共检索到 13

In the summer of 2022, a record-breaking heatwave and drought event occurred in the Yangtze River (YR) Basin of China, causing great damage to the society and ecosystem. However, the role of land-atmosphere (LA) interactions in driving and reinforcing this event has not been fully studied. In this study, using air temperature, soil moisture (SM), surface sensible heat fluxes, surface latent heat fluxes and radiation fluxes data from ERA5, we analyze the process of this event and reveal the contribution of the LA feedbacks. The results indicate that during the 2022 YR Basin heatwave and drought event, the regional average maximum air temperature and SM reached unprecedented levels of 2.7 standard deviations (SDs) and -3.5 SDs, respectively, compared to the climatology from 1980 to 2021. In August 2022, SM rapidly declined, pushing the region into a rare dry state. The dry soil increased the sensitivity of daily maximum air temperature to SM, intensifying the occurrence of heatwaves in the area. Simultaneously, increased downward solar radiation reached surface and most of that converted to sensible heat fluxes due to low soil moisture limitations leading to elevated air temperatures. While similar events have been reported multiple times in regions like Europe and western North America, their occurrence in the moist region of the YR Basin of China is exceptionally rare, which suggests an increasing likelihood of such extreme events in this region. Land-atmosphere interactions play an increasingly crucial role in exacerbating extreme conditions, and therefore, more studies such as this are needed for improving predictability of extreme events on a sub-seasonal time scale.

期刊论文 2025-02-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110321 ISSN: 0168-1923

Water temperature extremes can pose serious threats to the aquatic ecosystems of mountain rivers. These rivers are influenced by snow and glaciermelt, which change with climate. As a result, the frequency and severity of water temperature extremes may change. While previous studies have documented changes in non-extreme water temperature, it is yet unclear how extreme water temperatures change in a warming climate and how their hydro-meteorological drivers differ from those of non-extremes. This study aims to assess temporal changes and spatial variability in water temperature extremes and enhance our understanding of the driving processes across European mountain rivers in the current climate, at both a regional and continental scale. First, we describe the characteristics of extreme events and explore their relationships with catchment characteristics. Second, we assess trends in water temperature extremes and compare them with trends in mean water temperature. Third, we use random forest models to identify the main driving processes of water temperature extremes. Last, we conduct a co-occurrence analysis to examine the relationship between water temperature extremes and hydro-climatic extremes. Our results show that mean water temperature has increased by +0.38 +/- 0.14 ${+}0.38\pm 0.14$degrees C per decade, leading to more extreme events at high elevations in spring and summer. While non-extreme water temperatures are mainly driven by air temperature, water temperature extremes are also importantly influenced by soil moisture, baseflow, and meltwater. Our study highlights the complexity of water temperature dynamics in mountain rivers at the regional and continental scale, especially during water temperature extremes.

期刊论文 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1029/2024WR037518 ISSN: 0043-1397

The purpose of this study was to investigate temperature and rainfall variations and their effects on the UNESCO World Heritage Sites of Konso cultural landscape, Ethiopia, using dense merged satellite-gauge-station rainfall data (1981-2020) with a spatial resolution of 4 km-by-4 km and observed maximum and min temperature data (1987-2020), together with qualitative data gathered from cultural leaders, local administrators and religious leaders. The Climate Data tool (CDT) software version 8 was used for rainfall- and temperature-data analysis. The results showed that the north and northeastern regions of Konso had significant increases in rainfall. However, it was highly variable and erratic, resulting in extreme droughts and floods. The study confirmed that there were significant (p < 0.05) increasing trends in the number of days with heavy rainfall, very-heavy rainfall days, and annual total wet-day rainfall (R10 mm, 20 mm, and PRCPTOT). The highest daily minimum temperature, lowest and highest daily maximum-temperature number of warm days and nights, and number of cold days and nights all showed significant rising trends. The increasing trends in rainfall and temperature extremes have resulted in flooding and warming of the study area, respectively. These have led to the destruction of terraces, soil erosion, loss of life and damage of properties, loss of grasses, food insecurity, migration, loss of biodiversity, and commodification of stones. The continuous decline in farmland productivity is affecting the livelihood and traditional ceremonies of the Konso people, which are helpful for the transfer of traditional resource-management knowledge to the next generation. It is therefore necessary to implement local-scale climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies in order to safeguard the Konso cultural landscapes as a worldwide cultural asset and to bolster the resilience of smallholder farmers.

期刊论文 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.3390/su16198442

Vegetation growth is adversely impacted by multiple climate extremes related to the water and thermal stress over the Tibetan Plateau (TP). However, it remains unknown at which stress level these climate extremes can trigger the abrupt shifts of vegetation response to climate extremes and result in the maximum vegetation response across TP. To fill this knowledge gap, we combined the hydrometeorological data and the satellite-derived vegetation index to detect two critical thresholds that determine the response of vegetation productivity to droughts, high-temperature extremes, and low-temperature extremes, respectively, during 2001-2018. Our results show that the response of vegetation productivity to droughts rapidly increases once crossing -1.41 +/- 0.6 standard deviation (sigma) below the normal conditions of soil moisture. When crossing -2.98 sigma +/- 0.9 sigma, vegetation productivity is maximum damaged by droughts. High-temperature extremes, which have the two thresholds of 1.34 sigma +/- 0.4 sigma and 2.31 sigma +/- 0.4 sigma over TP, are suggested to trigger the strong response of vegetation productivity at a milder stress level than low-temperature extremes (two thresholds: -1.44 sigma +/- 0.5 sigma and -2.53 sigma +/- 0.8 sigma). Moreover, we found the compounded effects of soil moisture deficit in reducing the threshold values of both high- and low-temperature extremes. Based on the derived thresholds of climate extremes that impact vegetation productivity, Earth System Models project that southwestern TP and part of the northeastern TP will become the hotspots with a high exposure risk to climate extremes by 2100. This study deciphers the high-impact extreme climates using two important thresholds across TP, which advances the understanding of the vegetation response to different climate extremes and provides a paradigm for assessing the impacts of climate extremes on regional ecosystems.

期刊论文 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1007/s11430-023-1262-y ISSN: 1674-7313

Hydroclimatic stresses can negatively impact crop production via water deficits (low soil water supply and high atmospheric demand) or surpluses (high soil water supply and low atmospheric demand). However, the impact of both stresses on crop yields at regional scales is not well understood. Here we quantified yield sensitivities and corresponding spatio-temporal yield losses of US rainfed maize, soybeans, sorghum, and spring wheat to hydroclimatic stresses by considering the joint impacts of root-zone soil moisture and atmospheric evaporative demand from 1981 to 2020. We show that crop yields can be reduced similarly by two major hydroclimatic hazards, which are defined as the most yield damaging conditions over time: 'Low Supply + High Demand' and 'High Supply + Low Demand'. However, more exposure to 'Low Supply + High Demand' hazard led to the largest annual yield losses (7%-17%) across all four crops over time. Modeled yield losses due to these hazards were significantly associated with crop insurance lost costs. The extent of yield losses varies considerably by crop and location, highlighting the need for crop-specific and regionally tailored adaptation strategies.

期刊论文 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad0c87 ISSN: 1748-9326

As an icon of anthropogenic climate change, alpine glaciers are highly sensitive to climate change. However, there remain research gaps regarding trends in climate extremes in glacierized regions and their relationship with local glacier mass balance. In this study, these re-lationships and their underlying links were explored in a typical glacierized region in the Eastern Tianshan Mountains, China, from 1959 to 2018. All warm extremes exhibited increasing trends that intensified dramatically from the 1990s. Meanwhile, decreasing trends were found for all cold extremes except for the temperatures of the coldest days and coldest nights. All of the precipitation extremes demonstrated increasing trends, except for consecutive dry days and consecutive wet days. Statistically significant positive/negative correlations were detected between glacier mass balance and six warm extremes (TN90p, TX90p, SU99p, TR95p, TXx, and TNx)/four cold extremes (TN10p, TX10p, FD0, and ID0). Simulation results showed that the impact of the intensity/frequency of the warm extremes (TN90p, TX90p, SU99p, and TR95p) on glacier ablation was remarkable and the effect of the cold extremes (FD0 and ID0) on accumulation was also significant. Additionally, the increases in the intensity and frequency of most climate extremes seemed more remarkable in glacierized regions than in non-glacierized regions. Hence, studies on glacier-climate interactions should focus greater attention on the impacts of climate extremes on glacier evolution.

期刊论文 2022-12-01 DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.accre.2022.10.006 ISSN: 1674-9278

In this study, the instability of extreme temperatures is defined as the degree of perturbation of the spatial and temporal distribution of extreme temperatures, which is to show the uncertainty of the intensity and occurrence of extreme temperatures in China. Based on identifying the extreme temperatures and by analyzing their variability, we refer to the entropy value in the entropy weight method to study the instability of extreme temperatures. The results show that TXx (annual maximum value of daily maximum temperature) and TNn (annual minimum value of daily minimum temperature) in China increased at 0.18 degrees C/10 year and 0.52 degrees C/10 year, respectively, from 1966 to 2015. The interannual data of TXx' occurrence (CTXx) and TNn' occurrence (CTNn), which are used to identify the timing of extreme temperatures, advance at 0.538 d/10 year and 1.02 d/10 year, respectively. In summary, extreme low-temperature changes are more sensitive to global warming. The results of extreme temperature instability show that the relative instability region of TXx is located in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River basin, and the relative instability region of TNn is concentrated in the Yangtze River, Yellow River, Langtang River source area and parts of Tibet. The relative instability region of CTXx instability is distributed between 105 degrees E and 120 degrees E south of the 30 degrees N latitude line, while the distribution of CTNn instability region is more scattered; the TXx's instability intensity is higher than TNn's, and CTXx's instability intensity is higher than CTNn's. We further investigate the factors affecting extreme climate instability. We also find that the increase in mean temperature and the change in the intensity of the El Nino phenomenon has significant effects on extreme temperature instability.

期刊论文 2022-10-01 DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/atmos13010019

On the Arctic Coastal Plain (ACP) in northern Alaska (USA), permafrost and abundant surface-water storage define watershed hydrological processes. In the last decades, the ACP landscape experienced extreme climate events and increased lake water withdrawal (LWW) for infrastructure construction, primarily ice roads and industrial operations. However, their potential (combined) effects on streamflow are relatively underexplored. Here, we applied the process-based, spatially distributed hydrological and thermal Water Balance Simulation Model (10 m spatial resolution) to the 30 km(2) Crea Creek watershed located on the ACP. The impacts of documented seasonal climate extremes and LWW were evaluated on seasonal runoff (May-August), including minimum 7-day mean flow (MQ7), the recovery time of MQ7 to pre-perturbation conditions, and the duration of streamflow conditions that prevents fish passage. Low-rainfall scenarios (21% of normal, one to three summers in a row) caused a larger reduction in MQ7 (-56% to -69%) than LWW alone (-44% to -58%). Decadal-long consecutive LWW under average climate conditions resulted in a new equilibrium in low flow and seasonal runoff after 3 years that included a disconnected stream network, a reduced watershed contributing area (54% of total watershed area), and limited fish passage of 20 days (vs. 6 days under control conditions) throughout summer. Our results highlight that, even under current average climatic conditions, LWW is not offset by same-year snowmelt as currently assumed in land management regulations. Effective land management would therefore benefit from considering the combined impact of climate change and industrial LWWs.

期刊论文 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1029/2022WR032119 ISSN: 0043-1397

The cryosphere is an important component of the global climate system. Cryospheric components are sensitive to climate warming, and changes in the cryosphere can lead to serious hazards to human society, while the comprehensive understanding of cryospheric hazards largely remains unknown. Here we summarized the hazards related to atmospheric, oceanic and land cryosphere. The different types of cryospheric hazards, including their phenomena, mechanisms and impacts were reviewed. Our results suggested that: 1) The recorded hazards from atmospheric cryosphere including frost, hail, freezing rain decreased or showed great spatial heterogeneities, while their future changes are difficult to predict, and the extreme cold events in winter may increase in the future; 2) Sea ice extent declines rapidly, and iceberg numbers will increase. The permafrost-dominated coastline erosion will be exacerbated by climate warming. Meanwhile, the sea level rise is expected to continue in the next decades; 3) The glacier collapse, glacial lake outbursts and paraglacial readjustments will increase in the future. Although the total area of snow cover will decrease, the heavy snow events, snow avalanches, and snowmelt floods will not decrease simultaneously. The permafrost-related rock and debris flow and thaw slump will also increase with permafrost degradation. Taken together, we concluded the cryosphere is shrinking, while cryospheric hazards will likely increase in a warming climate.

期刊论文 2022-07-01 DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2020.103500 ISSN: 0012-8252

With global warming, the probability of summer compound hot and dry extreme (CHDE) days, which are higher risk compared with single-factor extreme events, increases in some regions. However, there have been few studies on the winter precursor signals of such events. In this study, we found that summer CHDEs have generally increased in the last 20 years, with the increases in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River region and Southwest China being more than double those in other regions of China. The dominant mode of summer CHDEs in China is characterized by more hot-dry days in the Yangtze-Huaihe River Basin (YHRB). Importantly, we found that there is an obvious cross-seasonal relationship between the first mode of winter snow cover in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) and summer CHDEs in China. When the mode of winter snow cover in the NH is in a positive phase with a negative-phase Arctic Oscillation (AO), i.e., more snow cover in Europe, Northeast China, and the northern United States, and less snow cover in central Asia and the midlatitudes in winter, more CHDEs in China in the following summer. Compared with the signals from the AO, these signals from winter snow can be better stored and transmitted into summer through the snow, soil and ocean, inducing a northward shift of the upper-level westerly jet and strengthening of South Asia high. Through the strong dynamic forcing of negative vorticity advection with the change of westerly jet, the subsidence movement in the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) region is strengthened, resulting in the stable maintenance of the WPSH in the YHRB. Under the synergy of a remote mid- and high-latitude wave train in summer, which also relates closely to winter snow cover, more CHDEs ultimately occur in the YHRB of China.

期刊论文 2022-03-07 DOI: 10.3389/feart.2022.834284
  • 首页
  • 1
  • 2
  • 末页
  • 跳转
当前展示1-10条  共13条,2页