The Arctic has been warming much faster than the global average, known as Arctic amplification. The active layer is seasonally frozen in winter and thaws in summer. In the 2017 Arctic Boreal Vulnerability Experiment (ABoVE) airborne campaign, airborne L- and P- band synthetic aperture radar (SAR) was used to acquire a dataset of active layer thickness (ALT) and vertical soil moisture profile, at 30 m resolution for 51 swaths across the ABoVE domain. Using a thawing degree day (TDD) model, ALT=K root TDD, we estimated ALT along the ABoVE swaths employing the 2-m air temperature from ERA5. The coefficient (K) calibrated has an R2=0.9783. We also obtained an excellent fit between ALT and K root(TDD/theta) where theta is the soil moisture from ERA5 (R2=0.9719). Output based on shared-social economic pathway (SSP) climate scenarios SSP 1-2.6, SSP 2-4.5, and SSP 5-8.5 from seven global climate models (GCMs), statistically downscaled to 25-km resolution, was used to project the impacts of climate warming on ALT. Assuming ALT=K root TDD, the projections of UKESM1-0-LL GCM resulted in the largest projected ALT, up to about 0.7 m in 2080s under SSP5-8.5. Given that the mean observed ALT of the study sites is about 0.482 m, this implies that ALT will increase by 0.074 to 0.217 m (15% and 45%) in 2080s. This will have substantial impacts on Arctic infrastructure. The projected settlement Iset (cm) of 1 to 7 cm will also impact the infrastructure, especially by differential settlement due to the high spatial variability of ALT and soil moisture, given at local scale the actual thawing will partly depend on thaw sensitivity of the material and potential thaw strain, which could vary widely from location to location.

High-latitude areas are very sensitive to global warming, which has significant impacts on soil temperatures and associated processes governing permafrost evolution. This study aims to improve first-layer soil temperature retrievals during winter. This key surface state variable is strongly affected by snow's geophysical properties and their associated uncertainties (e.g., thermal conductivity) in land surface climate models. We used infrared MODIS land-surface temperatures (LST) and Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for EOS (AMSR-E) brightness temperatures (Tb) at 10.7 and 18.7 GHz to constrain the Canadian Land Surface Scheme (CLASS), driven by meteorological reanalysis data and coupled with a simple radiative transfer model. The Tb polarization ratio (horizontal/vertical) at 10.7 GHz was selected to improve snowpack density, which is linked to the thermal conductivity representation in the model. Referencing meteorological station soil temperature measurements, we validated the approach at four different sites in the North American tundra over a period of up to 8 years. Results show that the proposed method improves simulations of the soil temperature under snow (Tg) by 64% when using remote sensing (RS) data to constrain the model, compared to model outputs without satellite data information. The root mean square error (RMSE) between measured and simulated Tg under the snow ranges from 1.8 to 3.5 K when using RS data. Improved temporal monitoring of the soil thermal state, along with changes in snow properties, will improve our understanding of the various processes governing soil biological, hydrological, and permafrost evolution.

Permafrost landscapes experience different disturbances and store large amounts of organic matter, which may become a source of greenhouse gases upon permafrost degradation. We analysed the influence of terrain and geomorphic disturbances (e.g. soil creep, active-layer detachment, gullying, thaw slumping, accumulation of fluvial deposits) on soil organic carbon (SOC) and total nitrogen (TN) storage using 11 permafrost cores from Herschel Island, western Canadian Arctic. Our results indicate a strong correlation between SOC storage and the topographic wetness index. Undisturbed sites stored the majority of SOC and TN in the upper 70cm of soil. Sites characterised by mass wasting showed significant SOC depletion and soil compaction, whereas sites characterised by the accumulation of peat and fluvial deposits store SOC and TN along the whole core. We upscaled SOC and TN to estimate total stocks using the ecological units determined from vegetation composition, slope angle and the geomorphic disturbance regime. The ecological units were delineated with a supervised classification based on RapidEye multispectral satellite imagery and slope angle. Mean SOC and TN storage for the uppermost 1m of soil on Herschel Island are 34.8kg C m(-2) and 3.4kgNm(-2), respectively. Copyright (c) 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

[1] We apply traditional geothermal spectrum inversion to precision temperature logs and thermal conductivity from 10 wells in the Canadian Arctic Archipelago (75 degrees to 81 degrees N). Sites lie beyond the Holocene marine limit, and no effect of deep permafrost dynamics is expected. Ground surface temperature (GST) changes correlate with the Little Ice Age and Little Climatic Optimum with average amplitudes relative to 1980 of -2.7 K and +1.6 K, respectively. Results correlate broadly with similar reconstructions for this area and Greenland ice cap holes GRIP and Dye-3 to the southeast. An offshore site in 244 m water yields a Little Ice Age seabed temperature amplitude of -0.7 K, suggesting a moderated climate impact on regional ocean temperatures. Nearshore boreholes where permafrost is aggrading owing to glacioisostatic emergence are excluded; we demonstrate that traditional inversion codes without latent heat of phase change predict the magnitude of the emergence signal but a timing far too recent.