Changes are projected for the boreal biome with complex and variable effects on forest vegetation including drought-induced tree mortality and forest loss. With soil and atmospheric conditions governing drought intensity, specific drivers of trees water stress can be difficult to disentangle across temporal scales. We used wavelet analysis and causality detection to identify potential environmental controls (evapotranspiration, soil moisture, rainfall, vapor pressure deficit, air temperature and photosynthetically active radiation) on daily tree water deficit and on longer periods of tree dehydration in black spruce and tamarack. Daily tree water deficit was controlled by photosynthetically active radiation, vapor pressure deficit, and air temperature, causing greater stand evapotranspiration. Prolonged periods of tree water deficit (multi-day) were regulated by photosynthetically active radiation and soil moisture. We provide empirical evidence that continued warming and drying will cause short-term increases in black spruce and tamarack transpiration, but greater drought stress with reduced soil water availability. This research explores how climate change could impact the water stress experienced by black spruce and tamarack trees in the western boreal forest of Canada. We focused on a key measure called tree water deficit to understand if the trees were under stress due to insufficient water. We examined how tree water deficit relates to environmental factors such as temperature, sunlight, and soil moisture. The findings revealed that, on a daily basis, factors like sunlight and temperature cause trees to release more water into the air. However, over longer periods (days to weeks), the amount of water in the soil becomes crucial, suggesting that trees might face water stress during dry spells. So, while trees could grow more on hotter, sunnier days, they could also experience water stress and reduced growth if the soil becomes too dry for an extended period. This study helps us grasp how various factors interact to influence tree water stress in the boreal forest, providing insights important for managing these ecosystems in a changing climate. A novel approach to determine environmental controls of tree water deficit across time scales with wavelet analysis and Granger causality Soil moisture emerges as a significant control of tree water deficit in boreal trees at longer scales (multi-days) Daily productivity gains with warming will be mitigated by decreased soil water availability in longer periods of tree water deficit

During June, July and August 2003, an exceptional heat wave affected western and central Europe. In Piedmont, a region located in northwestern Italy at the foot of the Alps, many stations recorded the highest mean summer temperatures since the beginning of their instrumental record. Some consequences of this extraordinary hot summer in Piedmont and in many European countries include severe drought conditions, with strong effects on agriculture and electric production, an acceleration of glacier ablation, and an increase in the frequency of forest fires. This heat wave has been analyzed by running a Soil-Vegetation Atmosphere Transfer scheme for 5 years (1999-2003): the LSPM (Land Surface Process Model). The attention was focused on energy and hydrologic budget components by performing two simulations in climatically different sub-areas of Piedmont. The increment in the observed solar radiation during summer 2003 produced an increment in the net radiation, which in turn generated an increase of sensible (more) and latent (less) heat flux, and soil-vegetation heat flux. The latter caused a consistent warming of soil and vegetation surfaces, which acted partially as a negative feedback increasing the longwave radiation emitted by the terrestrial surface. Latent heat flux showed a small increment in summer 2003, because the evapotranspiration was limited by the soil moisture unavailability, particularly during July and August, due to the scarcity of precipitations during the previous spring. The drought conditions, acting as a positive feedback, caused the effects of the heat wave to be more severe, favored its persistence and enhanced the further reduction of soil moisture. The comparison among the results of the two simulations allowed to highlight the role of two phenomena that concurred to exacerbate the heat wave: the enhancement of the drought conditions and the increment of the adiabatic compression connected with the anticyclonic conditions. A rough estimate allowed us to quantify in about 2 C the contribution of the former.