Together with warming air temperatures, Arctic ecosystems are expected to experience increases in heavy rainfall events. Recent studies report accelerated degradation of permafrost under heavy rainfall, which could put significant amounts of soil carbon and infrastructure at risk. However, controlled experimental evidence of rainfall effects on permafrost thaw is scarce. We experimentally tested the impact and legacy effect of heavy rainfall events in early and late summer for five sites varying in topography and soil type on the High Arctic archipelago of Svalbard. We found that effects of heavy rainfall on soil thermal regimes are small and limited to one season. Thaw rates increased under heavy rainfall in a loess terrace site, but not in polygonal tundra soils with higher organic matter content and water tables. End-of-season active layer thickness was not affected. Rainfall application did not affect soil temperature trends, which appeared driven by timing of snowmelt and organic layer thickness, particularly during early summer. Late summer rainfall was associated with slower freeze-up and colder soil temperatures the following winter. This implies that rainfall impacts on Svalbard permafrost are limited, locally variable and of short duration. Our findings diverge from earlier reports of sustained increases in permafrost thaw following extreme rainfall, but are consistent with observations that maritime permafrost regions such as Svalbard show lower rainfall sensitivity than continental regions. Based on our experiment, no substantial in-situ effects of heavy rainfall are anticipated for thawing of permafrost on Svalbard under future warming. However, further work is needed to quantify permafrost response to local redistribution of active layer flow under natural rainfall extremes. In addition, replication of experiments across variable Arctic regions as well as long-term monitoring of active layers, soil moisture and local climate will be essential to develop a panarctic perspective on rainfall sensitivity of permafrost. permafrost are limited, locally variable and of short duration. Our findings diverge from earlier reports tained increases in permafrost thaw following extreme rainfall, but are consistent with observations time permafrost regions such as Svalbard show lower rainfall sensitivity than continental regions. Based experiment, no substantial in-situ effects of heavy rainfall are anticipated for thawing of permafrost on under future warming. However, further work is needed to quantify permafrost response to local redistribution active layer flow under natural rainfall extremes. In addition, replication of experiments across variable regions as well as long-term monitoring of active layers, soil moisture and local climate will be essential develop a panarctic perspective on rainfall sensitivity of permafrost.

The absence of vegetation in most ice-free areas of Antarctica makes the soil surface very sensitive to atmosphere dynamics, especially in the western sector of the Antarctic Peninsula, an area within the limits of the permafrost zone. To evaluate the possible effects of regional warming on frozen soils, we conducted an analysis of ground surface temperatures (GSTs) from 2007 to 2021 from different monitoring sites in Livingston and Deception islands (South Shetlands archipelago, Antarctica). The analysis of the interannual evolution of the GST and their daily regimes and the freezing and thawing indexes reveals that climate change is showing impacts on seasonal and perennially frozen soils. Freezing Degree Days (FDD) have decreased while Thawing Degree Day (TDD) have increased during the study period, resulting in a balance that is already positive at the sites at lower elevations. Daily freeze-thaw cycles have been rare and absent since 2014. Meanwhile, the most common thermal regimes are purely frozen - F1 (daily temperatures = +0.5 degrees C). A decrease in F1 days has been observed, while the IS and T1 days increased by about 60 days between 2007 and 2021. The annual number of days with snow cover increased between 2009 and 2014 and decreased since then. The GST and the daily thermal regimes evolution point to general heating, which may be indicative of the degradation of the frozen soils in the study area.

The knowledge of soil thermal properties is important for determining how a soil will behave under changing climate conditions, especially in the sensitive environment of permafrost affected soils. This paper represents the first complex study of the interplay between the different parameters affecting soil thermal conductivity of soils in Antarctica. Antarctic Peninsula is currently the most rapidly warming region of the whole Antarctica, with predictions of this warming to continue in the upcoming decades. This study focuses on James Ross Island, where the Abernethy Flats automatic weather station is located in a lowland area with semi-arid climate. Air and ground temperature, soil heat flux and soil moisture during the thawing season were monitored on this site from 2015 to 2023. Moreover, two approaches to determining soil thermal conductivity were compared - laboratory measurements and calculation from field data. During this period, mean annual temperatures have increased dramatically for both air (from-6.9 degrees C in 2015/2016 to-3.8 degrees C in 2022/2023) and ground (from-6.5 degrees C to-3.2 degrees C), same as active layer thickness (from 68 cm to 95 cm). Average soil thermal conductivity for the thawing period reached values between 0.49 and 0.74 W/m.K-1 based on field data. Statistically significant relationships were found between the seasonal means of volumetric water content and several other parameters - soil thermal conductivity (r = 0.91), thawing degree days (r = -0.87) and active layer thickness (r = - 0.88). Although wetter soils generally have a higher conductivity, the increase in temperature exhibits a much stronger control over the active layer thickening, also contributing to the overall drying of the upper part of the soil profile.

Permafrost degradation related to global warming has been widespread in the Tibetan Plateau (TP), manifesting prominently as variations in the soil thermal regime, an essential characteristic of permafrost. Altered soil thermal conditions can influence the energy and water balance between the atmosphere and land, leading to the release of stored carbon dioxide and methane. In this study, reanalysis and observed soil temperature data were combined to analyse the long-term changes in the thermal regime of the uppermost soil layer at six sites in the central TP. MERRA2 and ERA5-Land had the highest quality in matching the observed data at each site. The mean annual soil temperature ranged from -0.11 degrees C to 4.75 degrees C (averaging 1.73 degrees C) and warms at 0.059 degrees C a(-1). The mean annual first dates of freezing and thawing and the mean duration of freezing were 123.23 +/- 10.85 d, 285.67 +/- 10.34 d, and 161.44 +/- 20.54 d, respectively, indicating lagged, advanced, and shortened trends with 0.54 +/- 0.49 d a(-1), 0.50 +/- 1.06 d a(-1), and 1.05 +/- 1.16 d a(-1), respectively. The mean annual freezing and thawing N-factors were 0.53 +/- 0.13 and 2.43 +/- 2.09, respectively. The maximum and minimum monthly average soil temperatures were 11.81 +/- 2.17 degrees C in July and-9.54 +/- 3.24 degrees C in January, respectively. Partial correlation analysis was used to quantify the influences of factors (including surface air temperature, snow depth, rainfall, normalised difference vegetation index [NDVI], shortwave radiation, and soil moisture) on soil temperature implicated surface air temperature as the most significant influencing factor in the increased soil temperature. Rainfall and NDVI were implicated as being likely to suppress the soil temperature warming. This study provides detailed information about the thermal regime of the uppermost soil in the central TP and facilitates validation of the land surface model.

Ice-free areas occupy 5 m in bedrock sites in the Antarctic Peninsula. The deepest and most variable ALTs (ca. 40 to >500 cm) were found in the Antarctic Peninsula, whereas the maximum ALT generally did not exceed 90 cm in Victoria Land and East Antarctica. Notably, found that the mean annual near-surface temperature follows the latitudinal gradient of-0.9 degrees C/deg. (R2 = 0.9) and the active layer thickness 3.7 cm/deg. (R2 = 0.64). The continuous permafrost occurs in the vast majority of the ice-free areas in Antarctica. The modelling of temperature on the top of the permafrost indicates also the permafrost presence in South Orkneys and South Georgia. The only areas where deep boreholes and geophysical surveys indicates discontinuous or sporadic permafrost are South Shet-lands and Western Antarctic Peninsula.

Active layer and permafrost are important indicators of climate changes in periglacial areas of Antarctica, and the soil thermal regime of Maritime Antarctica is sensitive to the current warming trend. This research aimed to characterize the active layer thermal regime of a patterned ground located at an upper marine terrace in Half Moon Island, during 2015-2018. Temperature and moisture sensors were installed at different soil depths, combined with air temperature, collecting hourly data. Statistical analysis was applied to describe the soil thermal regime and estimate active layer thickness. The thermal regime of the studied soil was typical of periglacial environment, with high variability in temperature and water content in the summer, resulting in frequent freeze-thaw cycles. We detected dominant freezing conditions, whereas soil temperatures increased, and the period of high soil moisture content lasted longer over the years. Active layer thickness varied between the years, reaching a maximum depth in 2018. Permafrost degradation affects soil drainage and triggers erosion in the upper marine terrace, where permafrost occurrence is unlikely. Longer monitoring periods are necessary for a detailed understanding on how current climatic and geomorphic conditions affect the unstable permafrost of low-lying areas of Antarctica (marine terraces).

Permafrost degradation related to global warming has been widespread in the Tibetan Plateau (TP), manifesting prominently as variations in the soil thermal regime, an essential characteristic of permafrost. Altered soil thermal conditions can influence the energy and water balance between the atmosphere and land, leading to the release of stored carbon dioxide and methane. In this study, reanalysis and observed soil temperature data were combined to analyse the long-term changes in the thermal regime of the uppermost soil layer at six sites in the central TP. MERRA2 and ERA5-Land had the highest quality in matching the observed data at each site. The mean annual soil temperature ranged from -0.11 degrees C to 4.75 degrees C (averaging 1.73 degrees C) and warms at 0.059 degrees C a(-1). The mean annual first dates of freezing and thawing and the mean duration of freezing were 123.23 +/- 10.85 d, 285.67 +/- 10.34 d, and 161.44 +/- 20.54 d, respectively, indicating lagged, advanced, and shortened trends with 0.54 +/- 0.49 d a(-1), 0.50 +/- 1.06 d a(-1), and 1.05 +/- 1.16 d a(-1), respectively. The mean annual freezing and thawing N-factors were 0.53 +/- 0.13 and 2.43 +/- 2.09, respectively. The maximum and minimum monthly average soil temperatures were 11.81 +/- 2.17 degrees C in July and-9.54 +/- 3.24 degrees C in January, respectively. Partial correlation analysis was used to quantify the influences of factors (including surface air temperature, snow depth, rainfall, normalised difference vegetation index [NDVI], shortwave radiation, and soil moisture) on soil temperature implicated surface air temperature as the most significant influencing factor in the increased soil temperature. Rainfall and NDVI were implicated as being likely to suppress the soil temperature warming. This study provides detailed information about the thermal regime of the uppermost soil in the central TP and facilitates validation of the land surface model.

Under the influence of climate change, permafrost landforms are sensitive to seasonal heave and contraction, thus exacerbating surface instability and fostering landslides as a consequence. In the pastureland of Zhimei on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP), a typical earthflow has drawn significant attention through social media. However, detailed knowledge of the deformation characteristics, internal hydrothermal regime, and structure is still scarce. In this study, we aim to enhance traditional satellite synthetic aperture radar interferometry to divide ground deformation into the seasonal oscillation and slope deformation components and identify the magnitude and spatial distribution of unstable slopes in frozen regions. Then, the use of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) was combined with geophysical monitoring techniques to recognise the deformation dynamics from the pre- to post-failure stages. Sentinel-1 images, covering almost five years, highlighted that obvious creep behaviour dominated at the pre-failure stage, while a seasonal deformation pattern characterised by a piecewise distribution associated with the hydrothermal regime was observed at the post-failure stage. Fast retrogressive erosion on the head scarps at the post-failure stage was clearly identified by multidifferential digital surface models from the UAV observations. To better understand the internal structure, both electrical resistivity tomography and ground-penetrating radar were combined to determine the seasonal frozen thickness, underlying thawing materials, and vertical cracks, which controlled the kinematic evolution from the initial creep to the narrow and long oversaturated flow that represented the terminal portion of the landslide. Finally, by comparing in situ monitoring data with field investigations, the main driving factors controlling the movement mechanism are discussed. Our results highlight the specific kinematic behaviour of an earthflow and can provide a reference for slope destabilisation on the QTP under the influence of climate change.

Air and near-surface ground temperatures were measured using dataloggers over 14 years (2006-2020) in 10 locations at 2262 to 2471 m.a.s.l. in a glacial cirque of the Cantabrian Mountains. These sites exhibit relevant differences in terms of substrate, solar radiation, orientation, and geomorphology. Basal temperature of snow (BTS) measurements and electrical resistivity tomography of the talus slope were also performed. The mean annual near-surface ground temperatures ranged from 5.1 degrees C on the sunny slope to 0.2 degrees C in the rock glacier furrow, while the mean annual air temperature was 2.5 degrees C. Snow cover was inferred from near-surface ground temperature (GST) data, estimating between 130 and 275 days per year and 0.5 to 7.1 m snow thickness. Temperature and BTS data show that the lowest part of the talus slope and the rock glacier furrow are the coldest places in this cirque, coinciding with a more persistent and thickest snow cover. The highest temperatures coincide with less snow cover, fine-grained soils, and higher solar radiation. Snow cover has a primary role in controlling GST, as the delayed appearance in autumn or delayed disappearance in spring have a cooling effect, but no correlation with mean annual near-surface ground temperatures exists. Heavy rain-over-snow events have an important influence on the GST. In the talus slope, air circulation during the snow-covered period produces a cooling effect in the lower part, especially during the summer. Significant inter-annual GST differences were observed that exhibited BTS limitations. A slight positive temperature trend was detected but without statistically significance and less prominent than nearby reference official meteorological stations, so topoclimatic conditions reduced the more global positive temperature trend. Probable existence of permafrost in the rock glacier furrow and the lowest part of the talus slope is claimed; however, future work is necessary to confirm this aspect.

Climate change effects, such as melting of glaciers and sea ice in response to rising temperatures, may lead to an increase in global water availability and thus in precipitation. In Central Yakutia, as one of the possible options for climate change, an increase in rainfall is possible, which makes up more than 60% of the annual precipitation. Rainfall is a highly variable meteorological parameter both spatially and temporally. In order to assess its effect on the ground temperature regime in Central Yakutia, we conducted manipulation and numerical experiments with increased rainfall. The manipulation experiment results suggest that a significant (three-fold) increase in rainfall can lower the mean annual ground temperatures locally. The long-term simulation predicts that a 50% increase in rainfall would have a warming effect on the ground thermal regime on a regional scale. For Central Yakutia, infiltration of increased precipitation has been shown to have both warming and cooling effect depending on the area affected.