The Pernote landslide event in the Ramban area on April 25, 2024, caused significant damage and displaced many residents. Preliminary investigations identified the landslide as a massive, complex debris slide and flow, primarily involving overburden materials such as mud, silt, clay, and rock fragments. The slide was characterized by several rotational slip planes and debris flow channels. The severity of the event was attributed to explicit geological conditions, including fault and thrust zones, loose consolidated and deformed rocks from the Murree Formation, and thick deposits of Quaternary sediments exceeding similar to 20 m. Heavy antecedent rainfall (100-175 mm) from April 20th to 24th saturated the debris and soil cover, triggering the landslide on the steep slopes (angle > 45 degrees). The total displacement was approximately 40 m, with a depth of about similar to 12 m. The slide zone extended from the crown to the toe, reaching up to the River Chenab, covering approximately 1250 m. The Pernote landslide was not entirely unexpected, as early signs of movement-such as deep fissures, ground cracks, and bulges-were observed as early as 2021. Temporal analysis of high-resolution Google Earth images from 2012 to 2022 supports these observations, revealing signs like old landslide scars, ground cracks, and ongoing landslide activity. Additionally, during the past decade, significant changes in vegetation cover and a 19.2% increase in built-up areas were noted. These findings highlight the importance of monitoring early surface indications as warning signs for effective landslide mitigation, preparedness, and public awareness to prevent loss of life and infrastructure in future events.
This study investigates aerosol characteristics using ground-based measurements at two distinct regions, MohalKullu (31.9 degrees N, 77.12 degrees E; 1154 m amsl) and Kosi-Katarmal (29.64 degrees N, 79.62 degrees E; 1225 m amsl), from July 2019 to June 2022. The average Black Carbon (BC) concentrations were 1.5 f 1.0 mu g m- 3 at Mohal and 1.1 f 1.4 mu g m-3 at Katarmal. BC showed strong seasonal variability, with maxima during post-monsoon (2.6 f 1.0 mu g m- 3) and pre-monsoon (1.8 f 0.5 mu g m-3) seasons. The diurnal variation displayed distinct morning and evening peaks in all the seasons. High pre-monsoon AOD500 (0.30 f 0.06 to 0.54 f 0.08) and low values of & Aring;ngstrom exponent (0.67 f 0.10 to 0.95 f 0.30) indicated dominance of large particles, whereas lower AOD500 (0.21 f 0.07 to 0.25 f 0.03) in post-monsoon and winter, along with larger & Aring;ngstrom exponent (1.05 f 0.74 to 1.13 f 0.11), indicated smaller particles. Satellite-derived (OMI and MAIAC) AOD500 showed weak to moderate correlation with ground-based measurements at Mohal (R = 0.4639 for MAIAC, R = 0.1402 for OMI) and Katarmal (R = 0.3976 for MAIAC, R = 0.2980 for OMI). Using optical properties of aerosols and clouds (OPAC) and Santa Barbara discrete ordinate radiative transfer (SBDART) models, the short-wave aerosol radiative forcing (SWARF) was found negative at the surface and top of the atmosphere but positive in the atmosphere, suggesting significant surface cooling and atmospheric warming leading to high heating rates, respectively. Annual mean atmospheric radiative forcing was 27.36 f 6.00 Wm- 2 at Mohal and 21.87 f 7.26 Wm- 2 at Katarmal. These findings may have consequences for planning air pollution strategies and understanding the effects of regional climate change.
Srinagar city is located in the heart of the Kashmir valley of the northwest Himalaya and is the largest urban center in the seismically active region. As yet, no direct deformation measurement or observation of any kind has been made in Srinagar and the surrounding areas using InSAR. We detect and quantify the ground deformation in the city's western flank using the InSAR time series. Stanford Method for Persistent Scatterer (StaMPS) is employed to process Sentinel-1A radar images acquired between 2015 and 2022 for ascending (161 scenes) and 2020 to 2022 for descending track (31 scenes). Generated velocity fields were decomposed into vertical rate maps, revealing a deformation of 17 mm year(-1) for ascending and 19 mm year(-1) for descending track. Time series analysis exhibits an identical deformation rate for both tracks on concurrent dates. Time-series GPS data was employed to validate the outcomes of our InSAR analysis. A field survey conducted in the main zone of deformation revealed extensive damage to structures in the form of wide cracks. Such cracks develop in older infrastructure (similar to 8 years) due to cumulative ground deformation over several years. Geotechnical investigation and strength calculation on a 30-m borehole of the subsiding region shows a vertical domination of high void, floodplain soils, with appreciable amounts of decomposed organic matter and lower shear strength parameters that are prone to volume reduction and particle rearrangement upon wetting and loading. The overall relevance of this study is in detecting and quantifying such subsidence in the Kashmir basin using SAR remote sensing. We also seek to establish a linkage of this deformation with the local stratum to allow for more consideration and efficient planning of civil infrastructure in the subsidence-prone regions of the citified zone and appropriate management of the subsidence-induced risk.
Hydrologically-induced landslides are ubiquitous natural hazards in the Himalayas, posing severe threat to human life and infrastructure. Yet, landslide assessment in the Himalayas is extremely challenging partly due to complex and drastically changing climate conditions. Here we establish a mechanistic hydromechanical landslide modeling framework that incorporates the impacts of key water fluxes and stocks on landslide triggering and risk evolution in mountain systems, accounting for potential climate change conditions for the period 1991-2100. In the drainage basin of the largest river in the northern Himalayas- the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin (YZRB), we estimate that rainfall, glacier/snow melt and permafrost thaw contribute similar to 38.4%, 28.8%, and 32.8% to landslides, respectively, for the period 1991-2019. Future climate change will likely exacerbate landslide triggering primarily due to increasing rainfall, whereas the contribution of glacier/snow melt decreases owing to deglaciation and snow cover loss. The total Gross Domestic Productivity risk is projected to increase continuously throughout the 21st century, while the risk to population shows a general declining trend. The results yield novel insights into the climatic controls on landslide evolution and provide useful guidance for disaster risk management and resilience building under future climate change in the Himalayas.
In this study, we used satellite observations to identify 10 typical dust-loading events over the Indian Himalayas. Next, the aerosol microphysical and optical properties during these identified dust storms are characterized using cotemporal in situ measurements over Mukteshwar, a representative site in Indian Himalayas. Relative to the background values, the mass of coarse particles (size range between 2.5 and 10 mu m) and the extinction coefficient were found to be enhanced by 400% (from 24 +/- 15 to 98 +/- 40 mu g/m3) and 175% (from 89 +/- 57 Mm-1 to 156 +/- 79 Mm-1), respectively, during these premonsoonal dust-loading events. Moreover, based on the air mass trajectory, these dust storms can be categorized into two categories: (a) mineral dust events (MDEs), which involve long-range transported dust plumes traversing through the lower troposphere to reach the Himalayas and (b) polluted dust events (PDEs), which involve short-range transported dust plumes originating from the arid western regions of the Indian subcontinent and traveling within the heavily polluted boundary layer of the Gangetic plains before reaching the Himalayas. Interestingly, compared to the background, the SSA and AAE decrease during PDEs but increase during MDEs. More importantly, we observe a twofold increase in black carbon concentrations and the aerosol absorption coefficient (relative to the background values) during the PDEs with negligible changes during MDEs. Consequently, the aerosol-induced snow albedo reduction (SAR) also doubles during MDEs and PDEs relative to background conditions. Thus, our findings provide robust observational evidence of substantial dust-induced snow and glacier melting over the Himalayas.
Due to climate change the drop in spring-water discharge poses a serious issue in the Himalayan region, especially in the higher of Himachal Pradesh. This study used different climatic factors along with long-term rainfall data to understand the decreasing trend in spring-water discharge. It was determined which climate parameter was most closely correlated with spring discharge volumes using a general as well as partial correlation plot. Based on 40 years (1981-2021) of daily average rainfall data, a rainfall-runoff model was utilised to predict and assess trends in spring-water discharge using the MIKE 11 NAM hydrological model. The model's effectiveness was effectively proved by the validation results (NSE = 0.79, R2 = 0.944, RMSE = 0.23, PBIAS = 32%). Model calibration and simulation revealed that both observed and simulated spring-water runoff decreased by almost 29%, within the past 40 years. Consequently, reduced spring-water discharge is made sensitive to the hydrological (groundwater stress, base flow, and stream water flow) and environmental entities (drinking water, evaporation, soil moisture, and evapotranspiration). This study will help researchers and policymakers to think and work on the spring disappearance and water security issues in the Himalayan region.
The present study proposes a rapid visual screening methodology for multi-hazard vulnerability assessment (termed as MH-RVS) of reinforced concrete (RC) buildings in the Indian Himalayan region considering earthquakes, debris flow, debris flood, and soil subsidence. An extensive field survey of 1200 buildings was conducted in three hill towns situated in the Northwestern Indian Himalayan region to identify prevalent multi-hazard vulnerability attributes. The presented MH-RVS methodology is statistically developed based on the information obtained from the current field survey and existing post-hazard reconnaissance studies. The proposed methodology effectively addresses the concern of underpredicting the expected damage states of RC buildings situated in hilly regions subjected to multi-hazard scenarios when they are assessed using RVS methodologies of seismic vulnerability assessment. Further, a simplified MH-RVS form is developed to collect field data and conveniently segregate the RC buildings based on their expected damage state under multi-hazard scenarios involving earthquakes, debris flow, debris flood, and soil subsidence. Stakeholders and decision-makers can use the proposed MH-RVS methodology to assess the perceived vulnerability of RC buildings in the Indian Himalayan region and devise timely strategies for structural strengthening and risk mitigation.
Indian monsoon circulation is the primary driver of the long-range transboundary mercury (Hg) pollution from South Asia to the Himalayas and Tibet Plateau region, yet the northward extent of this transport remains unknown. In this study, a strong delta Hg-202 signature overlapping was found between Lake Gokyo and Indian anthropogenic sources, which is an indicative of the Hg source regions from South Asia. Most of the sediment samples were characterized with relatively large positive Delta Hg-199 values (mean = 0.07 parts per thousand-0.44 parts per thousand) and small positive Delta Hg-200 values (mean = 0.03 parts per thousand-0.08 parts per thousand). Notably, the Delta Hg-199 values in the lake sediments progressively increased from southwest to northeast. Moreover, the Delta Hg-199 values peaked at Lake Tanglha (mean = 0.44 parts per thousand +/- 0.04 parts per thousand) before decreased at Lake Qinghai that is under the influence of the westerlies. Our results suggest that transboundary atmospheric transport could transport Hg from South Asia northwards to at least the Tanglha Mountains in the northern Himalaya-Tibet.
The Lesser Himalayan regions face significant geotechnical challenges due to unstable and erosive soil. This study investigates stabilizing these soils with Nano-silica (NS), a reliant additive that has been demonstrated to enhance soil mechanical properties. A comprehensive set of investigations, including multiple laboratory analyses, was conducted to evaluate the mechanical and physical characteristics of problematic soil stabilized with NS. The study also includes reliability analysis to assess the long-term performance and durability of the treated soil. The results of the experiment showed that adding NS greatly increased the soil's compressibility. More precisely, the right amount of NS increased the strength of the problematic soil and resulted in a notable rise in compressibility. According to the durability test results, stabilizing problematic soil with NS and allowing it to cure preserves its improved properties for an extended length of time. Reliability research utilizing probabilistic methodologies showed that applying NS considerably decreased the likelihood of problematic soil failure. The findings show that NS has the potential to be a stable, troublesome soil stabilizer that can lower the probability of soil failure in the Lesser Himalayan regions over the long run. This work provides a foundational understanding for future applications and paves the way for the construction of more robust infrastructure in mountainous terrain.
Rock-ice avalanches have frequently occurred in the Eastern Himalayan Syntaxis region due to climate change and active tectonic movements. These events commonly trigger catastrophic geohazard chains, including debris flows, river blockages, and floods. This study focuses on the Zelongnong Basin, analyzing the geomorphic and dynamic characteristics of high-altitude disasters. The basin exhibits typical vertical zonation, with disaster sources initiating at elevations exceeding 4000 m and runout distances reaching up to 10 km. The disaster chain movement involves complex dynamic effects, including impact disintegration, soil-rock mixture arching, dynamic erosion, and debris deposition, enhancing understanding of the flow behavior and dynamic characteristics of rock-ice avalanches. The presence of ice significantly increases mobility due to lubrication and frictional melting. In the disaster event of September 10, 2020, the maximum flow velocity and thickness reached 40 m/s and 43 m, respectively. Furthermore, continuous deformation of the Zelongnong glacier moraine was observed, with maximum cumulative deformations of 44.68 m in the distance direction and 25.96 m in the azimuth direction from March 25, 2022, to August 25, 2022. In the future, the risk of rock-ice avalanches in the Eastern Himalayan Syntaxis region will remain extremely high, necessitating a focus on early warning and risk mitigation strategies for such basin disasters.