Continuous permafrost is present across the McMurdo Dry Valleys of southern Victoria Land, Antarctica. While summer active-layer thaw is common in the low-elevation portions of the Dry Valleys, active layers have not significantly thickened over time. However, in some locations, coastal Antarctic permafrost has begun to warm. Here, based on soil and meteorological measurements from 1993 to 2023, we show that wintertime soil temperatures have increased across multiple sites in the Dry Valleys, at rates exceeding the pace of summer soil warming. Linear warming trends over time are significant (P < 0.05) at six of seven soil monitoring sites. Winter warming is strongly correlated with increased numbers of down-valley wind events (Foehn/katabatics), but it may also be driven by increased incident longwave radiation at some stations (although winter longwave increase is not significant over time). While down-valley wind events increase winter warming, when down-valley wind events are excluded from the record, winter soil warming remains persistent and significant, suggesting that Antarctic soils are experiencing less cold winters over time in response to regional warming. Together, these observations suggest that some Antarctic permafrost may be approaching a transition to discontinuous permafrost in some regions as winter freezing intensity is reduced over time.

To better understand the changes in the hydrologic cycle caused by global warming in Antarctica, it is crucial to improve our understanding of the groundwater flow system, which has received less attention despite its significance. Both hydraulic and thermal properties of the active layer, through which groundwater can flow during thawing seasons, are essential to quantify the groundwater flow system. However, there has been insufficient information on the Antarctic active layer. The goal of this study was to estimate the hydraulic and thermal properties of Antarctic soils through laboratory column experiments and inverse modeling. The column experiments were conducted with sediments collected from two lakes in the Barton Peninsula, Antarctica. A sand column was also operated for comparison. Inverse modeling using HydroGeoSphere (HGS) combined with Parameter ESTimation (PEST) was performed with data collected from the column experiments, including permeameter tests, saturation -drain tests, and freeze -thaw tests. Hydraulic parameters (i.e., K s , theta s , S wr , alpha , beta, and S s ) and thermal diffusivity ( D ) of the soils were derived from water retention curves and temperature curves with depth, respectively. The hydraulic properties of the Antarctic soil samples, estimated through inverse modeling, were 1.6 x 10 - 5 -3.4 x 10 -4 cm s -1 for K s , 0.37 -0.42 for theta s , 6.62 x 10 - 3 -1.05 x 10 -2 for S wr , 0.53 -0.58 cm - 1 for alpha, 5.75 -7.96 for beta, and 5.11 x 10 - 5 -9.02 x 10 -5 cm - 1 for S s . The thermal diffusivities for the soils were estimated to be 0.65-4.64 cm 2 min -1 . The soil hydraulic and thermal properties reflected the physical and ecological characteristics of their lake environments. The results of this study can provide a basis for groundwater -surface water interaction in polar regions, which is governed by variably -saturated flow and freezethaw processes.

The present world faces a new threat of ancient microbes and resistomes that are locked in the cryosphere and now releasing upon thawing due to climate change and anthropogenic activities. The cryosphere act as the best preserving place for these microbes and resistomes that stay alive for millions of years. Current reviews extensively discussed whether the resurrection of microbes and resistomes existing in these pristine environments is true or just a hype. Release of these ancient microorganisms and naked DNA is of great concern for society as these microbes can either cause infections directly or they can interact with contemporary microorganisms and affect their fitness, survival, and mutation rate. Moreover, the contemporary microorganisms may uptake the unlocked naked DNA, which might transform non-pathogenic microorganisms into deadly antibiotic-resistant microbes. Additionally, the resurrection of glacial microorganisms can cause adverse effects on ecosystems downstream. The release of glacial pathogens and naked DNA is real and can lead to fatal outbreaks; therefore, we must prepare ourselves for the possible reemergence of diseases caused by these microbes. This study provides a scientific base for the adoption of actions by international cooperation to develop preventive measures.

Cryoconite holes are structures characteristic of the glacierised ablation areas, formed from dark sediment deposition which melt the glacier ice leading to their cylindrical structure formation. The present study focuses on an unstudied blue ice area of East Antarctica over the Hells Gate Ice Shelf in Northern Victoria Land. Taking advantage of neural network methodology applied on drone acquisitions, an automatic detection of cryoconite holes was carried out (88% of accuracy), mapping similar to 3500 m(2) (0.4% fractional cover) of cryoconite holes over an area of 900 000 m(2). The surveyed area showed heterogeneity in cryoconite hole distribution, with some regions showing an area fraction of holes (regions exhibiting frozen ponds and ice bands) as high as 8%. Thanks to this detection, the spatially integrated radiative forcing of cryoconite holes over blue ice surface was estimated to be almost 1 Wm(-2). This estimation was based on the measured albedo difference between the two surfaces, which averages 0.31. However, the radiative forcing is strongly increased if calculated at a single cryoconite hole scale, showing an average of similar to 200 Wm(-2). In conclusion, the present research represents a first attempt of analysing cryoconite holes as factors impacting the blue ice in Northern Victoria Land, deepening our understanding of their glaciological role at the margins of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet.

The seasonal movement of the zero-degree isotherm across the Southern Ocean and Antarctic Peninsula drives major changes in the physical and biological processes around maritime Antarctica. These include spatial and temporal shifts in precipitation phase, snow accumulation and melt, thawing and freezing of the active layer of the permafrost, glacier mass balance variations, sea ice mass balance and changes in physiological processes of biodiversity. Here, we characterize the historical seasonal southward movement of the monthly near-surface zero-degree isotherm latitude (ZIL), and quantify the velocity of migration in the context of climate change using climate reanalyses and projections. From 1957 to 2020, the ZIL exhibited a significant southward shift of 16.8 km decade(-1) around Antarctica and of 23.8 km decade(-1) in the Antarctic Peninsula, substantially faster than the global mean velocity of temperature change of 4.2 km decade(-1), with only a small fraction being attributed to the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). CMIP6 models reproduce the trends observed from 1957 to 2014 and predict a further southward migration around Antarctica of 24 +/- 12 km decade(-1) and 50 +/- 19 km decade(-1) under the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, respectively. The southward migration of the ZIL is expected to have major impacts on the cryosphere, especially on the precipitation phase, snow accumulation and in peripheral glaciers of the Antarctic Peninsula, with more uncertain changes on permafrost, ice sheets and shelves, and sea ice. Longer periods of temperatures above 0 degrees C threshold will extend active biological periods in terrestrial ecosystems and will reduce the extent of oceanic ice cover, changing phenologies as well as areas of productivity in marine ecosystems, especially those located on the sea ice edge.

The absence of vegetation in most ice-free areas of Antarctica makes the soil surface very sensitive to atmosphere dynamics, especially in the western sector of the Antarctic Peninsula, an area within the limits of the permafrost zone. To evaluate the possible effects of regional warming on frozen soils, we conducted an analysis of ground surface temperatures (GSTs) from 2007 to 2021 from different monitoring sites in Livingston and Deception islands (South Shetlands archipelago, Antarctica). The analysis of the interannual evolution of the GST and their daily regimes and the freezing and thawing indexes reveals that climate change is showing impacts on seasonal and perennially frozen soils. Freezing Degree Days (FDD) have decreased while Thawing Degree Day (TDD) have increased during the study period, resulting in a balance that is already positive at the sites at lower elevations. Daily freeze-thaw cycles have been rare and absent since 2014. Meanwhile, the most common thermal regimes are purely frozen - F1 (daily temperatures = +0.5 degrees C). A decrease in F1 days has been observed, while the IS and T1 days increased by about 60 days between 2007 and 2021. The annual number of days with snow cover increased between 2009 and 2014 and decreased since then. The GST and the daily thermal regimes evolution point to general heating, which may be indicative of the degradation of the frozen soils in the study area.

BackgroundAntarctica and its unique biodiversity are increasingly at risk from the effects of global climate change and other human influences. A significant recent element underpinning strategies for Antarctic conservation has been the development of a system of Antarctic Conservation Biogeographic Regions (ACBRs). The datasets supporting this classification are, however, dominated by eukaryotic taxa, with contributions from the bacterial domain restricted to Actinomycetota and Cyanobacteriota. Nevertheless, the ice-free areas of the Antarctic continent and the sub-Antarctic islands are dominated in terms of diversity by bacteria. Our study aims to generate a comprehensive phylogenetic dataset of Antarctic bacteria with wide geographical coverage on the continent and sub-Antarctic islands, to investigate whether bacterial diversity and distribution is reflected in the current ACBRs.ResultsSoil bacterial diversity and community composition did not fully conform with the ACBR classification. Although 19% of the variability was explained by this classification, the largest differences in bacterial community composition were between the broader continental and maritime Antarctic regions, where a degree of structural overlapping within continental and maritime bacterial communities was apparent, not fully reflecting the division into separate ACBRs. Strong divergence in soil bacterial community composition was also apparent between the Antarctic/sub-Antarctic islands and the Antarctic mainland. Bacterial communities were partially shaped by bioclimatic conditions, with 28% of dominant genera showing habitat preferences connected to at least one of the bioclimatic variables included in our analyses. These genera were also reported as indicator taxa for the ACBRs.ConclusionsOverall, our data indicate that the current ACBR subdivision of the Antarctic continent does not fully reflect bacterial distribution and diversity in Antarctica. We observed considerable overlap in the structure of soil bacterial communities within the maritime Antarctic region and within the continental Antarctic region. Our results also suggest that bacterial communities might be impacted by regional climatic and other environmental changes. The dataset developed in this study provides a comprehensive baseline that will provide a valuable tool for biodiversity conservation efforts on the continent. Further studies are clearly required, and we emphasize the need for more extensive campaigns to systematically sample and characterize Antarctic and sub-Antarctic soil microbial communities.APsmQ8MphSAgg4BzZyqdNTVideo AbstractConclusionsOverall, our data indicate that the current ACBR subdivision of the Antarctic continent does not fully reflect bacterial distribution and diversity in Antarctica. We observed considerable overlap in the structure of soil bacterial communities within the maritime Antarctic region and within the continental Antarctic region. Our results also suggest that bacterial communities might be impacted by regional climatic and other environmental changes. The dataset developed in this study provides a comprehensive baseline that will provide a valuable tool for biodiversity conservation efforts on the continent. Further studies are clearly required, and we emphasize the need for more extensive campaigns to systematically sample and characterize Antarctic and sub-Antarctic soil microbial communities.APsmQ8MphSAgg4BzZyqdNTVideo Abstract

Many studies have focused on elevation-dependent warming (EDW) across high mountains, but few studies have examined both EDW and LDW (latitude-dependent warming) on Antarctic warming. This study analyzed the Antarctic amplification (AnA) with respect to EDW and LDW under SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5 from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) during the period 2015-2100. The results show that the AnA appears under all socioeconomic scenarios, and the greatest signal appears in austral autumn. In the future, Antarctic warming is not only elevation-dependent, but also latitude-dependent. Generally, positive EDW of mean temperature (T-mean), maximum temperature (T-max) and minimum temperature (T-min) appear in the range of 1.0-4.5 km, and the corresponding altitudinal amplification trends are 0.012/0.012/0.011 (SSP1-2.6)- 0.064/0.065/0.053 (SSP5-8.5) degrees C decade(-1)center dot km(-1). Antarctic EDW demonstrates seasonal differences, and is strong in summer and autumn and weak in winter under SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5. For T(mea)n, T-max and T-min, the feature of LDW is varies in different latitude ranges, and also shows seasonal differences. The strongest LDW signal appears in autumn, and the warming rate increases with increasing latitude at 64-79 degrees S under SSP1-2.6. The similar phenomenon can be observed at 68-87 degrees S in the other cases. Moreover, the latitude component contributes more to the warming of T-mean and T-max relative to the corresponding altitude component, which may relates to the much larger range of latitude (similar to 2600 km) than altitude (similar to 4.5 km) over Antarctica, while the EDW contributes more warming than LDW in the changes in T-min in austral summer. Moreover, surface downwelling longwave radiation, water vapor and latent heat flux are the potential factors influencing Antarctic EDW, and the variation in surface downwelling longwave radiation can also be considered as an important influencing factor for Antarctic LDW. Our results provide preliminary insights into EDW and LDW in Antarctica.

The knowledge of soil thermal properties is important for determining how a soil will behave under changing climate conditions, especially in the sensitive environment of permafrost affected soils. This paper represents the first complex study of the interplay between the different parameters affecting soil thermal conductivity of soils in Antarctica. Antarctic Peninsula is currently the most rapidly warming region of the whole Antarctica, with predictions of this warming to continue in the upcoming decades. This study focuses on James Ross Island, where the Abernethy Flats automatic weather station is located in a lowland area with semi-arid climate. Air and ground temperature, soil heat flux and soil moisture during the thawing season were monitored on this site from 2015 to 2023. Moreover, two approaches to determining soil thermal conductivity were compared - laboratory measurements and calculation from field data. During this period, mean annual temperatures have increased dramatically for both air (from-6.9 degrees C in 2015/2016 to-3.8 degrees C in 2022/2023) and ground (from-6.5 degrees C to-3.2 degrees C), same as active layer thickness (from 68 cm to 95 cm). Average soil thermal conductivity for the thawing period reached values between 0.49 and 0.74 W/m.K-1 based on field data. Statistically significant relationships were found between the seasonal means of volumetric water content and several other parameters - soil thermal conductivity (r = 0.91), thawing degree days (r = -0.87) and active layer thickness (r = - 0.88). Although wetter soils generally have a higher conductivity, the increase in temperature exhibits a much stronger control over the active layer thickening, also contributing to the overall drying of the upper part of the soil profile.

Refractory black carbon (rBC) is an important climate-forcing agent emitted by biomass burning and fossil fuel combustion. Antarctica can receive rBC aerosols emitted in Southern Hemisphere (SH) and preserve the history of emissions and atmospheric transport. Here, we present a high-resolution record of rBC in an ice core (CA2016-75) acquired from the coastal Eastern Antarctica, which accumulated during the past 100 years (1915-2015). The rBC concentration (0.030 ng g(-1)) and flux (7.22 mu g m(-2) yr(-1)) are both among the lowest values in Antarctic snow and ice. The rBC concentration reaches higher values on average in the period aligned with the austral Winter. The rBC concentrations show a long-term descending trend during the period between 1950s and mid-1990s, followed by an ascending trend to 2015. Back trajectory analysis indicates that the emissions resulting from the biomass burning and anthropogenic biofuel consumption in Southern America and Australia were the main sources for the rBC deposition. Wavelet spectral analysis and temporal correlation analysis on rBC deposition and the atmospheric circulation indices (El Nino-Southern Oscillation, Southern Annular Mode and Antarctic Oscillation) confirmed that the atmospheric circulations have certain influences on the rBC deposition, likely by their direct effects on rBC transport and on weather conditions driving the occurrence of fires and subsequent emissions in source regions.