The soil moisture active passive (SMAP) satellite mission distributes a product of CO2 flux estimates (SPL4CMDL) derived from a terrestrial carbon flux model, in which SMAP brightness temperatures are assimilated to update soil moisture (SM) and constrain the carbon cyclemodeling. While the SPL4CMDL product has demonstrated promising performance across the continental USA and Australia, a detailed assessment over the arctic and subarctic zones (ASZ) is still missing. In this study, SPL4CMDL net ecosystem exchange (NEE), gross primary production (GPP), and ecosystem respiration (R-E) are evaluated against measurements from 37 eddy covariance towers deployed over the ASZ, spanning from 2015 to 2022. The assessment indicates that the NEE unbiased root-mean-square error falls within the targeted accuracy of 1.6 gC.m(-2).d(-1), as defined for the SPL4CMDL product. However, modeled GPP and R-E are overestimated at the beginning of the growing season over evergreen needleleaf forests and shrublands, while being underestimated over grasslands. Discrepancies are also found in the annual net CO2 budgets. SM appears to have a minimal influence on the GPP and R-E modeling, suggesting that ASZ vegetation is rarely subjected to hydric stress, which contradicts some recent studies. These results highlight the need for further carbon cycle process understanding and model refinements to improve the SPL4CMDL CO2 flux estimatesover the ASZ.

The vegetation and ecosystem in the source region of the Yangtze River and the Yellow River (SRYY) are fragile. Affected by climate change, extreme droughts are frequent and permafrost degradation is serious in this area. It is very important to quantify the drought-vegetation interaction in this area under the influence of climate-permafrost coupling. In this study, based on the saturated vapor pressure deficit (VPD) and soil moisture (SM) that characterize atmospheric and soil drought, as well as the Normalized Differential Vegetation Index (NDVI) and solar-induced fluorescence (SIF) that characterize vegetation greenness and function, the evolution of regional vegetation productivity and drought were systematically identified. On this basis, the technical advantages of the causal discovery algorithm Peter-Clark Momentary Conditional Independence (PCMCI) were applied to distinguish the response of vegetation to VPD and SM. Furthermore, this study delves into the response mechanisms of NDVI and SIF to atmospheric and soil drought, considering different vegetation types and permafrost degradation areas. The findings indicated that low SM and high VPD were the limiting factors for vegetation growth. The positive and negative causal effects of VPD on NDVI accounted for 47.88% and 52.12% of the total area, respectively. Shrubs were the most sensitive to SM, and the response speed of grassland to SM was faster than that of forest land. The impact of SM on vegetation in the SRYY was stronger than that of VPD, and the effect in the frozen soil degradation area was more obvious. The average causal effects of NDVI and SIF on SM in the frozen soil degradation area were 0.21 and 0.41, respectively, which were twice as high as those in the whole area, and SM dominated NDVI (SIF) changes in 62.87% (76.60%) of the frozen soil degradation area. The research results can provide important scientific basis and theoretical support for the scientific assessment and adaptation of permafrost, vegetation, and climate change in the source area and provide reference for ecological protection in permafrost regions.