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Widespread dieback of natural Mongolian pine (Pinus sylvestris var. mongolica) forests in Hulunbuir sandy land since 2018 has raised concerns about their sustainability in afforestation programs. We hypothesized that this dieback is driven by two interrelated mechanisms: (1) anthropogenic fire suppression disrupting natural fire regime, and (2) climate change-induced winter warming reducing snow cover duration and depth. To test these, we quantified dieback using Green Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (GNDVI) across stands with varying fire histories via UAV-based multispectral imagery, alongside long-term climatic observations (1960-2024) of temperature, precipitation, and snow dynamics from meteorological stations combined with remote sensing datasets. Results showed that an abrupt change point in 2018 for both annual precipitation and mean temperature was identified, coinciding with dieback. Significant negative linear relationship between GNDVI (forest health) and last fire interval indicated prolonged fire exclusion exacerbating dieback, possibly via pathogen/pest accumulation. Winter temperature rose significantly during 1960-2023, with notable acceleration following abrupt change point in 1987. Concurrently, winters during 2018-2023 exhibited pronounced warming, with snow cover duration reduced by 23 days and snow depth diminished by 7.6 cm. These conditions reduced snowmelt -derived soil moisture (critical water source) recharge in early spring, exacerbating drought stress during critical growth periods and predisposing trees to pest and disease infestations. Our results support both hypotheses, demonstrating that dieback is synergistically driven by fire regime alteration and climate-mediated snowpack reductions. Converting pure pine forests into mixed pine-broadleaf forests via differentiated water sources was proposed to restore ecological resilience in sandy ecosystems.

期刊论文 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.foreco.2025.123271 ISSN: 0378-1127

Use of forest biomass may induce changes in the aerosol emissions, with subsequent impacts on the direct and indirect climate effects of these short-lived climate forcers. We studied how alternative wood use scenarios affected the aerosol emissions and consequent radiative forcing in Finland. In all alternative scenarios, the harvest level of forest biomass was increased by 10 million m3 compared to the baseline. The increased biomass harvest was assigned to four different uses: (i) to sawn wood, (ii) to pulp-based products, (iii) to energy biomass combusted in small-scale appliances or (iv) to energy biomass combusted in medium-to-large scale boilers. Aerosol emissions (black carbon (BC), organic carbon (OC) and sulphur dioxide (SO2)) under these scenarios were estimated using displacement factors (DFs). The global aerosol-climate model ECHAM-HAMMOZ was used to study instantaneous radiative forcing due to aerosol-radiation interactions (IRFARI) and effective radiative forcing (ERF), based on the differences in aerosol emissions between the alternative wood use scenarios and the baseline scenario. The results indicated that the use of sawn wood and energy biomass combusted in medium- to large-scale boilers decreased radiative forcings, implying climate cooling, whereas the increased use of pulpwood increased them. Energy biomass combustion in small-scale appliances increased IRFARI by 0.004 W m-2 but decreased ERF by -0.260 W m-2, specifically due to a strong increase in carbonaceous aerosols. Alternative use of forest biomass notably influenced aerosol emissions and their climate impacts, and it can be concluded that increased forest biomass use requires a comprehensive assessment of aerosol emissions alongside greenhouse gases (GHGs). Given the consequent reduction in radiative forcing from aerosol emissions, we conclude that the greatest overall climate benefits could be achieved by prioritising the production of long-lived wood-based products.

期刊论文 2025-08-21 DOI: 10.1111/gcbb.70041 ISSN: 1757-1693

Black carbon (BC) is a continuum of combustion products, encompassing char-BC and soot-BC, exhibits variations in particle size and radiative forcing (RF), which critically influence its role in the atmospheric radiative balance. However, the understanding of its long-term compositional changes and responses to natural and anthropogenic factors remains limited, and few atmospheric radiative modeling studies have specifically examined the distinct contributions of char-BC and soot-BC components. In this study, we trace the compositional changes of BC over the past similar to 500 years using sediments from Huguangyan Maar Lake, China and separately quantify the impacts of char-BC and soot-BC on the RF of atmospheric BC. Our findings reveal that the proportion of soot-BC in BC has increased by 2.5 times since 1950 CE. In earlier periods, wildfires driven by the East Asian summer monsoon were the primary contributors to the dominance of char-BC in BC. However, the contribution of human activities to the rise in soot-BC has progressively increased from approximately 10% around 1950 CE to 80% by around 2010 CE, significantly altering BC composition and leading to a 5-fold increase in atmospheric BC RF. These results suggest that ongoing human activities will likely continue to alter BC composition and the atmospheric radiative balance, emphasizing the importance of distinguishing BC components in atmospheric models.

期刊论文 2025-07-29 DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.5c02892 ISSN: 0013-936X

Aerosol optical properties and radiative forcing critically influence Earth's climate, particularly in semi-arid regions. This study investigates these properties in Yinchuan, Northwest China, focusing on aerosol optical depth (AOD), single-scattering albedo (SSA), & Aring;ngstr & ouml;m Index, and direct radiative forcing (DRF) using 2023 CE-318 sun photometer data, HYSPLIT trajectory analysis, and the SBDART model. Spring AOD peaks at 0.58 +/- 0.15 (500 nm) due to desert dust, with coarse-mode particles dominating, while summer SSA reaches 0.94, driven by fine-mode aerosols. Internal mixing of dust and anthropogenic aerosols significantly alters DRF through enhanced absorption, with spring surface DRF at -101 +/- 22W m-2 indicating strong cooling and internal mixing increasing atmospheric DRF to 52.25W m-2. These findings elucidate dust-anthropogenic interactions' impact on optical properties and radiative forcing, offering critical observations for semi-arid climate research.

期刊论文 2025-06-13 DOI: 10.3390/atmos16060718

Terrestrial ecosystems, account for approximately 31% of the global land area and play a significant role in the biogeochemical cycling of toxic elements. Previous studies have explored the spatial patterns, effects, and drivers of toxic elements along urban gradients, agricultural lands, grasslands, and mining sites. However, the elevational patterns of toxic elements in montane ecosystems and the underlying drivers remain largely unknown. Atmospheric deposition is a crucial pathway through which toxic elements accumulate along terrestrial elevational gradients. The accumulation of toxic elements exhibited seasonal variability along elevational gradients, with higher deposition occurring in summer and winter. Approximately 46.77% of toxic elements (e.g. Hg) exhibited increasing trends with elevation, while 22.58% demonstrated decreasing patterns (Ba, Co). Furthermore, 8.06% displayed hump-shaped distributions (Ag), and 22.58% showed no distinct patterns (As and Zn). The accumulation of these elements is influenced by several key factors, including atmospheric deposition (26.56%), anthropogenic activities (14.11%), and precipitation (10.37%) primarily via wet deposition of atmospheric pollutants. The accumulation of toxic elements threatens terrestrial biodiversity by disrupting food chains, altering community structures, and causing individual mortality. These disruptions also pose risks to human health through contaminated food sources and food webs, potentially leading to health issues like cancer, organ damage, and reproductive challenges. This review offers key insights into the factors affecting the accumulation and distribution of toxic elements along elevation gradients. It also lays the groundwork for further study on how toxic elements impact ecosystem functions, which is crucial for protecting biodiversity under climate change.

期刊论文 2025-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2025.113446 ISSN: 1470-160X

Future anthropogenic land use change (LUC) may alter atmospheric carbonaceous aerosol (black carbon and organic aerosol) burden by perturbing biogenic and fire emissions. However, there has been little investigation of this effect. We examine the global evolution of future carbonaceous aerosol under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways projected reforestation and deforestation scenarios using the CESM2 model from present-day to 2100. Compared to present-day, the change in future biogenic volatile organic compounds emission follows changes in forest coverage, while fire emissions decrease in both projections, driven by trends in deforestation fires. The associated carbonaceous aerosol burden change produces moderate aerosol direct radiative forcing (-0.021 to +0.034 W/m2) and modest mean reduction in PM2.5 exposure (-0.11 mu g/m3 to -0.23 mu g/m3) in both scenarios. We find that future anthropogenic LUC may be more important in determining atmospheric carbonaceous aerosol burden than direct anthropogenic emissions, highlighting the importance of further constraining the impact of LUC.

期刊论文 2025-03-28 DOI: 10.1029/2024GL110962 ISSN: 0094-8276

To safeguard historic centers with masonry buildings in medium-high seismic areas, the local seismic response (LSR) should be used. These portions of the urban areas are commonly characterized by complex subsurface features (i.e., underground cavities, buried anthropic structures, and archeological remains) that could be responsible for unexpected amplifications at period intervals similar to the building's ones. In this study, San Giustino's Square (Chieti, Italy) was considered due to the differentiated damage caused by the 2009 L'Aquila earthquake mainshock (6 April 2009 at 3:32 CEST, 6.3 Mw). Out of the eight buildings overlooking the square, the structure that suffered the heaviest damage was the Justice Palace. Two-dimensional finite element analyses have been carried out in San Giustino's square to predict the LSR induced by the seismic shear wave propagation. The influence of the Chieti hill, the anthropogenic shallow soil deposit, and the manmade cavity were investigated. The results outlined that the amplifications of the seismic shaking peaked between 0.2 and 0.4 s. The crest showed amplifications over a wide period range of 0.1-0.8 s with an amplification factor (FA) equal to 2. Throughout the square, FA = 2.0-2.4 was predicted due to the cavities and the filled soil thickness. The large amplified period range is considered responsible for the Justice Court damage.

期刊论文 2025-02-20 DOI: 10.3390/geosciences15030076

Pollutant emissions in China have significantly decreased over the past decade and are expected to continue declining in the future. Aerosols, as important pollutants and short-lived climate forcing agents, have significant but currently unclear climate impacts in East Asia as their concentrations decrease until mid-century. Here, we employ a well-developed regional climate model RegCM4 combined with future pollutant emission inventories, which are more representative of China to investigate changes in the concentrations and climate effects of major anthropogenic aerosols in East Asia under six different emission reduction scenarios (1.5 degrees C goals, Neutral-goals, 2 degrees C -goals, NDC-goals, Current-goals, and Baseline). By the 2060s, aerosol surface concentrations under these scenarios are projected to decrease by 89%, 87%, 84%, 73%, 65%, and 21%, respectively, compared with those in 2010-2020. Aerosol climate effect changes are associated with its loadings but not in a linear manner. The average effective radiative forcing at the surface in East Asia induced by aerosol-radiation-cloud interactions will diminish by 24% +/- 13% by the 2030s and 35% +/- 13% by the 2060s. These alternations caused by aerosol reductions lead to increases in near-surface temperatures and precipitations. Specifically, aerosol-induced temperature and precipitation responses in East Asia are estimated to change by -78% to -20% and -69% to 77%, respectively, under goals with different emission scenarios in the 2060s compared to 2010-2020. Therefore, the significant climate effects resulting from substantial reductions in anthropogenic aerosols need to be fully considered in the pathway toward carbon neutrality.

期刊论文 2025-01-28 DOI: 10.1029/2024JD042301 ISSN: 2169-897X

Air quality in Bangladesh has depreciated over the years owing to substantial local and regional aerosol emissions. This study investigates the impact of anthropogenic aerosol emissions, aerosol radiative forcing, and socioeconomic factors on aerosol optical depth (AOD) over Bangladesh. The research focuses on the capital city Dhaka and the coastal island Bhola, using data from the ground-based AERONET, MODIS satellite, and MERRA-2 reanalysis model. AOD exhibited increasing trends over Bangladesh (0.004-0.010/years) and showed significant annual cycles. Northwestern regions of the country experienced extremely high concentrations of anthropogenic black carbon (BC) and organic carbon (OC) aerosols, whereas the central regions exhibited elevated anthropogenic SO2 and SO4 concentrations. The dominance of anthropogenic aerosols (SO4, BC, and OC) over Dhaka (similar to 75%) and natural aerosols (sea salt and dust) over Bhola (similar to 63%) were calculated. SO4 aerosol was the primary driving force over Dhaka contributing 47.60% of the total AOD, while sea salt aerosol was the dominant species (45.78%) over Bhola. High aerosol radiative forcing at the atmosphere (ARF(ATM)) values were calculated for both Dhaka and Bhola. Average heating rate (HR) at Dhaka was 2.05 +/- 0.75 K day(-1), and at Bhola was 1.54 +/- 0.58 K day(-1) indicating the presence of light-absorbing aerosols over Bangladesh. All the socioeconomic factors were positively correlated with AOD except population growth and agriculture land indicating the substantial impact of socioeconomic development on AOD. The findings of this study will have notable influences on long-term air quality management in Bangladesh as well as in Southeast Asia.

期刊论文 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rsase.2025.101511 ISSN: 2352-9385

Rationale. Glaciers in the Tibetan Plateau (TP), especially in the Himalayas, are retreating rapidly due to rising air temperature and increasing anthropogenic emissions from nearby regions. Traditionally, pollutants deposited on the glaciers have been assumed to originate from long-range transport from its outside. Methodology. This study investigated the concentrations of black carbon (BC) and major ions in snowpit samples collected from two glaciers in the south-eastern TP (Demula and Palongzangbu) and one glacier in the west Himalayas (Jiemayangzong). The radiative forcing of BC was calculated based on BC concentration and glacier characteristics. Results. The results revealed that the BC/Ca2+ concentration ratio in snowpit samples from Palongzangbu, located near residential villages, is similar to 2.05 times higher than that of Demula, which is mainly influenced by long-range transported pollutants. Furthermore, on Jiemayangzong glacier, snowpit samples collected with 100-m vertical resolution exhibited that BC-induced radiative forcings at low altitude are similar to 2.37 +/- 0.16 times greater than those at high altitude. Discussion. These findings demonstrated that in addition to long-range transport, emissions from local residents also make substantial contributions to BC and certain major ions (e.g. SO42-). To accurately assess the sources and radiative forcing of BC and other light-absorbing impurities on glaciers of the TP, it is necessary to consider the impact of local populations and altitude-dependent variations.

期刊论文 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1071/EN24093 ISSN: 1448-2517
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