For the period 2001-2020, the interannual variability of the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) is investigated in connection to Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR). According to Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) NDVI data, the ISMR and the vegetative activity of the Indo-Gangetic plain (IGP) in the month of January show a significant negative association. We hypothesized that the January vegetation state affects the ISMR via a delayed hydrological response, in which the wet soil moisture anomaly formed throughout the winter to accommodate the water needs of intensive farming influences the ISMR. The soil moisture anomalies developed in the winter, particularly in the root zone, persisted throughout the summer. Evaporative cooling triggered by increasing soil moisture lowers the summer surface temperature across the IGP. The weakening of monsoon circulation as a result of the reduced intensity of land-sea temperature contrast led in rainfall suppression. Further investigation shows that moisture transport has increased significantly over the past two decades as a result of increasing westerly over the Arabian Sea, promoting rainfall over India. Agriculture activities, on the other hand, have resulted in greater vegetation in India's northwest and IGP during the last two decades, which has a detrimental impact on rainfall processes. Rainfall appears to have been trendless during the last two decades as a result of these competing influences. With a lead time of 5 months, this association between January's vegetation and ISMR could be one of the potential predictors of seasonal rainfall variability.
Understanding vegetation changes and their driving forces in global alpine areas is critical in the context of climate change. We aimed to reveal the changing trend in global alpine vegetation from 1981 to 2015 using the least squares regression method and Mann-Kendall (MK) test. The area-of-influence dominated by anthropogenic activity and natural factors was determined in an area with significant vegetation change by residual analysis; the primary driving force of vegetation change in the area-of-influence dominated by natural factors was identified using the partial correlation method. The results showed that (1) the vegetation in the global alpine area exhibited a browning trend from 1981 to 2015 on the annual scale; however, a greening trend was observed from May to July on the month scale. (2) The influence of natural factors was greater than that of anthropogenic activities, and the positive impact of natural factors was greater than the negative impact. (3) Among the factors that were often considered as the main natural factors, the contribution of albedo to significant changes in vegetation were greater than that of temperature, precipitation, soil moisture, and sunshine duration. This study provides a scientific basis for the protection of vegetation and sustainable development in alpine regions.
Little is known about the mechanism of climate-vegetation coverage coupled changes in the Tibetan Plateau (TP) region, which is the most climatically sensitive and ecologically fragile region with the highest terrain in the world. This study, using multisource datasets (including satellite data and meteorological observations and reanalysis data) revealed the mutual feedback mechanisms between changes in climate (temperature and precipitation) and vegetation coverage in recent decades in the Hengduan Mountains Area (HMA) of the southeastern TP and their influences on climate in the downstream region, the Sichuan Basin (SCB). There is mutual facilitation between rising air temperature and increasing vegetation coverage in the HMA, which is most significant during winter, and then during spring, but insignificant during summer and autumn. Rising temperature significantly enhances local vegetation coverage, and vegetation greening in turn heats the atmosphere via enhancing net heat flux from the surface to the atmosphere. The atmospheric heating anomaly over the HMA thickens the atmospheric column and increases upper air pressure. The high pressure anomaly disperses downstream via the westerly flow, expands across the SCB, and eventually increases the SCB temperature. This effect lasts from winter to the following spring, which may cause the maximum increasing trend of the SCB temperature and vegetation coverage in spring. These results are helpful for estimating future trends in climate and eco-environmental variations in the HMA and SCB under warming scenarios, as well as seasonal forecasting based on the connection between the HMA eco-environment and SCB climate.
The Mongolian Plateau is one of the regions most sensitive to climate change, the more obvious increase of temperature in 21st century here has been considered as one of the important causes of drought and desertification. It is very important to understand the multi-year variation and occurrence characteristics of drought in the Mongolian Plateau to explore the ecological environment and the response mechanism of surface materials to climate change. This study examines the spatio-temporal variations in drought and its frequency of occurrence in the Mongolian Plateau based on the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) (1982-1999) and the Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) (2000-2018) datasets; the Temperature Vegetation Dryness Index (TVDI) was used as a drought evaluation index. The results indicate that drought was widespread across the Mongolian Plateau between 1982 and 2018, and aridification incremented in the 21st century. Between 1982 and 2018, an area of 164.38 x 10(4) km(2)/yr suffered from drought, accounting for approximately 55.28% of the total study area. An area of approximately 150.06 x 10(4) km(2) (51.43%) was subject to more than 160 droughts during 259 months of the growing seasons between 1982 and 2018. We observed variable frequencies of drought occurrence depending on land cover/land use types. Drought predominantly occurred in bare land and grassland, both of which accounting for approximately 79.47% of the total study area. These terrains were characterized by low vegetation and scarce precipitation, which led to frequent and extreme drought events. We also noted significant differences between the areal distribution of drought, drought frequency, and degree of drought depending on the seasons. In spring, droughts were widespread, occurred with a high frequency, and were severe; in autumn, they were localized, frequent, and severe; whereas, in summer, droughts were the most widespread and frequent, but less severe. The increase in temperature, decrease in precipitation, continuous depletion of snow cover, and intensification of human activities have resulted in a water deficit. More severe droughts and aridification have affected the distribution and functioning of terrestrial ecosystems, causing changes in the composition and distribution of plants, animals, microorganisms, conversion between carbon sinks and carbon sources, and biodiversity. We conclude that regional drought events have to be accurately monitored, whereas their occurrence mechanisms need further exploration, taking into account nature, climate, society and other influencing factors.
The Three-River Source Region (TRSR) of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) is regarded as the Chinese water tower. Climate warming and the associated degradation of permafrost might change the water cycle and affect the alpine vegetation growth in the TRSR. However, the quantitative changes in the water budget and their impacts on the vegetation in the TRSR are poorly understood. In this study, the spatial-temporal changes in the hydrological variables and the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) during 2003-2014 were investigated using multiple satellite data and a remote sensing energy balance model. The results indicated that precipitation showed an increasing trend at a rate of 14.0 mm 10 a(-1), and evapotranspiration (ET) showed a slight decreasing trend. The GRACE-derived total water storage (TWS) change presented a significant increasing trend at a rate of 35.1 mm a(-1). The change in groundwater (GW) which showed an increasing trend at a rate of 18.5 mm a(-1), was estimated by water budget. The time lag of the GRACE-TWS that was influenced by precipitation was more obviously than was the GLDAS-SM(Soil Moisture) change. The vegetation in the TRSR was greening during the study period, and the accumulation of the NDVI increased rapidly after 2008. The effect of total TWS and GLDAS-SM on vegetation was considerably more than that the effects of other factors in this region. It was concluded that the hydrological cycle had obviously changed and that more soil water was transferred into the GW since the aquiclude changed due to climate warming. The increasing area and number of lakes and the thickening of the active layer in the permafrost area led to the greater infiltration of surface water into the groundwater, which resulted in increased water storage. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Mountains form distinct geographical units with complex topographic and climatic features. Mountain ecosystems, especially those in arid and semi-arid regions, are likely to be strongly influenced by climate change. The NDVI-based vegetation response to climate change was analyzed in the Tianshan Mountains in China, one of the largest mountain systems of central Asia. Datasets, including the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), precipitation, soil moisture, and snow cover, were used to analyze spatial patterns of NDVI during 2001-2013. A trend test and correlation analysis were used to verify the results. Results showed that: (1) Spatial patterns of NDVI in the Tianshan Mountains revealed significant differences during 2001-2013. A decreasing trend appeared mainly in the Ili River Valley (<-0.005 NDVI/year), the Kaidu River (-0.01 to -0.005 NDVI/year), and Bogda Shan (-0.005 to 0 NDVI/year). NDVI in the western Tianshan Mountains, eastern and western Bogda Shan showed an increasing trend. (2) Spring NDVI in the Tianshan Mountains decreased, while summer NDVI increased during 2001-2013. (3) Spatial variations in vegetation dynamics were attributed to the interaction of the four spheres of the earth's system, hydrosphere-pedosphere-atmosphere-biosphere. The main contributors including temperature, precipitation, and soil moisture had a notable effect on variations in vegetation. (4) The snow cover in the mountains was crucial for vegetation growth, especially in the winter half of the year. Understanding the spatial characteristics of NDVI in mountains under the effects of climate change will underpin further study in this ecological environment.