China has a vast land area, with mountains accounting for 1/3 of the country's land area. Flooding in these areas can cause significant damage to human life and property. Therefore, rainstorms and flood hazards in Huangshan City should be accurately assessed and effectively managed to improve urban resilience, promote green and low-carbon development, and ensure socio-economic stability. Through the Random Forest (RF) algorithm and the Soil Conservation Service (SCS) model, this study aimed to assess and demarcate rainstorm and flood hazard risks in Huangshan City. Specifically, Driving forces-Pressure-State-Impact-Response (DPSIR)'s framework was applied to examine the main influencing factors. Subsequently, the RF algorithm was employed to select 11 major indicators and establish a comprehensive risk assessment model integrating four factors: hazard, exposure, vulnerability, and adaptive capacity. Additionally, a flood hazard risk zoning map of Huangshan City was generated by combining the SCS model with a Geographic Information System (GIS)-based spatial analysis. The assessment results reveal significant spatial heterogeneity in rainstorm and flood risks, with higher risks concentrated in low-lying areas and urban fringes. In addition, precipitation during the flood season and economic losses were identified as key contributors to flood risk. Furthermore, flood risks in certain areas have intensified with ongoing urbanization. The evaluation model was validated by the 7 July 2020 flood event, suggesting that Huangshan District, Huizhou District, and northern Shexian County suffered the most severe economic losses. This confirms the reliability of the model. Finally, targeted flood disaster prevention and mitigation strategies were proposed for Huangshan City, particularly in the context of carbon neutrality and green urbanization, providing decision-making support for disaster prevention and emergency management. These recommendations will contribute to enhancing the city's disaster resilience and promoting sustainable urban development.
As an important ecosystem, the wild fruit forest in the Tianshan Mountains is one of the origins of many fruit trees in the world. The wild fruit forest in Emin County, Xinjiang, China, was taken as the research area, the spatial and temporal distribution of the wild fruit forest was inverted using random forest and PLUS models, and the 2027 distribution pattern of the wild fruit forest was simulated and predicted. From 2007 to 2013, damage to the wild fruit forest from tourism and overgrazing was very serious, and the area occupied by the wild fruit forest decreased rapidly from 9.59 km2 to 7.66 km2. From 2013 to 2020, suitable temperatures and reasonable tourism management provided strong conditions for the rejuvenation of wild fruit forests. The distance of the center of gravity of the wild fruit forest increased, and the density of distribution of the wild fruit forest in the northwest direction of the study area also increased. It is predicted that the wild fruit forest in the study area will show a steady and slowly increasing trend in places far away from tourist areas and with more complex terrain. It is suggested that non-permanent fences be set up as buffer zones between wild fruit forests, ensuring basic maintenance of wild fruit forests, limiting human disturbance such as overgrazing, and reducing the risk of soil erosion.