Ground freeze-thaw processes have significant impacts on infiltration, runoff and evapotranspiration. However, there are still critical knowledge gaps in understanding of hydrological processes in permafrost regions, especially of the interactions among permafrost, ecology, and hydrology. In this study, an alpine permafrost basin on the northeastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau was selected to conduct hydrological and meteorological observations. We analyzed the annual variations in runoff, precipitation, evapotranspiration, and changes in water storage, as well as the mechanisms for runoff generation in the basin from May 2014 to December 2015. The annual flow curve in the basin exhibited peaks both in spring and autumn floods. The high ratio of evapotranspiration to annual precipitation (>1.0) in the investigated wetland is mainly due to the considerably underestimated 'observed' precipitation caused by the wind-induced instrumental error and the neglect of snow sublimation. The stream flow from early May to late October probably came from the lateral discharge of subsurface flow in alpine wetlands. This study can provide data support and validation for hydrological model simulation and prediction, as well as water resource assessment, in the upper Yellow River Basin, especially for the headwater area. The results also provide case support for permafrost hydrology modeling in ungauged or poorly gauged watersheds in the High Mountain Asia.

Global warming potentially increases precipitation and intensifies water exchange, thereby accelerating the hydrological cycle. The Tibetan Plateau (TP) is an Asian water tower in which the water budget varies and its anomaly exerts stress on resource availability. Few studies have quantified long-term water budgets across TP owing to scarcity of ground-based observations and uncertainties in remote sensing data. In this study, water budget components (i.e., precipitation, glacial melting [GM], evapotranspiration [ET], runoff, and soil moisture [SM] state) in TP are synthetically estimated for the past three decades. The water budget estimation benefits from a GM-coupled hydrological ensemble modeling, which is forced by nine precipitation products with seven from satellite methods. The results show that the ensemble modeling effectively captures the dynamics of runoff, ET, and terrestrial water storage. The long-term average annual water input (sum of precipitation and GM) was approximately 438 mm, with similar to 4 % contribution from GM, for which the annual ET and runoff take away was approximately 263 and 173 mm, respectively. From 1984 to 2015, the four water fluxes significantly increased with varying rates (2.3 mm/yr, precipitation; 0.9 mm/yr, GM; 1.5 mm/yr, ET; 1.1 mm/yr, runoff), which suggested an accelerating hydrological cycle. Particularly, increasing GM (similar to 5.8 mm/yr) in the Nyainqentanglha Mountains in southern TP induced high-yield runoff (>800 mm). These estimations aid in yielding robust solutions for water management in TP and neighboring regions. The accelerated hydrological cycle implies potential flooding risk and vulnerability of the hydrological system under climate change.

Ice-wedge polygon troughs play an important role in controlling the hydrology of low-relief polygonal tundra regions. Lateral surface flow is confined to troughs only, but it is often neglected in model projections of permafrost thermal hydrology. Recent field and modeling studies have shown that, after rain events, increases in trough water levels are significantly more than the observed precipitation, highlighting the role of lateral surface flow in the polygonal tundra. Therefore, understanding how trough lateral surface flow can influence polygonal tundra thermal hydrology is important, especially under projected changes in temperatures and rainfall in the Arctic regions. Using an integrated cryohydrology model, this study presents plotscale end-of-century projections of ice-wedge polygon water budget components and active layer thickness with and without trough lateral surface flow under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 scenario. Trough lateral surface flow is incorporated through a newly developed empirical model, evaluated against field measurements. The numerical scenario that includes trough lateral surface flow simulates discharge (outflow from a polygon) and recharge (rain-induced inflow to a polygon trough from upslope areas), while the scenario that does not include trough lateral surface flow ignores recharge. The results show considerable reduction (about 100-150%) in evapotranspiration and discharge in rainy years in the scenarios ignoring trough lateral surface flow, but less effect on soil water storage, in comparison with the scenario with trough lateral surface flow. In addition, the results demonstrate long-term changes (similar to 10-15 cm increase) in active layer thickness when trough lateral surface flow is modeled. This study highlights the importance of including lateral surface flow processes to better understand the long-term thermal and hydrological changes in low-relief polygonal tundra regions under a changing climate.

Under the influence of perennial dynamics of soil thawing depth, the upper layer of permafrost periodically thaws and becomes a part of the soil profile in the permafrost zone. In this case, the horizon, which is either frozen or thawed and has a thickness of several tens of centimeters, displays an elevated ice content (moisture). This horizon between the lower boundary of the active layer and the permafrost is named a protective layer or a transient permafrost layer and functions as a buffer that hinders thawing of the ice complex with its high ice content. The study of moisture using soil-regime methods and budget calculations showed that the protective layer of permafrost in sandy and loamy soils (at the depth of 1.5-5 m) contains from 25 to 60 mm (on average, 30 mm) of water in each 10-cm-thick layer of frozen soils under different types of forests in Central Yakutia. An increase in the seasonal thawing depth of permafrost-affected soils under conditions of global climate warming and anthropogenic impacts (forest fires, destruction of forest cover, etc.) causes degradation of the protective layer. The purpose of this article is to show the effect of increasing seasonal thawing depth of permafrost-affected soils on changes in the water content and water budget in permafrost areas because of the release of moisture stored in the protective layer in the context of global climate change. It was found that with an increase in the seasonal thawing depth, the protective layer should release a significant amount of water preserved in permafrost, which may change the water budget of permafrost territories. As calculations show, with an increase in the soil seasonal thawing depth by 20-30 cm on the interfluve areas, the volume of water entering the basins of nearby thermokarst depressions (alases) and rivers from frozen soils may reach 60000-90000 m(3)/km(2). The obtained results can be used in modeling and predicting the dynamics of permafrost environments under the global climate change.

The Tarim River Basin (TRB) is one of the most important areas in Central Asia, and also the largest inland river basin in China. The runoff largely originates from alpine mountains, mainly supplied by glacier and snow melting. It meets the demand of oasis and more broadly ecosystems while shaping them up. In this study, the spatio-temporal variations of water balance and vegetation (as measured by the normalized difference vegetation index, NDVI) in the TRB during 2003-2014 were investigated on the basis of multiple satellite observations together with an energy balance model. The interactions between hydrological factors were discussed. Considering that hydrological processes affect on terrestrial ecosystem, variations in vegetation were also analyzed correspondingly. The analysis suggest that water budget has changed in the TRB. By looking into all components in the budget, it is found that there is a slight decreasing trend in precipitation, but a significant decreasing trend in ET at a rate of 38.4 mm/10 a. Meanwhile, there are an evident decreasing trend in both GRACE satellite derived terrestrial water storage change (GRACE-TWS change) and Global Land Data Assimilation System simulated soil moisture change (GLDAS-SM change), at rates of -17.8 mm/a and -17.0 mm/a, respectively, while the ground water (GW) was stable. Overall, the water balance in the TRB is negative during the period. However, it shows a significant increasing trend in snow/ice melting that is discharged into the TRB. The interactions among hydrological variables indicated that the ET, GRACE-TWS change and GLDA-SSM change are strongly dependent on the monthly precipitation. However, a time lag of the GLDAS-SM change occurs influenced by precipitation, which is more obvious than one of the GRACE-TWS change. GW change shows a positive correlation with precipitation over 1-month lag and 2-month lag. The results suggest soil moisture in warm seasons (summer and autumn) are mainly affecting vegetation growth in the TRB. The vegetation in the TRB was greening, the areas of low NDVI (0-0.15) decreased by 18.1% during 2003-2014.

The Three-River Source Region (TRSR) of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) is regarded as the Chinese water tower. Climate warming and the associated degradation of permafrost might change the water cycle and affect the alpine vegetation growth in the TRSR. However, the quantitative changes in the water budget and their impacts on the vegetation in the TRSR are poorly understood. In this study, the spatial-temporal changes in the hydrological variables and the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) during 2003-2014 were investigated using multiple satellite data and a remote sensing energy balance model. The results indicated that precipitation showed an increasing trend at a rate of 14.0 mm 10 a(-1), and evapotranspiration (ET) showed a slight decreasing trend. The GRACE-derived total water storage (TWS) change presented a significant increasing trend at a rate of 35.1 mm a(-1). The change in groundwater (GW) which showed an increasing trend at a rate of 18.5 mm a(-1), was estimated by water budget. The time lag of the GRACE-TWS that was influenced by precipitation was more obviously than was the GLDAS-SM(Soil Moisture) change. The vegetation in the TRSR was greening during the study period, and the accumulation of the NDVI increased rapidly after 2008. The effect of total TWS and GLDAS-SM on vegetation was considerably more than that the effects of other factors in this region. It was concluded that the hydrological cycle had obviously changed and that more soil water was transferred into the GW since the aquiclude changed due to climate warming. The increasing area and number of lakes and the thickening of the active layer in the permafrost area led to the greater infiltration of surface water into the groundwater, which resulted in increased water storage. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Climate change has become a hot topic both in the scientific community and the population in general. Despite the climate pattern has been changing continuously during the Earth's history due to changes in the atmosphere, topography, volcanic activity, and other natural factors, this change seems to have been exacerbated recently due to the alteration of the greenhouse gases content in the atmosphere by the humanity. It is easy to understand why the water cycle is one of the most environmental drivers affected by climate change. Global warming, leaded last century by the climate change, has involved alterations in the temperature, precipitation and evaporation patters. From the point of view of the water resources, these changes include an increase in the freshwater losses from terrestrial sources (glaciers, ice and snow, lakes, soil moisture, swamps, groundwater, marches and rivers) by evaporation and sublimation from fresh water deposits and transpiration from the vegetation, but also change in the rainfall quantity and patterns. As a result, climate change has leaded short-and long-term alterations in the frequency of extreme water-related events such as floods of droughts, which directly impact, on the quantity but also water resources quality, especially in islands environments. (C) 2014 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.

Many lakes in northern high latitudes have undergone substantial changes in surface area over the last four decades, possibly as a result of climate warming. In the discontinuous permafrost of Yukon Flats, interior Alaska (USA), these changes have been non-uniform across adjacent watersheds, suggesting local controls on lake water budgets. Mechanisms that could explain the decreasing mass of one lake in Yukon Flats since the early 1980s, Twelvemile Lake, are identified via a scoping analysis that considers plausible changes in snowmelt mass and infiltration, permafrost distribution, and climate warming. Because predicted changes in evaporation (2 cmyr(-1)) are inadequate to explain the observed 17.5 cmyr(-1) reduction in mass balance, other mechanisms are required. The most important potential mechanisms are found to involve: (1) changes in shallow, lateral groundwater flow to the lake possibly facilitated by vertical freeze-thaw migration of the permafrost table in gravel; (2) increased loss of lake water as downward groundwater flow through an open talik to a permeable subpermafrost flowpath; and (3) reduced snow meltwater inputs due to decreased snowpack mass and increased infiltration of snowmelt into, and subsequent evaporation from, fine-grained sediment mantling the permafrost-free lake basin.