Drought may impact plant-soil biotic interactions in ways that modify aboveground herbivore performance, but the outcomes of such biotic interactions under future climate are not yet clear. We performed a growth chamber experiment to assess how long-term, drought-driven changes in belowground communities influence plant growth and herbivore performance using a plant-soil feedback experimental framework. We focussed on two common pasture legumes-lucerne, Medicago sativa L., and white clover, Trifolium repens L. (both Fabaceae)-and foliar herbivores-cotton bollworm, Helicoverpa armigera (H & uuml;bner) (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae), and two-spotted spider mite, Tetranychus urticae Koch (Acari: Tetranychidae). Soil was collected from a field facility where rainfall had been manipulated for 6 years, focussing on treatments representing ambient rainfall and prolonged drought (50% reduction relative to ambient), to consider the effects of biological legacies mediated by the prolonged drought. All soils were sterilized and re-inoculated to establish the respective home (i.e. where a given plant is cultivated in its own soil) and away (i.e. where a given plant is cultivated in another species' soil) treatments in addition to a sterile control. We found that the relative growth rate (RGR) and relative consumption of larvae were significantly lower on lucerne grown in soil with ambient rainfall legacies conditioned by white clover. Conversely, the RGR of insect larvae was lower on white clover grown in soil with prolonged drought legacies conditioned by lucerne. Two-spotted spider mite populations and area damage (mm2) were significantly reduced on white clover grown in lucerne-conditioned soil in drought legacies. The higher number of nodules found on white clover in lucerne-conditioned soil suggests that root-rhizobia associations may have reduced foliar herbivore performance. Our study provides evidence that foliar herbivores are affected by plant-soil biotic interactions and that prolonged drought may influence aboveground-belowground linkages with potential broader ecosystem impacts.
Globally, land subsidence (LS) often adversely impacts infrastructure, humans, and the environment. As climate change intensifies the terrestrial hydrologic cycle and severity of climate extremes, the interplay among extremes (e.g., floods, droughts, wildfires, etc.), LS, and their effects must be better understood since LS can alter the impacts of extreme events, and extreme events can drive LS. Furthermore, several processes causing subsidence (e.g., ice-rich permafrost degradation, oxidation of organic matter) have been shown to also release greenhouse gases, accelerating climate change. Our review aims to synthesize these complex relationships, including human activities contributing to LS, and to identify the causes and rates of subsidence across diverse landscapes. We primarily focus on the era of synthetic aperture radar (SAR), which has significantly contributed to advancements in our understanding of ground deformations around the world. Ultimately, we identify gaps and opportunities to aid LS monitoring, mitigation, and adaptation strategies and guide interdisciplinary efforts to further our process-based understanding of subsidence and associated climate feedbacks. We highlight the need to incorporate the interplay of extreme events, LS, and human activities into models, risk and vulnerability assessments, and management practices to develop improved mitigation and adaptation strategies as the global climate warms. Without consideration of such interplay and/or feedback loops, we may underestimate the enhancement of climate change and acceleration of LS across many regions, leaving communities unprepared for their ramifications. Proactive and interdisciplinary efforts should be leveraged to develop strategies and policies that mitigate or reverse anthropogenic LS and climate change impacts.
Termite mounds are keystone structures in African savannas, affecting multiple ecosystem processes. Despite the large size of termite mounds having the potential to modify conditions around them, patterns of mound-induced ecosystem effects have been assumed to be isotropic, with little attention given to how effects might vary around mounds. We measured soil nitrogen content, grass species composition, and mammalian grazing on and off termite mounds in the four cardinal directions, and across wet and dry seasons at three savanna sites varying in mean annual rainfall in South Africa's Kruger National Park. Evidence of directional effects (anisotropy) on ecosystem properties around termite mounds varied with site. Grass species composition differed between north- and south-facing slopes at the two drier sites where mounds were taller. However, differences in grazing extent and soil nitrogen content around mounds were only present at the intermediate rainfall site where mammalian herbivore biomass was highest, and mounds were of medium height. Our results suggest that termite mound effects display significant variation with direction, but that the emergence of directional effects is context dependent. Our results further suggest that such context-dependent directional effects can lead to positive feedback loops between termites, abiotic conditions, and mammalian herbivores.
The Paris Agreement calls for emissions reductions to limit climate change, but how will the carbon cycle change if it is successful? The land and oceans currently absorb roughly half of anthropogenic emissions, but this fraction will decline in the future. The amount of carbon that can be released before climate is mitigated depends on the amount of carbon the ocean and terrestrial ecosystems can absorb. Policy is based on model projections, but observations and theory suggest that climate effects emerging in today's climate will increase and carbon cycle tipping points may be crossed. Warming temperatures, drought, and a slowing growth rate of CO2 itself will reduce land and ocean sinks and create new sources, making carbon sequestration in forests, soils, and other land and aquatic vegetation more difficult. Observations, data-assimilative models, and prediction systems are needed for managing ongoing long-term changes to land and ocean systems after achieving net-zero emissions. International agreements call for stabilizing climate at 1.5 degrees above preindustrial, while the world is already seeing damaging extremes below that. If climate is stabilized near the 1.5 degrees target, the driving force for most sinks will slow, while feedbacks from the warmer climate will continue to cause sources. Once emissions are reduced to net zero, carbon cycle-climate feedbacks will require observations to support ongoing active management to maintain storage.
This study examines the Arctic surface air temperature response to regional aerosol emissions reductions using three fully coupled chemistry-climate models: National Center for Atmospheric Research-Community Earth System Model version 1, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory-Coupled Climate Model version 3 (GFDL-CM3) and Goddard Institute for Space Studies-ModelE version 2. Each of these models was used to perform a series of aerosol perturbation experiments, in which emissions of different aerosol types (sulfate, black carbon (BC), and organic carbon) in different northern mid-latitude source regions, and of biomass burning aerosol over South America and Africa, were substantially reduced or eliminated. We find that the Arctic warms in nearly every experiment, the only exceptions being the U.S. and Europe BC experiments in GFDL-CM3 in which there is a weak and insignificant cooling. The Arctic warming is generally larger than the global mean warming (i.e. Arctic amplification occurs), particularly during non-summer months. The models agree that changes in the poleward atmospheric moisture transport are the most important factor explaining the spread in Arctic warming across experiments: the largest warming tends to coincide with the largest increases in moisture transport into the Arctic. In contrast, there is an inconsistent relationship (correlation) across experiments between the local radiative forcing over the Arctic and the simulated Arctic warming, with this relationship being positive in one model (GFDL-CM3) and negative in the other two. Our results thus highlight the prominent role of poleward energy transport in driving Arctic warming and amplification, and suggest that the relative importance of poleward energy transport and local forcing/feedbacks is likely to be model dependent.
Understanding the carbon-water coupling over permafrost regions is essential to projecting global ecosystem carbon sequestration and water dynamics. Ecosystem water use efficiency (EWUE), defined as the ratio of gross primary productivity (GPP) and evapotranspiration (ET), reflects plant acclimation strategies with varying ecosystem functioning against environmental stress. Yet EWUE change and its potential drivers across the northern permafrost regions remain poorly quantified, hampering our understanding of permafrost carbon-climatefeedback. Here, we compared and analyzed the difference using satellite observations and process based models to estimate the spatio-temporal variations of EWUE in 1982-2018 over northern permafrost regions. Using flux measurements as truth data, satellite-derived EWUE was more reliable than model-based EWUE. Satellite-derived EWUE showed biome-dependent spatial patterns, with a steady temporal trend (0.01 g C mm-1 decade-1, P > 0.05) for spatially averaged EWUE over northern permafrost regions. Carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration and nitrogen deposition positively affected interannual variations of EWUE, while vapor pressure deficit and other climatic factors (i.e., temperature, precipitation, and radiation) negatively controlled EWUE. Compared to satellite-derived EWUE, we found that EWUEs derived from an ensemble of process-based carbon cycle models are overestimated in seven out of ten models, with an increasing trend of 0.11 g C mm-1 decade 1 (P < 0.001) for spatially averaged EWUE of the ensemble mean. The relationships between climatic factors and EWUE are partially misinterpreted in model estimates, especially with overstated CO2 sensitivity and the opposite temperature effect. The fluctuating sensitivities to climate over time and the diminishing effect of CO2 fertilization on gross primary productivity (GPP) may partially explain the discrepancy observed between satellite-derived and model-based estimates of EWUE. Thus, this study calls for caution concerning model-based EWUE and aids in understanding permafrost-climate feedbacks and projections of carbon and water cycles.
As the amplifier of global climate change, climate warming exerts an important impact on the freezing/thawing cycles of soil over the Tibetan Plateau, and it shapes the trend of permafrost degradation. Intensified frozen soil collapse causes severe effects on ecosystem water and energy balance as well as on carbon cycle. Previous studies have focused on the direct effects of climate change on permafrost degradation. However, there is also growing evidence showing vegetation growth can affect regional climate system, and consequently we hypothesize that vegetation autumn phenology (i.e., the end of the growing season, EOS) may influence the start date of frozen (SOF) through feedbacks to regional climates. Using satellite greenness data derived EOS and the microwave remote sensing generated SOFESDR (freeze-thaw Earth system data record) over 2001-2018, we showed a dominant-negative (13.1% vs. 0.9%) relationship between SOFESDR and EOS, suggesting an earlier SOFESDR with a delayed EOS. We found that biogeophysical indicators served as potential connections, including surface al-bedo, soil temperature, soil water content, and evapotranspiration, for the observed relationship. We therefore proposed a new site-level SOFf(EOS)xESDR algorithm based on the EOS-SOF relationship. With ground SOFALT observed from the active layer thickness at 63 sites over Tibetan Plateau, the new model provided significantly improved estimates of SOF with Pearson's correlation coefficient (R) of 0.84 and root mean square error (RMSE) of 7.63 days, comapred with current remote sensing-based SOF product (R = 0.26, RMSE = 22.60 days). We further proposed a look-up table approach to map the SOF over TP and found an overall earlier SOF (24.0 +/- 15.8) than current SOFESDR products. Therefore, our results identified a significant correlation between the autumn phenology and the SOF variability, highlighting the importance of feedbacks of autumn phenology on climate change.
This study employs a fully coupled meteorology-chemistry-snow model to investigate the impacts of light-absorbing particles (LAPs) on snow darkening in the Sierra Nevada. After comprehensive evaluation with spatially and temporally complete satellite retrievals, the model shows that LAPs in snow reduce snow albedo by 0.013 (0-0.045) in the Sierra Nevada during the ablation season (April-July), producing a midday mean radiative forcing of 4.5 W m(-2) which increases to 15-22 W m(-2) in July. LAPs in snow accelerate snow aging processes and reduce snow cover fraction, which doubles the albedo change and radiative forcing caused by LAPs. The impurity-induced snow darkening effects decrease snow water equivalent and snow depth by 20 and 70 mm in June in the Sierra Nevada bighorn sheep habitat. The earlier snowmelt reduces root-zone soil water content by 20%, deteriorating the forage productivity and playing a negative role in the survival of bighorn sheep.
Effects of permafrost degradation on carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) cycling on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP) have rarely been analyzed. This study used a revised process-based biogeochemical model to quantify the effects in the region during the 21st century. We found that permafrost degradation would expose 0.61 +/- 0.26 (mean +/- SD) and 1.50 +/- 0.15 Pg C of soil organic carbon under the representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5 and the RCP 8.5, respectively. Among them, more than 20% will be decomposed, enhancing heterotrophic respiration by 8.62 +/- 4.51 (RCP 4.5) and 33.66 +/- 14.03 (RCP 8.5) Tg C/yr in 2099. Deep soil N supply due to thawed permafrost is not accessible to plants, only stimulating net primary production by 7.15 +/- 4.83 (RCP 4.5) and 24.27 +/- 9.19 (RCP 8.5) Tg C/yr in 2099. As a result, the single effect of permafrost degradation would cumulatively weaken the regional C sink by 209.44 +/- 137.49 (RCP 4.5) and 371.06 +/- 151.70 (RCP 8.5) Tg C during 2020-2099. However, when factors of climate change, CO2 increasing and permafrost degradation are all considered, the permafrost region on the QTP would be a stronger C sink in the 21st century. Permafrost degradation has a greater influence on C balance of alpine meadows than alpine steppes on the QTP. The shallower active layer, higher soil C and N stocks, and wetter environment in alpine meadows are responsible for its stronger response to permafrost degradation. This study highlights that permafrost degradation could continue to release large amounts of C to the atmosphere irrespective of potentially more nitrogen available from deep soils.
High Arctic polar deserts cover 26% of the Arctic. Climate change is expected to increase cryoturbation in these polar deserts, including frost boils and diapirs. Diapirism-cryoturbic intrusion into the overlying horizon-creates subsurface nutrient patches with low biodegradability and is thought to regulate greenhouse gas emissions, including the potent nitrous oxide. Although nitrous oxide emissions have been observed in polar deserts at a rate comparable to vegetated tundra ecosystems, the underlying mechanism by which nitrous oxide is produced in these environments remains unclear. In this study, we investigated ammonia-oxidizing archaea, which were detected in a previous study, and used stable isotope techniques to characterize the pattern of nitrous oxide emissions from frost boils. Ammonia-oxidizing archaea would be tightly linked to nitrous oxide emissions under aerobic condition whereas low degradable diapiric nutrient would limit denitirification under wet conditions. We hypothesized that (1) diapirism (i.e. diapiric frost boil) would not primarily drive nitrous oxide emissions and therefore abundance of ammonia-oxidizing archaea would be linked to the increase in nitrous oxide emissions under dry conditions favouring nitrification, and (2) diapirism decreases nitrous oxide emissions relative to non-diapiric frost boil under wet conditions that favour denitrification because of the recalcitrant nature of diapiric organic carbon. We used soil samples collected from two High Arctic polar deserts (dolomite and granite) near Alexandra Fjord (78 degrees 51'N, 75 degrees 54'W), Ellesmere Island, Nunavut, Canada from July-august 2013. Ammonia-oxidizing archaea did not differ in abundance between diapiric and non-diapiric frost boils within the dolomitic desert; however, within the granitic desert amoA abundance was 22% higher in diapiric frost boils. In both deserts, the increased abundance of archaeal amoA genes was linked to increased nitrous oxide emissions under dry conditions. Under higher soil moisture conditions favouring denitrification, diapiric frost boils emit N2O with higher probability, but at a lower rate, than non-diapiric frost boils. For example, in the dolomitic desert, diaprism increased the probability of N2O emissions by 104% but decreased the LS mean value of the emission rate by 36%. Similarly, diapirism increased the emission probability by 26% but decreased the LS mean value by 68% within the granitic desert. Under wet conditions, site preference values suggested that fungal and bacterial denitrification were important nitrous oxide emission processes. Our study shows that diapirism is a key cryoturbation process for nitrous oxide emissions in polar deserts primarily through diapirism's alteration of emission probability and the magnitude of the emissions.