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Numerous endorheic lakes in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) have shown a dramatic increase in total area since 1996. These expanding lakes are mainly located in the interior regions of the QTP, where permafrost is widely distributed. Despite significant permafrost degradation due to global warming, the impact of permafrost thawing on lake evolution in QTP has been underexplored. This study investigated the permafrost degradation and its correlation with lake area increase by selecting four lake basins (Selin Co, Nam Co, Zhari Namco, and Dangqiong Co) in QTP for analysis. Fluid-heat-ice coupled numerical models were conducted on the aquifer cross-sections in these four lake basins, to simulate permafrost thawing driven by rising surface temperatures, and calculate the subsequent changes in groundwater discharge into the lakes. The contribution of these changes to lake storage, which is proportional to lake area, was investigated. Numerical simulation indicates that from 1982 to 2011, permafrost degradation remained consistent across the four basins. During this period, the active layer thickness first increased, then decreased, and partially transformed into talik, with depths reaching up to 25 m. By 2011, groundwater discharge had significantly risen, exceeding 2.9 times the initial discharge in 1988 across all basins. This increased discharge now constitutes up to 17.67 % of the total lake water inflow (Selin Co). The dynamic lake water budget further suggests that groundwater contributed significantly to lake area expansion, particularly since 2000. These findings highlight the importance of considering permafrost thawing as a crucial factor in understanding the dynamics of lake systems in the QTP in the context of climate change.

期刊论文 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132529 ISSN: 0022-1694

In recent years, frequent flood disasters have posed significant threats to human life and property. From 28 July to 1 August 2023, a basin-wide extreme flood occurred in the Haihe River Basin (23.7 flood). The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment satellite can effectively detect the spatiotemporal characteristics of terrestrial water storage anomalies (TWSA) and has been widely used in flood disaster monitoring. However, flood events usually occur on a submonthly scale. This study first utilizes near-real-time precipitation data to illustrate the evolution of the 23.7 extreme flood. We then reconstruct daily TWSA to improve the issues of coarse temporal resolution and data latency and further calculate wetness index (WI) to explore its flood warning. In addition, we analyze soil moisture storage anomalies to provide a comprehensive understanding of flood mechanisms. The study also compares the 2023 floods to a severe flood event in 2021. Results indicate that reconstructed daily TWSA increases by 143.43 mm in 6 days during the 23.7 flood, highlighting the high sensitivity of our approach to extreme events. Moreover, compared to daily runoff data, the WI consistently exceeds warning thresholds 2-3 days in advance, demonstrating the flood warning capability. The flood event 2021 is characterized by long duration and large precipitation extremes, whereas the 2023 flood affects a wider area. This study provides a reference for using daily TWSA to monitor short-term flood events and evaluate the flood warning potential of WI, aiming to enhance near-real-time flood monitoring and support flood prevention and damage mitigation efforts.

期刊论文 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1109/JSTARS.2025.3568893 ISSN: 1939-1404

A capillary barrier cover (CBC) is a geotechnical structure which a coarse-grained soil layer covered by a fine-grained soil layer. A CBC can retain downward water infiltration, increase water storage capacity and lateral diversion, and prevent capillary rise. Geotextiles are usually set up as isolation layers between fine-grained and coarse-grained layers to prevent fine particles entering the coarse-grained layer, resulting in a decrease in downward water infiltration and water storage capacity. However, crustal stress, farming, animal, plant activities, and other factors may cause damage to the isolation layer. At present, there is no reliable and accurate method to determine the location and degree of damage to the isolation layer. The existing methods search for the damage location by excavating the whole fine layer, which incurs high maintenance costs. If the damaged position of the CBC isolation layer can be accurately obtained, it can reduce maintenance costs. Therefore, this study investigated the influence of a coarse-grained layer mixed with different particle sizes and proportions of fine particles on water storage capacity through laboratory soil column experiments. The results are as follows: (1) Fine particle mixing into the coarse-grained layer will reduce water storage capacity, and there is a worse admixture ratio that minimizes water storage capacity. (2) The CBC enhances the fine-grained layer volumetric water content (VWC), but the enhancement degree decreases as the distance from the fine-coarse interface increases. (3) A method has been proposed to determine the location and degree of damage to the isolation layer. When the VWC at the fine-coarse interface reaches a stable level during breakthrough, the CBC effect exists, the higher the VWC at the fine-coarse interface, the stronger the CBC; when the VWC at the fine-coarse interface is unstable during breakthrough, the CBC effect disappears, and the median diameter of the fine particles mixed into the coarse-grained layer is finer than or equal to the fine-grained particles' median diameter.

期刊论文 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.3390/w17020183

Flooding is a recurring natural phenomenon that can have both life-giving and destructive aspects. In natural environments, floods are often an important element of the seasonal hydrologic cycle that provides water and nutrients to soil, supporting unique, rich and diverse ecosystems. However, flood events can also represent a destructive force that can endanger lives and cause significant damage in urban areas. Karst areas, in particular, are unique because of their special hydraulic characteristics in terms of flood occurrence, the dependence of ecosystems on such events, and attempts to actively store and manage floods. In this article, the hydraulic response of karst aquifers to heavy precipitation events, flood generation, and engineering interventions for flood control are discussed using several examples from karst areas in the Mediterranean region. Flooding mechanisms and regulatory structures in karst poljes are considered using several typical examples from the Dinaric mountain range. In addition, different variants of groundwater abstraction for increasing storage capacity and flood control are presented using examples from France and Montenegro. Managed aquifer recharge in karst areas and adjacent aquifers is demonstrated with examples from Jordan and Algeria. Finally, failed attempts at flood storage in karst reservoirs are presented with examples from Spain and Montenegro. These examples of flood retention in karst areas show the wide range of planning and technical measures and remind us of possible risks and failures in implementation as well as some positive and negative impacts on the environment and especially on ecosystems.

期刊论文 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10040-024-02811-0 ISSN: 1431-2174

Identifying the changes in terrestrial water storage is essential for a comprehensive understanding of the regional hydrological mass balance under global climate change. This study used a partial least square regression model to fill the observation gaps between GRACE and GRACE-FO and obtained a complete series of terrestrial water storage anomaly data from April 2002 to December 2020 from southeast China. We investigated the variations in terrestrial water storage anomalies in the region and the influencing factors. The study revealed that terrestrial water storage (TWS) anomalies have been increasing in the region, with an average increase of 0.33 cm/yr (p < 0.01). The intra-annual variation showed a positive anomaly from March to September and a negative anomaly in other months. Terrestrial water storage anomalies increased in most regions (especially in the central and northern parts), whereas they decreased in the southern parts. In terms of the components, the soil moisture storage (SMS) contributes 58.3 % and the surface water storage (SWS, especially reservoirs water storage) contributes 41.4 % to the TWS. The study also found that changes in the precipitation explain approximately 71.7 % of the terrestrial water storage variation, and reservoirs contributes to the remaining 28.3 %. These results are essential for understanding the changes in the hydrological cycle and developing strategies for water management in Southeast China.

期刊论文 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131095 ISSN: 0022-1694

This research addresses experimentally the relationship between the excitation frequency and both hoop and axial wall stresses in a water storage tank. A low-density polyethylene tank with six different aspect ratios (water level to tank radius) was tested using a shake table. A laminar box with sand represents a soil site to simulate Soil-Structure Interaction (SSI). Sine excitations with eight frequencies that cover the first free vibration frequency of the tank-water system were applied. Additionally, Ricker wavelet excitations of two different dominant frequencies were considered. The maximum stresses are compared with those using a nonlinear elastic spring-mass model. The results reveal that the coincidence between the excitation frequency and the free-vibration frequency of the soil-tank-water system increases the sloshing intensity and the rigid -like body motion of the system, amplifying the stress development considerably. The relationship between the excitation frequency and wall stresses is nonlinear and depends simultaneously on both sloshing and uplift. In most cases, the maximum stresses using the nonlinear elastic spring-mass model agree with those from the experiments.

期刊论文 2024-02-25 DOI: 10.12989/sem.2024.89.4.421 ISSN: 1225-4568

Study region: The Northwest inland basins of China (NWC).Study focus: Terrestrial water resources, especially groundwater resources, are the main source of water for human activities and for maintaining the stability of the ecological environment in NWC. Excessive consumption of water resources will seriously affect the sustainable utilization of water resources and ecological security in this region. Therefore, it is urgent to clarify the long-term changes in water storage in this area in order to handle the pressure of future water re-sources and the natural environment. Using GRACE satellite datasets and global hydrological models (GHMs) products, this study analyzed spatiotemporal variations in terrestrial water storage anomalies (TWSA), groundwater storage anomalies (GWSA), soil moisture, snow water equivalent, and canopy interception combined anomalies (SSCA) in NWC through the application of the water balance, trend decomposition, and empirical orthogonal decomposition methods. Furthermore, the driving factors of water storage change and feasible water resource manage-ment strategies were discussed. New hydrological insights for the region: TWSA in the NWC has experienced a continuous decline over the past nearly 40 years, while SSCA has shown a weak increasing trend (0.03 cm yr-1). Since the availability of glacial retreat data (2003-2016), glacial water storage in the NWC has decreased by 0.09 cm per year, while TWSA, SSCA, and GWSA have changed at rates of -0.25, 0.02, and -0.18 cm yr-1, respectively. The North Tianshan Rivers Basin has become one of the areas with the most severe groundwater depletion in China. 2005-2010 was a turning period in the changes of TWSA, followed by widespread water loss across the NWC. Glacier and snow melt are the most important factors for the decline of TWSA in the Tianshan mountains area, and over -exploitation of groundwater by human activities is a secondary factor. For other regions, Groundwater losses remain the most significant contributor to TWSA losses. The massive loss of water storage in the Tianshan Mountains area, especially the accelerated retreat of glaciers, will affect the stable water supply to the middle and lower reaches of the oasis region, perhaps leading to increased groundwater extraction, which will threaten regional water security and sustainable development. Developing a water-saving society and implementing inter-basin water transfer arefeasible ways to alleviate the water resource crisis. Conducting a comprehensive analysis of all inland rivers in China helps to facilitate horizontal comparisons between various basins, thereby providing more comprehensive insights of water storage fluctuations. The data on water storage changes, extending back to 1980, provide a longer-term perspective on water resource changes in the region, which can contribute to enhancing water resource security and ecological environ-mental protection.

期刊论文 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2023.101488

Despite that the supplying role of cryosphere (glaciers, permafrost, and snow) in groundwater storage (GWS) in Tibetan Plateau (TP) is well-known by comparing their long-term linear trends, the question whether GWS could in turn affect the variation of cryospheric variables remains controversial, since long-term trend analysis fails to distinguish the direction of their interplay. To find evidence of GWS causally affecting cryosphere, this research resorts to the causal inference community and investigates a novel causal interaction between GWS and cryosphere in TP: nonlinear dynamic causality (NDC), based on the Nonlinear Dynamic System (NDS) theory. The specific method applied is called Convergent Cross-mapping (CCM), which detects NDC between two targeted variables X and Y from both directions (X & RARR; Y, Y & RARR; X). Important findings are summarized as follows: (1) With CCM, NDCs with similar strengths are found from glaciers retreat, snowmelt, and permafrost thaw to GWS, respectively; (2) Also in the form of NDC, GWS is proven to reversely affect permafrost, but not to glacier and snow; (3) NDCs are also found between GWS and other hydrometeorological variables in TP, including lakes, soil moisture, precipitation, and temperature; (4) Some nontraditional NDCs from glaciers and lakes towards GWS are identified. Overall, using CCM, our new findings about NDC answer the controversial question of whether GWS could in turn affect cryosphere, completing previous conclusions about how GWS interplays with cryosphere in TP, and more importantly, this research would shed light on future causality detection in hydrology.

期刊论文 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129910 ISSN: 0022-1694

Understanding terrestrial water storage (TWS) dynamics and associated drivers (e.g., climate variability, vegetation change, and human activities) across climate zones is essential for designing water resources management strategies in a changing environment. This study estimated TWS anomalies (TWSAs) based on the corrected Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) gravity satellite data and derived driving factors for 214 watersheds across six climate zones in China. We evaluated the long-term trends and stationarities of TWSAs from 2004 to 2014 using the Mann-Kendall trend test and Augmented Dickey-Fuller stationarity test, respectively, and identified the key driving factors for TWSAs using the partial correlation analysis. The results indicated that increased TWSAs were observed in watersheds in tropical and subtropical climate zones, while decreased TWSAs were found in alpine and warm temperate watersheds. For tropical watersheds, increases in TWS were caused by increasing water conservation capacity as a result of large-scale plantations and the implementation of natural forest protection programs. For subtropical watersheds, TWS increments were driven by increasing precipitation and forestation. The decreasing tendency in TWS in warm temperate watersheds was related to intensive human activities. In the cold temperate zone, increased precipitation and soil moisture resulting from accelerated and advanced melting of frozen soils outweigh the above-ground evapotranspiration losses, which consequently led to the upward tendency in TWS in some watersheds (e.g., Xiaoxing'anling mountains). In the alpine climate zone, significant declines in TWS were caused by declined precipitation and soil moisture and increased evapotranspiration and glacier retreats due to global warming, as well as increased agriculture activities. These findings can provide critical scientific evidence and guidance for policymakers to design adaptive strategies and plans for watershed-scale water resources and forest management in different climate zones.

期刊论文 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.3390/f13101541

Understanding how groundwater storage (GWS) responds to climate change is essential for water resources management and future water availability in the Tibetan Plateau (TP). However, the dominant factor controlling long-term GWS changes remains unclear and its responses to climate change are not well understood. Here we combined multi-source datasets including in-situ measurements, satellite observations, global models, and reanalysis products to reveal that GWS increased at 5.59 +/- 1.44 Gt/yr during 2003-2016 while showing spatial heterogeneities with increasing trends in northern TP and glacial regions and declining trends in central and southern TP. The accelerated transformation from solid water (glaciers, snow, and permafrost; -17.72 +/- 1.53 Gt/yr) into liquid water provide more recharge to groundwater, dominating the total GWS increase. This study contributes to a better understanding of the hydrological cycle under climate change and provides key information for projecting water availability under different future scenarios in the TP.

期刊论文 2022-09-28 DOI: 10.1029/2022GL100092 ISSN: 0094-8276
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