In order to explore the frost heave and thaw settlement characteristics of soil layers in the Sanya Estuary Channel Project, the frost heave rate and thaw settlement coefficient of gravel sand, fine sand, silty clay, and clay are obtained. The most unfavorable soil layers are then compared and analyzed. The variation law of frost heave and thaw settlement performance of the most unfavorable soil layer under different water content is studied. The results are as follows: (1) The freezing stage of the passage through the typical soil layer is divided into four stages: frost shrinkage, rapid frost heave, slow frost heave, and frost heave stability. The melting stage is divided into three stages: slow thaw settlement, rapid thaw settlement, and thaw settlement stability. (2) The most unfavorable soil layer in the typical soil layer of the Sanya Estuary Channel Project is silty clay, with a frost heave rate and thaw settlement coefficient of 4.51% and 5.88% at -28 degrees C. (3) The frost heave and thaw settlement performance of the most unfavorable soil layer is linearly related to water content. The larger the water content, the greater the frost heave rate and thaw settlement coefficient, and the more prone to damage.

The soil beneath buildings constructed in cold regions is affected by frost heave, causing the walls to crack and even the buildings to incline and collapse. Therefore, predicting the frost heave when subjected to overburden pressure is crucial for engineering buildings in cold areas. Utilizing the conservation equation of mass, Darcy's equation, and the assumption that the pore water pressure at the top of a frozen fringe, denoted as uw, during the quasi-steady state can be approximately estimated using the Clapeyron equation, a quasi-steady frost heave rate model considering the overburden pressure was proposed. This study considered the difference in pore water pressure within the frozen fringe, which causes water to move from the unfrozen zone to the ice lens, where it subsequently accumulates and freezes into ice. The pore water pressure at the bottom of the frozen fringe, denoted as uu, can be estimated using the soil water characteristic curve (SWCC). The thickness of the frozen fringe was determined using the freezing temperature, segregation temperature, and temperature gradient. The segregation temperature was determined using the two-point method. Additionally, the model suggested that, when uw = uu, the movement of water stopped, leading to the end of frost heave. To validate the proposed model, three existing frost-heaving experiments were analyzed. The findings demonstrated that the estimated rates of frost heave of the samples closely matched the experimental data. Additionally, external pressure delayed water migration. This study can offer theoretical support for building engineering in cold regions.