Alpine wet meadow (AWM), an important wetland type on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP), is sensitive to climate change, which alters the soil hydrothermal regime and impacts ecological and hydrological functions in permafrost regions. The mechanisms underlying extreme AWM degradation in the QTP and hydrothermal factors controlling permafrost degradation remain unclear. In this study, soil hydrothermal processes, soil heat migration, and the permafrost state were measured in AWM and extremely degraded AWM (EDAWM). The results showed that the EDAWM exhibited delayed onset of both soil thawing and freezing, shortened thawing period, and extended freezing period at the lower boundary of the active layer. The lower ground temperatures resulted in a 0.2 m shallower active layer thickness in the EDAWM compared with the AWM. Moreover, the EDAWM altered soil thermal dynamics by redistributing energy, modifying soil moisture, preserving soil organic matter, and adjusting soil thermal properties. As for energy budget, a substantial amount of heat in the EDAWM was consumed by turbulent heat fluxes, particularly latent heat flux, which reduced the amount of heat transferred to the ground. Additionally, the higher soil organic matter content in EDAWM decreased the annual mean soil thermal conductivity from 1.42 W m- 1 K-1 in AWM to 1.26 W m- 1 K-1 in EDAWM, slowing down heat transfer within the active layer and consequently mitigating permafrost degradation. However, with continued climate warming, the soil organic matter content in EDAWM will inevitably decline due to microbial decomposition in the absence of new organic inputs. As the soil organic matter content diminishes, soil heat transfer processes will likely accelerate, and the permafrost warming rate may surpass that in undistributed AWM. These findings enhance our understanding of how alpine ecosystem succession influences regional hydrological cycles and greenhouse gas emissions.

Wet scavenging of black carbon (BC) is essential for evaluating their atmospheric lifetime and radiative forcing. However, it is crucial to differentiate atmospheric BC into char and soot subgroups, given their significant disparities in physicochemical properties and potential impacts. We first conducted a comparative study of char/soot in PM10 and rainwater, collected over a year in urban Guangzhou, China. The mean char/soot ratio in PM10 (similar to 2.5) is obviously higher than that in rainwater (similar to 0.8), corresponding to higher wet scavenging efficiency of soot. Through sequence rainwater sampling during individual rainfall events, we further distinguished the contributions of in-cloud and below-cloud scavenging, with in-cloud scavenging predominantly contributed to the distinct difference between char and soot. Such a distinct wet scavenging behavior of char and soot would have substantial implications for the atmospheric behavior of BC, which should be considered in future models for accurate evaluation of its lifetime and climate impact.

The global cryosphere is retreating under ongoing climate change. The Third Pole (TP) of the Earth, which serves as a critical water source for two billion people, is also experiencing this decline. However, the interplay between rising temperatures and increasing precipitation in the TP results in complex cryospheric responses, introducing uncertainties in the future budget of TP cryospheric water (including glacier and snow water equivalents and frozen soil moisture). Using a calibrated model that integrated multiple cryospheric-hydrological components and processes, we projected the TP cryospheric water budgets under both low and high climatic forcing scenarios for the period 2021-2100 and assessed the relative impact of temperature and precipitation. Results showed (1) that despite both scenarios involving simultaneous warming and wetting, under low climatic forcing, the total cryospheric budget exhibited positive dynamics (0.017 mm yr-1 with an average of 1.77 mm), primarily driven by increased precipitation. Glacier mass loss gradually declined with the rate of retreat slowing, accompanied by negligible declines in the budget of snow water equivalent and frozen soil moisture. (2) By contrast, high climatic forcing led to negative dynamics in the total cryospheric budget (-0.056 mm yr-1 with an average of -1.08 mm) dominated by warming, with accelerated decreases in the budget of all cryospheric components. These variations were most pronounced in higher-altitude regions, indicating elevation-dependent cryospheric budget dynamics. Overall, our findings present alternative futures for the TP cryosphere, and highlight novel evidence that optimistic cryospheric outcomes may be possible under specific climate scenarios.

Permafrost underpins engineering in cold regions but is highly sensitive to climate change. The mechanisms linking climate warming, precipitation changes, and permafrost degradation to infrastructure stability remain poorly understood on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau (QXP). Here, we present a multi-factor framework to quantify climate impacts on permafrost engineering stability. Our findings reveal a 26.7% decline in permafrost engineering stability from 2015 to 2100, with areas of extremely poor stability expanding by 0.3 x 104 km2 per decade (SSP2-4.5) and 0.6 x 104 km2 per decade (SSP5-8.5). Meanwhile, regions with relatively better stability shrink by 2.0 x 104 km2 and 2.9 x 104 km2 per decade, respectively. These changes driven primarily by a warming and wetting climate pattern. Moreover, engineering stability is maintained in northwestern and interior regions, whereas warmer, ice-saturated areas in the central plateau and southern Qilian Mountains degrade rapidly. Notably, cold permafrost is warming faster than warm permafrost, increasing its vulnerability. These insights provide a critical basis for guiding the future design, construction, and maintenance of permafrost infrastructure, enabling the development of adaptive engineering strategies that account for projected climate change impacts.

Estimating the landscape and soil freeze-thaw (FT) dynamics in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) is crucial for understanding permafrost response to global warming and changes in regional and global carbon budgets. A new framework for surface FT-cycle retrievals using L-band microwave radiometry based on a deep convolutional autoencoder neural network is presented. This framework defines the landscape FT-cycle retrieval as a time-series anomaly detection problem, considering the frozen states as normal and the thawed states as anomalies. The autoencoder retrieves the FT-cycle probabilistically through supervised reconstruction of the brightness temperature (TB) time series using a contrastive loss function that minimizes (maximizes) the reconstruction error for the peak winter (summer). Using the data provided by the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) satellite, it is demonstrated that the framework learns to isolate the landscape FT states over different land surface types with varying complexities related to the radiometric characteristics of snow cover, lake-ice phenology, and vegetation canopy. The consistency of the retrievals is assessed over Alaska using in situ observations, demonstrating an 11% improvement in accuracy and reduced uncertainties compared to traditional methods that rely on thresholding the normalized polarization ratio (NPR).

The climate in Northwest China (NWC) has undergone a warming and wetting trend (WWT) since the 1980s, which has attracted considerable attention from the scientific and policy communities. However, the majority of previous studies have focused on overall effects of WWT, and very few have examined how land surface system responds to climate warming or wetting trend, respectively. For this purpose, this study uses the Community Land Model (CLM5) driven by the Chinese Meteorological Forcing Dataset (CMFD) to conduct four modeling experiments: a control experiment (CTRL) and three sensitivity experiments, in which the annual trend of air temperature (NonWarm), precipitation (NonWet), and both (NonWWT) are removed from the CMFD from 1979 to 2018. Compared to CTRL, the land hydrological variables (i.e. soil moisture, runoff and evapotranspiration) show a visible reduction in magnitude, interannual variability, as well as annual trend in NonWet, while they are enhanced in NonWarm. In both NonWarm and NonWet, the magnitude and trend of both net radiation and sensible heat fluxes increase, with a more pronounced change in NonWWT. Further analysis indicates that the land surface processes are more sensitive to wetting trend than to warming trend. Among all land surface hydrological variables and energy variables, runoff and snow cover fraction are the most susceptible to climate change. Overall, the effects of climate change in Ta and Pr on surface hydrological variables are non-linearly offsetting, while the effects on surface energy budgets are non-linearly superimposed. Compared to warming trend, wetting trend plays a larger impact on the variability of land surface processes in NWC.

Ground freeze-thaw processes have significant impacts on infiltration, runoff and evapotranspiration. However, there are still critical knowledge gaps in understanding of hydrological processes in permafrost regions, especially of the interactions among permafrost, ecology, and hydrology. In this study, an alpine permafrost basin on the northeastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau was selected to conduct hydrological and meteorological observations. We analyzed the annual variations in runoff, precipitation, evapotranspiration, and changes in water storage, as well as the mechanisms for runoff generation in the basin from May 2014 to December 2015. The annual flow curve in the basin exhibited peaks both in spring and autumn floods. The high ratio of evapotranspiration to annual precipitation (>1.0) in the investigated wetland is mainly due to the considerably underestimated 'observed' precipitation caused by the wind-induced instrumental error and the neglect of snow sublimation. The stream flow from early May to late October probably came from the lateral discharge of subsurface flow in alpine wetlands. This study can provide data support and validation for hydrological model simulation and prediction, as well as water resource assessment, in the upper Yellow River Basin, especially for the headwater area. The results also provide case support for permafrost hydrology modeling in ungauged or poorly gauged watersheds in the High Mountain Asia.

Driven by human activities and global climate change, the climate on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau is experiencing a warming and humidifying trend. It significantly impacts the thermal-moisture dynamics in the active layer of the permafrost, which in turn affects the ecological environment of cold regions and the stability of cold region engineering. While the effect of air temperature on permafrost thaw has been well quantified, the processes and mechanisms behind the thermal-moisture response of the permafrost under the combined influence of increased rainfall and rising air temperature remain contentious and largely unknown. A coupled model was applied to quantify the impacts of increased rainfall, rising air temperature, and their compound effects on the thermal-moisture dynamics in the active layer, considering the sensible heat of rainwater in the ground surface energy balance and water balance process. The results indicate that the compound effect of warming and humidifying resulted in a significant increase in surface net radiation and evaporation latent heat, a more significant decrease in surface sensible heat, and a smaller impact of rainfall sensible heat, leading to an increase in surface soil heat flux. The compound effect of warming and humidifying leads to a significant increase in the liquid water flux with temperature gradient. The increase in liquid water flux due to the temperature gradient is larger than that of warming alone but smaller than the effect of humidifying alone. Warming and humidifying result in a smaller increase in soil moisture content during the warm season compared to rainfall increases alone. The thermal conductivity heat flux in the active layer increases significantly during the cold season but less than the effect of warming alone. The convective heat flux of liquid water flux increases noticeably during the warm season but less than the effect of rainfall increases alone. Increased rainfall significantly cools the soil during the warm season, while both warming and humidifying lead to a more pronounced warming effect on the soil during the cold season than during the warm season. An increase in the average annual temperature by 1.0 degrees C leads to a downward shift of the permafrost table by 10 cm, while an increase in rainfall by 100 mm causes an upward shift of the permafrost table by 8 cm. The combined effect of warming and humidifying results in a downward shift of the permafrost table by 6 cm. Under the influence of climate warming and humidifying, the cooling effect of increased rainfall on permafrost is relatively small, and the warming effect of increased temperature still dominates.

The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) has experienced rapid environmental changes, including climate warming and wetting, since the 1980s. These environmental changes significantly impact the shallow soil hydrothermal conditions, which have key roles in land-atmosphere feedback and ecosystem functions. However, the spatial variations and responses of soil hydrothermal conditions to environmental changes over the QTP with permafrost (PF) and seasonal frost (SF) remain unclear. In this study, we investigated the spatial variations in soil temperature (ST) and soil moisture (SM) changes over the QTP from 2000 to 2020 using 99 in-situ sites with observations at 4 depths (i.e. 10, 40, 100 and 200 cm). The main environmental controlling factors were further identified using a calibrated statistical model. Results showed that significant ( p < 0.05) soil warming occurred at multiple soil layers during 2000-2020 with a wide variation (i.e. 0.033-0.039 degrees C per year on average), whereas the warming rates at PF sites were two times greater than those at SF sites. In addition, the soil wetting rate was high over the SF region, whereas the soil wetting rate was low over the PF region. Aside from air temperature, changes in thawing degree days and solar radiation (Srad) contributed most to soil warming in the PF region, whereas changes in rainfall, Srad and evaporation (EVA) have been identified as the key factors in the SF region. As for soil wetting, changes in snowfall, freezing degree days and vegetation have noticeable nonlinear effects over the PF region, whereas changes in EVA, Srad and rainfall highlighted distinct linear and nonlinear effects in the SF region. These findings enhance our understanding of the hydrothermal impacts of future environmental changes over the QTP.

Increased soil nutrient availability, and associated increases in vegetation productivity, could create a negative feedback between Arctic ecosystems and the climate system, thereby reducing the contribution of Arctic ecosystems to future climate change. To predict whether this feedback will develop, it is important to understand the environmental controls over nutrient cycling in High Arctic ecosystems and their impact on carbon cycling processes. Here, we examined the environmental controls over soil nitrogen availability in a High Arctic wet sedge meadow and how abiotic factors and soil nitrogen influenced carbon dioxide exchange processes. The importance of environmental variables was consistent over the 3 years, but the magnitudes of their effect varied depending on climate conditions. Ammonium availability was higher in warmer years and wetter conditions, while drier areas within the wetland had higher nitrate availability. Carbon uptake was driven by soil moisture, active layer depth, and variability between sampling sites and years (R2 = 0.753), while ecosystem respiration was influenced by nitrogen availability, soil temperature, active layer depth, and sampling year (R2 = 0.848). Considered together, the future carbon dioxide source or sink potential of high latitude wetlands will largely depend on climate-induced changes in moisture and subsequent impacts on nutrient availability. wetland, climate change