This study assesses the stability of the Bei'an-Hei'he Highway (BHH), located near the southern limit of latitudinal permafrost in the Xiao Xing'anling Mountains, Northeast China, where permafrost degradation is intensifying under combined climatic and anthropogenic influences. Freeze-thaw-induced ground deformation and related periglacial hazards remain poorly quantified, limiting regional infrastructure resilience. We developed an integrated framework that fuses multi-source InSAR (ALOS, Sentinel-1, ALOS-2), unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) photogrammetry, electrical resistivity tomography (ERT), and theoretical modeling to characterize cumulative deformation, evaluate present stability, and project future dynamics. Results reveal long-term deformation rates from -35 to +40 mm/yr within a 1-km buffer on each side of the BHH, with seasonal amplitudes up to 11 mm. Sentinel-1, with its 12-day revisit cycle, demonstrated superior capability for monitoring the Xing'an permafrost. Deformation patterns were primarily controlled by air temperature, while precipitation and the topographic wetness index enhanced spatial heterogeneity through thermo-hydrological coupling. Wavelet analysis identified a 334-day deformation cycle, lagging climate forcing by similar to 107 days due to the insulating effects of peat. Early-warning analysis classified 4.99 % of the highway length as high-risk (subsidence 10.91 mm/yr). The InSAR-based landslide prediction model achieved high accuracy (Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) Curve, or AUC = 0.9486), validated through field surveys of subsidence, cracking, and slow-moving failures. The proposed 'past-present-future' framework demonstrates the potential of multi-sensor integration for permafrost monitoring and provides a transferable approach for assessing infrastructure stability in cold regions.

As one of the best indicators of the periglacial environment, ice-wedge polygons (IWPs) are important for arctic landscapes, hydrology, engineering, and ecosystems. Thus, a better understanding of the spatiotemporal dynamics and evolution of IWPs is key to evaluating the hydrothermal state and carbon budgets of the arctic permafrost environment. In this paper, the dynamics of ground surface deformation (GSD) in IWP zones (2018-2019) and their influencing factors over the last 20 years in Saskylakh, northwestern Yakutia, Russia were investigated using the Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) and Google Earth Engine (GEE). The results show an annual ground surface deformation rate (AGSDR) in Saskylakh at -49.73 to 45.97 mm/a during the period from 1 June 2018 to 3 May 2019. All the selected GSD regions indicate that the relationship between GSD and land surface temperature (LST) is positive (upheaving) for regions with larger AGSDR, and negative (subsidence) for regions with lower AGSDR. The most drastic deformation was observed at the Aeroport regions with GSDs rates of -37.06 mm/a at tower and 35.45 mm/a at runway. The GSDs are negatively correlated with the LST of most low-centered polygons (LCPs) and high-centered polygons (HCPs). Specifically, the higher the vegetation cover, the higher the LST and the thicker the active layer. An evident permafrost degradation has been observed in Saskylakh as reflected in higher ground temperatures, lusher vegetation, greater active layer thickness, and fluctuant numbers and areal extents of thermokarst lakes and ponds.