Temperature in 2 km deep borehole Litomeice, drilled in 2007, was repeatedly logged down to 1700 m in the period 2007 - 2020. We were able to monitor a return of the temperature to the equilibrium temperature-depth profile undisturbed by drilling. The uppermost part of the profile contains signal of the recent warming manifested by a negative temperature gradient close to the surface and a temperature minimum at a depth of about 40 m. The minimum has been migrating downward at a rate of 1.5 - 2 m per year in the period 2015 - 2020. A detailed knowledge of temperature gradient together with thermal conductivity, diffusivity and heat production measurements on the drill-core samples of mica-schist that occurs below 900 m depth enabled us to analyze the heat flow vertical variations in the lithologically homogeneous depth 900 - 1700 m. We came to the conclusion that temperature-depth profile in this contains a robust climate signal of the last glacial cycle. The reconstructed ground surface temperature history indicates the magnitude of the last glacial - Holocene warming 13 -15 K and existence of a minimum 15 - 20 ka. The long-term mean ground surface temperature +1 - +2 degrees C suggests that the borehole site was permafrost free for most of the glacial cycle. Existence of about 100 m deep permafrost is possible in the coldest part of the last glacial. The steady-state surface heat flow has been estimated at 88 mW/m2. The reconstructed ground surface temperature history used as a surface forcing function in a numerical solution of the transient heat conduction equation provided an estimate of the present-day heat flow in the well. The estimate is practically independent from the poorly constrained conductivity of the 900 m thick sedimentary cover. According to it the present-day heat flow is lower than the steady-state one by 20 - 30 mW/m2 in the first hundreds of meters below the surface and still by about 10 mW/m(2) at a depth of 1 km.

Significant climate warming, as observed over the past decades and projected by global climate models, would inevitably cause permafrost degradation in the Arctic regions. Several studies have been conducted to assess geothermal response to climate change in natural conditions; no study, however, has been observed yet to examine the potential response of the permafrost geothermal regime in a building environment. This paper presents a methodology and the results of a case study in the community of Inuvik. Canada of the spatio-temporal dynamics simulation of the geothermal regime under climate change scenarios in a building environment. A process-based, surface-coupled, 3-dimensional geothermal model was used for the simulation. The results suggest that the permafrost under the study would deteriorate under all the three climate change scenarios assessed, and the rate of the deterioration would depend on geotechnical properties of subsurface materials and climate change scenarios. Two patterns of the geothermal dynamics were revealed from the simulation results: spatially, there are significant differences in the rate of increase in active layer thickness underneath vs. around a building; and temporally, there is an abrupt rise in the active layer thickness around the middle of this century. Crown Copyright (C) 2009 Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

We present a review of the changing state of European permafrost within a spatial zone that includes the continuous high latitude arctic permafrost of Svalbard and the discontinuous high altitude mountain permafrost of Iceland, Fennoscandia and the Alps. The paper focuses on methodological developments and data collection over the last decade or so, including research associated with the continent-scale network of instrumented permafrost boreholes established between 1998 and 2001 under the European Union PACE project. Data indicate recent warming trends, with greatest warming at higher latitudes. Equally important are the impacts of shorter-term extreme climatic events, most immediately reflected in changes in active layer thickness. A large number of complex variables, including altitude, topography, insolation and snow distribution, determine permafrost temperatures. The development of regionally calibrated empirical-statistical models, and physically based process-oriented models, is described, and it is shown that, though more complex and data dependent, process-oriented approaches are better suited to estimating transient effects of climate change in complex mountain topography. Mapping and characterisation of permafrost depth and distribution requires integrated multiple geophysical approaches and recent advances are discussed. We report on recent research into ground ice formation, including ice segregation within bedrock and vein ice formation within ice wedge systems. The potential impacts of climate change on rock weathering, permafrost creep, landslides. rock falls, debris flows and slow mass movements are also discussed. Recent engineering responses to the potentially damaging effects of climate warming are outlined, and risk assessment strategies to minimise geological hazards are described. We conclude that forecasting changes in hazard occurrence, magnitude and frequency is likely to depend on process-based modelling, demanding improved understanding of geomorphological process-response systems and their impacts on human activity. (C) 2008 Published by Elsevier B.V.