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Surface soil moisture (SSM) is a key limiting factor for vegetation growth in alpine meadow on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP). Patches with various sizes and types may cause the redistribution of SSM by changing soil hydrological processes, and then trigger or accelerate alpine grassland degradation. Therefore, it is vital to understand the effects of patchiness on SSM at multi-scales to provide a reference for alpine grassland restoration. However, there is a lack of direct observational evidence concerning the role of the size and type of patches on SSM, and little is known about the effects of patches pattern on SSM at plot scale. Here, we first measured SSM of typical patches with different sizes and types at patch scale and investigated their patterns and SSM spatial distribution through unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV)-mounted multi-type cameras at plot scale. We then analyzed the role of the size and type of patchiness on SSM at both patch and plot scales. Results showed that: (1) in situ measured SSM of typical patches was significantly different (P < 0.01), original vegetation patch (OV) had the highest SSM, followed by isolate vegetation patch (IV), small bare patch (SP), medium bare patch (MP) and large bare patch (LP); (2) the proposed method based on UAV images was able to estimate SSM (0-40 cm) with a satisfactory accuracy (R-2 = 0.89, P < 0.001); (3) all landscape indices of OV, with the exception of patch density, were positively correlated with SSM at plot scale, while most of the landscape indices of LP and IV showed negative correlations (P < 0.05). Our results indicated that patchiness intensified the spatial heterogeneity of SSM and potentially accelerated the alpine meadow degradation. Preventing the development of OV into IV and the expansion of LP is a critical task for alpine meadow management and restoration.

期刊论文 2025-09-01 DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/rs12244121

Ice records provide a qualitative rather than a quantitative indication of the trend of climate change. Using the bulk aerodynamic method and degree day model, this study quantified ice mass loss attributable to sublimation/evaporation (S/E) and meltwater on the basis of integrated observations (1960-2006) of glacier-related and atmospheric variables in the northeastern Tibetan Plateau. During 1961-2005, the average annual mass loss in the ice core was 95.33 +/- 20.56 mm w.e. (minimum: 78.97 mm w.e. in 1967, maximum: 146.67 mm w.e. in 2001), while the average ratio of the revised annual ice accumulation was 21.2 +/- 7.7% (minimum: 11.0% in 1992, maximum 44.8% in 2000). A quantitative formula expressing the relationship between S/E and air temperature at the monthly scale was established, which could be extended to estimation of S/E changes of other glaciers in other regions. The elevation effect on alpine precipitation determined using revised ice accumulation and instrumental data was found remarkable. This work established a method for quantitative assessment of the temporal variation in ice core mass loss, and advanced the reconstruction of long-term precipitation at high elevations. Importantly, the formula established for reconstruction of S/E from temperature time series data could be used in other regions.

期刊论文 2025-07-01 DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/jog.2023.51 ISSN: 0022-1430

Air pollution is a global health issue, and events like forest fires, agricultural burning, dust storms, and fireworks can significantly worsen it. Festivals involving fireworks and wood-log fires, such as Diwali and Holi, are key examples of events that impact local air quality. During Holi, the ritual of Holika involves burning of biomass that releases large amounts of aerosols and other pollutants. To assess the impact of Holika burning, observations were conducted from March 5th to March 18th, 2017. On March 12th, 2017, around 1.8 million kg of wood and biomass were openly burned in about 2250 units of Holika, located in and around the Varanasi city (25.23 N, 82.97 E, similar to 82.20 m amsl). As the Holika burning event began the impact on the Black Carbon (BC), particulate matter 10 & 2.5 (PM10 and PM2.5), sulphur dioxide (SO2), oxides of nitrogen (NOx), ozone (O-3) and carbon monoxide (CO) concentration were observed. Thorough optical investigations have been conducted to better comprehend the radiative effects of aerosols produced due to Holika burning on the environment. The measured AOD at 500 nm values were 0.315 +/- 0.072, 0.392, and 0.329 +/- 0.037, while the BC mass was 7.09 +/- 1.78, 9.95, and 7.18 +/- 0.27 mu g/m(3) for the pre-Holika, Holika, and post-Holika periods. Aerosol radiative forcing at the top of the atmosphere (ARF-TOA), at the surface (ARF-SUR), and in the atmosphere (ARF-ATM) are 2.46 +/- 4.15, -40.22 +/- 2.35, and 42.68 +/- 4.12 W/m(2) for pre-Holika, 6.34, -53.45, and 59.80 W/m(2) for Holika, and 5.50 +/- 0.97, -47.11 +/- 5.20, and 52.61 +/- 6.17 W/m(2) for post-Holika burning. These intense observation and analysis revealed that Holika burning adversely impacts AQI, BC concentration and effects climate in terms of ARF and heating rate.

期刊论文 2025-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pce.2025.103856 ISSN: 1474-7065

Lakes are commonly accepted as a sensitive indicator of regional climate change, including the Tibetan Plateau (TP). This study took the Ranwu Lake, located in the southeastern TP, as the research object to investigate the relationship between the lake and regional hydroclimatological regimes. The well-known Budyko framework was utilized to explore the relationship and its causes. The results showed air temperature, evapotranspiration and potential evapotranspiration in the Ranwu Lake Basin generally increased, while precipitation, soil moisture, and glacier area decreased. The Budyko space indicated that the basin experienced an obviously drying phase first, and then a slightly wetting phase. An overall increase in lake area appears inconsistent with the drying phase of the basin climate. The inconsistency is attributable to the significant expansion of proglacial lakes due to glacial melting, possibly driven by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. Our findings should be helpful for understanding the complicated relationships between lakes and climate, and beneficial to water resources management under changing climates, especially in glacier basins.

期刊论文 2025-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132685 ISSN: 0022-1694

Numerous endorheic lakes in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) have shown a dramatic increase in total area since 1996. These expanding lakes are mainly located in the interior regions of the QTP, where permafrost is widely distributed. Despite significant permafrost degradation due to global warming, the impact of permafrost thawing on lake evolution in QTP has been underexplored. This study investigated the permafrost degradation and its correlation with lake area increase by selecting four lake basins (Selin Co, Nam Co, Zhari Namco, and Dangqiong Co) in QTP for analysis. Fluid-heat-ice coupled numerical models were conducted on the aquifer cross-sections in these four lake basins, to simulate permafrost thawing driven by rising surface temperatures, and calculate the subsequent changes in groundwater discharge into the lakes. The contribution of these changes to lake storage, which is proportional to lake area, was investigated. Numerical simulation indicates that from 1982 to 2011, permafrost degradation remained consistent across the four basins. During this period, the active layer thickness first increased, then decreased, and partially transformed into talik, with depths reaching up to 25 m. By 2011, groundwater discharge had significantly risen, exceeding 2.9 times the initial discharge in 1988 across all basins. This increased discharge now constitutes up to 17.67 % of the total lake water inflow (Selin Co). The dynamic lake water budget further suggests that groundwater contributed significantly to lake area expansion, particularly since 2000. These findings highlight the importance of considering permafrost thawing as a crucial factor in understanding the dynamics of lake systems in the QTP in the context of climate change.

期刊论文 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132529 ISSN: 0022-1694

Glaciers playa vital role in providing water resources for drinking, agriculture, and hydro-electricity in many mountainous regions. As global warming progresses, accurately reconstructing long-term glacier mass changes and comprehending their intricate dynamic relationships with environmental variables are imperative for sustaining livelihoods in these regions. This paper presents the use of eXplainable Machine Learning (XML) models with GRACE and GRACE-FO data to reconstruct long-term monthly glacier mass changes in the Upper Yukon Watershed (UYW), Canada. We utilized the H2O-AutoML regression tools to identify the best performing Machine Learning (ML) model for filling missing data and predicting glacier mass changes from hydroclimatic data. The most accurate predictive model in this study, the Gradient Boosting Machine, coupled with explanatory methods based on SHapley Additive eXplanation (SHAP) and Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME) analyses, led to automated XML models. The XML unveiled and ranked key predictors of glacier mass changes in the UYW, indicating a decrease since 2014. Analysis showed decreases in snow water equivalent, soil moisture storage, and albedo, along with increases in rainfall flux and air temperature were the main drivers of glacier mass loss. A probabilistic analysis hinging on these drivers suggested that the influence of the key hydrological features is more critical than the key meteorological features. Examination of climatic oscillations showed that high positive anomalies in sea surface temperature are correlated with rapid depletion in glacier mass and soil moisture, as identified by XML. Integrating H2OAutoML with SHAP and LIME not only achieved high prediction accuracy but also enhanced the explainability of the underlying hydroclimatic processes of glacier mass change reconstruction from GRACE and GRACE-FO data in the UYW. This automated XML framework is applicable globally, contingent upon sufficient high-quality data for model training and validation.

期刊论文 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132519 ISSN: 0022-1694

Estimating Top-of-Atmosphere (TOA) flux and radiance is essential for understanding Earth's radiation budget and climate dynamics. This study utilized polar nephelometer measurements of aerosol scattering coefficients at 17 angles (9-170 degrees), enabling the experimental determination of aerosol phase functions and the calculation of Legendre moments. These moments were then used to estimate TOA flux and radiance. Conducted at a tropical coastal site in India, the study observed significant seasonal and diurnal variations in angular scattering patterns, with the highest scattering during winter and the lowest during the monsoon. Notably, a prominent secondary scattering mode, with varying magnitude across different seasons, was observed in the 20-30 degrees angular range, highlighting the influence of different air masses and aerosol sources. Chemical analysis of size-segregated aerosols revealed that fine-mode aerosols were dominated by anthropogenic species, such as sulfate, nitrate, and ammonium, throughout all seasons. In contrast, coarse-mode aerosols showed a clear presence of sea-salt aerosols during the monsoon and mineral dust during the pre-monsoon periods. The presence of very large coarse-mode non-spherical aerosols caused increased oscillations in the phase function beyond 60 degrees during the pre-monsoon and monsoon seasons. This also led to a weak association between the phase function derived from angular scattering measurements and those predicted by the Henyey-Greenstein approximation. As a result, TOA fluxes and radiances derived using the Henyey-Greenstein approximation (with the asymmetry parameter as input in the radiative transfer model) showed a significant difference- up to 24% in seasons with substantial coarse-mode aerosol presence- compared to those derived using the Legendre moments of the phase function. Therefore, TOA flux and radiance estimates using Legendre moments are generally more accurate in the presence of complex aerosol scattering characteristics, particularly for non-spherical or coarse-mode aerosols, while the Henyey-Greenstein phase function may yield less accurate results due to its simplified representation of scattering behavior.

期刊论文 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jqsrt.2025.109365 ISSN: 0022-4073

A cast-in-place pile foundation, widely utilized in the permafrost regions of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, boasts superior load-bearing capacity, effectively mitigating the seasonal freeze-thaw effects. In permafrost regions, substantial pile foundation load-bearing capacity is provided by freezing strength, with the freezing strength determined by the temperature of the surrounding permafrost. In modern times, global warming has been causing permafrost degradation, posing a risk to the safety of existing pile foundations. In order to maintain the stability of these foundations, it is crucial to release excess ground heat, considering the temperature-dependent freezing strength of the ground to pile shaft. Two-phase closed thermosyphons (TPCTs) have demonstrated strong performance in the realm of cooling permafrost engineering. In this study, TPCTs were utilized to mitigate the impact of permafrost degradation by installing them around a concrete pile in order to cool the foundation ground. Following this installation, a model experiment was carried out, which ingeniously focused on analyzing the cooling performance, the process of cold energy dissipation, and the cooling scope of the TPCT pile. The study's findings indicate that the operation time of the TPCT pile accounted for about 50% of the entire freeze-thaw cycle. This device could effectively cool the surrounding foundation soil within a specified area. The TPCT pile exhibited a low temperature advantage of 0.36 degrees C in comparison with the scenario without TPCT in terms of surrounding geotemperature, although it experienced significant cold energy dissipation. The conclusions drawn from this study have significant value for maintaining piles in permafrost regions.

期刊论文 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1061/JCRGEI.CRENG-884 ISSN: 0887-381X

Snow cover variation significantly impacts alpine vegetation dynamics on the Tibetan Plateau (TP), yet this effect under climate change remains underexplored. This study uses a survival analysis model to assess the influence of snow on vegetation green-up dynamics, while controlling for key temperature and water availability factors. This analysis integrates multi-source data, including satellite-derived vegetation green-up dates (GUDs), snow depth, accumulated growing degree days (AGDD), downward shortwave radiation (SRAD), precipitation, and soil moisture. Our survival analysis model effectively simulated GUD on the TP, achieving an R of 0.62 (p < 0.01), a root mean square error (RMSE) of 11.20 days, and a bias of -1.41 days for 2020 GUD predictions. It outperformed both the model excluding snow depth and a linear regression model. By isolating snow's impact, we found it exerts a stronger influence on vegetation GUD than precipitation in snow-covered areas of the TP. Furthermore, snow depth effects varied seasonally: a 1-cm increase in preseason snow depth reduced green-up rates by 8.48% before 156(th) day but increased them by 4.74% afterward. This indicates that deeper preseason snow cover delays GUD before June, but advances it from June onward, rather than having a uniform effect. These findings highlight the critical role of snow and underscore the need to incorporate its distinct effects into vegetation phenology models in alpine regions.

期刊论文 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110377 ISSN: 0168-1923

Arctic permafrost soils contain a vast reservoir of soil organic carbon (SOC) vulnerable to increasing mobilization and decomposition from polar warming and permafrost thaw. How these SOC stocks are responding to global warming is uncertain, partly due to a lack of information on the distribution and status of SOC over vast Arctic landscapes. Soil moisture and organic matter vary substantially over the short vertical distance of the permafrost active layer. The hydrological properties of this seasonally thawed soil layer provide insights for understanding the dielectric behavior of water inside the soil matrix, which is key for developing more effective physics-based radar remote sensing retrieval algorithms for large-scale mapping of SOC. This study provides a coupled hydrologic-electromagnetic framework to model the frequency-dependent dielectric behavior of active layer organic soil. For the first time, we present joint measurement and modeling of the water matric potential, dielectric permittivity, and basic physical properties of 66 soil samples collected across the Alaskan Arctic tundra. The matric potential measurement allows for estimating the soil water retention curve, which helps determine the relaxation time through the Eyring equation. The estimated relaxation time of water molecules in soil is then used in the Debye model to predict the water dielectric behavior in soil. A multi-phase dielectric mixing model is applied to incorporate the contribution of various soil components. The resulting organic soil dielectric model accepts saturation water fraction, organic matter content, mineral texture, temperature, and microwave frequency as inputs to calculate the effective soil dielectric characteristic. The developed dielectric model was validated against lab-measured dielectric data for all soil samples and exhibited robust accuracy. We further validated the dielectric model against field-measured dielectric profiles acquired from five sites on the Alaskan North Slope. Model behavior was also compared against other existing dielectric models, and an indepth discussion on their validity and limitations in permafrost soils is given. The resulting organic soil dielectric model was then integrated with a multi-layer electromagnetic scattering forward model to simulate radar backscatter under a range of soil profile conditions and model parameters. The results indicate that low frequency (P-,L-band) polarimetric synthetic aperture radars (SARs) have the potential to map water and carbon characteristics in permafrost active layer soils using physics-based radar retrieval algorithms.

期刊论文 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rse.2024.114560 ISSN: 0034-4257
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