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Permafrost thaw and thermokarst development pose urgent challenges to Arctic communities, threatening infrastructure and essential services. This study examines the reciprocal impacts of permafrost degradation and infrastructure in Point Lay (Kali), Alaska, drawing on field data from similar to 60 boreholes, measured and modeled ground temperature records, remote sensing analysis, and community interviews. Field campaigns from 2022-2024 reveal widespread thermokarst development and ground subsidence driven by the thaw of ice-rich permafrost. Borehole analysis confirms excess-ice contents averaging similar to 40%, with syngenetic ice wedges extending over 12 m deep. Measured and modeled ground temperature data indicate a warming trend, with increasing mean annual ground temperatures and active layer thickness (ALT). Since 1949, modeled ALTs have generally deepened, with a marked shift toward consistently thicker ALTs in the 21st century. Remote sensing shows ice wedge thermokarst expanded from 60% in developed areas by 2019, with thaw rates increasing tenfold between 1974 and 2019. In contrast, adjacent, undisturbed tundra exhibited more consistent thermokarst expansion (similar to 0.2% yr(-1)), underscoring the amplifying role of infrastructure, surface disturbance, and climate change. Community interviews reveal the lived consequences of permafrost degradation, including structural damage to homes, failing utilities, and growing dependence on alternative water and wastewater strategies. Engineering recommendations include deeper pile foundations, targeted ice wedge stabilization, aboveground utilities, enhanced snow management strategies, and improved drainage to mitigate ongoing infrastructure issues. As climate change accelerates permafrost thaw across the Arctic, this study highlights the need for integrated, community-driven adaptation strategies that blend geocryological research, engineering solutions, and local and Indigenous knowledge.

期刊论文 2025-09-30 DOI: 10.1088/2752-664X/adf1ac

As a result of the research performed, the emission of CO2 from soils in the southern tundra ecosystems of the northeastern Russian Plain has been estimated using the example of the environs of Vorkuta. The soil cover of the studied area is presented by Histic Turbic Cryosol, Histic Reductaquic Glacic Cryosol, Reductaquic Glacic Cryosol, and Reductaquic Glacic Cryosol. Atypically high values of CO2 emission from soils [2.13 +/- 0.13 g C/(m2 day)] were largely due to the weather of the 2022 growing season: high air temperatures and low precipitation. About 60% of the variability in the emission value was due to the content of microbial biomass carbon and extractable soil carbon, temperature, and soil moisture. High spatial variation in the content of extractable carbon and microbial biomass carbon and parameters of hydrothermal regime of soils was found. The soils were characterized by low values of extractable organic carbon and soil microbial biomass carbon (224 +/- 18 and 873 +/- 73 mg C/kg of soil, respectively). The thickness of organic horizon of soil determines 72% of variability in the content of microbial biomass carbon and 79% of variability in the content of extractable carbon. Regular measurements of CO2 emissions from soils of tundra ecosystems in the northeast of the Russian Plain should obtain special attention, as this will improve the accuracy of assessing the global greenhouse gas flows.

期刊论文 2025-09-16 DOI: 10.1134/S1064229325600988 ISSN: 1064-2293

Understanding the relationship between soil moisture and vegetation is crucial for future projections of ecosystem and water resources. While their hysteresis loop relationship, which arises from their asynchrony in intra-annual variation, remains underexplored. This study used the hysteresis loop type and area (Ah) to characterize the relationship between root zone soil moisture (RZSM) and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) across China from 1986 to 2015, and examined its ecological implications. The results identified four types of hysteresis loops. The clockwise loop, with a delayed single peak of RZSM relative to NDVI, was primarily found in north China and the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, indicating severe water limitation during early growth period. The counterclockwise loop, with an advanced single peak of RZSM relative to NDVI, was common in southeast China's forest, suggesting a shift towards energy limitation. The 8-shaped loop, resulting from double peaks in either RZSM or NDVI due to climate change (e.g., snowmelt) and human disturbance (e.g., irrigation and crop harvest), was observed in northwest China's glaciers and croplands in south and northeast China. The multicrossed loop, marked by multimodal intra-annual variations in both RZSM and NDVI, was predominantly found in northwest China's barren lands. Additionally, from 1986 to 2015, this study observed a shift from 8-shaped or multi-crossed loops to clockwise or counterclockwise loops in some regions like the Yellow River Basin, implying a trend of revegetation. Furthermore, a higher Ah generally indicated more severe water limitation or greater mismatch between RZSM and NDVI. Significant changes in Ah, such as increases in the Yellow River Basin, suggested intensified water limitations, while decreases in southeast and northwest China pointed to an earlier peak of the growing and rainy seasons. This study provides insights into the dynamic interactions between soil moisture and vegetation, offering valuable guidance for ecological management across diverse ecosystems.

期刊论文 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110714 ISSN: 0168-1923

Permafrost in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) is highly sensitive to climate change, but its evolution over past century remains unclear. Based on the QTP climate change analysis since the 20th century, our study employed machine learning technique with field observations to construct permafrost simulation models, clarify its evolution processes, and reveal its changes on vertical zonation and sunny-shady slope distribution under climate warming. The results indicated that the QTP air temperature trends included initial warming (1900-1940 s, 0.13 degrees C/10a), cooling (1950-1960 s, - 0.20 degrees C/10a), and warming again (1970s to 2010s, 0.21 degrees C/10a). Precipitation patterns showed a slight decrease (- 0.33 mm/10a), rapid decrease (- 6.75 mm/10a), and gradual increase (6.57 mm/10a). Correspondingly, significant permafrost changes were recorded during the periods of 1900s, 1940s, 1960s, and 2010s, with the permafrost areas of 1.28, 1.19, 1.30, and 1.10 x 106 km2, respectively, and average mean annual ground temperature (active layer thickness) were - 2.82 +/- 1.93 degrees C (1.89 +/- 0.72 m), - 2.58 +/- 1.91 degrees C (2.21 +/- 0.78 m), - 2.86 +/- 1.94 degrees C (2.10 +/- 0.79 m), and - 2.26 +/- 1.72 degrees C (2.23 +/- 0.75 m) (mean +/- standard deviation), respectively. The southern Qiangtang Plateau and Three Rivers Source region exhibited significant permafrost changes during both the warming and cooling stages. Climate warming over the past 50 years has raised the average permafrost distribution altitude by 43 m, and accelerated its degradation on sunny slopes. These findings exhibit new knowledges on the QTP permafrost evolution and provide scientific references for permafrost degradation research under climate warming.

期刊论文 2025-09-02 DOI: 10.1007/s00382-025-07855-w ISSN: 0930-7575

Climate change is transforming the ice-free areas of Antarctica, leading to rapid changes in terrestrial ecosystems. These areas represent <0.5% of the continent and coincide with the most anthropogenically pressured sites, where the human footprint is a source of contamination. Simultaneously, these are the locations where permafrost can be found, not being clear what might be the consequences following its degradation regarding trace element remobilisation. This raises the need for a better understanding of the natural geochemical values of Antarctic soils as well as the extent of human impact in the surroundings of scientific research stations. Permafrost thaw in the Western Antarctic Peninsula region and in the McMurdo Dry Valleys is the most likely to contribute to the remobilisation of toxic trace elements, whether as the result of anthropogenic contamination or due to the degradation of massive buried ice and ice-cemented permafrost. Site-specific locations across Antarctica, with abandoned infrastructure, also deserve attention by continuing to be a source of trace elements that later can be released, posing a threat to the environment. This comprehensive summary of trace element concentrations across the continent's soils enables the geographical systematisation of published results for a better comparison of the literature data. This review also includes the used analytical techniques and methods for trace element dissolution, important factors when reporting low concentrations. A new perspective in environmental monitoring is needed to investigate if trace element remobilisation upon permafrost thaw might be a tangible consequence of climate change.

期刊论文 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.earscirev.2025.105171 ISSN: 0012-8252

Emerging contaminants and climate change are major challenges that soil organisms are facing today. Triclosan (TCS), an antibacterial agent, is widespread and hazardous in terrestrial environments, but there is a lack of information on how its toxicity will change because of climate change. The aim of the study was to evaluate the short-term effects of increased temperature, decreased soil moisture content (drought), and their complex interaction on triclosan-induced biochemical changes in Eisenia fetida (as well as growth and survival). Four different treatments were used in TCS-contaminated soil tests with E. fetida (10-750 mg TCS kg-1): C (21 degrees C + 60 % water holding capacity (WHC)), D (21 degrees C and 30 % WHC), T (25 degrees C + 60 % WHC), and T + D (25 degrees C + 30 % WHC). The more prominent TCS effect on the survival was seen only after two weeks and at the high TCS concentrations, though a negative effect on weight growth was recorded after one week of exposure at all tested TCS concentrations and climate conditions. Under standard (C) conditions, an activated E. fetida antioxidative system effectively reduced the oxidative stress induced by TCS. Changes in the climatic conditions influenced E. fetid a's biochemical response to TCS-induced oxidative stress. Despite the enhanced activity of antioxidant enzymes, the combination of drought (D) and TCS caused significant lipid peroxidation in E. fetida. Under elevated temperature, E. fetida experienced oxidative stress and a considerable rise in lipid peroxidation due to insufficient activation or inhibition of antioxidant enzymes.

期刊论文 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2025.121923 ISSN: 0013-9351

With changing climate and increased frequency of wet weather extremes, increased attention is being directed towards understanding the resilience of agroecosystems and the goods and services they deliver. The world's most instrumented and monitored farm (the North Wyke Fam Platform - a UK National Bioscience Research Infrastructure) has been used to explore the resilience of sediment loss regulation delivered by lowland grazing livestock and arable systems under conventional best management. The robustness of water quality regulation was explored using exceedance of modern background (i.e. pre-World War II) net soil loss rates (i.e., sediment delivery) during both typical (2012-13, 2015-16) and the most extreme (2013-14, 2019-20, 2023-24) winters (December - February, inclusive), in terms of seasonal rainfall totals, over the past similar to decade. Exceedances of maximum modern background sediment loss rates from pasture were as high as 2.4X when scheduled ploughing and reseeding for sward improvement occurred immediately prior to the winters in question. Exceedances of maximum modern background sediment loss rates in the arable system (winter wheat and spring oats) were as high as 21.7X. Over the five monitored winters, the environmental damage costs for cumulative sediment loss from the permanent pasture system ranged from pound 163-203 and pound 197-245 ha(-1) to pound 321-421 and pound 386-507 ha(-1). Over the same five winters, environmental damage costs for cumulative sediment loss from catchments subjected to reseeding and, more latterly, arable conversion, ranged between pound 382-584 and pound 461-703 ha(-1) to pound 1978-2334 and pound 2384-2812 ha(-1). Our data provide valuable quantitative insight into the impacts of winter rainfall and land use on the resilience of sediment loss regulation.

期刊论文 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.agee.2025.109713 ISSN: 0167-8809

Small modular reactors (SMRs) are an alternative for clean energy solutions in Canada's remote northern communities, owing to their safety, flexibility, and reduced capital requirements. Currently, these communities are heavily reliant on fossil fuels, and the transition to cleaner energy sources, such as SMRs, becomes imperative for Canada to achieve its ambitious net-zero emissions target by 2050. However, applying SMR technology in permafrost regions affected by climate change presents unique challenges. The degradation of permafrost can lead to significant deformations and settlements, which can result in increased maintenance expenses and reduced structural resilience of SMR infrastructure. In this paper, we studied the combined effect of climate nonstationarity in terms of ground surface temperature and heat dissipation from SMR reactor cores for the first time in two distinct locations in Canada's North: Salluit in Quebec and Inuvik in the Northwest Territories. It was shown that these combined effects can make significant changes to the ground thermal conditions within a radius of 15-20 m around the reactor core. The change in the ground thermal conditions poses a threat to the integrity of the permafrost table. The implementation of mitigation strategies is imperative to maintain the structural integrity of the nuclear infrastructure in permafrost regions. The thermal modeling presented in this study paves the way for the development of advanced coupled thermo-hydromechanical models to examine the impact of SMRs and climate nonstationarity on permafrost degradation.

期刊论文 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1061/JCRGEI.CRENG-804 ISSN: 0887-381X

With polar amplification warming the northern high latitudes at an unprecedented rate, understanding the future dynamics of vegetation and the associated carbon-nitrogen cycle is increasingly critical. This study uses the dynamic vegetation model LPJ-GUESS 4.1 to simulate vegetation changes for a future climate scenario, generated by the EC-Earth3.3.1 Earth System model, with the forcing of a 560 ppm CO2 level. Using climate output from an earth system model without coupled dynamic vegetation, to run a higher resolution dynamic vegetation standalone model, allows for a more in depth exploration of vegetation changes. Plus, with this approach, the drivers of high latitude vegetation changes are isolated, but there is still a complete understanding of the climate system and the feedback mechanisms that contributed to it. Our simulations reveal an uneven greening response. The already vegetated Southern Scandinavia and western Russia undergo a shift in species composition as boreal species decline and temperate species expand. This is accompanied by a shift to a carbon sink, despite higher litterfall, root turnover and soil respiration rates, suggesting productivity increases are outpacing decomposition. The previously barren or marginal landscapes of Siberia and interior Alaska/Western Canada, undergo significant vegetation expansion, transitioning towards more stable, forested systems with enhanced carbon uptake. Yet, in the previously sparsely vegetated northern Scandinavia, under elevated CO2 temperate species quickly establish, bypassing the expected boreal progression due to surpassed climate thresholds. Here, despite rising productivity, there is a shift to a carbon source. The deeply frozen soils in central Siberia resist colonisation, underscoring the role of continuous permafrost in buffering ecological change. Together, these results highlight that CO2 induced greening does not always equate to enhanced carbon sequestration. The interplay of warming, nutrient constraints, permafrost dynamics and disturbance regimes creates divergent ecosystem trajectories across the northern high latitudes. These findings illustrate a strong need for regional differentiation in climate projections and carbon budget assessments, as the Arctic's role as a carbon sink may be more heterogeneous and vulnerable than previously assumed.

期刊论文 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2025.111193 ISSN: 0304-3800

Alpine tundra ecosystems, like their arctic counterparts, have historically been the sites of considerable soil organic carbon (SOC) storage due to climatic factors that suppressed microbial activity. While climatic factors are important, heterotopic soil respiration (and SOC storage) may be influenced by a range of soil characteristics. In this study, we measured soil respiration, soil temperature, soil moisture, soil nutrient concentrations, soil pH, and soil texture in 4 alpine tundra sites located in Rocky Mountain National Park, Colorado, USA from June 2015 - September 2021. We also used geospatial modeling to visualize predicted climate changes in this system over the 21st century. Finally, we measured SOC concentrations over the seven-year study. We found that soil respiration was significantly correlated with soil temperature, soil moisture, and soil texture. All other parameters were not significantly correlated with soil respiration. We also found that SOC concentrations did not change significantly over the course of the seven-year study. The predictive models show that by the end of the century, over the majority of the park, the mean maximum air temperature will increase, the amount of snowfall will decrease, soil moisture will decrease, and the number of snow-free days will increase. These results suggest that SOC is not currently being lost from this system at a high rate. In addition, it appears that with a changing climate, soil respiration may increase with warming, but the overall increase may be limited by decreased soil moisture and in some cases, high soil temperatures.

期刊论文 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.geodrs.2025.e00987 ISSN: 2352-0094
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