在列表中检索

共检索到 2

Decline in snow mass threatens the regional economy that critically depends on meltwater. However, the economic scale of snow mass loss is hardly understood, and its role in the vulnerability of future economic development is unclear. We investigate the current reserves of snow cover and the value of its loss. The result showed that the total annual snow mass in western China declines at a rate of 3.3 x 10(9) Pg per decade (p < 0.05), which accounts for approximately 0.46% of the mean of annual snow mass (7.2 x 10(11) Pg). Snow mass loss over the past 40 years in western China turns into an average loss value of CN0.1 billion (in the present value) every year ($1 = CN7). If the trend continues at the current rate, the accumulated loss value would rise to CN63 billion by 2040. Furthermore, subject to the combinations of RCPs and SSPs scenario, the future economic value of snow mass loss in western China appears to accelerate driven by both declining snowmelt resources and socioeconomic development demand. RCP26-SSP1 is the pathway among all to have the least economic cost in replacing the snowmelt loss, and the cost would be quadrupled in RCP80-SSP3 scenario by 2100. At a basin scale, the declining snow mass would turn the regional economy to be more vulnerable except Junggar and Ili endorheic basin. The Ertis river and Qaidam endorheic basins display to be most vulnerable. It highlights that the snowvalue can be economically important in the regions ofwest China and should be considered more properly in water resources management. (C) 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V.

期刊论文 2023-11-01 DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.143025 ISSN: 0048-9697

Cold regions contain a large amount of soil organic carbon, and the warming-accelerated loss of this carbon pool could cause important feedback to climatic change. The changes of carbon budgets in cold regions are poorly quantified especially for the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) due to limited field observation data. By considering the soil freeze-thaw process and establishing new plant functional types with localized parameters, we used the Integrated Biosphere Simulator (IBIS) model to simulate the changes of carbon budget on the QTP during 1980-2016. The model was calibrated and validated using carbon flux data from eddy covariance observations at 16 sites. The results showed that the QTP has assimilated 43.16 Tg C/yr during 1980-2016, with permafrost and non-permafrost regions accounting for approximately 15% and 85% of the carbon sink, respectively. During the past four decades, the gross primary production and ecosystem respiration have increased by 1.74 and 2.04 Tg C/ yr(2), resulting in that the carbon sink on the QTP has weakened during 1980-2016. Moreover, the weakening of carbon sink is more pronounced in the non-permafrost regions. We project that the ecosystems will release 12.30 and 24.40 Tg C by 2080-2100 under the moderate and high shared socio-economic pathways (SSP 370 and SSP 585), respectively. This could largely offset the carbon sink and even shift the carbon sink to carbon source on the QTP.

期刊论文 2022-04-15 DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2022.115707 ISSN: 0016-7061
  • 首页
  • 1
  • 末页
  • 跳转
当前展示1-2条  共2条,1页