共检索到 3657

The Tibetan Plateau (TP), often referred to as the 'Asian Water Tower', plays a critical role in regulating the hydrological cycle and influencing global climate patterns. Its unique topography and climatic conditions result in pronounced seasonal freeze-thaw (FT) dynamics of the land surface, which are critical for understanding permafrost ecosystem responses to climate change. However, existing studies on FT dynamics over the TP are limited by either short observational periods or deficiency in accuracy, failing to capture the long-term FT processes comprehensively. This study presents a novel satellite-based approach for monitoring the FT dynamics over the TP from 1979 to 2022, utilizing passive microwave observations. We developed a new algorithm that integrates discriminant function algorithm (DFA) with a seasonal threshold algorithm (STA), employing the freeze-thaw index (FTI) as the classification variable to determine optimal FT thresholds. The strong performance of the algorithm was confirmed by in-situ validation, with an overall accuracy of 91.46%, a Kappa coefficient of 0.83, and an F1-score of 0.92, outperforming other remote sensing-derived FT products such as SMAP (OA = 89.44%, Kappa = 0.79, F1 = 0.89). Results reveal significant changes in surface freeze-thaw dynamics over the past four decades. Between 1988-2022, frozen days exhibited a significant decreasing trend of -0.19 daysyear(-)(1), primarily attributed to the delayed freeze onset (0.19 daysyear(-)(1)), while thaw onset showed no significant trend. Spatially, permafrost regions experienced a more pronounced decrease in frozen days and earlier thaw onset compared to seasonally frozen regions. Moreover, marked interannual trend differences in FT processes were observed across elevation gradients, with higher elevations showing more negative trends in frozen days and thaw onset. This study provides a reliable and up-to-date analysis of surface FT process changes over the TP, informed by long-term satellite-based observational perspectives. These analyses revealed marked spatial heterogeneity in surface FT dynamics across the TP region, underscoring the impacts of climate change on the cryosphere and hydrology.

期刊论文 2026-12-31 DOI: 10.1080/15481603.2026.2619201 ISSN: 1548-1603

Climate warming has impacted the sustainability of freshwater supply in the global water tower unit (WTU) zone. The rainfall infiltration process, a key component of WTUs supply, is affected by freeze-thaw cycles, yet it remains uncertain whether it has undergone corresponding changes. We propose a temperature-mediated infiltration model considering changes in soil water holding, water potential, and hydraulic conductivity due to varying degrees of freezing under negative temperature. Using this model, we calculate the infiltration of 78 WTUs globally from 1980 to 2023. Our results indicate that global WTUs have a multi-year average infiltration of 26 similar to 2359 mm/year. Notably, WTUs in the key latitudinal zone (24 degrees S-42 degrees N) contribute 54 % of the total infiltration volume, showing expanding differences in infiltration characteristics compared to other regions. While rainfall primarily influences infiltration and infiltration capacity, soil temperature and initial soil water content also significantly impact these characteristics. Enhanced infiltration capacity promotes vegetation growth, though the relationship is not linear. Variations in infiltration characteristics threaten the water resource buffering and the stability of downstream living ecological water supply of WTUs. This study provides crucial references for the integrated management of water resources and ecological conservation amid changing infiltration characteristics.

期刊论文 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.134712 ISSN: 0022-1694

Both freeze-thaw cycles and vegetation cover changes significantly influence slope runoff and sediment yield in permafrost regions. Nevertheless, their synergistic mechanisms remain inadequately quantified and poorly understood. Through simulated rainfall experiments conducted on slopes in the source region of the Yangtze River, this study investigated the impacts of vegetation cover variation combined with soil freeze-thaw processes on runoff and sediment yield from typical alpine meadows and alpine steppes. The results indicate that: (1) The three factors of vegetation type and coverage, as well as rainfall intensity, jointly shape the relationship between precipitation runoff and sediment. Alpine meadows showed stronger erosion resistance than alpine steppes. (2) The freeze-thaw process of soil dominated the runoff and sediment generation: Runoff volume across varying vegetation coverage followed the order: autumn freezing period > spring thawing period > summer thawed period. However, sediment yield was highest during the spring thawing period, followed by the autumn freezing period and summer thawed period. (3) For higher vegetation coverage, freeze-thaw effects had a greater impact on runoff than on sediment yield; on the contrary, under low-coverage vegetation, the freeze-thaw process influenced sediment yield more than runoff; These findings provide theoretical guidance for achieving integrated soil erosion regulation goals in alpine grassland ecosystems within the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau under climate change.

期刊论文 2026-01-19 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.70407 ISSN: 0885-6087

This study assesses the stability of the Bei'an-Hei'he Highway (BHH), located near the southern limit of latitudinal permafrost in the Xiao Xing'anling Mountains, Northeast China, where permafrost degradation is intensifying under combined climatic and anthropogenic influences. Freeze-thaw-induced ground deformation and related periglacial hazards remain poorly quantified, limiting regional infrastructure resilience. We developed an integrated framework that fuses multi-source InSAR (ALOS, Sentinel-1, ALOS-2), unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) photogrammetry, electrical resistivity tomography (ERT), and theoretical modeling to characterize cumulative deformation, evaluate present stability, and project future dynamics. Results reveal long-term deformation rates from -35 to +40 mm/yr within a 1-km buffer on each side of the BHH, with seasonal amplitudes up to 11 mm. Sentinel-1, with its 12-day revisit cycle, demonstrated superior capability for monitoring the Xing'an permafrost. Deformation patterns were primarily controlled by air temperature, while precipitation and the topographic wetness index enhanced spatial heterogeneity through thermo-hydrological coupling. Wavelet analysis identified a 334-day deformation cycle, lagging climate forcing by similar to 107 days due to the insulating effects of peat. Early-warning analysis classified 4.99 % of the highway length as high-risk (subsidence 10.91 mm/yr). The InSAR-based landslide prediction model achieved high accuracy (Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) Curve, or AUC = 0.9486), validated through field surveys of subsidence, cracking, and slow-moving failures. The proposed 'past-present-future' framework demonstrates the potential of multi-sensor integration for permafrost monitoring and provides a transferable approach for assessing infrastructure stability in cold regions.

期刊论文 2026-01-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.rse.2025.115143 ISSN: 0034-4257

Here, we present the result of different models for active layer thickness (ALT) in an area of the Italian Central Alps where a few information about the ALT is present. Looking at a particular warm year (2018), we improved PERMACLIM, a model used to calculate the Ground Surface Temperature (GST) and applied two different versions of Stefan's equation to model the ALT. PERMACLIM was updated refining the temporal basis (daily respect the monthly means) of the air temperature and the snow cover. PERMACLIM was updated also to minimize the bias of the snow cover in summer months using the PlanetScope images. Moreover, the contribution of the solar radiation was added to the air temperature to improve the summer GST. The modelled GST showed a good calibration and, among the two versions of Stefan's equation, the first (ALT1) indicates a maximum active layer thickness of 7.5 m and showed a better accuracy with R2 of 0.93 and RMSE of 0.32 m. The model underlined also the importance of better definition of the thermal conductivity of the ground that can strongly influence the ALT.

期刊论文 2026-01-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.coldregions.2025.104762 ISSN: 0165-232X

Ground ice, cryostratigraphical and sediment analyses have been done on samples from 16 boreholes covering the different landforms in the lower part of the valley Longyeardalen, where the largest settlement in Svalbard, Longyearbyen, is located. This allows the production of the first ever top 1 m permafrost ice content map showing the spatial distribution of ground ice (excess ice content) for the Longyearbyen area based on the collected ground ice data and the quaternary geology map of the valley. The valley was infilled since deglaciation with up to 45 m of mainly alluvial sediment and marine mud, whereas colluvial and till deposits with thicknesses from less than 1 m to more than 7 m are dominating the hillsides surrounding the valley. Rock glaciers and ice cored moraines are the landforms with the highest ice content, with assumed over 20% excess ice in the top metre of permafrost. Till and solifluction material has a medium ice content with 10%-20% excess ice content, whereas colluvial deposits have a low ice content with 5%-10% excess ice content. These landforms all have an active layer thickness between 1.6 and 2.2 m. Alluvial deposits in the valley floor has the lowest ice content with 0%-2% excess ice content. Pore ice, suspended ice and reticulate cryostructures dominates the ground ice types, with layered, lenticular and porphyritic cryostructures also present. Marine sediments are widespread and only found in the lower parts of the valley beneath the marine limit. These findings are important to understand and to be prepared for increased landslide risk that is expected due climate warming thawing the top of permafrost and bringing more rainfall in the near future.

期刊论文 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1002/ppp.70027 ISSN: 1045-6740

Biomass burning is a major source of carbonaceous aerosols that significantly influences the Earth's radiation balance. However, the spectral light absorption properties of biomass burning aerosols (BBAs), particularly the contribution of brown carbon (BrC), remain poorly constrained due to reliance on laboratory measurements that may not accurately represent real-world atmospheric conditions. To address this limitation, we developed an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) based-platform for direct in-situ measurements of BBAs in the ambient atmosphere over the rural North China Plain. This approach reduces biases inherent to laboratory chamber experiments and enables a more realistic characterization of BBAs absorption properties. Our measurements revealed that the absorption & Aring;ngstr & ouml;m exponent (AAE) for typical residential biomass burning was 3.70 +/- 0.04 under smoldering conditions and 1.50 +/- 0.08 under flaming conditions. Variations in AAE were driven primarily by combustion conditions and smoke humidity rather than fuel type. Additionally, field-observed OC/EC ratios were up to ten times higher than those reported in laboratory chamber studies, resulting in systematically lower mass absorption cross-sections. This finding suggests that the BBAs light absorption and radiative forcing estimates in the North China Plain may be systematically overestimated by chamber-based studies. Notably, under smoldering conditions, BrC absorption at 375 nm was up to 6.6 times greater than that of black carbon (BC) once mass emissions are considered, emphasizing that strategies aiming at reducing smoldering combustion could be particularly effective in mitigating the ultraviolet radiative effects of BBAs. Our results demonstrate that ambient atmospheric measurements are essential for accurately constraining BBAs absorption properties and their climate impacts.

期刊论文 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11430-025-1781-0 ISSN: 1674-7313

The changing Arctic climate is affecting groundwater flow and storage in supra-permafrost aquifers due to groundwater recharge changes and thaw-driven alterations to aquifer properties and connectivity. Changes to shallow subsurface hydrological processes can drive extensive ecological and biogeochemical changes in addition to potential surface hydrologic regime shifts. This study uses a pan-Arctic geospatial approach to classify shallow, unconfined Arctic aquifers (supra-permafrost aquifers) as topography-limited (TL) (characterized by low permeability, wet climate, and/or low slopes) or recharge-limited (high permeability, dry climate and/or steep slopes) based on the water table ratio framework. Under current conditions, the continuous and discontinuous permafrost zones were determined to be predominantly (65%) TL, with an average net decrease of 5.6% by the year 2100 under RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 conditions. This apparent stability masks local-scale heterogeneity, with change in aquifer function projected at dispersed locations throughout the Arctic, and in clustered hot spots in Siberia and the central Canadian Arctic. Coastal zones around the Arctic are more TL (94%) compared to the overall average, leaving them especially vulnerable to ocean-driven impacts on groundwater such as subsurface seawater intrusion or groundwater flooding. Arctic coasts in Siberia and eastern Canada are also particularly susceptible to water table rise due to high relative sea-level rise which may exceed the active layer thickness and result in substantive changes to saturation. Classification results are sensitive to input values, particularly hydraulic conductivity, which remains a source of uncertainty in the analysis. Despite the sparsity of Arctic data, the available open-source datasets provide valuable insight into broad spatiotemporal trends in aquifer function and highlight particularly vulnerable regions and geographic areas where uncertainty should drive additional data collection and study. These results provide new context for conceptualizing changes to shallow Arctic aquifers as the climate evolves in the 21st century.

期刊论文 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ae358e ISSN: 1748-9326

An anomalous warm weather event in the Antarctic McMurdo Dry Valleys on 18 March 2022 created an opportunity to characterize soil biota communities most sensitive to freeze-thaw stress. This event caused unseasonal melt within Taylor Valley, activating stream water and microbial mats around Canada Stream. Liquid water availability in this polar desert is a driver of soil biota distribution and activity. Because climate change impacts hydrological regimes, we aimed to determine the effect on soil communities. We sampled soils identified from this event that experienced thaw, nearby hyper-arid areas, and wetted areas that did not experience thaw to compare soil bacterial and invertebrate communities. Areas that exhibited evidence of freeze-thaw supported the highest live and dead nematode counts and were composed of soil taxa from hyper-arid landscapes and wetted areas. They received water inputs from snowpacks, hyporheic water, or glacial melt, contributing to community differences associated with organic matter and salinity gradients. Inundated soils had higher organic matter and lower conductivity (p < .02) and hosted the most diverse microbial and invertebrate communities on average. Our findings suggest that as liquid water becomes more available under predicted climate change, soil communities adapted to the hyper-arid landscape will shift toward diverse, wetted soil communities.

期刊论文 2025-12-31 DOI: 10.1080/15230430.2025.2485283 ISSN: 1523-0430

To address the engineering problems of road subsidence and subgrade instability in aeolian soil under traffic loads, the aeolian soil was improved with rubber particles and cement. Uniaxial compression tests and Digital speckle correlation method (DSCM) were conducted on rubber particles-cement improved soil (RP-CIS) with different mixing ratios using the WDW-100 universal testing machine. The microcrack and force chain evolution in samples were analysed using PFC2D. The results showed that: (1) The incorporation of rubber particles and cement enhanced the strength of the samples. When the rubber particles content was 1% and the cement content was 5%, the uniaxial compressive strength of the RP-CIS reached its maximum. Based on the experimental results, a power function model was established to predict the uniaxial compressive strength of RP-CIS; (2) The deformation of the samples remains stable during the compaction stage, with cracks gradually developing and penetrating, eventually entering the shear failure stage; (3) The crack and failure modes simulated by PFC2D are consistent with the DSCM test. The development of microcracks and the contact force between particles during the loading are described from a microscopic perspective. The research findings provide scientific support for subgrade soil improvement and disaster prevention in subgrade engineering.

期刊论文 2025-12-31 DOI: 10.1080/10298436.2025.2496332 ISSN: 1029-8436
  • 首页
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • 末页
  • 跳转
当前展示1-10条  共3657条,366页