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Glaciers provide multiple ecosystem services (ES) to human society. Due to the continued global warming, the valuation of glacier ES is of urgent importance because this knowledge can support the protection of glaciers. However, a systematic valuation of glacier ES is still lacking, particularly from the perspective of ES contributors. In this study, we introduce the concept of emergy to establish a methodological framework for accounting glacier ES values, and take the Tibetan Plateau (TP) as a case study to comprehensively evaluate the spatiotemporal characteristics of glacier ES during the early 21st century. The results show that the total glacier ES values on the TP increased from 2.36E+24 sej/yr in the 2000s to 2.40E+24 sej/yr in the 2010s, with an overall growth rate of 1.6%. The values of the various services in the 2010s are ranked in descending order: climate regulation (1.59E+24 sej/yr, 66.1%), runoff regulation (4.40E+23 sej/yr, 18.4%), hydropower generation (1.88E+23 sej/ yr, 7.8%). Significantly higher glacier ES values were recorded in the marginal TP than in the endorheic area. With the exception of climate regulation and carbon sequestration, all other service values increased during the study period, partially cultural services, which have experienced rapid growth in tandem with social development. The results of this study will help establish the methodological basis for the assessment of regional and global glacier ES, as well as a scientific basis for the regional protection of glacier resources.

期刊论文 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123966 ISSN: 0301-4797

With the global climate change, glaciers on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) and its adjacent mountainous regions are retreating rapidly, leading to an increase in active rock glaciers (ARGs) in front of glaciers. As crucial components of water resources in alpine regions and indicators of permafrost boundaries, ARGs reflect climatic and environmental changes on the QTP and its adjacent mountainous regions. However, the extensive scale of rock glacier development poses a challenge to field investigations and sampling, and manual visual interpretation requires substantial effort. Consequently, research on rock glacier cataloging and distribution characteristics across the entire area is scarce. This study statistically analyzed the geometric characteristics of ARGs using high- resolution GF-2 satellite images. It examined their spatial distribution and relationship with local factors. The findings reveal that 34,717 ARGs, covering an area of approximately 6873.54 km2, with an average area of 0.19 +/- 0.24 km2, a maximum of 0.0012 km2, and a minimum of 4.6086 km2, were identified primarily in north-facing areas at elevations of 4300-5300 m and slopes of 9 degrees-25 degrees, predominantly in the Karakoram Mountains and the Himalayas. Notably, the largest concentration of ARGs was found on north-facing shady slopes, constituting about 42 % of the total amount, due to less solar radiation and lower near-surface temperatures favorable for interstitial ice preservation. This research enriches the foundational data on ARG distribution across the QTP and its adjacent mountainous regions, offering significant insights into the response mechanisms of rock glacier evolution to environmental changes and their environmental and engineering impacts.

期刊论文 2024-12-15 DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2024.109468 ISSN: 0169-555X

The Qilian Mountains, located on the northeastern edge of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, are characterized by unique high-altitude and cold-climate terrain, where permafrost and seasonally frozen ground are extensively distributed. In recent years, with global warming and increasing precipitation on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, permafrost degradation has become severe, further exacerbating the fragility of the ecological environment. Therefore, timely research on surface deformation and the freeze-thaw patterns of alpine permafrost in the Qilian Mountains is imperative. This study employs Sentinel-1A SAR data and the SBAS-InSAR technique to monitor surface deformation in the alpine permafrost regions of the Qilian Mountains from 2017 to 2023. A method for spatiotemporal interpolation of ascending and descending orbit results is proposed to calculate two-dimensional surface deformation fields further. Moreover, by constructing a dynamic periodic deformation model, the study more accurately summarizes the regular changes in permafrost freeze-thaw and the trends in seasonal deformation amplitudes. The results indicate that the surface deformation time series in both vertical and east-west directions obtained using this method show significant improvements in accuracy over the initial data, allowing for a more precise reflection of the dynamic processes of surface deformation in the study area. Subsidence is predominant in permafrost areas, while uplift mainly occurs in seasonally frozen ground areas near lakes and streams. The average vertical deformation rate is 1.56 mm/a, with seasonal amplitudes reaching 35 mm. Topographical (elevation; slope gradient; aspect) and climatic factors (temperature; soil moisture; precipitation) play key roles in deformation patterns. The deformation of permafrost follows five distinct phases: summer thawing; warm-season stability; frost heave; winter cooling; and spring thawing. This study enhances our understanding of permafrost deformation characteristics in high-latitude and high-altitude regions, providing a reference for preventing geological disasters in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau area and offering theoretical guidance for regional ecological environmental protection and infrastructure safety.

期刊论文 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.3390/rs16234595

Water temperature extremes can pose serious threats to the aquatic ecosystems of mountain rivers. These rivers are influenced by snow and glaciermelt, which change with climate. As a result, the frequency and severity of water temperature extremes may change. While previous studies have documented changes in non-extreme water temperature, it is yet unclear how extreme water temperatures change in a warming climate and how their hydro-meteorological drivers differ from those of non-extremes. This study aims to assess temporal changes and spatial variability in water temperature extremes and enhance our understanding of the driving processes across European mountain rivers in the current climate, at both a regional and continental scale. First, we describe the characteristics of extreme events and explore their relationships with catchment characteristics. Second, we assess trends in water temperature extremes and compare them with trends in mean water temperature. Third, we use random forest models to identify the main driving processes of water temperature extremes. Last, we conduct a co-occurrence analysis to examine the relationship between water temperature extremes and hydro-climatic extremes. Our results show that mean water temperature has increased by +0.38 +/- 0.14 ${+}0.38\pm 0.14$degrees C per decade, leading to more extreme events at high elevations in spring and summer. While non-extreme water temperatures are mainly driven by air temperature, water temperature extremes are also importantly influenced by soil moisture, baseflow, and meltwater. Our study highlights the complexity of water temperature dynamics in mountain rivers at the regional and continental scale, especially during water temperature extremes.

期刊论文 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1029/2024WR037518 ISSN: 0043-1397

Glacial changes are crucial to regional water resources and ecosystems in the Sawir Mountains. However, glacial changes, including the mass balance and glacial meltwater of the Sawir Mountains, have sparsely been reported. Three model calibration strategies were constructed including a regression model based on albedo and in-situ mass balance of Muz Taw Glacier (A-Ms), regression model based on albedo and geodetic mass balance of valley, cirque, and hanging glaciers (A-Mr), and degree-day model (DDM) to obtain a reliable glacier mass balance in the Sawir Mountains and provide the latest understanding in the contribution of glacial meltwater runoff to regional water resources. The results indicated that the glacial albedo reduction was significant from 2000 to 2020 for the entire Sawir Mountains, with a rate of 0.015 (10a)- 1, and the spatial pattern was higher in the east compared to the west. Second, the three strategies all indicated that the glacier mass balance has been continuously negative during the past 20 periods, and the average annual glacier mass balance was -1.01 m w.e. Third, the average annual glacial meltwater runoff in the Sawir Mountains from 2000 to 2020 was 22 x 106 m3, and its

期刊论文 2024-09-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173703 ISSN: 0048-9697

Warming leads to significant loss of CO2 in high-altitude regions (HAR), posing threat to the carbon sink of terrestrial ecosystem. Additionally, the spatial distribution of environmental factors and underlying surfaces also determine the carbon sink pattern. Therefore, it is necessary to systematically explore the carbon sink of HAR. Based on it, choosing the Qilian Mountains (QLM) as the study area, the continuous observation data of 14 eddy covariance in different ecosystems was used to analyze the variation characteristics of carbon use efficiency (CUE) and net ecosystem primary productivity (NEP), which is helpful to systematically understand the response of carbon cycle to climate change in alpine ecosystem. The research results indicated that the QLM serves as an effective carbon sink (13 of the sites yielded a net carbon sink), owing to the combined influences of environmental factors and vegetation characteristics. Annual NEP varied across the 14 sites, ranging from-192.6 to 524.5 g C/m(2)/yr. Limited observation indicated that wetland/swamp had the highest carbon sink, followed by forest, and shrub have the lowest carbon sink in this study. Along the altitudinal gradient, both gross primary productivity (GPP) and ecosystem respiration (Re) demonstrated a declining trend ( P < 0.05), while, CUE displayed an increasing trend. Soil temperature and photosynthetically active radiation dominated the variation in carbon exchange and CUE along the altitudinal gradient. However, soil moisture was the dominant factor in drought ecosystem. This study provides basis for the assessment of carbon sink of the HAR.

期刊论文 2024-09-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110166 ISSN: 0168-1923

This study uses a new dataset on gauge locations and catchments to assess the impact of 21st-century climate change on the hydrology of 221 high-mountain catchments in Central Asia. A steady-state stochastic soil moisture water balance model was employed to project changes in runoff and evaporation for 2011-2040, 2041-2070, and 2071-2100, compared to the baseline period of 1979-2011. Baseline climate data were sourced from CHELSA V21 climatology, providing daily temperature and precipitation for each subcatchment. Future projections used bias-corrected outputs from four General Circulation Models under four pathways/scenarios (SSP1 RCP 2.6, SSP2 RCP 4.5, SSP3 RCP 7.0, SSP5 RCP 8.5). Global datasets informed soil parameter distribution, and glacier ablation data were integrated to refine discharge modeling and validated against long-term catchment discharge data. The atmospheric models predict an increase in median precipitation between 5.5% to 10.1% and a rise in median temperatures by 1.9 degrees C to 5.6 degrees C by the end of the 21st century, depending on the scenario and relative to the baseline. Hydrological model projections for this period indicate increases in actual evaporation between 7.3% to 17.4% and changes in discharge between + 1.1% to -2.7% for the SSP1 RCP 2.6 and SSP5 RCP 8.5 scenarios, respectively. Under the most extreme climate scenario (SSP5-8.5), discharge increases of 3.8% and 5.0% are anticipated during the first and second future periods, followed by a decrease of -2.7% in the third period. Significant glacier wastage is expected in lower-lying runoff zones, with overall discharge reductions in parts of the Tien Shan, including the Naryn catchment. Conversely, high-elevation areas in the Gissar-Alay and Pamir mountains are projected to experience discharge increases, driven by enhanced glacier ablation and delayed peak water, among other things. Shifts in precipitation patterns suggest more extreme but less frequent events, potentially altering the hydroclimate risk landscape in the region. Our findings highlight varied hydrological responses to climate change throughout high-mountain Central Asia. These insights inform strategies for effective and sustainable water management at the national and transboundary levels and help guide local stakeholders.

期刊论文 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10584-024-03799-y ISSN: 0165-0009

Global warming in tandem with surface albedo reduction caused by black carbon (BC) deposition on glaciers accelerated glacier melting; however, their respective contributions remain unclear. Glaciers in the Qilian Mountains are crucial for the development of oases in the Hexi Corridor; however, their area has decreased by more than 20% over the past half-century. Thus, this study developed a dynamic deposition model for light-absorbing particles (LAPs), coupled with a surface energy and mass balance model. We comprehensively assessed the effects of BC and warming on the melting of a typical glacier in the Qilian Mountains based on the coupled model. BC on the glacier surface caused 13.1% of annual glacier-wide melting, of which directly deposited atmospheric BC reduced the surface albedo by 0.02 and accounted for 9.1% of glacier melting. The air temperature during 2000-2010 has increased by 1.5 degrees C relative to that during the 1950s, accounting for 51.9% of current glacier melting. Meanwhile, BC emission have increased by 4.6 times compared to those of the early Industrial Revolution recorded in an ice core, accounting conservatively for 6.3% of current glacier melting. Mitigating BC emissions has a limited influence on current glacier melting; however, in the long-term, mitigation should exert a noteworthy impact on glacier melting through the self-purification of glaciers.

期刊论文 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2024.06.010 ISSN: 1674-9278

Climate warming can lead to permafrost degradation, potentially resulting in slope failures such as retrogressive thaw slumps (RTSs). The formation of and changes in RTSs could exacerbate the degradation of permafrost and the environment in general. The mechanisms of RTS progression and the potential consequences on the analogous freeze-thaw cycle are not well understood, owing partly to necessitating field work under harsh conditions and with high costs. Here, we used multi-source remote sensing and field surveys to quantify the changes in an RTS on Eboling Mountain in the Qilian Mountain Range in west-central China. Based on optical remote sensing and SBAS-InSAR measurements, we analyzed the RTS evolution and the underlying drivers, combined with meteorological observations. The RTS expanded from 56 m2 in 2015 to 4294 m2 in 2022, growing at a rate of 1300 m2/a to its maximum in 2018 and then decreasing. Changes in temperature and precipitation play a dominant role in the evolution of the RTS, and the extreme weather in 2016 may also be a primary contributor to the accelerated growth, with an average deformation of -8.3 mm during the thawing period, which decreased slope stability. The RTS evolved more actively during the thawing and early freezing process, with earthquakes having potentially contributed further to RTS evolution. We anticipate that the rate of RTS evolution is likely to increase in the coming years.

期刊论文 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.3390/rs16132490

Permafrost melting due to climate warming in recent decades has produced significant effects on forest ecosystems, especially the boreal biome at its southernmost limit in Asia. How this warming affects wood formation of trees at intra-annual resolution is unclear, yet is crucial for assessing the impact of permafrost melting on boreal forest growth. In this study, we compared the radial growth and intra-annual wood density fluctuations (IADFs) of Dahurian larch ( Larix gmelinii Rupr.) at a permafrost (PF) and a non -permafrost (NPF) site at the southernmost permafrost limit in northeast China and quantified their relationships with climate factors. Drought in early summer was the main factor limiting growth of Dahurian larch. The basal area increment (BAI) of trees at both sites increased initially and then decreased in the 1980s, probably in response to warm -dry climate conditions. Earlywood IADFs (IADF-E) occurred in 14.0% and 9.3% of dated rings at the NPF and PF sites, while the frequency of latewood IADFs (IADF-L) was 6.8% and 2.7% at these two sites. The frequency of IADF-E in trees at both sites was positively and negatively related to June temperatures (and vapor pressure deficit) and precipitation, respectively, suggesting drought stress in June triggered the formation of IADF-E. The IADF-Ls were probably formed in response to warm temperatures in the late growing season. A higher BAI and a lower frequency of IADF-Es of trees at the PF site than at the NPF site indicated that permafrost melting could alleviate drought stress in early summer and promote radial growth of Dahurian larch. This greatly improved forest carbon sequestration and wood quality of some northeastern Asian boreal forests may offset to some extent the adverse effects of warming -drying climates at some sites of northeast Asia. Larch IADF-Es recorded extreme droughts in early summer, giving us a new sight for reconstructing high -frequency extreme climate events. If climate warming continues, the benefits of permafrost melting will gradually disappear and even turn negative due to warmer -dryer climate conditions. Our findings provide valuable information for boreal forest management and conservation under future global warming.

期刊论文 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.112158 ISSN: 1470-160X
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