It is important to comprehend the evolution of drought characteristics and the relationships between different kinds of droughts for effective drought mitigation and early warnings. The study area was the Pearl River Basin, where spatiotemporal changes in the multiscale water balance and soil moisture at various depths were analyzed. The meteorological data used in this study were derived from the China Meteorological Forcing Dataset, while the soil moisture data were obtained from the ECMWF ERA5-Land reanalysis dataset. The Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and Standardized Soil Moisture Index (SSI) were applied to represent meteorological and agricultural droughts, respectively. By using the run theory for drought event identification, the characteristic values of drought events were analyzed. The correlation between the multiscale SPEI and SSI was examined to represent the propagation time from meteorological drought to agricultural drought. This study indicated that while the western part of the Pearl River Basin experienced a worsening atmospheric moisture deficit and the southern part had intensifying dry conditions for soil moisture, the rest of the basin remained relatively moist and stable. Soil conditions were moister in the deeper soil layers. The durations of agricultural droughts have generally been shorter than those of meteorological droughts over the past 40 years. Within the top three soil layers, the severity, duration, and frequency of drought events progressively increased, increased, and decreased, respectively, as soil depth increased. The propagation time scale from a meteorological drought to a four-layer agricultural drought was typically within 1-5 months. This study advanced existing research by systematically analyzing drought propagation times across soil depths and seasons in the Pearl River Basin. The methodology in this study is applicable to other basins to analyze drought complexities under climate change, contributing to global drought resilience strategies. Understanding the spatiotemporal characteristics of meteorological and agricultural droughts and the propagation time between them can help farmers and agricultural departments predict droughts and take appropriate drought-resistant measures to alleviate the damage of droughts on agricultural production.

Glaciers playa vital role in providing water resources for drinking, agriculture, and hydro-electricity in many mountainous regions. As global warming progresses, accurately reconstructing long-term glacier mass changes and comprehending their intricate dynamic relationships with environmental variables are imperative for sustaining livelihoods in these regions. This paper presents the use of eXplainable Machine Learning (XML) models with GRACE and GRACE-FO data to reconstruct long-term monthly glacier mass changes in the Upper Yukon Watershed (UYW), Canada. We utilized the H2O-AutoML regression tools to identify the best performing Machine Learning (ML) model for filling missing data and predicting glacier mass changes from hydroclimatic data. The most accurate predictive model in this study, the Gradient Boosting Machine, coupled with explanatory methods based on SHapley Additive eXplanation (SHAP) and Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME) analyses, led to automated XML models. The XML unveiled and ranked key predictors of glacier mass changes in the UYW, indicating a decrease since 2014. Analysis showed decreases in snow water equivalent, soil moisture storage, and albedo, along with increases in rainfall flux and air temperature were the main drivers of glacier mass loss. A probabilistic analysis hinging on these drivers suggested that the influence of the key hydrological features is more critical than the key meteorological features. Examination of climatic oscillations showed that high positive anomalies in sea surface temperature are correlated with rapid depletion in glacier mass and soil moisture, as identified by XML. Integrating H2OAutoML with SHAP and LIME not only achieved high prediction accuracy but also enhanced the explainability of the underlying hydroclimatic processes of glacier mass change reconstruction from GRACE and GRACE-FO data in the UYW. This automated XML framework is applicable globally, contingent upon sufficient high-quality data for model training and validation.

Landslides, a prevalent natural disaster, wreak havoc on both human lives and vital infrastructure, making them a significant global concern. Their devastating impact is immeasurable, necessitating proactive measures to minimize their occurrence. The ability to accurately forecast the severity of a landslide, including its potential fatality rate and the scale of destruction it may cause, holds tremendous potential for prevention and mitigation to reduce the risk and the damage caused by a landslide to infrastructure and life. In this study, the spatial variability in severity of landslides (in terms of mortality rates) and its dependence on various meteorological, geographical and soil composition has been attempted to be established. To do this, Ordinary Least Squares (global) and various Geographically Weighted (local) models have been employed to observe the varying relation between mortality rates and its various causative factors. Existence of geographical heterogeneity in the relationships is also investigated. The spatial pattern of landslide mortality and its associations with various causative variables in the South Asian Region are investigated and analysed. Through this, insights into targeting of prevention and mitigation measures for landslides based on a given location can be obtained by studying the various forms of heterogeneous spatial associations observed. The outcomes highlight that the local models in the form of Gaussian GWR and Poisson GWR outperform their global counterparts by a huge margin with better R2 and Adj R2 values. In comparison with Poisson GWR and Gaussian GWR, it is seen that Poisson GWR outperforms Gaussian GWR in terms of Mean Absolute Error, Mean Squared Error and Corrected Akaike Information Criterion. Furthermore, several intriguing local relationships patterns are also noted.

On 1-3 May 2023, severe hydro-meteorological events occurred in the Italian Emilia-Romagna region. Such events caused extensive flooding, landslides, isolation of many areas, evacuation of many families, and severe damage to infrastructure, agriculture, buildings, and essential services. Several municipalities were affected, thousands of civilians had to be evacuated, and losses of life occurred. The consequences beyond the recorded immediate impacts on infrastructure and life were impressive, and extended to the regional economy, specifically in the Fruit Valley, where, in addition to immediate yield losses, long-term damage to orchard production is expected due to persistent flooding. The civil and cultural building heritage has also been heavily affected, both in the countryside and in inhabited centers. Some of the damage, direct and indirect, caused by flooding on buildings will also see an evolution in the medium- to long-term that needs to be addressed. This paper analyzes the manifold aspects of such an atmospheric phenomenon and its impacts to understand the potential increasing occurrence of similar events in the climate change context.

Tea is a vital agricultural product in Taiwan. Due to global warming, the increasing extreme weather events have disrupted tea garden conditions and caused economic losses in agriculture. To address these challenges, a comprehensive tea garden risk assessment model, a Bayesian network (BN), was developed by considering various factors, including meteorological data, disaster events, tea garden environment (location, altitude, tea tree age, and soil characteristics), farming practices, and farmer interviews, and constructed risk assessment indicators for tea gardens based on the climate change risk analysis concept from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fifth Assessment Report (IPCC AR5). The results demonstrated an accuracy of over 92% in both validating and testing the model for tea tree damage and yield reduction. Sensitivity analysis revealed that tea tree damage and yield reduction were mutually influential, with weather, fertilization, and irrigation also impacting tea garden risk. Risk analysis under climate change scenarios from various global climate models (GCMs) indicated that droughts may pose the highest risk with up to 41% and 40% of serious tea tree growth damage and tea yield reduction, respectively, followed by cold events that most tea gardens may have less than 20% chances of serious impacts on tea tree growth and tea yield reduction. The impacts of heavy rains get the least concern because all five tea gardens may not be affected in terms of tea tree growth and tea yield with large chances of 67 to 85%. Comparing farming methods, natural farming showed lower disaster risk than conventional and organic approaches. The tea plantation risk assessment model can serve as a valuable resource for analyzing and offering recommendations for tea garden disaster management and is used to assess the impact of meteorological disasters on tea plantations in the future.

In this study, air pollutants were analyzed at a low-industry city on the Silk Road Economic Belt of Northwestern China from 2015 to 2018. The results show that SO2 and CO had a decreasing trend and NO2, O-3, PM2.5, and PM10 had an increasing trend during the study period. The primary characteristic pollutants were PM2.5 and PM10, which were higher than China's Grade II standard. SO2, NO2, CO, PM2.5, and PM10 concentrations showed similar seasonal variation patterns: the highest pollutant concentration was in winter and the lowest in summer. Those pollutants showed a similar diurnal pattern with two peaks, one at 7:00 to 9:00 and another at 21:00 to 22:00. However, O-3 concentration was highest in summer and lowest in winter, with a unimodal diurnal variation pattern. The annual average pollution concentrations in Tianshui in 2017 were substantially lower than the concentrations reported by most cities in China. By examining the meteorological conditions at a daily scale, we found that Tianshui was highly influenced by local emissions and a southwest wind. Potential source contributions and concentration weighted trajectory analyses indicated that the pollution from Gansu, Sichuan, Qinghai, and Shaanxi Province could affect the pollution concentration in Tianshui. The results provide directions for the government to take in formulating regional air pollution prevention and control measures and to improve air quality.

The of the Yellow River between its source and Hekou Town in Inner Mongolia is known as the Upper Yellow River Basin. It is the main source area of water resources in the Yellow River Basin, providing reliable water resources for 120 million people. Studying the hydrometeorological changes in the Upper Yellow River Basin is crucial for the development of human society. However, in the past, there has been limited research on hydrometeorological changes in the Upper Yellow River Basin. In order to clarify the four-dimensional spatiotemporal variation characteristics of hydrometeorological elements in the Upper Yellow River Basin, satellite and reanalysis hydrometeorological elements products need to be used. Unfortunately, there is currently a lack of precise evaluation studies on satellite and reanalysis hydrometeorological elements products in the Upper Yellow River Basin, and the geomorphic characteristics of this area have raised doubts about the accuracy of satellite and reanalysis hydrometeorological elements products. Thus, the evaluation study in the Upper Yellow River Basin is an important prerequisite for studying the four-dimensional spatiotemporal changes of hydrometeorological elements. When conducting evaluation study, we found that previous evaluation studies had a very confusing understanding of the spatiotemporal characteristics of datasets. Some papers even treated the spatiotemporal characteristics of evaluation metrics as the spatiotemporal characteristics of datasets. Therefore, we introduced a four-dimensional spacetime of both datasets and evaluation metrics to rectify the chaotic spatiotemporal view in the past. Our research results show that satellite and reanalysis hydrometeorological elements products have different abilities in describing the temporal and spatial distribution and change characteristics of hydrometeorological elements. The difference in the ability of satellite and reanalysis hydrometeorological elements products to describe temporal and spatial distribution and change characteristics requires us to select data at different temporal and spatial scales according to research needs when conducting hydrometeorological research, in order to ensure the credibility of the research results.

Desiccation crack is a prevalent natural phenomenon that plays a significant role in the stability of soil slopes. In this study, a hydromechanical coupling model incorporating a layer of stochastic cracks is developed for analyzing cracked soil slopes. To properly consider the anisotropy and spatial variability of desiccation cracks, three crack indices are generated through cross-correlated random fields via Cholesky decomposition. The seepage and mechanical behavior of a cracked slope are analyzed by adjusting stochastic parameters and rainfall conditions. Applied to the Ningzhen Mountains area in China, the model investigates the stability of slopes under various annual meteorological conditions. The results indicate that neglecting the spatial variability of cracked layer properties can lead to inaccurate assessments of instability risks at the base and water accumulation at the top of slopes. During heavy rainfall, slopes with deeper (up to 5 m) and weaker cracked layers often show a roughly planar sliding morphology. Moreover, the uncertainties in crack depth have the most pronounced influence on the uncertainties of the slope stability, more than horizontal permeability or crack aperture. The average crack aperture's influence on slope stability depends on the relationship between crack infiltration rate and rainfall intensity.

Drought is a perilous agrometeorological phenomenon that often causes crop damage in arid and semiarid regions vulnerable to climate variability. However, accurate drought monitoring remains deficient in many countries, including Kyrgyzstan, and the interconnections between several types of drought and contributions to crop yield are still unclear. Hence, we aimed to determine the propagation time in three types of drought (meteorological drought, soil drought, and vegetation drought) for understanding interconnections of them. Moreover, we focused on comprehensively evaluation the performance of multiple drought indices for each type over the complex terrain of Kyrgyzstan, especially for drought index of synergistic land surface temperature and vegetation conditions information. The results demonstrated that standard precipitation index (SPI) effectively detected meteorological drought, while the vegetation health index (VHI) coupled with temperature data was optimal for vegetation drought monitoring in Kyrgyzstan. Furthermore, our findings indicated a 1-month response time for soil drought at a 10 cm depth to SPI, and a 4-month response time at a 40 cm depth to meteorological drought (SPI). The response time of VHI to soil drought condition index (SMCI) was approximately 1 month, regardless of whether the soil drought occurred at a depth of 10 or 40 cm. In general, the response time of VHI to SPI was 3 months. Finally, by analyzing the correlation between crop yield productivity and drought indices, we discovered that the crop yield predictions by the three types of drought were differential and complex, but VHI was the most effective index. At the same time, VHIacc(May-Sep.), SMCIr(0-40 cm)_May-Sep., and SPI5_Aug. have different contributions to crop yield variations, and these are also differences in their impacts on different crops and provinces. The synergistic effect of the three types of drought may significantly improve crop yield prediction in Kyrgyzstan in future studies. These findings may significantly contribute to drought prevention and mitigation in drought-prone Central Asian countries.

Wind-driven rain, resulting from the combination of rainfall and wind, can cause several issues to buildings. These issues range from occupant discomfort and wall soiling to electrical equipment failure and structural damage caused by water infiltration, frost, or dirt accumulation. This paper introduces a methodology devised to assess the exposure of urban structures to wind-driven rain across extended periods, encompassing a range of temporal scales from annual to seasonal time frames. For this purpose, a set of numerical tools has been developed, reducing the need for multiple raindrop transport simulations. Specifically, the method relies on meteorological data derived from the meso-scale WRF-ARW model, which are carefully selected to conduct the transport simulations. Techniques of model reduction and interpolation are also used to effectively analyze the simulation data. The robustness of the method is tested across different scales, extending from an individual building to an entire neighborhood in Paris. Potential biases are identified, and solutions are proposed to reduce errors that may arise during the simplification process. Finally, a practical case study validates the applicability of the methodology for engineering applications.