The freeze-thaw (F-T) cycle of the active layer (AL) causes the frost heave and thaw settlement deformation of the terrain surface. Accurately identifying its amplitude and time characteristics is important for climate, hydrology, and ecology research in permafrost regions. We used Sentinel-1 SAR data and small baseline subset-interferometric synthetic aperture radar (SBAS-InSAR) technology to obtain the characteristics of F-T cycles in the Zonag Lake-Yanhu Lake permafrost-affected endorheic basin on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2017 to 2019. The results show that the seasonal deformation amplitude (SDA) in the study area mainly ranges from 0 to 60 mm, with an average value of 19 mm. The date of maximum frost heave (MFH) occurred between November 27th and March 21st of the following year, averaged in date of the year (DOY) 37. The maximum thaw settlement (MTS) occurred between July 25th and September 21st, averaged in DOY 225. The thawing duration is the thawing process lasting about 193 days. The spatial distribution differences in SDA, the date of MFH, and the date of MTS are relatively significant, but there is no apparent spatial difference in thawing duration. Although the SDA in the study area is mainly affected by the thermal state of permafrost, it still has the most apparent relationship with vegetation cover, the soil water content in AL, and active layer thickness. SDA has an apparent negative and positive correlation with the date of MFH and the date of MTS. In addition, due to the influence of soil texture and seasonal rivers, the seasonal deformation characteristics of the alluvial-diluvial area are different from those of the surrounding areas. This study provides a method for analyzing the F-T cycle of the AL using multi-temporal InSAR technology.

The Qilian Mountains, located on the northeastern edge of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, are characterized by unique high-altitude and cold-climate terrain, where permafrost and seasonally frozen ground are extensively distributed. In recent years, with global warming and increasing precipitation on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, permafrost degradation has become severe, further exacerbating the fragility of the ecological environment. Therefore, timely research on surface deformation and the freeze-thaw patterns of alpine permafrost in the Qilian Mountains is imperative. This study employs Sentinel-1A SAR data and the SBAS-InSAR technique to monitor surface deformation in the alpine permafrost regions of the Qilian Mountains from 2017 to 2023. A method for spatiotemporal interpolation of ascending and descending orbit results is proposed to calculate two-dimensional surface deformation fields further. Moreover, by constructing a dynamic periodic deformation model, the study more accurately summarizes the regular changes in permafrost freeze-thaw and the trends in seasonal deformation amplitudes. The results indicate that the surface deformation time series in both vertical and east-west directions obtained using this method show significant improvements in accuracy over the initial data, allowing for a more precise reflection of the dynamic processes of surface deformation in the study area. Subsidence is predominant in permafrost areas, while uplift mainly occurs in seasonally frozen ground areas near lakes and streams. The average vertical deformation rate is 1.56 mm/a, with seasonal amplitudes reaching 35 mm. Topographical (elevation; slope gradient; aspect) and climatic factors (temperature; soil moisture; precipitation) play key roles in deformation patterns. The deformation of permafrost follows five distinct phases: summer thawing; warm-season stability; frost heave; winter cooling; and spring thawing. This study enhances our understanding of permafrost deformation characteristics in high-latitude and high-altitude regions, providing a reference for preventing geological disasters in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau area and offering theoretical guidance for regional ecological environmental protection and infrastructure safety.

Soil freeze-thaw cycles (FTCs) are common in temperate agricultural ecosystems during the non-growing season and are progressively influenced by climate change. The impact of these cycles on soil microbial communities, crucial for ecosystem functioning, varies under different agricultural management practices. Here, we investigated the dynamic changes in soil microbial communities in a Mollisol during seasonal FTCs and examined the effects of stover mulching and nitrogen fertilization. We revealed distinct responses between bacterial and fungal communities. The dominant bacterial phyla reacted differently to FTCs: for example, Proteobacteria responded opportunistically, Actinobacteria, Acidobacteria, Choroflexi and Gemmatimonadetes responded sensitively, and Saccharibacteria exhibited a tolerance response. In contrast, the fungal community composition remained relatively stable during FTCs, except for a decline in Glomeromycota. Certain bacterial OTUs acted as sensitive indicators of FTCs, forming keystone modules in the network that are closely linked to soil carbon, nitrogen content and potential functions. Additionally, neither stover mulching nor nitrogen fertilization significantly influenced microbial richness, diversity and potential functions. However, over time, more indicator species specific to these agricultural practices began to emerge within the networks and gradually occupied the central positions. Furthermore, our findings suggest that farming practices, by introducing keystone microbes and changing interspecies interactions (even without changing microbial richness and diversity), can enhance microbial community stability against FTC disturbances. Specifically, higher nitrogen input with stover removal promotes fungal stability during soil freezing, while lower nitrogen levels increase bacterial stability during soil thawing. Considering the fungal tolerance to FTCs, we recommend reducing nitrogen input for manipulating bacterial interactions, thereby enhancing overall microbial resilience to seasonal FTCs. In summary, our research reveals that microbial responses to seasonal FTCs are reshaped through land management to support ecosystem functions under environmental stress amid climate change.

Accurately quantifying the impact of permafrost degradation and soil freeze-thaw cycles on hydrological processes while minimizing the reliance on observational data are challenging issues in hydrological modeling in cold regions. In this study, we developed a modular distributed hydro-thermal coupled hydrological model for cold regions (DHTC) that features a flexible structure. The DHTC model couples heat-water transport processes by employing the conduction-advection heat transport equation and Richard equation considering ice-water phase change. Additionally, the DHTC model integrates the influence of organic matter into the hydrothermal parameterization scheme and includes a subpermafrost module based on the flow duration curve analysis to estimate cold-season streamflow sustained by subpermafrost groundwater. Moreover, we incorporated energy consumption due to ice phase changes to the available energy, enhancing the accuracy of evaporation estimation in cold regions. A comprehensive evaluation of the DHTC model was conducted. At the point scale, the DHTC model accurately replicates daily soil temperature and moisture dynamics at various depths, achieving average R-2 of 0.98 and 0.87, and average RMSE of 0.61degree celsius and 0.03 m(3)m(-3), respectively. At the basin scale, DHTC outperformed (Daily: R-2 = 0.66, RMSE = 0.75 mm; Monthly: R-2 = 0.90, RMSE = 15.7 mm) the GLDAS/FLDAS Noah, GLDAS/VIC, and PML-V2 models in evapotranspiration simulation. The DHTC model also demonstrated reasonable performance in simulating daily (NSE = 0.70, KGE = 0.84), monthly (NSE = 0.86, KGE = 0.90), and multi-year monthly (NSE = 0.97, KGE = 0.93) streamflow in the Source Regions of Yangtze River. DHTC also successfully reproduced the snow depth in basin-averaged time series and spatial distributions (RMSE = 0.86 cm). The DHTC model provides a robust tool for exploring the interactions between permafrost and hydrological processes, and their responses to climate change.

Soil freeze-thaw cycles play a critical role in ecosystem, hydrological and biogeochemical processes, and climate. The Tibetan Plateau (TP) has the largest area of frozen soil that undergoes freeze-thaw cycles in the low-mid latitudes. Evidence suggests ongoing changes in seasonal freeze-thaw cycles during the past several decades on the TP. However, the status of diurnal freeze-thaw cycles (DFTC) of shallow soil and their response to climate change largely remain unknown. In this study, using in-situ observations, the latest reanalysis, machine learning, and physics-based modeling, we conducted a comprehensive assessment of the spatiotemporal variations of DFTC and their response to climate change in the upper Brahmaputra (UB) basin. About 24 +/- 8% of the basin is subjected to DFTC with a mean frequency of 87 +/- 55 days during 1980-2018. The area and frequency of DFTC show small long-term changes during 1980-2018. Air temperature impacts on the frequency of DFTC changes center mainly around the freezing point (0 degrees C). The spatial variations in the response of DFTC to air temperature can primarily be explained by three factors: precipitation (30.4%), snow depth (22.6%) and seasonal warming/cooling rates (14.9%). Both rainfall and snow events reduce diurnal fluctuations of soil temperature, subsequently reducing DFTC frequency, primarily by decreasing daytime temperature through evaporation-cooling and albedo-cooling effects, respectively. These results provide an in-depth understanding of diurnal soil freeze-thaw status and its response to climate change. Freeze-thaw transitions of terrestrial landscapes are a common phenomenon in cold regions. The seasonal and diurnal freeze-thaw cycles (DFTC) of shallow soil exhibit substantial differences in response to climate. Understanding of the spatiotemporal patterns of DFTC and their response to climate change remains limited over the Tibetan Plateau (TP), which is characterized by the largest areas of freeze-thaw terrain in the mid- and low-latitudes of the world. We found the frequency and area of DFTC show a slight increase trend in a significantly warming climate in upper Brahmaputra (UB) basin, the largest river basin of the TP. The variation of DFTC depends on climatic conditions, with soils near the freezing point (0 degrees C) being more susceptible to changes in DFTC. Precipitation, snow depth and seasonal warming/cooling rates are the top three factors influencing the response of DFTC to air temperature changes. Snowfall plays a more important role in the temporal variability of DFTC frequency than rainfall. The number of diurnal freeze-thaw cycles (DFTC) in shallow soil increase slightly during the period 1980-2018 in the upper Brahmaputra (UB) basin Air temperature effects on the changes in DFTC frequency center on the freezing point Snowfall plays a more important role in the temporal variability of DFTC than rainfall

Due to climate change, human activities and natural disturbances in high-latitude permafrost and seasonally frozen areas are gradually increasing, attracting more attention from scholars. However, research primarily focuses on soil biology and chemistry in these regions, with limited exploration of their mechanical properties, especially compression properties. This study aims to evaluate the effects of gravel content and freeze-thaw (F-T) cycles on the compression properties of coarse-grained layered forest soil from northeast China's seasonally frozen regions, with the goal of predicting the soil's compressive changes under heavy mechanical loads. Specifically, using uniaxial confined compression tests (UCCT) on 252 disturbed soil samples (including two soil layers: AB and Bhs; hs ; six gravel contents; and seven F-T cycles), three characteristic compression coefficients-precompression stress (6pc), compression index (Cc),and swelling index (Cs)-were s )-were measured. Additionally, scanning electron microscopy (SEM) was used to analyze the mesostructure evolution of coarse-grained gravel-bearing soil. Volume changes of samples were measured after 15F-T cycles with varying gravel contents. Results indicate non-linear effects of gravel content and F-T cycles on 6pc. pc . Gravel content below 50% positively influences 6 pc , while content above 50% increases soil pore content, decreasing 6 pc . Cc c and Cs s exhibit an approximately negative correlation with gravel content and initially increase followed by a decrease with more F-T cycles. Moreover, the 6pcand pc and Ccof c of the AB layer are higher than those in the B hs layer, likely due to differences in clay and organic carbon contents. Notably, the observed trends differ from previous studies on other soil types such as farmland and paddy fields. This study fills a gap in understanding the compression characteristics of layered gravel-bearing forest soil in seasonally frozen regions, providing valuable insights for evaluating soil compression in both seasonally frozen and permafrost regions, and understanding mechanical vehicle- soil interactions. It also lays the theoretical groundwork and provides data support for constructing compression models of layered gravel-bearing forest soil.

The distribution of freezing and thawing within rock masses is time varying (day to day or season to season) and controls the effectiveness of the frost cracking processes from the surface until various depths. These processes are major contributors to the development of rock instabilities. By altering the thermal regime of rockwalls, global warming could have a major impact on rockfall dynamic by the end of the 21st century. This study seeks to improve our understanding of the influence of this warming on (i) the distribution of freezing and thawing within rock masses, (ii) the effectiveness of frost cracking and (iii) the frequency and magnitude of rockfalls. Thermistor sensors inserted in a 5.5-m horizontal borehole and a weather station were installed on a vertical rockwall located in the northern Gasp & eacute; Peninsula (Canada). This instrumentation was used to calculate the surface energy balance of the rockwall and to measure and model its thermal regime at depth over a period of 28 months. Combining locally recorded historical air temperature data with simulated future data (scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) made it possible to extend the rockwall thermal regime model over the period 1950-2100. The effectiveness of frost cracking over this 150-year period has been quantified using a thermomechanical model. Depending on the scenario, warming of 3.3 degrees C to 6.2 degrees C is expected on the northern Gasp & eacute; Peninsula by the end of the 21st century. This rapid warming is likely to decrease the maximum depth reaches by the seasonal frost by 1-2 m and shorten its duration by 1-3 months. The frequency of freeze-thaw cycles could increase twelvefold in January. Frost cracking effectiveness should intensify around 70 cm in depth and disappear beyond that (RCP4.5) or diminish starting at 10 cm in depth (RCP8.5). In areas subject to seasonal freeze-thaw cycles, decimetric rockfall frequency could grow considerably in winter but be significantly reduced in fall and spring. Furthermore, frost cracking would cease contributing to the development of larger magnitude instabilities. Depending on the scenario, warming of 3.3 degrees C (RCP4.5) to 6.2 degrees C (RCP8.5) is expected on the northern Gasp & eacute; Peninsula by the end of the 21st century. By altering the thermal regime of rockwalls, the global warming could have a major impact on rockfall dynamic. In regions subject to seasonal freeze-thaw cycles, small magnitude rockfall frequency could grow considerably in winter but be significantly reduced in fall and spring. Frost weathering would cease contributing to the development of larger magnitude instabilities. image

While the direct impact of climate change on reference evapotranspiration (ET0) has been extensively studied, there is limited research on the indirect impact resulting from the interaction between climatic variables. This gap hinders a comprehensive understanding of climate change effects on ET0. Additionally, there is scarce exploration into the quantitative effect of freeze-thaw cycles on ET0 variation. In this study, we employed path analysis and dependent variable variance decomposition methods to discern the direct and interactive effects of climatic variables on ET0 in the Tibetan Plateau from 1960 to 2022. Annual ET0 exhibited variation across basins, with the coefficient of variability during the thawed period smaller than that during the non-thawed period. On an annual scale, the largest contribution to ET0 variation came from water vapor pressure deficit (VPD) at 47.7%. This contribution was amplified by its coupled interaction with temperature (T) at 47.1%, although the contribution was partially offset by the interactive effects of VPD with downward shortwave radiation and wind speed at -2.4% and - 27.6%, respectively. During different freezing-thawing periods, VPD primarily controlled ET0 variation, with its interaction with other climatic variables enhancing its impact. Furthermore, soil moisture, influenced by freeze-thaw cycles, exhibited a strong correlation with T and VPD, indicating the significant effect of freeze-thaw cycles on ET0 variation. The weak correlation between ET0 and NDVI suggested that vegetation growth had a limited regulatory effect on ET0. These findings provide valuable insights into the impact of interactions between climatic variables on hydrological processes, enhancing our understanding of the interactive roles of hydrometeorological variables.

Deformation and failure of the talus slope in the cold region significantly threaten engineered structures. Its driving mechanism of the deformation process is the most challenging issue. In this study, we try to explore these issues using tree ring characteristics. Fifty samples from 21 trees of Pinus densiflora growing on the talus slope in the Huanren area of Northeast China are tested to investigate the characteristics of tree rings and their relation to climate change. The deformation and its driving mechanism of this talus slope are then studied by combining the analysis of tree-ring width and mutation identification with the local meteorological data. The results present that the studied talus slope in Huanren has deformed to varying degrees at least 60 times since 1900. It is reasonable to speculate that the deformation mode of this slope is probably of a long-term and slow type. The local precipitation and seasonal temperature difference are the vital inducing factors of the mutation of tree-ring width and slope deformation. Repeated freezing and thawing are believed to be the driving factors of this talus slope in the cold region. A theoretical model is proposed to capture and predict the deformation of the talus slope. This work presents a new perspective and insight to reveal the deformation and its driving mechanism of similar talus slopes in the cold region. It is of great significance to practical engineering treatment and disaster prevention for this kind of cold region environment.

Background and Aims Seed persistence in soil depends on environmental factors that affect seed dormancy and germination, such as temperature and water availability. In high-elevation ecosystems, rapid changes in these environmental factors because of climate change can impact future plant recruitment. To date, our knowledge on how soil seed banks from high-elevation environments will respond to climate change and extreme climate-related events is limited. Here, using the seedling emergence method, we investigated the effects of reduced snow cover, fire and drought on the density and diversity of germinants from soil seed banks of two high-elevation plant communities: a tall alpine herbfield and a treeline ecotone.Methods In Autumn 2020, we collected soil samples and characterized the standing vegetation of both communities at Kosciuszko National Park, Australia. Subsequently, we carried out a factorial experiment and subjected the soil samples to a series of manipulative treatments using greenhouse studies.Key Results The treeline had a larger and more diverse soil seed bank than the herbfield. A reduction in snow had a negative effect on the number of germinants in the herbfield and increased the dissimilarity with the standing vegetation, whereas the treeline responses were mainly neutral. Fire did not significantly affect the number of germinants but decreased the evenness values in both communities. The drought treatment reduced the number and richness of germinants and increased the dissimilarity with the standing vegetation in both communities. Plant functional forms explained some of the detected effects, but seed functional traits did not.Conclusions Our study suggests that simulated climate change will affect plant recruitment from soil seed banks in a variety of ways. Changes in snow cover and incidences of fire and drought might be key drivers of germination from the soil seed bank and therefore the future composition of alpine plant communities.