ALT observation areas, respectively, compared to previous methods. Additionally, by combining the spatial characteristics of seasonal deformation amplitudes and ALT, we analyzed the impact of impermeable surfaces, confirming that human-induced surface hardening alters the feedback mechanism of perennial frozen soil to climate.

期刊论文 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.6038/cjg2024S0285 ISSN: 0001-5733

Ground subsidence resulting from underground coal mining poses significant challenges to urban safety, infrastructure stability, and environmental protection, particularly in regions extending beneath water bodies. This study investigates subsidence patterns in the Kozlu coal basin by integrating Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR), numerical modelling, and machine learning techniques. The Kozlu coal basin, located in Zonguldak, Turkey, serves as a critical example, where extensive mining activities have led to complex deformation patterns. InSAR effectively captures terrestrial subsidence but is limited in underwater regions. Numerical modelling provides insights into geological behaviour but requires extensive input data. Machine learning, specifically Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), bridges this gap by predicting subsidence in unobservable underwater zones with high accuracy. The integrated approach reveals consistent deformation trends across terrestrial and marine environments, offering practical tools for risk mitigation and resource management. These findings underscore the importance of interdisciplinary methods in addressing complex geological challenges and pave the way for future advancements in subsidence monitoring and prediction.

期刊论文 2025-11-15 DOI: 10.1007/s10064-025-04637-w ISSN: 1435-9529

Reclaimed coastal areas are highly susceptible to uneven subsidence caused by the consolidation of soft marine deposits, which can induce differential settlement, structural deterioration, and systemic risks to urban infrastructure. Further, engineering activities, such as construction and loadings, exacerbate subsidence, impacting infrastructure stability. Therefore, monitoring the integrity and vulnerability of linear urban infrastructure after construction on reclaimed land is critical for understanding settlement dynamics, ensuring safe and reliable operation and minimizing cascading hazards. Subsequently, in the present study, to monitor deformation of the linear infrastructure constructed over decades-old reclaimed land in Mokpo city, South Korea (where 70% of urban and port infrastructure is built on reclaimed land), we analyzed 79 Sentinel-1A SLC ascending-orbit datasets (2017-2023) using the Persistent Scatterer Interferometry (PSInSAR) technique to quantify vertical land motion (VLM). Results reveal settlement rates ranging from -12.36 to 4.44 mm/year, with an average of -1.50 mm/year across 1869 persistent scatterers located along major roads and railways. To interpret the underlying causes of this deformation, Casagrande plasticity analysis of subsurface materials revealed that deep marine clays beneath the reclaimed zones have low permeability and high compressibility, leading to slow pore-pressure dissipation and prolonged consolidation under sustained loading. This geotechnical behavior accounts for the persistent and spatially variable subsidence observed through PSInSAR. Spatial pattern analysis using Anselin Local Moran's I further identified statistically significant clusters and outliers of VLM, delineating critical infrastructure segments where concentrated settlement poses heightened risks to transportation stability. A hyperbolic settlement model was also applied to anticipate nonlinear consolidation trends at vulnerable sites, predicting persistent subsidence through 2030. Proxy-based validation, integrating long-term groundwater variations, lithostratigraphy, effective shear-wave velocity (Vs30), and geomorphological conditions, exhibited the reliability of the InSAR-derived deformation fields. The findings highlight that Mokpo's decades-old reclamation fills remain geotechnically unstable, highlighting the urgent need for proactive monitoring, targeted soil improvement, structural reinforcement, and integrated InSAR-GNSS monitoring frameworks to ensure the structural integrity of road and railway infrastructure and to support sustainable urban development in reclaimed coastal cities worldwide.

期刊论文 2025-10-26 DOI: 10.3390/buildings15213865

Based on ascending and descending orbit SAR data from 2017-2025, this study analyzes the long time-series deformation monitoring and slip pattern of an active-layer detachment thaw slump, a typical active-layer detachment thaw slump in the permafrost zone of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau, by using the small baseline subset InSAR (SBAS-InSAR) technique. In addition, a three-dimensional displacement deformation field was constructed with the help of ascending and descending orbit data fusion technology to reveal the transportation characteristics of the thaw slump. The results show that the thaw slump shows an overall trend of south to north movement, and that the cumulative surface deformation is mainly characterized by subsidence, with deformation ranging from -199.5 mm to 55.9 mm. The deformation shows significant spatial heterogeneity, with its magnitudes generally decreasing from the headwall area (southern part) towards the depositional toe (northern part). In addition, the multifactorial driving mechanism of the thaw slump was further explored by combining geological investigation and geotechnical tests. The analysis reveals that the thaw slump's evolution is primarily driven by temperature, with precipitation acting as a conditional co-factor, its influence being modulated by the slump's developmental stage and local soil properties. The active layer thickness constitutes the basic geological condition of instability, and its spatial heterogeneity contributes to differential settlement patterns. Freeze-thaw cycles affect the shear strength of soils in the permafrost zone through multiple pathways, and thus trigger the occurrence of thaw slumps. Unlike single sudden landslides in non-permafrost zones, thaw slump is a continuous development process that occurs until the ice content is obviously reduced or disappears in the lower part. This study systematically elucidates the spatiotemporal deformation patterns and driving mechanisms of an active-layer detachment thaw slump by integrating multi-temporal InSAR remote sensing with geological and geotechnical data, offering valuable insights for understanding and monitoring thaw-induced hazards in permafrost regions.

期刊论文 2025-06-26 DOI: 10.3390/rs17132206

Ongoing climate warming and increased human activities have led to significant permafrost degradation on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP). Mapping the distribution of active layer thickness (ALT) can provide essential information for understanding this degradation. Over the past decade, InSAR (Interferometric synthetic aperture radar) technology has been utilized to estimate ALT based on remotely-sensed surface deformation information. However, these methods are generally limited by their ability to accurate extract seasonal deformation and model subsurface water content of active layer. In this paper, an ALT inversion method considering both seasonal deformation from InSAR and smoothly multilayer soil moisture from ERA5 is proposed. Firstly, we introduce a ground seasonal deformation extraction model combining RobustSTL and InSAR, and the deformation extraction accuracy by considering the deformation characteristics of permafrost are evaluated, proving the effectiveness of RobustSTL in extracting seasonal deformation of permafrost. Then, using ERA5 soil moisture products, a smoothed multilayer soil moisture model for ALT inversion is established. Finally, integrating the seasonal deformation and multilayer soil moisture, the ALT can be estimated. The proposed model is applied to the Yellow River source region (YRSR) with Sentinel-1A images acquired from 2017 to 2021, and the ALT retrieval accuracy is validated with measured data. Experimental results show that the vertical deformation rate of the study area generally ranges from -30 mm/year to 20 mm/year, with seasonal deformation amplitude ranging from 2 mm to 30 mm. The RobustSTL method has the highest accuracy in extracting seasonal deformation of permafrost, with an RMSE (root mean square error) of 0.69 mm, and is capable of capturing the freeze-thaw characteristics of the active layer. The estimated ALT of the YRSR ranges from 49 cm to 450 cm, with an average value of 145 cm. Compared to the measured data, the proposed method has an average error of 37.5 cm, which represents a 21 % improvement in accuracy over existing methods.

期刊论文 2025-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132847 ISSN: 0022-1694

The Polarimetric Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (PolInSAR) system is a combination of polarimetric SAR and interferometric SAR, which can simultaneously obtain the power information, polarimetric information, and interferometric information of land cover. Traditional land cover classification methods fail to fully utilize these information types, resulting in limited classification types and low accuracy. This paper proposes a PolInSAR land cover classification method that fuses power information, polarimetric information, and interferometric information, aiming to enrich the classification types and improve the classification accuracy. Firstly, the land cover is divided into strong scattering areas and weak scattering areas by using the power information to avoid the influence of weak scattering areas on the classification results. Then, the weak scattering areas are distinguished into shadows and water bodies by combining the interferometric information and image corners. For the strong scattering areas, the polarimetric information is utilized to distinguish vegetation, buildings, and bare soil. For the vegetation area, the concept of vegetation ground elevation is put forward. By combining with the anisotropy parameter, the vegetation is further subdivided into tall coniferous vegetation, short coniferous vegetation, tall broad-leaved vegetation, and short broad-leaved vegetation. The effectiveness of the method has been verified by the PolInSAR data obtained from the N-SAR system developed by Nanjing Research Institute of Electronics Technology. The overall classification accuracy reaches 90.2%, and the Kappa coefficient is 0.876.

期刊论文 2025-03-22 DOI: 10.3390/s25071996

Srinagar city is located in the heart of the Kashmir valley of the northwest Himalaya and is the largest urban center in the seismically active region. As yet, no direct deformation measurement or observation of any kind has been made in Srinagar and the surrounding areas using InSAR. We detect and quantify the ground deformation in the city's western flank using the InSAR time series. Stanford Method for Persistent Scatterer (StaMPS) is employed to process Sentinel-1A radar images acquired between 2015 and 2022 for ascending (161 scenes) and 2020 to 2022 for descending track (31 scenes). Generated velocity fields were decomposed into vertical rate maps, revealing a deformation of 17 mm year(-1) for ascending and 19 mm year(-1) for descending track. Time series analysis exhibits an identical deformation rate for both tracks on concurrent dates. Time-series GPS data was employed to validate the outcomes of our InSAR analysis. A field survey conducted in the main zone of deformation revealed extensive damage to structures in the form of wide cracks. Such cracks develop in older infrastructure (similar to 8 years) due to cumulative ground deformation over several years. Geotechnical investigation and strength calculation on a 30-m borehole of the subsiding region shows a vertical domination of high void, floodplain soils, with appreciable amounts of decomposed organic matter and lower shear strength parameters that are prone to volume reduction and particle rearrangement upon wetting and loading. The overall relevance of this study is in detecting and quantifying such subsidence in the Kashmir basin using SAR remote sensing. We also seek to establish a linkage of this deformation with the local stratum to allow for more consideration and efficient planning of civil infrastructure in the subsidence-prone regions of the citified zone and appropriate management of the subsidence-induced risk.

期刊论文 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1007/s12524-024-02030-w ISSN: 0255-660X

Introduction Surface deformation in the Three Gorges Reservoir area poses significant threats to infrastructure and safety due to complex geological and hydrological factors. Despite existing studies, systematic exploration of long-term deformation characteristics and their driving mechanisms remains limited. This study combines SBAS-InSAR technology and machine learning to analyze and predict surface deformation in Fengjie County, Chongqing, China, between 2020 and 2022, focusing on riverside urban ground, riverside road slopes, and ancient landslides in the reservoir area.Methods SBAS-InSAR technology was applied to 36 Sentinel-1A images to monitor surface deformation, complemented by hydrological and meteorological data. Machine learning models-Random Forest (RF), Extremely Randomized Trees (ERT), Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT), Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)-were evaluated using six metrics, including RMSE, R2, and SMAPE, to assess their predictive performance across diverse geological settings.Results Deformation rates for riverside urban ground, road slopes, and ancient landslides were -3.48 +/- 2.91 mm/yr, -5.19 +/- 3.62 mm/yr, and -6.02 +/- 4.55 mm/yr, respectively, with ancient landslides exhibiting the most pronounced deformation. A negative correlation was observed between reservoir water level decline and subsidence, highlighting the influence of seasonal hydrological adjustments. Urbanization and infrastructure development further exacerbated deformation processes. Among the models, LSTM demonstrated superior predictive accuracy but showed overestimation trends in ancient landslide areas.Discussion Reservoir water level adjustments emerged as a critical driver of subsidence, with rapid water level declines leading to increased pore pressure and soil compression. Seasonal effects were particularly evident, with higher subsidence rates during and after the rainy season. Human activities, including urbanization and road construction, significantly intensified deformation, disrupting natural geological conditions. Progressive slope failure linked to road expansion underscored the long-term impacts of engineering activities. For ancient landslides, accelerated deformation patterns were linked to prolonged drought and reservoir-induced hydrological changes. While LSTM models showed high accuracy, their limitations in complex geological settings highlight the need for hybrid approaches combining machine learning with physical models. Future research should emphasize developing integrated frameworks for long-term risk assessment and mitigation strategies in reservoir environments.Conclusions This study provides new insights into the complex surface dynamics in the Three Gorges Reservoir area, emphasizing the interplay of hydrological, geological, and anthropogenic factors. The findings highlight the need for adaptive management strategies and improved predictive models to mitigate subsidence risks.

期刊论文 2025-01-13 DOI: 10.3389/feart.2024.1503634

油田注采作业易引发地下储层压力变化,易导致油田地表局部形变并诱发剪切套损,开展油田地表形变监测可以识别油田主要形变区和可能套损区,对油田作业合理规划和油田高质量可持续发展具有重要意义。合成孔径干涉测量(InSAR)技术可实现大面积、高精度的地表形变监测,但传统时序InSAR技术在地表覆盖复杂的油田区面临测量点不足且空间分布不均的问题。以大庆油田为例,针对上述问题以及季节性冻土影响,将周期模型融入DS-InSAR技术开展地表形变监测,并分析地表形变与油田注采量之间的相关性。结果表明:(1)油田区因注采等差异导致其地表形变分布不均匀且呈显著的非线性特征,最大沉降速率约为47 mm/a,最大抬升速率约为45 mm/a;(2)油田区地表形变与油田注采作业高度相关,注液作业使得地下储层压力增大,地表抬升,采油作业使得储层压力减小,造成地表沉降。该研究可为油田注采生产策略优化提供科学数据依据,进一步拓展了InSAR技术在油田区的应用。

期刊论文 2025-01-10
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