Permafrost thaw represents one of Earth's largest climate feedback risks, potentially releasing vast carbon (C) stores as greenhouse gases (GHG). However, our ability to predict emissions remains limited by poor understanding of how changing organic matter (OM) composition affects microbial carbon processing. We test a metabolism-centered redox framework, which views microbial processes as coupled oxidative-reductive reactions, to mechanistically explain how organic matter metabolite quality controls greenhouse gas production in permafrost-affected peatland ecosystems. Rather than relying solely on geochemical redox measurements, our approach examines how microbes balance electron flow through metabolic pathways. Using active layer peat (9-19 cm) from contrasting environments (bog and fen), we employed multi-omics approaches, including metabolomics, metagenomics, and metatranscriptomics, to link OM chemistry to microbial function. Our results reveal distinct dissolved organic matter metabolite composition, with fen systems enriched in compounds with higher substrate quality (low molecular weight (MW) sugars with high H:C ratios and low aromaticity) and bog systems dominated by compounds with lower substrate quality (high MW phenols with lower H:C ratios and higher aromaticity). In fen samples, these sugar-like compounds correlated with higher oxidative metabolism and methanogenesis, supported by increased glycolysis gene expression. Initially, electrons from increased oxidative metabolism were balanced through nitrate and sulfate reduction, but as these electron acceptors were depleted, methanogenesis increased to maintain redox balance. Fen samples showed rapid degradation of both high- and low-substrate-quality compounds, suggesting sufficient energy for efficient C cycling. Conversely, bog samples exhibited more polyphenolic compounds, lower glycolysis activity, and higher stress-related gene expression, suggesting energy was diverted towards cell maintenance under acidic conditions rather than C processing. This approach suggests that predicting greenhouse gas emissions requires an understanding of how organic matter quality shapes microbial energy allocation strategies, providing a mechanistic framework for improving emission predictions from permafrost-affected peatlands and similar ecosystems.

Widespread changes to near-surface permafrost in northern ecosystems are occurring through gradual top-down thaw and more abrupt localized thermokarst development. Both thaw types are associated with a loss of ecosystem services, including soil hydrothermal and mechanical stability and long-term carbon storage. Here, we analyzed relationships between the vascular understory, basal moss layer, active layer thickness (ALT), and greenhouse gas fluxes along a thaw gradient from permafrost peat plateau to thaw bog in Interior Alaska. We used ALT to define four distinct stages of thaw: Stable, Early, Intermediate, and Advanced, and we identified key plant taxa that serve as reliable indicators of each stage. Advanced thaw, with a thicker active layer and more developed thermokarst features, was associated with increased abundance of graminoids and Sphagnum mosses but decreased plant species richness and ericoid abundance, as well as a substantial increase in methane emissions. Early thaw, characterized by active layer thickening without thermokarst development, coincided with decreased ericoid cover and plant species richness and an increase in CH4 emissions. Our findings suggest that early stages of thaw, prior to the formation of thermokarst features, are associated with distinct vegetation and soil moisture changes that lead to abrupt increases in methane emissions, which then are perpetuated through ground surface subsidence and collapse scar bog formation. Current modeling of permafrost peatlands will underestimate carbon emissions from thawing permafrost unless these linkages between plant community, nonlinear active layer dynamics, and carbon fluxes of emerging thaw features are integrated into modeling frameworks.

Palsas and peat plateaus occur in various environmental conditions, but their driving environmental factors have not been examined across the Northern Hemisphere with harmonized datasets. Such comparisons can deepen our understanding of these landforms and their response to climate change. We conducted a comparative study between four regions: Hudson Bay, Iceland, Northern Fennoscandia, and Western Siberia by integrating landform observations and geospatial data into a MaxEnt model. Climate and hydrological conditions were identified as primary, yet regionally divergent, factors affecting palsa and peat plateau occurrence. Suitable conditions for these landforms entail specific temperature ranges (500-1500 thawing degree days, 500-4000 freezing degree days), around 300 mm of rainfall, and high soil moisture accumulation potential. Iceland's conditions, in particular, differ due to higher precipitation, a narrower temperature range, and the significance of soil organic carbon content. The annual thermal balance is a critical factor in understanding the occurrence of permafrost peatlands and should be considered when comparing different regions. We conclude that palsas and peat plateaus share similar topographic conditions but occupy varying soil conditions and climatic niches across the Northern Hemisphere. These findings have implications for understanding the climatic sensitivity of permafrost peatlands and identifying potential greenhouse gas emitters.

Microbes in peatlands provide key ecosystem services and are essential for their role in biogeochemical cycling. Prescribed burning is a common aspect of peatland management but the practice has been criticized for being ecologically damaging due to its effect on the biological, chemical and physical properties of the soil. It is poorly understood how burning affects soil N cycling and previous studies have focused predominantly on the topsoil whilst giving less attention to changes with soil depth. This study investigated the changes of microbial abundance (bacterial 16S rRNA and fungal 18S rRNA) and the abundance of N-cycle functional genes involved in archaeal and bacterial ammonia oxidation (amoA-AOA and amoA-AOB), denitrification (nirK and nirS), N fixation (nifH) and organic N decomposition (chiA) in soil profiles across three burn treatments on a managed peatland landscape (a 'non-burn' since 1954 control, 20 years burn interval, and 10 years burn interval). Our results indicate the abundance of bacterial 16S rRNA and fungal 18 s rRNA was affected by burn treatment, soil depth and their interaction and were greater in the non-burn control plots. The abundances of amoA-AOA, amoA-AOB, and nifH were significantly higher in the topsoil of the non-burn control plots while the abundance of nirK was higher in plots subject to short rotation and long rotation burn regimes but also decreased significantly with soil depth. The abundance of nirS was not affected by burn treatment or soil depth. ChiA abundance was affected by burn treatment, soil depth and their interaction. N-cycle functional gene abundance responded differently to environmental factors associated with prescribed burning and varied with soil depth. These findings suggest that the practice of burning affects microbial N turnover potential and provides an important insight into the soil Ncycling potential of peatlands under different burning regimes.

Increased permafrost temperatures have been reported in the circum-Arctic, and widespread degradation of permafrost peatlands has occurred in recent decades. The timing of permafrost aggradation in these ecosystems could have implications for the soil carbon lability upon thawing, and an increased understanding of the permafrost history is therefore needed to better project future carbon feedbacks. In this study, we have conducted high-resolution plant macrofossil and geochemical analyses and accelerator mass spectrometry radiocarbon dating of active layer cores from four permafrost peatlands in northern Sweden and Norway. In the mid-Holocene, all four sites were wet fens, and at least three of them remained permafrost-free until a shift in vegetation toward bog species was recorded around 800 to 400 cal. BP, suggesting permafrost aggradation during the Little Ice Age. At one site, Karlebotn, the plant macrofossil record also indicated a period of dry bog conditions between 3300 and 2900 cal. BP, followed by a rapid shift toward species growing in waterlogged fens or open pools, suggesting that permafrost possibly was present around 3000 cal. BP but thawed and was replaced by thermokarst.

The greenhouse gas (GHG) balance of boreal peatlands in permafrost regions will be affected by climate change through disturbances such as permafrost thaw and wildfire. Although the future GHG balance of boreal peatlands including ponds is dominated by the exchange of both carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4), disturbance impacts on fluxes of the potent GHG nitrous oxide (N2O) could contribute to shifts in the net radiative balance. Here, we measured monthly (April to October) fluxes of N2O, CH4, and CO2 from three sites located across the sporadic and discontinuous permafrost zones of western Canada. Undisturbed permafrost peat plateaus acted as N2O sinks (-0.025 mg N2O m(-2) d(-1)), but N2O uptake was lower from burned plateaus (-0.003 mg N2O m(-2) d(-1)) and higher following permafrost thaw in the thermokarst bogs (-0.054 mg N2O m(-2) d(-1)). The thermokarst bogs had below-ambient N2O soil gas concentrations, suggesting that denitrification consumed atmospheric N2O during reduction to dinitrogen. Atmospheric uptake of N2O in peat plateaus and thermokarst bogs increased with soil temperature and soil moisture, suggesting sensitivity of N2O consumption to further climate change. Four of five peatland ponds acted as N2O sinks (-0.018 mg N2O m(-2) d(-1)), with no influence of thermokarst expansion. One pond with high nitrate concentrations had high N2O emissions (0.30 mg N2O m(-2) d(-1)). Overall, our study suggests that the future net radiative balance of boreal peatlands will be dominated by impacts of wildfire and permafrost thaw on CH4 and CO2 fluxes, while the influence from N2O is minor.

Permafrost-affected tundra soils are large carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) reservoirs. However, N is largely bound in soil organic matter (SOM), and ecosystems generally have low N availability. Therefore, microbial induced N-cycling processes and N losses were considered negligible. Recent studies show that microbial N processing rates, inorganic N availability, and lateral N losses from thawing permafrost increase when vegetation cover is disturbed, resulting in reduced N uptake or increased N input from thawing permafrost. In this review, we describe currently known N hotspots, particularly bare patches in permafrost peatland or permafrost soils affected by thermokarst, and their microbiogeochemical characteristics, and present evidence for previously unrecorded N hotspots in the tundra. We summarize the current understanding of microbial N cycling processes that promote the release of the potent greenhouse gas (GHG) nitrous oxide (N2O) and the translocation of inorganic N from terrestrial into aquatic ecosystems. We suggest that certain soil characteristics and microbial traits can be used as indicators of N availability and N losses. Identifying N hotspots in permafrost soils is key to assessing the potential for N release from permafrost-affected soils under global warming, as well as the impact of increased N availability on emissions of carbon-containing GHGs.

Northern peatlands are a major component of the global carbon (C) cycle. Widespread climate-driven ecohydrological changes in these ecosystems can have major consequences on their C sequestration function. Here, we synthesize plant macrofossil data from 33 surficial peat cores from different ecoclimatic regions, with high-resolution chronologies. The main objectives were to document recent ecosystem state shifts and explore their impact on C sequestration in high-latitude undisturbed peatlands of northeastern Canada. Our synthesis shows widespread recent ecosystem shifts in peatlands, such as transitions from oligotrophic fens to bogs and Sphagnum expansion, coinciding with climate warming which has also influenced C accumulation during the last similar to 100 years. The rapid shifts towards drier bog communities and an expansion of Sphagnum sect. Acutifolia after 1980 CE were most pronounced in the northern subarctic sites and are concurrent with summer warming in northeastern Canada. These results provide further evidence of a northward migration of Sphagnum-dominated peatlands in North America in response to climate change. The results also highlight differences in the timing of ecosystem shifts among peatlands and regions, reflecting internal peatland dynamics and varying responses of vegetation communities. Our study suggests that the recent rapid climate-driven shifts from oligotrophic fen to drier bog communities have promoted plant productivity and thus peat C accumulation. We highlight the importance of considering recent ecohydrological trajectories when modelling the potential contribution of peatlands to climate change. Our study suggests that, contrary to expectations, peat C sequestration could be promoted in high-latitude non-permafrost peatlands where wet sedge fens may transition to drier Sphagnum bog communities due to warmer and longer growing seasons.

The modeling of seasonal ground ice (SGI) freeze/thaw a common feature in boreal peatlands, has often been completed using a unidirectional approach, where melting is driven by energy inputs from the surface. However, bi-directional melt is known to occur, and can potentially increase the spring melt rate. Accurate modelling of the timing of ice-free conditions in peatlands is important because SGI can impede spring infiltration and lead to substantial spring snowmelt runoff from peatlands. However, when modelling melt only from above, erroneous results in the model estimation of ice-free conditions can occur, which can lead to knock on-effects for modelling peatland hydrological function. Furthermore, as the climate warms, it is unclear how this role of SGI may change in the future. This study used the Stefan Equation to model unidirectional and bi-directional melt to assess which performed better in modelling the timing of ice-free conditions compared to observed values (BI: 3.9 +/- 2.1 days, UNI: 9.0 +/- 4.7). Including bi-directional melt improved model performance by reducing this difference by approximately 5 days. Model performance for SGI freeze/thaw cycles were similar, with BI being slightly more accurate in freezing (RMSE:2.7 cm versus 3.3 cm) and melting (RMSE: 2.6 cm vs 3.7 cm) compared to the unidirectional approach. While the model improvement in the timing of ice-free conditions was substantial, careful consideration is needed in determining when a peatland is functionally ice free in future modelling studies. The Stefan Equation was found to be most sensitive to changes in soil moisture, compared to ground surface temperature and peat porosity, likely due to the relationship between thermal conductivity and frozen and liquid water content. Comparisons with future climate change projections suggest that the timing of ice-free conditions 'could shift by as much as 2 weeks earlier in the 2050's and by almost a month earlier in the 2080's. However, the timing of snowfall, and rain on snow events continues to be a source of model uncertainty. Future studies should work to investigate the potential positive feedbacks this could create. In conclusion, the Stefan Equation presents a relatively easy path for incorporating bi-directional melt into peatland models. This process should be included in peatland ecohydrological models in order to properly model the timing of melt and ice-free conditions.

Vast stores of millennial-aged soil carbon (MSC) in permafrost peatlands risk leaching into the contemporary carbon cycle after thaw caused by climate warming or increased wildfire activity. Here we tracked the export and downstream fate of MSC from two peatland-dominated catchments in subarctic Canada, one of which was recently affected by wildlife. We tested whether thermokarst bog expansion and deepening of seasonally thawed soils due to wildfire increased the contributions of MSC to downstream waters. Despite being available for lateral transport, MSC accounted for <= 6% of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) pools at catchment outlets. Assimilation of MSC into the aquatic food web could not explain its absence at the outlets. Using delta C-13-Delta C-14-delta N-15-delta H-2 measurements, we estimated only 7% of consumer biomass came from MSC by direct assimilation and algal recycling of heterotrophic respiration. Recent wildfire that caused seasonally thawed soils to reach twice as deep in one catchment did not change these results. In contrast to many other Arctic ecosystems undergoing climate warming, we suggest waterlogged peatlands will protect against downstream delivery and transformation of MSC after climate- and wildfire-induced permafrost thaw.