Recent climate warming has accelerated permafrost thaw and dynamics of thermokarst lakes (TLs) on the Tibetan Plateau (TP). Yet, owing to the lack of long-term monitoring of TLs, our understanding of lake evolution processes and their driving factors remains uncertain. Here, using the global surface water product and timeseries Landsat imagery, we identified 58,538 TLs (0.01-3 km2) and determined the primary occurrence year of lake changes from 1990 to 2022. Our results indicated that TLs on the TP are primarily located in the central inland region, over 82 % of lakes experienced area expansion, and only 15 % in the northwest show decrease in area. Annual number of lake expansion peaked in 2016, whereas lake shrinkage was most common in 2019. The calculated lake area errors, field investigations, and validation of lake disturbance time demonstrated high accuracy and consistency. We applied the optimal machine learning regression model to distinguish the different drivers for lake expansion and shrinkage. The topographic and climatic factors are primary drivers for lake expansion, while differences in evaporation trend and soil temperature trend might contribute to lake shrinkage. This study highlights the vulnerability of permafrost on the TP to climate change, which can contribute to carbon sequestration estimation and infrastructure maintenance.

Slope failures resulting from thaw slumps in permafrost regions, have developed widely under the influence of climate change and engineering activities. The shear strength at the interface between the active layer and permafrost (IBALP) at maximum thawing depth is a critical factor to evaluate stability of permafrost slopes. Traditional direct shear, triaxial shear, and large-scale in-situ shear experiments are unsuitable for measuring the shear strength parameter of the IBALP. Based on the characteristics of thaw slumps in permafrost regions, this study proposes a novel test method of self-weight direct shear instrument (SWDSI), and its principle, structure, measurement system and test steps are described in detail. The shear strength of the IBALP under maximum thaw depth conditions is measured using this method. The results show that under the condition that the permafrost layer is thick underground ice and the active layer consists of silty clay with 20% water content, the test results are in good agreement with the results of field large-scale direct shear tests and are in accordance with previous understandings and natural laws. The above analysis indicates that the method of the SWDSI has a reliable theoretical basis and reasonable experimental procedures, and meets the needs of stability assessment of thaw slumps in permafrost regions. The experimental data obtained provide important parameter support for the evaluation of related geological hazards.

This study assesses the stability of the Bei'an-Hei'he Highway (BHH), located near the southern limit of latitudinal permafrost in the Xiao Xing'anling Mountains, Northeast China, where permafrost degradation is intensifying under combined climatic and anthropogenic influences. Freeze-thaw-induced ground deformation and related periglacial hazards remain poorly quantified, limiting regional infrastructure resilience. We developed an integrated framework that fuses multi-source InSAR (ALOS, Sentinel-1, ALOS-2), unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) photogrammetry, electrical resistivity tomography (ERT), and theoretical modeling to characterize cumulative deformation, evaluate present stability, and project future dynamics. Results reveal long-term deformation rates from -35 to +40 mm/yr within a 1-km buffer on each side of the BHH, with seasonal amplitudes up to 11 mm. Sentinel-1, with its 12-day revisit cycle, demonstrated superior capability for monitoring the Xing'an permafrost. Deformation patterns were primarily controlled by air temperature, while precipitation and the topographic wetness index enhanced spatial heterogeneity through thermo-hydrological coupling. Wavelet analysis identified a 334-day deformation cycle, lagging climate forcing by similar to 107 days due to the insulating effects of peat. Early-warning analysis classified 4.99 % of the highway length as high-risk (subsidence 10.91 mm/yr). The InSAR-based landslide prediction model achieved high accuracy (Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) Curve, or AUC = 0.9486), validated through field surveys of subsidence, cracking, and slow-moving failures. The proposed 'past-present-future' framework demonstrates the potential of multi-sensor integration for permafrost monitoring and provides a transferable approach for assessing infrastructure stability in cold regions.

Amid global climate change, freeze-thaw cycles in cold regions have intensified, reducing the stability of infrastructures and significantly increasing the demand for grouting reinforcement. However, the deterioration in the durability of existing grouting materials under the combined effects of freeze-thaw cycles and low temperatures has become a major technical bottleneck restricting their application in cold regions. This paper focuses on polyurethane (PU) grouting materials with foaming and lifting characteristics, systematically reviewing the research progress and technical challenges associated with their engineering applications in cold regions. First, in terms of material composition and preparation, the core components and modified additives are detailed to establish a theoretical foundation for performance regulation. Second, addressing the application requirements in cold regions, standardized testing methods and comprehensive evaluation systems are summarized based on key indicators such as heat release temperature, impermeability, diffusion properties, mechanical strength, and expansion properties. Combined with microstructural characteristics, the deformation behavior and failure mechanisms of PU grouting materials under freeze-thaw cycles and salt-freezing environments are revealed. At the engineering application level, the challenges faced by PU grouting materials in cold regions-such as inhibited low-temperature reactivity and insufficient long-term durability-are highlighted. Finally, considering current research gaps, including the unclear mechanisms of microscopic dynamic evolution and the lack of studies on the combined effects of complex environments, future research directions are proposed. This paper aims to provide theoretical support for the development and application of PU grouting materials in cold-region geotechnical engineering.

Northern basins are projected to continue warming at rates higher than the global average, with the impacts of warming compounded by concomitant deglaciation, permafrost thaw and vegetation shifts. The Mackenzie River Basin drains headwaters in the glaciated Canadian Rockies to the Arctic Ocean and is mostly underlain by permafrost. Scenarios of future change in this basin were simulated using the MESH distributed hydrological-cryospheric land surface model. MESH was forced with bias-corrected, downscaled RCM forcings and parameterized with a deep subsurface profile, organic soils, and glaciers. The model, validated against discharge, snowpack, and permafrost observations, was used to simulate 21st century hydrology and permafrost dynamics under the RCP8.5 emissions scenario, incorporating projected land cover change applied at two discrete time steps (2021 and 2065). The findings indicate a rapid acceleration of permafrost thaw. By the 2080s, most of the basin will be devoid of permafrost. By late century, river discharges shift to earlier and higher peaks in response to projected increases in precipitation, temperature and snowmelt, despite increases in evapotranspiration from longer snow-free seasons. Baseflow discharges increase in winter, due to higher precipitation and increased basin connectivity from permafrost thaw resulting in enhanced groundwater flow. Subsurface moisture storage rises slightly but the liquid water fraction increases dramatically, increasing subsurface runoff and river discharge. Canadian Rockies' deglaciation reduces summer and annual discharge in the Athabasca and Peace headwaters. Downstream and northward of the mountain headwaters the direct impacts of climate change on river discharge dominate those of changing land cover and glaciers.

Thaw hazards in high-latitude and glaciated regions are becoming increasingly frequent because of global climate warming and human activities, posing significant threats to infrastructure stability and environmental sustainability. However, despite these risks, comprehensive investigations of thaw-hazard susceptibility in permafrost regions remain limited. Here, this gap is addressed by a systematic and long-term investigation of thaw hazards in China's Qinghai Province as a representative permafrost area. A detailed inventory of 534 thawhazard sites was developed based on remote sensing, field verification, and surveys by a UAV, providing critical data for susceptibility analysis. Eleven environmental factors influencing thaw hazards were identified and analyzed using information gain and Shapley additive explanation. By using the random forest model, a susceptibility map was generated, categorizing the study area into five susceptibility classes: very low, low, moderate, high, and very high. The key influencing factors include precipitation, permafrost type, temperature change rate, and human activity. The results reveal that 17.5 % of the permafrost region within the study area is classified as high to very high susceptibility, concentrated primarily near critical infrastructure such as the Qinghai-Tibet Railway, potentially posing significant risks to its structural stability. The random forest model shows robust predictive capability, achieving an accuracy of 0.906 and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.965. These findings underscore the critical role of advanced modeling in understanding the spatial distribution and drivers of thaw hazards, offering actionable insights for hazard mitigation and infrastructure protection in permafrost regions under a changing climate.

Global warming results in more field soil suffering freeze-thaw cycles (FTCs). The environmental risk of microplastics-recognized as a global emerging contaminant-in soils undergoing FTCs remains unclear. In this study, the combined effects of FTCs and poly(butylene adipate-co-terephthalate) (PBAT) microplastics on microbial degradation of atrazine in Mollisols were investigated. Freeze-thaw cycles, rather than microplastics, significantly inhibited the biodegradation of atrazine in soil, with average inhibition ratios of 33.69% and 4.99% for FTCs and microplastics, respectively. Thawing temperature was the main factor driving the changes in soil microbial community structures and the degradation of atrazine. The degradable microplastics with an amendment level of 0.2% had different and limited effects on the dissipation of atrazine under different modes of FTCs. Among the four modes, microplastics only showed a trend toward promoting atrazine degradation under high-frequency and high-thawing-temperature FTCs. Across all modes, microplastics altered microbial interactions and ecological niches that included affecting specific bacterial abundance, module keystone species, microbial network complexity, and functional genes in soil. There's no synergistic effect between microplastics and FTCs on the degradation of atrazine in soil within a short-term period. This study provides critical insights into the ecological effects of the new biodegradable mulch film-derived microplastics in soil under FTCs.

The freeze-thaw erosion zone of the Tibetan Plateau (FTZTP) maintains an ecologically fragile system with enhanced thermal sensitivity under climate warming. Vegetation phenology in this cryosphere-dominated environment acts as a crucial biophysical indicator of climate variability, showing potentially amplified responses to environmental changes relative to other ecosystems. To investigate vegetation phenological characteristics and their climate responses, we derived key phenological parameters (the start, end and length of growing season-SOS, EOS, LOS) for the FTZTP from 2001 to 2021 using MODIS EVI data and analysed their spatiotemporal patterns and climatic drivers. Results indicated that the spatial distribution of phenology was highly heterogeneous, influenced by local climate, complex topography and diverse vegetation. SOS generally exhibited a delayed trend from east to west, while EOS was progressively later from the central plateau towards the southeast and southwest. Consequently, LOS shortened along both east-west and south-north gradients. Under sustained warming and wetting, the region experienced intensified freeze-thaw cycles, characterised by a delayed freeze-start, advanced thaw-end and shortened freeze-thaw duration. Both climate warming and freeze-thaw changes drove an overall significant advancement of SOS (-3.1 days/decade), delay of EOS (+2.2 days/decade) and extension of LOS (+5.3 days/decade) over the 21-year period. Notably, an abrupt phenological shift occurred around 2015. Prior to 2015, both SOS and EOS advanced, whereas afterward, SOS transitioned to a delaying trend and EOS exhibited a markedly stronger delay, leading to a pronounced extension of LOS. This regime shift was primarily attributed to changes in hydrothermal conditions controlled by climate warming and evolving freeze-thaw dynamics, with temperature being the dominant factor and precipitation exerting seasonally differential effects. Our findings elucidate the complex responses of alpine cryospheric ecosystems to climate change, revealing freeze-thaw processes as a key modulator of vegetation phenology.

Climate change is driving permafrost thaw, releasing previously frozen resources, such as nitrogen, to the soil active layer. In low-nitrogen systems, like boreal peatlands, this novel nitrogen source may benefit plant productivity. However, other resource limitations (for example, light) may limit plant access to thaw-front nitrogen. We used a stable isotope experiment to explore variations in understory boreal plant species' ability to take up different forms of newly released nitrogen from permafrost thaw under different canopy covers. This experiment occurred in a peatland in the sporadic discontinuous permafrost zone of the Northwest Territories, Canada. We added N-15 labelled ammonium, nitrate, and the amino acid glycine at the thaw front (40 cm depth) at two sites differentiated by high and low canopy cover and determined uptake of N-15 in leaves of several common and abundant boreal plant species. We found that the probability of plant uptake of thaw-front nitrogen was significantly greater at low canopy cover sites; however, nitrogen form, plant species, and foliar N-mass had no effect. We further found that Rubus chamaemorus had the highest foliar N-mass followed by Rhododendron groenlandicum, Chamaedaphne calyculata, and Vaccinium vitis-idaea. Our results demonstrate that access to nitrogen released from permafrost thaw by boreal plants may be mediated by light availability. Understanding the variation in site response to permafrost thaw contributes to our understanding of how boreal peatlands will change with ongoing climate change.

Permafrost thawing is a critical climate tipping point, with catastrophic consequences. Existing stabilization methods rely on refrigerant-based systems, such as thermosyphons and active refrigeration, which are capital-intensive, energy-demanding, or increasingly ineffective in warming climates. Most infrastructure built on permafrost requires continuous heat removal from the foundation as the underlying permafrost becomes progressively unstable. To address these challenges, we demonstrate a fully biomass-derived cooling geotextile that can effectively mitigate permafrost thawing through scalable nanoprocessing via a roll-to-roll fabrication (1.3 mmin-1). The cooling geotextile features a hierarchical three-layer design: a strong woven biomass scaffold, a permeable nonwoven fiber network, and an optimized porous coating layer with micro- and nano-structures. When anchored to bare ground, it extracts heat to the cold sky, enhances albedo from similar to 30% to 96.3%, and establishes a thermal barrier between soil and air. Engineered for Arctic durability, it withstands strong winds, extreme cold, and freeze-thaw cycles, exceeding the American National Engineering Handbook requirements (tensile strength 1,682 kg; tear strength 191 kg; puncture strength 61 kg). Field tests in West Lafayette, IN (40 degrees 25 ' 21 '' N, 86 degrees 55 ' 12 '' W) reveal up to 25 degrees C soil cooling under 500 Wm-2 irradiance. Its lightweight (0.8 kgm-2) and rollable attributes enable scalable and fast localized deployment. Simulations predict up to 12 degrees C surface cooling during Arctic summer (2020-2050), preventing up to 40,000 km2 of permafrost from thawing. Completely derived from biomass, cooling geotextile ensures a low carbon footprint (0.7 kgm-2), positioning itself as a sustainable solution for reinforcing Arctic coastline, reconstructing thawing landscape, and restoring the environment.