Understanding soil organic carbon (SOC) distribution and its environmental controls in permafrost regions is essential for achieving carbon neutrality and mitigating climate change. This study examines the spatial pattern of SOC and its drivers in the Headwater Area of the Yellow River (HAYR), northeastern Qinghai-Xizang Plateau (QXP), a region highly susceptible to permafrost degradation. Field investigations at topsoils of 86 sites over three summers (2021-2023) provided data on SOC, vegetation structure, and soil properties. Moreover, the spatial distribution of key permafrost parameters was simulated: temperature at the top of permafrost (TTOP), active layer thickness (ALT), and maximum seasonal freezing depth (MSFD) using the TTOP model and Stefan Equation. Results reveal a distinct latitudinal SOC gradient (high south, low north), primarily mediated by vegetation structure, soil properties, and permafrost parameters. Vegetation coverage and above-ground biomass showed positive correlation with SOC, while soil bulk density (SBD) exhibited a negative correlation. Climate warming trends resulted in increased ALT and TTOP. Random Forest analysis identified SBD as the most important predictor of SOC variability, which explains 38.20% of the variance, followed by ALT and vegetation coverage. These findings likely enhance the understanding of carbon storage controls in vulnerable alpine permafrost ecosystems and provide insights to mitigate carbon release under climate change.
Vegetation greening across the Tibetan Plateau, a critical ecological response to climate warming and land-cover change, affects soil hydrothermal regimes, altering soil moisture (SM) and soil temperature (ST) dynamics. However, its effects on SM-ST coupling remain poorly understood. Using integrated field measurements from a vegetation-soil (V-S) network, reanalysis, and physics-based simulations, we quantify responses of SM, ST, and their coupling to vegetation changes across the Upper Brahmaputra (UB) basin, southern Tibetan Plateau. Results show that strong positive SM-ST correlations occur throughout 0-289 cm soil layers across the basin, consistent with the monsoon-driven co-occurrence of rainy and warm seasons. Spatially, SM-ST coupling strength exhibits pronounced spatial heterogeneity, demonstrating strongest coupling in central basin areas with weaker intensities in eastern and western regions. Overall, vegetation greening consistently induces soil warming and drying: as leaf area index (LAI) increases from 20 % to 180 % of its natural levels, SM (0-160 cm) declines by 15 % to 29 % due to enhanced evapotranspiration and root water uptake. Mean ST simultaneously increases by 1.4 +/- 0.9 degrees C. Crucially, sparsely vegetated regions sustain warming (1.4-2.1 degrees C), while densely vegetated areas transition from initial warming to gradual cooling. These findings advance our understanding of soil hydrothermal dynamics and their broader environmental impacts, improving climate model parameterizations and informing sustainable land management strategies in high-altitude ecosystems.
Permafrost degradation, driven by rising temperatures in high-latitude regions, destabilizes previously sequestered soil organic carbon (OC), increasing greenhouse gas emissions and amplifying global warming. In these ecosystems, interactions with mineral surfaces and metal oxides, particularly iron (Fe), stabilize up to 80% of soil OC. This study investigates the mechanisms of Fe solubilization and OC release across a permafrost thaw gradient in Stordalen, Abisko, Sweden, including palsa, intermediate, and highly degraded permafrost stages. By integrating geophysical measurements-including relative elevation, thaw depth, soil water content, and soil temperature with redox potential and soil pore water chemistry, we identify the environmental conditions driving iron and organic carbon release into soil pore waters with permafrost degradation. Our results show that combining relative elevation, thaw depth, soil water content, soil pore water pH, and soil pore water conductivity with shifts in vegetation species enables very-high-resolution detection of permafrost degradation at submeter scales, distinguishing intact from degraded permafrost soils. We show that small-scale changes in thaw depth and water content alter soil pH and redox conditions, driving the release of Fe and dissolved organic carbon (DOC) and promoting the formation of Fe-DOC complexes in soil pore water. The amount of exported Fe-DOC complexes from thawed soils varies with the stage of permafrost degradation, and the fate of Fe-DOC complexes is likely to evolve along the soil-stream continuum. This study highlights how environmental conditions upon thaw control the type of Fe-DOC association in soil pore waters, a parameter to consider when quantifying what DOC is available for microbial and photo-degradation in aquatic systems which are significant sources of greenhouse gas emissions across Arctic landscapes.
Permafrost degradation under climate warming plays a crucial role in hydrological and ecological processes, including the regional water cycle and terrestrial carbon balance. The Tibetan Plateau (TP), which contains the largest expanse of high-altitude permafrost globally, remains understudied in terms of how permafrost degradation affects surface water resources and regional carbon dynamics. Using permafrost simulation models and quantitative analysis, we assess the spatiotemporal impacts of permafrost degradation on surface water resources and carbon dynamics. In the inner endorheic regions of the TP, ground ice meltwater contributed 12.6% of the total lake volume increase from 2000 to 2020, accelerating lake expansion and affecting nearby infrastructure and ecosystems. Cryospheric meltwater accounted for 4.6% of total runoff in the source areas of the Yangtze, Yellow, Lancang, Yarlung Zangbo, and Nujiang Rivers in 2002-2018. This cryospheric meltwater contribution is projected to peak in the 2030s-2040s, followed by a decline, with potentially profound implications for downstream water availability. From 2000 to 2020, carbon sequestration of alpine grassland in permafrost regions is 1.05-1.29 Tg C a-1 in 2000-2020. This estimate is underestimated by approximately 35.5% to 48.1% without considering the impact of permafrost degradation. Top-down thawing of permafrost from 2002 to 2050 is projected to release 129.39 +/- 21.02 Tg C a-1 of thawed soil organic carbon (SOC), with 20.82 +/- 3.06 Tg C a-1 decomposed annually. Additionally, permafrost collapse and thermokarst lake are estimated to reduce ecosystem carbon sinks by 0.41 (0.29-0.52) Tg C a-1 in 2020. (c) 2025 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. and Science China Press. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Suprapermafrost groundwater (SPG) plays a critical role in hydrological and ecological functioning of permafrost regions, yet its spatiotemporal dynamics and controlling mechanisms remain poorly understood on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP). Here, we integrated in situ observations, geophysical surveys, and machine learning (ML) models (including XGBoost, LightGBM, and RandomForest) to investigate the seasonal variation, drivers, and projections of SPG dynamics in alpine meadow (AM) and alpine wet meadow (AWM) ecosystems. Results showed that SPG tables ranged from -1.1 to -0.1 m in AM and from -1.3 to -0.2 m in AWM during the warm season. SPG fluctuations were primarily driven by thaw depth (TD) and rainfall infiltration and exhibited similar seasonal patterns across both ecosystems. A greater TD was associated with a deeper SPG table, as deeper thawing expanded the unsaturated zone and enhanced vertical drainage, indicating an exponential relationship between TD and SPG table position, and a linear relationship with aquifer thickness. In contrast, rainfall infiltration increased shallow soil moisture and elevated SPG tables, with responses influenced by rainfall intensity, duration, and infiltration pathways. Spatial heterogeneity in SPG distribution was further shaped by vegetation structure and microtopographic variation. Furthermore, ML models projected that mean summer SPG table depths in the 2090s would increase by 0.06 m under SSP126 and 0.64 m under SSP585 in AWM ecosystems, and by 0.37 m under SSP126 and 0.87 m under SSP585 in AM ecosystems. These findings provide new insights into how climate warming affects hydrological processes in permafrost regions of the QTP.
Amidst global scarcity, preventing pipeline failures in water distribution systems is crucial for maintaining a clean supply while conserving water resources. Numerous studies have modelled water pipeline deterioration; however, existing literature does not correctly understand the failure time prediction for individual water pipelines. Existing time-to-failure prediction models rely on available data, failing to provide insight into factors affecting a pipeline's remaining age until a break or leak occurs. The study systematically reviews factors influencing time-to-failure, prioritizes them using a magnitude-based fuzzy analytical hierarchy process, and compares results with expert opinion using an in-person Delphi survey. The final pipe-related prioritized failure factors include pipe geometry, material type, operating pressure, pipe age, failure history, pipeline installation, internal pressure, earth and traffic loads. The prioritized environment-related factors include soil properties, water quality, extreme weather events, temperature, and precipitation. Overall, this prioritization can assist practitioners and researchers in selecting features for time-based deterioration modelling. Effective time-to-failure deterioration modelling of water pipelines can create a more sustainable water infrastructure management protocol, enhancing decision-making for repair and rehabilitation. Such a system can significantly reduce non-revenue water and mitigate the socio-environmental impacts of pipeline ageing and damage.
Understanding the mechanical behaviour of water ice-bearing lunar soil is essential for future lunar exploration and construction. This study employs discrete element method (DEM) simulations, incorporating realistic particle shapes and a flexible membrane, to investigate the effects of ice content, initial packing density, and gravitational conditions on lunar soil behaviour. Initially, we calibrated DEM model parameters by comparing triaxial tests on lunar soil without ice to physical experiments and the angle of repose simulations, validating the accuracy of our approach. Building on this, we conducted simulations on water ice-bearing lunar soil, examining stress-strain responses, shear strain, bond breakage, deviatoric fabric, and N-ring structures. DEM simulations demonstrate that increasing ice content from 0 % to 10 % elevates peak strength from 85 kPa to 240 kPa in loose samples and from 0.2 MPa to 1.62 MPa in dense samples. This strengthening aligns with microstructural stabilization evidenced by 5-ring configurations and narrowed branch vector distributions. Strain field analysis reveals greater deformation magnitudes in icy regolith, suggesting a trade-off between enhanced load-bearing capacity and reduced ductility. These quantified mechanical responses, including strength gain, structural stabilization, and strain localization, reveal the dual engineering implications of water ice in lunar soil.
This study analyzes the aerosol and precipitable water vapor (PWV) properties at six sites in the Indo-Gangetic Plains (IGP), a densely populated and highly polluted region. The main objective is to explore how the columnar PWV is related to the attenuation of shortwave solar radiation (SWR), as well as the combined role of aerosol properties and PWV on radiative forcing based on AERONET data and model (SBDART) simulations. The analysis revealed high aerosol optical depth (AOD) values (0.4-0.6) throughout the year in all the sites, associated with increased PWV (4-5 cm) during the summer monsoon. Comprehensive investigation shows that changes in PWV levels also affect aerosols' size distribution, optical properties and radiation balance in a similar way - but in different magnitudes - between the examined sites. The water vapor radiative effect (WVRE) is highly dependent on aerosol presence, with its magnitude for both surface (-130 to -140 Wm(-2)) and atmospheric forcing becoming higher under clean atmospheres (without aerosols). Aerosol presence is also considered in the computations of the WVRE. In that case, the WVRE becomes more pronounced at the top of the atmosphere (TOA) (30 to 35 Wm(-2)) but exhibits a lower forcing impact on the surface (about -45 Wm(-2)) and within the atmosphere (70-80 Wm(-2)), suggesting important aerosol-PWV interrelations. The atmospheric heating rate due to PWV is more than double (3.5-4.5 K Day(-1)) that of aerosols (1-1.9 K Day(-1)), highlighting its essential role in radiative effects and climate implications over the IGP region. The radiative impacts of PWV and aerosols are further examined as a function of the single scattering albedo, solar zenith angle, and absorbing AOD at the different sites, revealing dependence on both astronomical and atmospheric variables related to aerosol absorption, thus unravelling the combined role of aerosols and PWV in climate implications.
The existence of rock weathering products has an important effect on the infiltration of water in the soil. Understanding the mechanism of water infiltration in a mixed soil and weathered rock debris medium is highly important for soil science and hydrology. The purpose of this study is to explore the effects of mudstone hydrolysis on water infiltration in the soil under different mixing ratios (0-70 %) of weathered mudstone contents. Soil column experiments and numerical modelling were used to study the processes of hydrolysis of weathered mudstone and water infiltration in the mixed medium. The results revealed that water immersion can cause the dense mudstone surface to fall off, thus forming pores, and that the amount of these pores first increase but then decrease over time. The disintegration of post-hydrolysis mudstone debris occurs mainly among particles ranging from 2-2000 mu m, predominantly transforming sand particles into finer fractions. Increasing the mudstone content in the soil from 0 % to 50 % enhances the infiltration rate and cumulative infiltration volume. However, when the mudstone content exceeds 50 %, these parameters decrease. The mudstone weathering products promote water infiltration in the soil within a certain range of mudstone contents, but as the ratio of weathered products increases, excessive amounts of mudstone hinder the movement of water in the soil. The identified transformation phenomenon suggests that the infiltration capacity of mixed soil will not scale linearly with mudstone content. The findings enable some mitigation strategies of geologic hazards based on the hydrological stability in heterogeneous environments.
Freeze-thaw cycles (FTC) influence soil erodibility (K-r) by altering soil properties. In seasonally frozen regions, the coupling mechanisms between FTC and water erosion obscure the roles of FTC in determining soil erosion resistance. This study combined FTC simulation with water erosion tests to investigate the erosion response mechanisms and key drivers for loess with varying textures. The FTC significantly changed the mechanical and physicochemical characteristics of five loess types (P < 0.05), especially reducing shear strength, cohesion, and internal friction angle, with sandy loam exhibiting more severe deterioration than silt loam. Physicochemical indices showed weaker sensitivity to FTC versus mechanical properties, with coefficients of variation below 5 %. Wuzhong sandy loess retained the highest K-r post-FTC, exceeding that of the others by 1.04 similar to 2.25 times, highlighting the dominant role of texture (21.37 % contribution). Under different initial soil moisture contents (SMC), K-r increased initially and then stabilized with successive FTC, with a threshold effect of FTC on K-r at approximately 10 FTC. Under FTC, the K-r variation rate showed a concave trend with SMC, turning point at 12 % SMC, indicating that SMC regulates freeze-thaw damage. Critical shear stress exhibited an inverse response to FTC compared to K-r, displaying lower sensitivity. The established K-r prediction model achieved high accuracy (R-2 = 0.87, NSE = 0.86), though further validation is required beyond the design conditions. Future research should integrate laboratory and field experiments to expand model applicability. This study lays a theoretical foundation for research on soil erosion dynamics in freeze-thaw-affected areas.