The ecosystem services of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau have been hot topics in recent decades due to their unique value, and the region's sensitivity to climate change and human activities is considered to be of major importance. However, few studies have focused on the variations of ecosystem services in response to traffic activities and climate change. This study applied different ecosystem service models, along with the buffer analysis, local correlation and regression analysis to quantitatively analyze the spatiotemporal variations of carbon sequestration, habitat quality, and soil reten-tion, further detected the climatic and traffic influences in the transport corridor region of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2000 to 2020. The obtained results showed the following: (1) The carbon sequestration and soil retention in-creased over time, while the habitat quality decreased during the railway construction period; in addition, the varia-tions of ecosystem services between the two periods exhibited substantial spatial differences. (2) The distance trends of ecosystem service variations were similar for the railway and the highway corridors, and the positive ecosys-tem service trends were mainly observed within 2.5 km and 2 km of railway and highway corridors, respectively. (3) The impacts of climatic factors on ecosystem services were predominantly positive; however, temperature and pre-cipitation displayed contrasting distance trends in their impacts on carbon sequestration. (4) The types of frozen ground and locations away from the railway or highway were the combined factors affecting the ecosystem services, among which carbon sequestration was negatively influenced by the distance from the highway in the continuous permafrost areas. It can be speculated that rising temperatures caused by climate change may intensify the decline of carbon sequestration in the continuous permafrost areas. This study provides guidance on ecological protection strategies for future expressway construction projects.

With global warming and its amplified effect on the Tibetan Plateau, the permafrost on the Tibetan Plateau has been significantly degraded, manifested by decreased permafrost thickness, increased active layer thickness, thermokarst, and surface subsidence, causing severe damage to infrastructure. To better understand and assess the future stability of the Qinghai-Tibet Railway, we used a laterally coupled version of the one-dimensional CryoGrid3 land surface model to simulate the thermal regimes of the railway subgrade under current climate conditions. By modeling ground subsidence (i.e., by simulating the melting of excess ice) we provide estimates of future subgrade stability under low (Representative Concentration Pathway 2.6 [RCP2.6]) and high (RCP8.5) climate warming scenarios. Our modeled results reveal satisfactory performance with respect to the comparison of measured and modeled ground thermal regimes. Under current climate conditions, we infer that mostly thaw-stable conditions as maximum thaw depths do not reach the embankment base. The sunny side of the embankment (southeast-facing) reveals being more vulnerable to suffering from thaw settlement or thermal erosion than the shady side (northwest-facing). The extent of future railway failure due to thawing permafrost will depend on the magnitude of the warming. For conditions typical of Beiluhe (situated on continuous permafrost in the central Tibetan Plateau), the railway embankment might largely maintain safe operation until the end of the century under a scenario of climate stabilization. In contrast, under strong warming the railway subgrade is likely to destabilize from the 2030s onwards and embankment subsidence is initiated at mid-century through the melting of excess ice.

Third Pole natural cascade alpine lakes (NCALs) are exceptionally sensitive to climate change, yet the underlying cryosphere-hydrological processes and associated societal impacts are largely unknown. Here, with a state-of-the-art cryosphere-hydrology-lake-dam model, we quantified the notable high-mountain Hoh-Xil NCALs basin (including Lakes Zonag, Kusai, Hedin Noel, and Yanhu, from upstream to downstream) formed by the Lake Zonag outburst in September 2011. We demonstrate that long-term increased precipitation and accelerated ice and snow melting as well as short-term heavy precipitation and earthquake events were responsible for the Lake Zonag outburst; while the permafrost degradation only had a marginal impact on the lake inflows but was crucial to lakeshore stability. The quadrupling of the Lake Yanhu area since 2012 was due to the tripling of inflows (from 0.25 to 0.76 km(3)/year for 1999 to 2010 and 2012 to 2018, respectively). Prediction of the NCALs changes suggests a high risk of the downstream Qinghai-Tibet Railway, necessitating timely adaptions/mitigations.

Arctic zone of the Russian Federation (AZRF) is the region of intensive economic development. In this regard, it is critical to give an adequate assessment of natural factors that may have a negative impact on the growing technological infrastructure. Rapid climate change effects show a significant influence on this activity, including the railway network development. Hence, the decision-making community requires relevant information on climatic variations that can put at hazard the construction and operation of railway facilities. This paper presents the analysis of climatic changes within the region of Central and Western Russian Arctic in 1980-2021. It was performed using the new electronic Atlas of climatic variations in main hydrometeorological parameters, created for the Russian Railways in 2023. This geoinformatic product includes about 400 digital maps reflecting the variability of seven climatic parameters over more than four decades within the studied region. These parameters are air temperature, total precipitation, wind speed, soil temperature, soil moisture content, air humidity, and snow cover thickness. The analysis of climatic maps and their comparison between selected periods showed spatial and temporal heterogeneity of climatic variations in this region. This justifies the feasibility of further research using additional analytical instruments, such as Hovm & ouml;ller diagrams, time series graphs, etc. The implementation of advanced geoinformatic products in the practice of the Russian Railways will facilitate sustainable development of its infrastructure in rapidly altering climatic conditions.

An active layer detachment slide (ALDS) in the interior portion of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) was investigated within 2 days of its formation on September 21, 2018. The ALDS developed on a relatively gentle slope (4.8 degrees to 9 degrees) at an elevation of 4,850 m above sea level (asl) and was about 145 m long and 45 m wide, with a headscarp 2.2-2.5 m high. Analyses of meteorological data and soil temperatures indicated that it was probably triggered by a record thaw depth which intersected a layer with high ice content at the base of the active layer and in the top of the permafrost. Based on the time window, the minimum downslope velocity of the main slide mass was about 20 m/h which is higher than previously reported values. The ALDS ran into the embankment of the Qinghai-Tibet Railway (QTR) but did not damage the railbed. However, extensive rehabilitation of the slope was needed subsequent to the failure to clear the slide mass and as minor headscarp recession and thaw settlement continued on the slope. In this work, we describe this feature and the most likely mechanisms of development.

This article presents the results of field study near a Northern Railway embankment (Hanovey station) in a field work area of the Geocryology Department (Moscow State University), where we performed cone penetration tests, measured the thickness of the active layer and soil temperatures, monitored settlement of the embankment, and performed laboratory tests. A mathematical model was compiled in the Qfrost program based on these data taking the unevenness of the snow cover in the study area into account. Calculations of the temperature regime of the embankment until 2050 taking climate change into account (according to the RCP 4.5 scenario), showed that the thickness of the talik at the embankment will increase by 40% in 30 years and without taking this factor into account, by 17%. This article also discusses the features of the position and structure of the embankment, as well as the composition and properties of frozen soils, which significantly affect the stability of the embankment.

The Qinghai-Tibet Railway (QTR) is the railway with the highest elevation and longest distance in the world, spanning more than 1142 km from Golmud to Lhasa across the continuous permafrost region. Due to climate change and anthropogenic activities, geological disasters such as subsidence and thermal melt collapse have occurred in the QTR embankment. To conduct the large-scale permafrost monitoring and geohazard investigation along the QTR, we collected 585 Sentinel-1A images based on the composite index model using the multitrack time-series interferometry synthetic aperture radar (MTS-InSAR) method to retrieve the surface deformation over a 3.15 x 10(5) km(2) area along the QTR. Meanwhile, a new method for permafrost distribution mapping based on InSAR time series deformation was proposed. Finally, the seasonal deformation map and a new map of permafrost distribution along the QTR from Golmud to Lhasa were obtained. The results showed that the estimated seasonal deformation range of the 10 km buffer zone along the QTR was -50-10 mm, and the LOS deformation rate ranged from -30 to 15 mm/yr. In addition, the deformation results were validated by leveling measurements, and the range of absolute error was between 0.1 and 4.62 mm. Most of the QTR was relatively stable. Some geohazard-prone sections were detected and analyzed along the QTR. The permafrost distribution results were mostly consistent with the simulated results of Zou's method, based on the temperature at the top of permafrost (TTOP) model. This study reveals recent deformation characteristics of the QTR, and has significant scientific implications and applicational value for ensuring the safe operation of the QTR. Moreover, our method, based on InSAR results, provides new insights for permafrost classification on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP).

Freeze-thaw cycles (FTC) are known to have an effect on railway track stability, safety, and performance. FTC are expected to become more frequent in the future due to climate change. This paper presents the results of a field investigation in which the mechanism of FTC development within the track embankment and its effect on the performance of railway tracks including track surface deformation and track geometry degradation are studied. Field observations suggested that the frost depth within the track embankment is influenced by the freezing index and winter snow cover. They also showed that a warmer and drier winter leads to more intermittent FTC and even though the average frost heave is lower than for a colder winter, the frost heaves occurring at culvert locations creates a larger differential deformation and thus may lead to a worse operating condition. The comparison of geometry measurements before freezing and after thawing indicated that the track geometry is in poorer and rougher condition during springs that were preceded by increased FTC. It was also concluded that track in proximity to culverts suffered the highest geometry degradation. Overall, the limited field observations of this study suggest that future winters, mild with less precipitation and higher occurrence of FTC, may increase the rate of track deterioration and more maintenance will be required to keep track within safe limits.

In this article, we consider the problem of thermal response of the near-surface ice-rich permafrost to the effects of linear infrastructure and current climate change. First, we emphasize the scientific and practical significance of the study and briefly describe permafrost conditions and related hazards in the study area. Then we present a mathematical model which accounts for the actual process of soil thawing and freezing and consists of two nonlinear equations: heat conduction and moisture transfer. Numerical calculations were made to predict temperature and moisture conditions in the railroad embankment, taking into account solar radiation, snow cover, rainfall infiltration, and evaporation from the surface. The numerical results indicate that moisture migration and infiltration play the primary role in the development of frost heaving and thaw settlement. During winter, the frost-heave extent is monotonously increased due to pore moisture migration to the freezing front. Strong volume expansion (dilatation) is observed near the surface of the active layer with the onset of the warm season and meltwater infiltration. Settlement of the upper layers of the soil occurs in the summer months (June-August) when there is intense evaporation due to drying. Autumn rains stop the process of thaw settlement by increasing the soil moisture. The above processes are repeated cyclically every year. A frozen core shifts to the shaded side of the embankment under the influence of variations in the solar radiation. Over time, the total moisture content of the frozen core is increased which increases differential heaving and negatively affects the stress-strain state in the embankment. The quantitative and qualitative characteristics of the processes of frost heaving and thaw settlement are obtained in the annual and long-term cycles.

The Qinghai-Tibet Railway (QTR) is the highest plateau artificial facility, connecting Lhasa and Golmud over Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. Climate change and anthropogenic activities are changing the condition of plateau, with potential influences on the stabilities of QTR. Synthetic aperture radar interferometry (InSAR) technique could retrieve ground millimeter scale deformation utilizing phase information from SAR images. In this study, the structure and deformation features of QTR are retrieved and analyzed using time-series interferometry with Sentinel-1A and TerraSAR-X images. The backscattering and coherence features of QTR are analyzed in medium and very high-resolution SAR images. Then, the deformation results from different SAR datasets are estimated and analyzed. Experimental results show that some of the QTR sections undergo serious deformation, with the maximum deformation rate of -20 mm/year. Moreover, the detailed deformation feature in the Beiluhe has been analyzed as well as the effects of different cooling measurements underline QTR embankment. It is also found that embankment-bridge transition along QTR is prone to undergo deformation. Our study demonstrates the application potential of high-resolution InSAR in deformation monitoring of QTR.