Estimating the landscape and soil freeze-thaw (FT) dynamics in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) is crucial for understanding permafrost response to global warming and changes in regional and global carbon budgets. A new framework for surface FT-cycle retrievals using L-band microwave radiometry based on a deep convolutional autoencoder neural network is presented. This framework defines the landscape FT-cycle retrieval as a time-series anomaly detection problem, considering the frozen states as normal and the thawed states as anomalies. The autoencoder retrieves the FT-cycle probabilistically through supervised reconstruction of the brightness temperature (TB) time series using a contrastive loss function that minimizes (maximizes) the reconstruction error for the peak winter (summer). Using the data provided by the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) satellite, it is demonstrated that the framework learns to isolate the landscape FT states over different land surface types with varying complexities related to the radiometric characteristics of snow cover, lake-ice phenology, and vegetation canopy. The consistency of the retrievals is assessed over Alaska using in situ observations, demonstrating an 11% improvement in accuracy and reduced uncertainties compared to traditional methods that rely on thresholding the normalized polarization ratio (NPR).

Landslides are destructive natural disasters that cause catastrophic damage and loss of life worldwide. Accurately predicting landslide displacement enables effective early warning and risk management. However, the limited availability of on-site measurement data has been a substantial obstacle in developing data-driven models, such as state-of-the-art machine learning (ML) models. To address these challenges, this study proposes a data augmentation framework that uses generative adversarial networks (GANs), a recent advance in generative artificial intelligence (AI), to improve the accuracy of landslide displacement prediction. The framework provides effective data augmentation to enhance limited datasets. A recurrent GAN model, RGAN-LS, is proposed, specifically designed to generate realistic synthetic multivariate time series that mimics the characteristics of real landslide on-site measurement data. A customized moment-matching loss is incorporated in addition to the adversarial loss in GAN during the training of RGAN-LS to capture the temporal dynamics and correlations in real time series data. Then, the synthetic data generated by RGAN-LS is used to enhance the training of long short-term memory (LSTM) networks and particle swarm optimization-support vector machine (PSO-SVM) models for landslide displacement prediction tasks. Results on two landslides in the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR) region show a significant improvement in LSTM model prediction performance when trained on augmented data. For instance, in the case of the Baishuihe landslide, the average root mean square error (RMSE) increases by 16.11%, and the mean absolute error (MAE) by 17.59%. More importantly, the model's responsiveness during mutational stages is enhanced for early warning purposes. However, the results have shown that the static PSO-SVM model only sees marginal gains compared to recurrent models such as LSTM. Further analysis indicates that an optimal synthetic-to-real data ratio (50% on the illustration cases) maximizes the improvements. This also demonstrates the robustness and effectiveness of supplementing training data for dynamic models to obtain better results. By using the powerful generative AI approach, RGAN-LS can generate high-fidelity synthetic landslide data. This is critical for improving the performance of advanced ML models in predicting landslide displacement, particularly when there are limited training data. Additionally, this approach has the potential to expand the use of generative AI in geohazard risk management and other research areas. (c) 2024 Institute of Rock and Soil Mechanics, Chinese Academy of Sciences. Production and hosting by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/ licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).

Recently, as global climate change and local disturbances such as wildfires continue, long- and short-term changes in the high-latitude vegetation systems have been observed in various studies. Although remote sensing technology using optical satellites has been widely used in understanding vegetation dynamics in high-latitude areas, there has been limited understanding of various landscape changes at different spatiotemporal scales, their mutual relationships, and overall long-term landscape changes. The objective of this study is to devise a change monitoring strategy that can effectively observe landscape changes at different spatiotemporal scales in the boreal ecosystems from temporally sparse time series remote sensing data. We presented a new post-classification-based change analysis scheme and applied it to time series Landsat data for the central Yakutian study area. Spectral variability between time series data has been a major problem in the analysis of changes that make it difficult to distinguish long- and short-term land cover changes from seasonal growth activities. To address this issue effectively, two ideas in the time series classification, such as the stepwise classification and the lateral stacking strategies were implemented in the classification process. The proposed classification results showed consistently higher overall accuracies of more than 90% obtained in all classes throughout the study period. The temporal classification results revealed the distinct spatial and temporal patterns of the land cover changes in central Yakutia. The spatiotemporal distribution of the short-term class illustrated that the ecosystem disturbance caused by fire could be affected by local thermal and hydrological conditions of the active layer as well as climatic conditions. On the other hand, the long-term class changes revealed land cover trajectories that could not be explained by monotonic increase or decrease. To characterize the long-term land cover change patterns, we applied a piecewise linear model with two line segments to areal class changes. During the former half of the study period, which corresponds to the 2000s, the areal expansion of lakes on the eastern Lena River terrace was the dominant feature of the land cover change. On the other hand, the land cover changes in the latter half of the study period, which corresponds to the 2010s, exhibited that lake area decreased, particularly in the thermokarst lowlands close to the Lena and Aldan rivers. In this area, significant forest decline can also be identified during the 2010s.

Surface mining has been subject to increased criticism and pressure due to its potential to cause environmental damage. China accounts for more than half of world coal consumption, and this continued demand for coal, combined with low costs, has accelerated surface coal mining worldwide. However, it isn ' t easy to understand the impact of surface mining in China. Therefore, combined with POI, the Exposed Coal Frequency Index (ECFI) was constructed without any mining information in China. A LandTrendr algorithm was used to identify past mining disturbances and reclamation events (1986 - 2021). While examining these events, surface destruction due to coal mining in China was revealed. Based on the results, (1) the detection accuracy of statistical surface mining sites by province reaches 91.8%, while the detection accuracy of disturbance and reclamation events exceeds 72.59 %. Also, by comparing the mine data, our results provide more accurate information regarding both time and spatial consistency. (2) 253.61 km 2 of surface mining sites were identified in 14 provinces or autonomous regions during 1986 - 2021. Of these, Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, Shanxi and Xinjiang ranked in the top four occupying 89.0% of the total mining site. (3) China has cumulatively disturbed 545.84 km 2 and reclaimed 169.41 km 2 including more comprehensive human activities. In the last 12 years, large-scale mining and reclamation have accounted for 51.63% and 75.17% of the cumulative area, respectively. (4) Generally, reclamation in China can be completed within four years. In contrast, reclamation time intervals and the proportion of reclamation varied widely between mining areas. Clearly, this study provides the most accurate data on surface coal mining disturbances in China, which will be beneficial for future studies in spatial geography related to mining. It also includes more policies and management creation for mines.

The soil freeze/thaw (FT) state has emerged as a critical role in the ecosystem, hydrological, and biogeochemical processes, but obtaining representative soil FT state datasets with a long time sequence, fine spatial resolution, and high accuracy remains challenging. Therefore, we propose a decision-level spatiotemporal data fusion algorithm based on Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory networks (ConvLSTM) to expand the SMAP-enhanced L3 landscape freeze/thaw product (SMAP_E_FT) temporally. In the algorithm, the Freeze/Thaw Earth System Data Record product (ESDR_FT) is sucked in the ConvLSTM and fused with SMAP_E_FT at the decision level. Eight predictor datasets, i.e., soil temperature, snow depth, soil moisture, precipitation, terrain complexity index, area of open water data, latitude and longitude, are used to train the ConvLSTM. Direct validation using six dense observation networks located in the Genhe, Maqu, Naqu, Pali, Saihanba, and Shandian river shows that the fusion product (ConvLSTM_FT) effectively absorbs the high accuracy characteristics of ESDR_FT and expands SMAP_E_FT with an overall average improvement of 2.44% relative to SMAP_E_FT, especially in frozen seasons (averagely improved by 7.03%). The result from indirect validation based on categorical triple collocation also shows that ConvLSTM_FT performs stable regardless of land cover types, climate types, and terrain complexity. The findings, drawn from preliminary analyses on ConvLSTM_FT from 1980 to 2020 over China, suggest that with global warming, most parts of China suffer from different degrees of shortening of the frozen period. Moreover, in the Qinghai-Tibet region, the higher the permafrost thermal stability, the faster the degradation rate.

Quantitatively evaluating the ecological environment impacts of vegetation destruction due to open-pit mining activities is vital for enhancing the green mining standard and cost management capabilities of mining enter-prises. Based on the Landsat time series, this study proposes an ecological environment impact assessment and quantitative characterization method for vegetation destruction in mining areas resulting from open-pit mining activities. First, the modified normalized difference water index and the normalized difference vegetation index time series data were calculated. The water body thresholds and the fraction of vegetation coverage were ascertained using the K-means clustering algorithm and the dimidiate pixel model, respectively, to determine the area of direct vegetation destruction in mining areas. Second, utilizing the Theil-Sen Median trend analysis and the Mann-Kendall test, the indirect impact area of vegetation in the mining region was identified. Lastly, by integrating vegetation's net primary productivity with the Chinese Emission Allowance price index, the total carbon emission cost of vegetation destruction due to mining activities over 20 years was calculated to be about 2.122 million yuan. The findings indicated that the ecological environmental impact of open-pit mining activities on vegetation destruction cannot be ignored. From 2000 to 2020, open-pit mining at the Wulishan limestone mine in Anhui Province, China, increased the area of direct vegetation destruction by 9.072 x 105 m2, and the indirect impact area on vegetation was 7.371 x 105 m2. The carbon emission cost of vegetation destruction in the direct destruction area was about 104,000 yuan per year, and the carbon emission cost of vegetation damage in the indirect impact area was approximately 2,082.53 yuan per year. This research provides a scientific foun-dation for ecological environmental protection, regulations, green mining, and cost management for mining enterprises, promoting the harmonious progress of both the economy and environmental protection.

The rapid decline in groundwater around the world poses a significant challenge to sustainable agriculture. To address this issue, agricultural managed aquifer recharge (Ag-MAR) is proposed to recharge the aquifer by artificially flooding agricultural lands using surface water. Ag-MAR requires a carefully selected flooding schedule to avoid affecting the oxygen absorption of crop roots. However, current Ag-MAR scheduling does not take into account complex environmental factors such as weather and soil oxygen, resulting in crop damage and insufficient recharging amounts. This paper proposes MARLP, the first end-to-end data-driven control system for Ag-MAR. We first formulate Ag-MAR as an optimization problem. To that end, we analyze four-year in-field datasets, which reveal the multi-periodicity feature of the soil oxygen level trends and the opportunity to use external weather forecasts and flooding proposals as exogenous clues for soil oxygen prediction. Then, we design a two-stage forecasting framework. In the first stage, it extracts both the cross-variate dependency and the periodic patterns from historical data to conduct preliminary forecasting. In the second stage, it uses weather-soil and flooding-soil causality to facilitate an accurate prediction of soil oxygen levels. Finally, we conduct model predictive control (MPC) for Ag-MAR flooding. To address the challenge of large action spaces, we devise a heuristic planning module to reduce the number of flooding proposals to enable the search for optimal solutions. Real-world experiments show that MARLP reduces the oxygen deficit ratio by 86.8% while improving the recharging amount in unit time by 35.8%, compared with the previous four years.

Permafrost is a sub-ground phenomenon and therefore cannot be directly observed from space. It is an Essential Climate Variable and associated with climate tipping points. Multi-annual time series of permafrost ground temperatures can be, however, derived through modelling of the heat transfer between atmosphere and ground using landsurface temperature, snow- and landcover observations from space. Results show that the northern hemisphere permafrost ground temperatures have increased on average by about one degree Celsius since 2000. This is in line with trends of permafrost proxies observable from space: surface water extent has been decreasing across the Arctic; the landsurface is subsiding continuously in some regions indicating ground ice melt; hot summers triggered increased subsidence as well as thaw slumps; rock glaciers are accelerating in some mountain regions. The applicability of satellite data for permafrost proxy monitoring has been demonstrated mostly on a local to regional scale only. There is still a lack of consistency of acquisitions and of very high spatial resolution observations. Both are needed for implementation of circumpolar monitoring of lowland permafrost. In order to quantify the impacts of permafrost thaw on the carbon cycle, advancement in wetland and atmospheric greenhouse gas concentration monitoring from space is needed.

Permafrost in Northeastern China has significantly degraded due to global warming, deforestation and urbani-zation in the last few decades. The frost heave and thaw subsidence induced by freeze-thaw cycles of deep seasonal frozen ground have caused serious damage to infrastructures. The Shiwei-Labudalin (Shi-La) Highway is an important infrastructure connecting Shiwei town and Labudalin town of Argun city, Inner Mongolia, which passes through the areas covered by deep seasonal frozen ground or isolated patchy permafrost. In this paper, we mapped the long-term linear displacement trend and amplitude of seasonal displacement of the Shi-La Highway and its nearby areas, with an ascending Sentinel-1 dataset acquired from September 2016 to April 2020. Seasonal displacement amplitudes of 5-20 mm are widely detected in low-lying areas (e.g., the basin of the Gen and Derbugan rivers). The time lags between frozen ground displacement and temperature variations generally range from 10 to 80 days while larger values of 100-120 days caused by soil moisture or land cover difference are also observed. Linear creep displacement rates greater than-20 mm/yr are detected on mountainous slopes and sections of the Shi-La Highway in the line-of-sight (LOS) direction. Our results provide a method for evaluating highway stability in cold regions, which is helpful to highway route selection and design in Northeastern China.

The prospect of precipitation is of great significance to the distribution of industry and agriculture in Northwest China. The cycle characteristics of temperature and precipitation in the Qilian Mountains were identified by complex Morlet wavelet analysis and were simulated with sine functions. The results indicate that the main cycle of 200 years modulates the variations of temperature and precipitation over the past 2000 years and that cycle simulations fluctuate around the long-term trend. The temperature in the Qilian Mountains exhibits an obvious upward trend during the period 1570-1990 AD, while the precipitation trend shows a slight increase. The wet-island moisture pattern of the Qilian Mountains may be responsible for this. The moisture of the Qilian Mountains is principally sourced from the evapotranspiration of adjacent arid and semi-arid areas and is controlled by regional climate. The precipitation is close to the relative maximum and is at the positive phase of main cycle. It may not be beyond 400 mm in the next 200-year cycle, and the increment of precipitation might result from regional climate change.