Permafrost, widely distributed in the Northern Hemisphere, plays a vital role in regulating heat and moisture cycles within ecosystems. In the last four decades, due to global warming, permafrost degradation has accelerated significantly in high latitudes and altitudes. However, the impact of permafrost degradation on vegetation remains poorly understood to date. Based on active layer thickness (ALT) monitoring data, meteorological data and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) data, we found that most ALT-monitored sites in the Northern Hemisphere show an increasing trend in NDVI and ALT. This suggests an overall increase in NDVI from 1980 to 2021 while permafrost degradation has been occurring. Permafrost degradation positively influences NDVI growth, with the intensity of the effects varying across land cover types and permafrost regions. Furthermore, based on Mann-Kendall trend test, we detected abrupt changes in NDVI and environmental factors, further confirming that there is a strong consistency between the abrupt changes of ALT and NDVI, and the consistency between the abrupt change events of ALT and NDVI is stronger than that of air temperature and precipitation. These findings work toward a better comprehending of permafrost effects on vegetation growth in the context of climate change. Our research focuses on the influence of permafrost degradation on vegetation in high-latitude and high-altitude regions of the Northern Hemisphere. By analyzing permafrost monitoring and vegetation data, we have observed a widespread occurrence of permafrost degradation and vegetation greening in recent years across the Northern Hemisphere. Our analysis has revealed a strong connection between permafrost degradation and vegetation greening in permafrost areas, and the impact varies with different vegetation and permafrost types. In addition, we further investigated the consistency of abrupt changes in the vegetation growth with various environmental factors. It can be seen that despite the significant influence of air temperature changes on vegetation growth in permafrost regions of the Northern Hemisphere, the abrupt change of vegetation growth is consistent with the abrupt change in the process of permafrost degradation, indicating that vegetation growth displays a heightened sensitivity to permafrost degradation. These findings provide valuable insights into the ecological consequences of permafrost changes in high-latitude and high-altitude areas under the influence of climate change. Vegetation in the Northern Hemisphere shows a greening trend, and permafrost shows a degradation trend Permafrost degradation positively influences vegetation growth, with the intensity of the effects varying by vegetation and permafrost types Abrupt changes in vegetation growth are more consistent with abrupt permafrost degradation than with meteorological factors
A climate transition towards warm-wet conditions in Northwest China has drawn much attention. With continuous climate change and universal glacier degradation, increasing water-related hazards and vulnerability have become one of the important problems facing the Tarim Basin. However, the impacts of the climate transition on streamflow abrupt change and extreme hydrological events were less discussed, especially in glacial basins. In the present study, the discharge datasets in four glacial basins of Tarim Basin from 1979 to 2018 were constructed using the GRU-GSWAT thorn model first. The differences in streamflow characteristics, the shift of hydrological extreme pattern, and potential changes of the controlling factors before and after the abrupt changes were investigated. The results indicated that the abrupt change point (ACP) in streamflow occurred in 2000 in the Qarqan River Basin, 2002 in the Weigan River Basin, and 1994 in the Aksu River Basin and the Yarkant River Basin. A general decrease in streamflow before the ACP has shifted to a notable upward trend in the Qarqan River Basin and the Aksu River Basin, while minor upward fluctuations were observed in other basins. Moreover, the hydrological characteristics in extreme events vary dramatically before and after the ACPs, characterized by a pronouncing shift from drought-dominant pattern to wet events dominated pattern. The driven climate factors have been altered after the ACPs with notable spatial heterogeneity, in which temperature remained as the dominant role in meltwater-dominated basins while the influence of precipitation has increased after the ACPs, whereas the sensitivity of temperature on streamflow change has been enhanced in basins dominated by precipitation such as the Qarqan River Basin. Owing to the evident warming-wetting trend and glacier compensation effect, both the inter-annual and intra-annual streamflow fluctuations can be efficiently smoothed in basins with a high glacier area ratio (GAR). These findings provide a further understanding of the abrupt change in streamflow under the exacerbated climate and glacier change in mountainous arid regions.
Soil moisture (SM) is a key factor in the exchanging process of the hydrological cycle, which is rather difficult to be directly observed. In situ measurements on SM, however, are subjected to the point scales. Use of land surface models has been a promising way to explore SM variations, especially for poorly gauged high mountain regions such as the Yarlung Zangbo River (YZR) basin located in Southeast Tibetan Plateau. This study made an attempt to investigate the spatiotemporal variations of SM and discuss hydro-meteorological factors impacting SM evolution based on the Global Land Data Assimilation Systems (GLDAS) outputs during the period 1970-2009. Results show that (a) GLDAS data sets have high agreement and low bias with in situ measurements and consistent spatial distribution with ERA reanalysis data sets; (b) an abrupt change of SM is detected in 1992 and a significantly decreasing trend happens during 1970-2009 and 1993-2009; (c) precipitation is the dominant climatic factor controlling SM during the period 1970-2009, whereas surface air temperature is the critical factor for the significant change of SM. Owing to the significant increasing of surface air temperature since 1992, its impact on SM increased by similar to 91% than that before 1992. Evapotranspiration (ET) and snow water equivalent (SWE) are also taken into consideration, showing relatively weak influence on SM, which may be due to the dynamic process of coupled SM-ET or low snow cover area fraction across the YZR basin. Findings in this study have important implications for SM variations in poorly gauged high mountain regions which may largely influences downstream water availability.