Highlights What are the main findings? Variations in hazard-prone environments dominate the spatial heterogeneity of multi-hazard distribution. Thermal hazard susceptibility is expected to increase greatly by the end of the century due to permafrost degradation. What is the implication of the main findings? Segmented assessment can effectively improve evaluation accuracy and model interpretability. Thermal hazards exhibit significant sensitivity to climate change, while gravity hazards do not.Highlights What are the main findings? Variations in hazard-prone environments dominate the spatial heterogeneity of multi-hazard distribution. Thermal hazard susceptibility is expected to increase greatly by the end of the century due to permafrost degradation. What is the implication of the main findings? Segmented assessment can effectively improve evaluation accuracy and model interpretability. Thermal hazards exhibit significant sensitivity to climate change, while gravity hazards do not.Abstract With climate change, the Qinghai-Tibet Highway (QTH) is facing increasingly severe risks of natural hazards, posing a significant threat to its normal operation. However, the types, distribution, and future risks of hazards along the QTH are still unclear. In this study, we established an inventory of multi-hazards along the QTH by remote sensing interpretation and field validation, including landslides, debris flows, thaw slumps, and thermokarst lakes. The QTH was segmented into three sections based on hazard distribution and environmental factors. Susceptibility modelling was performed for each hazard within each using machine learning models, followed by further evaluation of hazard susceptibility under future climate change scenarios. The results show that, at present, approximately 15.50% of the area along the QTH exhibits high susceptibility to multi-hazards, with this proportion projected to increase to 20.85% and 23.32% under the representative concentration pathways (RCP) 4.5 and RCP 8.5 distant future scenarios, respectively. Variations in hazard-prone environments dominate the spatial heterogeneity of multi-hazard distribution. Gravity hazards demonstrate limited sensitivity to climate change, whereas thermal hazards exhibit a more pronounced response. Our geomorphology-based segmented assessment framework effectively enhances evaluation accuracy and model interpretability. The results can provide critical insights for the operation, maintenance, and hazard risk management of the QTH.

Historically, it has been demonstrated that bridges may be vulnerable to fire, and in many circumstances, resulting damage might not be apparent, and bridges could maintain acceptable levels of serviceability. In the absence of proven assessment tools and given the limited research that addresses bridge fire, research that better understands response and strives to improve highway bridge resiliency to fire is needed. Extending the work carried out during an earlier research stage, the present study focused on investigating performance of bridge pier columns that survive fire under coupled vehicle collision and air blast. Numerical models of single reinforced concrete columns supported by a pile foundation system and surrounded by air and soil volumes were created using LS-DYNA. As explicit solvers such as those available in LS-DYNA are infrequently used for fire analysis, an indirect two-step approach that integrated heat transfer and structural analyses was developed and validated against published fire-induced impact and blast test results. A parametric study that examined the effects of various fire exposure conditions and column diameters was completed. Performance was comprehensively assessed based on various structural response parameters, which included failure modes, lateral displacement, residual axial capacities, and shear demand-to-capacity ratios. Column damage was then categorized into six levels to qualitatively assess column performance under the aforementioned multi-hazards. The developed modeling approach was shown to be viable, and results indicated that larger column diameters could potentially remain in service in their final damage states after being repaired for fire durations of less than 120 min.