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Climate warming has impacted the sustainability of freshwater supply in the global water tower unit (WTU) zone. The rainfall infiltration process, a key component of WTUs supply, is affected by freeze-thaw cycles, yet it remains uncertain whether it has undergone corresponding changes. We propose a temperature-mediated infiltration model considering changes in soil water holding, water potential, and hydraulic conductivity due to varying degrees of freezing under negative temperature. Using this model, we calculate the infiltration of 78 WTUs globally from 1980 to 2023. Our results indicate that global WTUs have a multi-year average infiltration of 26 similar to 2359 mm/year. Notably, WTUs in the key latitudinal zone (24 degrees S-42 degrees N) contribute 54 % of the total infiltration volume, showing expanding differences in infiltration characteristics compared to other regions. While rainfall primarily influences infiltration and infiltration capacity, soil temperature and initial soil water content also significantly impact these characteristics. Enhanced infiltration capacity promotes vegetation growth, though the relationship is not linear. Variations in infiltration characteristics threaten the water resource buffering and the stability of downstream living ecological water supply of WTUs. This study provides crucial references for the integrated management of water resources and ecological conservation amid changing infiltration characteristics.

期刊论文 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.134712 ISSN: 0022-1694

Near-surface temperature and moisture are key boundary conditions for simulating permafrost distribution, projecting its response to climate change, and evaluating the surface energy balance in alpine regions. However, in desertified permafrost zones of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP), the observations remain sparse, and reported trends vary considerably among sites. This lack of consistent evidence limits the ability to represent microenvironmental processes in models and to predict their influence on permafrost stability. From September 2021 to August 2024, we conducted continuous observations at a desertified permafrost site on the central QTP, covering the vertical range from 150 cm above to 100 cm below the ground surface (boundary layer). Measurements included air and ground temperature, air humidity, soil moisture, wind speed, and net radiation. Results showed that the mean annual air temperature increased with decreasing height at a gradient of approximately 0.42 degrees C/m, while mean annual air humidity remained nearly constant at 56.8 +/- 1.1 % (150-0 cm). In the near-surface soil layer (0 similar to -10 cm), temperature rose by 3.6 +/- 0.1 degrees C and moisture decreased by 34.0 +/- 2.7 %. The mean annual ground temperature increased with depth at a rate of about 0.55 degrees C/m, whereas soil moisture decreased between -20 and -60 cm (52.86 %/m) and increased between -60 and -100 cm (56.30 %/m). Seasonal patterns showed marked difference: in the freezing season, the calculated total temperature increment within the boundary layer (1.91 degrees C) was 61 % lower than the observed value (4.88 degrees C), while in the thawing season, it was 58 % higher (4.38 degrees C > 2.77 degrees C). These results reveal strong vertical gradients and seasonal contrasts in thermal and moisture regimes, emphasizing the need to integrate coupled temperature-moisture processes into boundary layer parameterizations for cold-region environments. Improved representations can enhance permafrost modeling and inform infrastructure design in regions experiencing both warming and desertification.

期刊论文 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.coldregions.2025.104789 ISSN: 0165-232X

Accurate soil thermal conductivity (STC) data and their spatiotemporal variability are critical for the accurate simulation of future changes in Arctic permafrost. However, in-situ measured STC data remain scarce in the Arctic permafrost region, and the STC parameterization schemes commonly used in current land surface process models (LSMs) fail to meet the actual needs of accurate simulation of hydrothermal processes in permafrost, leading to considerable errors in the simulation results of Arctic permafrost. This study used the XGBoost method to simulate the spatial-temporal variability of the STC in the upper 5 cm active layer of Arctic permafrost during thawing and freezing periods from 1980 to 2020. The findings indicated STC variations between the thawing and freezing periods across different years, with values ranging from-0.4 to 0.28 W & sdot;m-1 & sdot;K-1. The mean STC during the freezing period was higher than that during the thawing period. Tundra, forest, and barren land exhibited the greatest sensitivity of STC to freeze-thaw transitions. This is the first study to explore the long-term spatiotemporal variations of STC in Arctic permafrost, and these findings and datasets can provide useful support for future research on Arctic permafrost evolution simulations.

期刊论文 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.coldregions.2025.104793 ISSN: 0165-232X

Here, we present the result of different models for active layer thickness (ALT) in an area of the Italian Central Alps where a few information about the ALT is present. Looking at a particular warm year (2018), we improved PERMACLIM, a model used to calculate the Ground Surface Temperature (GST) and applied two different versions of Stefan's equation to model the ALT. PERMACLIM was updated refining the temporal basis (daily respect the monthly means) of the air temperature and the snow cover. PERMACLIM was updated also to minimize the bias of the snow cover in summer months using the PlanetScope images. Moreover, the contribution of the solar radiation was added to the air temperature to improve the summer GST. The modelled GST showed a good calibration and, among the two versions of Stefan's equation, the first (ALT1) indicates a maximum active layer thickness of 7.5 m and showed a better accuracy with R2 of 0.93 and RMSE of 0.32 m. The model underlined also the importance of better definition of the thermal conductivity of the ground that can strongly influence the ALT.

期刊论文 2026-01-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.coldregions.2025.104762 ISSN: 0165-232X

Black carbon (BC) is a major short-lived climate pollutant (SLCP) with significant climate and environmentalhealth impacts. This review synthesizes critical advancements in the identification of emerging anthropogenic BC sources, updates to global warming potential (GWP) and global temperature potential (GTP) metrics, technical progress in characterization techniques, improvements in global-regional monitoring networks, emission inventory, and impact assessment methods. Notably, gas flaring, shipping, and urban waste burning have slowly emerged as dominant emission sources, especially in Asia, Eastern Europe, and Arctic regions. The updated GWP over 100 years for BC is estimated at 342 CO2-eq, compared to 658 CO2-eq in IPCC AR5. Recent CMIP6-based Earth System Models (ESMs) have improved attribution of BC's microphysics, identifying a 22 % increase in radiative forcing (RF) over hotspots like East Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa. Despite progress, challenges persist in monitoring network inter-comparability, emission inventory uncertainty, and underrepresentation of BC processes in ESMs. Future efforts could benefit from the integration of satellite data, artificial intelligence (AI)assisted methods, and harmonized protocols to improve BC assessment. Targeted mitigation strategies could avert up to four million premature deaths globally by 2030, albeit at a 17 % additional cost. These findings highlight BC's pivotal roles in near-term climate and sustainability policy.

期刊论文 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2025.116284 ISSN: 1364-0321

Bedrock-soil layer slopes (BSLSs) are widely distributed in nature. The existence of the interface between bedrock and soil layer (IBSL) affects the failure modes of the BSLSs, and the seismic action makes the failure modes more complex. In order to accurately evaluate the safety and its corresponding main failure modes of BSLSs under seismic action, a system reliability method combined with the upper bound limit analysis method and Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) is proposed. Four types of failure modes and their corresponding factors of safety (Fs) were calculated by MATLAB program coding and validated with case in existing literature. The results show that overburden layer soil's strength, the IBSL's strength and geometric characteristic, and seismic action have significant effects on BSLSs' system reliability, failure modes and failure ranges. In addition, as the cohesion of the inclination angle of the IBSL and the horizontal seismic action increase, the failure range of the BSLS gradually approaches the IBSL, which means that the damage range becomes larger. However, with the increase of overburden layer soil's friction angle, IBSL's depth and strength, and vertical seismic actions, the failure range gradually approaches the surface of the BSLS, which means that the failure range becomes smaller.

期刊论文 2025-12-31 DOI: 10.1080/19475705.2024.2442020 ISSN: 1947-5705

Glacier shrinkage, a notable consequence of climate change, is expected to intensify, particularly in high-elevation areas. While plant diversity and soil microbial communities have been studied, research on soil organic matter (SOM) and soil protein function dynamics in glacier forefields is limited. This limited understanding, especially regarding the link between microbial protein functions and biogeochemical functions, hampers our knowledge of soil-ecosystem processes along chronosequences. This study aims to elucidate the mechanistic relationships among soil bacterial protein functions, SOM decomposition, and environmental factors such as plant density and soil pH to advance understanding of the processes driving ecosystem succession in glacier forefields over time. Proteomic analysis showed that as ecosystems matured, the dominant protein functions transition from primarily managing cellular and physiological processes (biological controllers) to orchestrating broader ecological processes (ecosystem regulators) and increasingly include proteins involved in the degradation and utilization of OM. This shift was driven by plant density and pH, leading to increased ecosystem complexity and stability. Our confirmatory path analysis findings indicate that plant density is the main driver of soil process evolution, with plant colonization directly affecting pH, which in turn influenced nutrient metabolizing protein abundance, and SOM decomposition rate. Nutrient availability was primarily influenced by plant density, nutrient metabolizing proteins, and SOM decomposition, with SOM decomposition increasing with site age. These results underscore the critical role of plant colonization and pH in guiding soil ecosystem trajectories, revealing complex mechanisms and emphasizing the need for ongoing research to understand long-term ecosystem resilience and carbon sequestration.

期刊论文 2025-12-03 DOI: 10.1007/s00374-025-01957-7 ISSN: 0178-2762

To investigate the effect of interface temperature on the soil-reinforcement interaction mechanism, a series of pullout tests were conducted considering different types of reinforcement (geogrid and non-woven geotextile), backfill (dry sand, wet sand, and clay), and six interface temperatures. The test results indicate that at interface temperatures of 0 degrees C and above, reinforcement failure didn't occur during the pullout tests, whereas it predominantly occurred at subzero temperatures. Besides, the pullout resistance for the same soil-reinforcement interface gradually decreased as the interface temperature rose. At a given positive interface temperature, the pullout resistance between wet sand and reinforcement was significantly higher than that of the clayreinforcement interface but lower than that of the dry sand-reinforcement interface. Compared with geotextile reinforcements, geogrids were more difficult to pull out under the same interface temperature and backfill conditions. In addition, the lag effect in the transfer of tensile forces within the reinforcements was significantly influenced by the type of soil-reinforcement interface and the interface temperature. Finally, the progressive deformation mechanism along the reinforcement length at different interface temperatures was analyzed based on the strain distribution in the reinforcement.

期刊论文 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.geotexmem.2025.06.002 ISSN: 0266-1144

Understanding soil organic carbon (SOC) distribution and its environmental controls in permafrost regions is essential for achieving carbon neutrality and mitigating climate change. This study examines the spatial pattern of SOC and its drivers in the Headwater Area of the Yellow River (HAYR), northeastern Qinghai-Xizang Plateau (QXP), a region highly susceptible to permafrost degradation. Field investigations at topsoils of 86 sites over three summers (2021-2023) provided data on SOC, vegetation structure, and soil properties. Moreover, the spatial distribution of key permafrost parameters was simulated: temperature at the top of permafrost (TTOP), active layer thickness (ALT), and maximum seasonal freezing depth (MSFD) using the TTOP model and Stefan Equation. Results reveal a distinct latitudinal SOC gradient (high south, low north), primarily mediated by vegetation structure, soil properties, and permafrost parameters. Vegetation coverage and above-ground biomass showed positive correlation with SOC, while soil bulk density (SBD) exhibited a negative correlation. Climate warming trends resulted in increased ALT and TTOP. Random Forest analysis identified SBD as the most important predictor of SOC variability, which explains 38.20% of the variance, followed by ALT and vegetation coverage. These findings likely enhance the understanding of carbon storage controls in vulnerable alpine permafrost ecosystems and provide insights to mitigate carbon release under climate change.

期刊论文 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1007/s43979-025-00130-1 ISSN: 2788-8614

The alpine ecosystems of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) provide multiple ecosystem services. In recent decades, these ecosystem services have been profoundly affected by climate change, human activity, and frozen ground degradation. However, related research remains lacking to date in the QTP. To address this gap, the upper reaches of the Shule River, a typical cryospheric-dominated basin in the QTP, was selected. We simultaneously assessed the spatial-temporal patterns and driving factors of ecosystem services, including habitat quality (HQ), net primary productivity (NPP), water conservation (WC), carbon storage (CS), water yield (WY), green space recreation (GSR), and total ecosystem service (TES), by employing the InVEST, CASA, and Noah-MP land surface models in combination with remote sensing and field survey data. Our results showed that: (1) HQ, NPP, WC, CS, WY, and GSR all increased significantly from 2001 to 2020 at rates of 0.004 a(-1), 1.920 g Cm(-2)a(-1), 0.709 mma(-1), 0.237 Mg & sdot;ha(-1)a(-1), 0.212 x 10(8) m(3)a(-1), and 0.038 x 10(9) km(2)a(-1) (P < 0.05), respectively; (2) warm and humid climates, combined with shrinking of barren, contributed to the increases in HQ, NPP, WC, CS, WY, and GSR; (3) frozen ground degradation had promoting effects on HQ, NPP, CS, GSR, and TES, while inhibiting effects were observed on WY and WC (P < 0.05); (4) synergies among ecosystem services were prominent over the past 20 years; (5) the total ecosystem service value increased significantly at a rate of 1.18 x 10(9) CNYa(-1) from 2001 to 2020 (P < 0.05), primarily due to the increase in the provisioning service value.

期刊论文 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2025.103579 ISSN: 0197-3975
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