Drought-related forest growth declines are observed globally in main forest types, especially with repeatedly hot droughts. Therefore, quantifying forest resilience and identifying the factors driving resilience in response to extreme drought with the consideration of atmospheric CO2 fertilization is crucial for the accurate assessment of forest dynamics under current climate change, particularly for the widespread and climate-sensitive spruce forests in the arid Tianshan Mountains, China. Here, we explored the growth response of Schrenk spruce (Picea schrenkiana) to six extreme drought events since 1900, and investigated how tree resilience in pure stands is related to local drought intensity, cambial age (CA), and intrinsic water-use efficiency (iWUE). Specifically, we found that spruce trees had a mean resistance (Rt) value of less than 1, with iWUE contributing less to Rt variation. The results are in agreement with the drought-induced limitations on tree growth in response to increasing CO2, in spite of rising iWUE trends. However, increased iWUE has significant and positive impacts on the recovery (17%) and resilience (15%) of trees, suggesting that increased iWUE enhances the restoration of Schrenk spruce growth after extreme drought events. The growth resilience indices of Schrenk spruce showed that juvenile and adult trees exhibit different strategies to mitigate the drought influences. This study indicated that tree age, climate conditions, and variation in iWUE should be considered simultaneously in drought resilience evaluations to assess forest dynamics objectively in relation to climate change (i.e., drought) and propose appropriate forest management strategies.

Permafrost play an important role in regulating global climate system. We analyzed the gross primary productivity (GPP), net primary productivity (NPP), and evapotranspiration (ET) derived from MODIS and three earth system models participated in the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) in the Asian permafrost region. The water use efficiency (WUE) was further computed. The simulated GPP, NPP, and ET show slightly increasing trends during historical period (19002014) and strong increasing trends in projection period (20152100), and projected impacts of climate change on all variables are greater under high-emission scenarios than low-emission scenarios. Further analysis revealed higher increases in GPP and NPP than that of ET, indicating that vegetation carbon sequestration governs the growing WUE under historical and projected periods in this region. The GPP, NPP and ET showed higher changing rates in western, central and southeast areas of this region, and WUE (WUEGPP, and WUENPP) shows the similar spatial pattern. Compared to MODIS-derived GPP, NPP, and ET during 20002014, Earth system models yield the best estimates for NPP, while slight underestimations for GPP and ET, and thus slight overestimations for WUEGPP and WUENPP. This study highlights the predominant role of vegetation activity in regulating regional WUE in Asian permafrost region under future climate change. Vegetation domination of the growing water use efficiency implies that the permafrost region may continue acting efficiently in sequestrating atmospheric carbon in terms of water consumption throughout the 21st century.