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An anomalous warm weather event in the Antarctic McMurdo Dry Valleys on 18 March 2022 created an opportunity to characterize soil biota communities most sensitive to freeze-thaw stress. This event caused unseasonal melt within Taylor Valley, activating stream water and microbial mats around Canada Stream. Liquid water availability in this polar desert is a driver of soil biota distribution and activity. Because climate change impacts hydrological regimes, we aimed to determine the effect on soil communities. We sampled soils identified from this event that experienced thaw, nearby hyper-arid areas, and wetted areas that did not experience thaw to compare soil bacterial and invertebrate communities. Areas that exhibited evidence of freeze-thaw supported the highest live and dead nematode counts and were composed of soil taxa from hyper-arid landscapes and wetted areas. They received water inputs from snowpacks, hyporheic water, or glacial melt, contributing to community differences associated with organic matter and salinity gradients. Inundated soils had higher organic matter and lower conductivity (p < .02) and hosted the most diverse microbial and invertebrate communities on average. Our findings suggest that as liquid water becomes more available under predicted climate change, soil communities adapted to the hyper-arid landscape will shift toward diverse, wetted soil communities.

期刊论文 2025-12-31 DOI: 10.1080/15230430.2025.2485283 ISSN: 1523-0430

Thaw hazards in high-latitude and glaciated regions are becoming increasingly frequent because of global climate warming and human activities, posing significant threats to infrastructure stability and environmental sustainability. However, despite these risks, comprehensive investigations of thaw-hazard susceptibility in permafrost regions remain limited. Here, this gap is addressed by a systematic and long-term investigation of thaw hazards in China's Qinghai Province as a representative permafrost area. A detailed inventory of 534 thawhazard sites was developed based on remote sensing, field verification, and surveys by a UAV, providing critical data for susceptibility analysis. Eleven environmental factors influencing thaw hazards were identified and analyzed using information gain and Shapley additive explanation. By using the random forest model, a susceptibility map was generated, categorizing the study area into five susceptibility classes: very low, low, moderate, high, and very high. The key influencing factors include precipitation, permafrost type, temperature change rate, and human activity. The results reveal that 17.5 % of the permafrost region within the study area is classified as high to very high susceptibility, concentrated primarily near critical infrastructure such as the Qinghai-Tibet Railway, potentially posing significant risks to its structural stability. The random forest model shows robust predictive capability, achieving an accuracy of 0.906 and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.965. These findings underscore the critical role of advanced modeling in understanding the spatial distribution and drivers of thaw hazards, offering actionable insights for hazard mitigation and infrastructure protection in permafrost regions under a changing climate.

期刊论文 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.coldregions.2025.104648 ISSN: 0165-232X

This study analyzes the aerosol and precipitable water vapor (PWV) properties at six sites in the Indo-Gangetic Plains (IGP), a densely populated and highly polluted region. The main objective is to explore how the columnar PWV is related to the attenuation of shortwave solar radiation (SWR), as well as the combined role of aerosol properties and PWV on radiative forcing based on AERONET data and model (SBDART) simulations. The analysis revealed high aerosol optical depth (AOD) values (0.4-0.6) throughout the year in all the sites, associated with increased PWV (4-5 cm) during the summer monsoon. Comprehensive investigation shows that changes in PWV levels also affect aerosols' size distribution, optical properties and radiation balance in a similar way - but in different magnitudes - between the examined sites. The water vapor radiative effect (WVRE) is highly dependent on aerosol presence, with its magnitude for both surface (-130 to -140 Wm(-2)) and atmospheric forcing becoming higher under clean atmospheres (without aerosols). Aerosol presence is also considered in the computations of the WVRE. In that case, the WVRE becomes more pronounced at the top of the atmosphere (TOA) (30 to 35 Wm(-2)) but exhibits a lower forcing impact on the surface (about -45 Wm(-2)) and within the atmosphere (70-80 Wm(-2)), suggesting important aerosol-PWV interrelations. The atmospheric heating rate due to PWV is more than double (3.5-4.5 K Day(-1)) that of aerosols (1-1.9 K Day(-1)), highlighting its essential role in radiative effects and climate implications over the IGP region. The radiative impacts of PWV and aerosols are further examined as a function of the single scattering albedo, solar zenith angle, and absorbing AOD at the different sites, revealing dependence on both astronomical and atmospheric variables related to aerosol absorption, thus unravelling the combined role of aerosols and PWV in climate implications.

期刊论文 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2025.108343 ISSN: 0169-8095

This study highlights the results of a palaeoecological analysis conducted on five permafrost peatlands in the northern tundra subzone along the Barents Sea coast in the European Arctic zone. The depth of the peat cores that were sampled was approximately 2 m. The analysis combined data on the main physical and chemical soil properties, radiocarbon dating, botanical composition, and mass fraction of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs). The concentrations of 16 PAHs in peat organic layers ranged from 140 to 254 ng/g, with an average of 182 ng/g. The peatlands studied were dominated by PAHs with a low molecular weight: naphthalene, phenanthrene, fluoranthene, pyrene, chrysene. The vertical distribution patterns of PAHs along the peat profile in the active layer and permafrost were determined. PAHs migrating down the active layer profile encounter the permafrost barrier and accumulate at the boundary between active layer and permafrost layer. The deep permafrost layers accumulate large amounts of PAHs and PAH derivatives, which are products of lignin conversion during the decomposition of grassy and woody vegetation during the Holocene climate optima. The total toxic equivalency concentration (TEQ) was calculated. Peatlands from the Barents Sea coast have low toxicity for carcinogenic PAHs throughout the profile. TEQ ranged from a minimum of 0.1 ng/g to a maximum of 13.5 ng/g in all peatlands investigated. For further potential use in Arctic/sub-Arctic environmental studies, PAH indicator ratios were estimated. In all investigated sections and peatland horizons, the most characteristic ratios indicate the petrogenic (natural) origin of PAHs.

期刊论文 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2025.118370 ISSN: 0025-326X

Permafrost thaw and thermokarst development pose urgent challenges to Arctic communities, threatening infrastructure and essential services. This study examines the reciprocal impacts of permafrost degradation and infrastructure in Point Lay (Kali), Alaska, drawing on field data from similar to 60 boreholes, measured and modeled ground temperature records, remote sensing analysis, and community interviews. Field campaigns from 2022-2024 reveal widespread thermokarst development and ground subsidence driven by the thaw of ice-rich permafrost. Borehole analysis confirms excess-ice contents averaging similar to 40%, with syngenetic ice wedges extending over 12 m deep. Measured and modeled ground temperature data indicate a warming trend, with increasing mean annual ground temperatures and active layer thickness (ALT). Since 1949, modeled ALTs have generally deepened, with a marked shift toward consistently thicker ALTs in the 21st century. Remote sensing shows ice wedge thermokarst expanded from 60% in developed areas by 2019, with thaw rates increasing tenfold between 1974 and 2019. In contrast, adjacent, undisturbed tundra exhibited more consistent thermokarst expansion (similar to 0.2% yr(-1)), underscoring the amplifying role of infrastructure, surface disturbance, and climate change. Community interviews reveal the lived consequences of permafrost degradation, including structural damage to homes, failing utilities, and growing dependence on alternative water and wastewater strategies. Engineering recommendations include deeper pile foundations, targeted ice wedge stabilization, aboveground utilities, enhanced snow management strategies, and improved drainage to mitigate ongoing infrastructure issues. As climate change accelerates permafrost thaw across the Arctic, this study highlights the need for integrated, community-driven adaptation strategies that blend geocryological research, engineering solutions, and local and Indigenous knowledge.

期刊论文 2025-09-30 DOI: 10.1088/2752-664X/adf1ac

Forests are increasingly impacted by climate change, affecting tree growth and carbon sequestration. Tree-ring width, closely related to tree growth, is a key climate proxy, yet models describing ring width or growth often lack comprehensive environmental data. This study assesses ERA5-Land data for tree-ring width prediction compared to automatic weather station observations, emphasizing the value of extended and global climate data. We analyzed 723 site-averaged and detrended tree-ring chronologies from two broadleaved and two gymnosperm species across Europe, integrating them with ERA5-Land climate data, CO2 concentration, and a drought index (SPEI12). A subset was compared with weather station data. For modelling interannual variations of tree-ring width we used linear models to assess parameter importance. ERA5-Land and weather-station-based models performed similarly, maintaining stable correlations and consistent errors. Models based on meteorological data from weather stations highlighted SPEI12, sunshine duration, and temperature extremes, while ERA5-Land models emphasized SPEI12, dew-point temperature (humidity), and total precipitation. CO2 positively influenced the growth of gymnosperm species. ERA5-Land facilitated broader spatial analysis and incorporated additional factors like evaporation, snow cover, and soil moisture. Monthly assessments revealed the importance of parameters for each species. Our findings confirm that ERA5-Land is a reliable alternative for modeling tree growth, offering new insights into climate-vegetation interactions. The ready availability of underutilized parameters, such as air humidity, soil moisture and temperature, and runoff, enables their inclusion in future growth models. Using ERA5-Land can therefore deepen our understanding of forest responses to diverse environmental drivers on a global scale.

期刊论文 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110679 ISSN: 0168-1923

Understanding the relationship between soil moisture and vegetation is crucial for future projections of ecosystem and water resources. While their hysteresis loop relationship, which arises from their asynchrony in intra-annual variation, remains underexplored. This study used the hysteresis loop type and area (Ah) to characterize the relationship between root zone soil moisture (RZSM) and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) across China from 1986 to 2015, and examined its ecological implications. The results identified four types of hysteresis loops. The clockwise loop, with a delayed single peak of RZSM relative to NDVI, was primarily found in north China and the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, indicating severe water limitation during early growth period. The counterclockwise loop, with an advanced single peak of RZSM relative to NDVI, was common in southeast China's forest, suggesting a shift towards energy limitation. The 8-shaped loop, resulting from double peaks in either RZSM or NDVI due to climate change (e.g., snowmelt) and human disturbance (e.g., irrigation and crop harvest), was observed in northwest China's glaciers and croplands in south and northeast China. The multicrossed loop, marked by multimodal intra-annual variations in both RZSM and NDVI, was predominantly found in northwest China's barren lands. Additionally, from 1986 to 2015, this study observed a shift from 8-shaped or multi-crossed loops to clockwise or counterclockwise loops in some regions like the Yellow River Basin, implying a trend of revegetation. Furthermore, a higher Ah generally indicated more severe water limitation or greater mismatch between RZSM and NDVI. Significant changes in Ah, such as increases in the Yellow River Basin, suggested intensified water limitations, while decreases in southeast and northwest China pointed to an earlier peak of the growing and rainy seasons. This study provides insights into the dynamic interactions between soil moisture and vegetation, offering valuable guidance for ecological management across diverse ecosystems.

期刊论文 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110714 ISSN: 0168-1923

Permafrost in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) is highly sensitive to climate change, but its evolution over past century remains unclear. Based on the QTP climate change analysis since the 20th century, our study employed machine learning technique with field observations to construct permafrost simulation models, clarify its evolution processes, and reveal its changes on vertical zonation and sunny-shady slope distribution under climate warming. The results indicated that the QTP air temperature trends included initial warming (1900-1940 s, 0.13 degrees C/10a), cooling (1950-1960 s, - 0.20 degrees C/10a), and warming again (1970s to 2010s, 0.21 degrees C/10a). Precipitation patterns showed a slight decrease (- 0.33 mm/10a), rapid decrease (- 6.75 mm/10a), and gradual increase (6.57 mm/10a). Correspondingly, significant permafrost changes were recorded during the periods of 1900s, 1940s, 1960s, and 2010s, with the permafrost areas of 1.28, 1.19, 1.30, and 1.10 x 106 km2, respectively, and average mean annual ground temperature (active layer thickness) were - 2.82 +/- 1.93 degrees C (1.89 +/- 0.72 m), - 2.58 +/- 1.91 degrees C (2.21 +/- 0.78 m), - 2.86 +/- 1.94 degrees C (2.10 +/- 0.79 m), and - 2.26 +/- 1.72 degrees C (2.23 +/- 0.75 m) (mean +/- standard deviation), respectively. The southern Qiangtang Plateau and Three Rivers Source region exhibited significant permafrost changes during both the warming and cooling stages. Climate warming over the past 50 years has raised the average permafrost distribution altitude by 43 m, and accelerated its degradation on sunny slopes. These findings exhibit new knowledges on the QTP permafrost evolution and provide scientific references for permafrost degradation research under climate warming.

期刊论文 2025-09-02 DOI: 10.1007/s00382-025-07855-w ISSN: 0930-7575

Climate change is transforming the ice-free areas of Antarctica, leading to rapid changes in terrestrial ecosystems. These areas represent <0.5% of the continent and coincide with the most anthropogenically pressured sites, where the human footprint is a source of contamination. Simultaneously, these are the locations where permafrost can be found, not being clear what might be the consequences following its degradation regarding trace element remobilisation. This raises the need for a better understanding of the natural geochemical values of Antarctic soils as well as the extent of human impact in the surroundings of scientific research stations. Permafrost thaw in the Western Antarctic Peninsula region and in the McMurdo Dry Valleys is the most likely to contribute to the remobilisation of toxic trace elements, whether as the result of anthropogenic contamination or due to the degradation of massive buried ice and ice-cemented permafrost. Site-specific locations across Antarctica, with abandoned infrastructure, also deserve attention by continuing to be a source of trace elements that later can be released, posing a threat to the environment. This comprehensive summary of trace element concentrations across the continent's soils enables the geographical systematisation of published results for a better comparison of the literature data. This review also includes the used analytical techniques and methods for trace element dissolution, important factors when reporting low concentrations. A new perspective in environmental monitoring is needed to investigate if trace element remobilisation upon permafrost thaw might be a tangible consequence of climate change.

期刊论文 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.earscirev.2025.105171 ISSN: 0012-8252

Emerging contaminants and climate change are major challenges that soil organisms are facing today. Triclosan (TCS), an antibacterial agent, is widespread and hazardous in terrestrial environments, but there is a lack of information on how its toxicity will change because of climate change. The aim of the study was to evaluate the short-term effects of increased temperature, decreased soil moisture content (drought), and their complex interaction on triclosan-induced biochemical changes in Eisenia fetida (as well as growth and survival). Four different treatments were used in TCS-contaminated soil tests with E. fetida (10-750 mg TCS kg-1): C (21 degrees C + 60 % water holding capacity (WHC)), D (21 degrees C and 30 % WHC), T (25 degrees C + 60 % WHC), and T + D (25 degrees C + 30 % WHC). The more prominent TCS effect on the survival was seen only after two weeks and at the high TCS concentrations, though a negative effect on weight growth was recorded after one week of exposure at all tested TCS concentrations and climate conditions. Under standard (C) conditions, an activated E. fetida antioxidative system effectively reduced the oxidative stress induced by TCS. Changes in the climatic conditions influenced E. fetid a's biochemical response to TCS-induced oxidative stress. Despite the enhanced activity of antioxidant enzymes, the combination of drought (D) and TCS caused significant lipid peroxidation in E. fetida. Under elevated temperature, E. fetida experienced oxidative stress and a considerable rise in lipid peroxidation due to insufficient activation or inhibition of antioxidant enzymes.

期刊论文 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2025.121923 ISSN: 0013-9351
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