Slope failures resulting from thaw slumps in permafrost regions, have developed widely under the influence of climate change and engineering activities. The shear strength at the interface between the active layer and permafrost (IBALP) at maximum thawing depth is a critical factor to evaluate stability of permafrost slopes. Traditional direct shear, triaxial shear, and large-scale in-situ shear experiments are unsuitable for measuring the shear strength parameter of the IBALP. Based on the characteristics of thaw slumps in permafrost regions, this study proposes a novel test method of self-weight direct shear instrument (SWDSI), and its principle, structure, measurement system and test steps are described in detail. The shear strength of the IBALP under maximum thaw depth conditions is measured using this method. The results show that under the condition that the permafrost layer is thick underground ice and the active layer consists of silty clay with 20% water content, the test results are in good agreement with the results of field large-scale direct shear tests and are in accordance with previous understandings and natural laws. The above analysis indicates that the method of the SWDSI has a reliable theoretical basis and reasonable experimental procedures, and meets the needs of stability assessment of thaw slumps in permafrost regions. The experimental data obtained provide important parameter support for the evaluation of related geological hazards.
Thaw hazards in high-latitude and glaciated regions are becoming increasingly frequent because of global climate warming and human activities, posing significant threats to infrastructure stability and environmental sustainability. However, despite these risks, comprehensive investigations of thaw-hazard susceptibility in permafrost regions remain limited. Here, this gap is addressed by a systematic and long-term investigation of thaw hazards in China's Qinghai Province as a representative permafrost area. A detailed inventory of 534 thawhazard sites was developed based on remote sensing, field verification, and surveys by a UAV, providing critical data for susceptibility analysis. Eleven environmental factors influencing thaw hazards were identified and analyzed using information gain and Shapley additive explanation. By using the random forest model, a susceptibility map was generated, categorizing the study area into five susceptibility classes: very low, low, moderate, high, and very high. The key influencing factors include precipitation, permafrost type, temperature change rate, and human activity. The results reveal that 17.5 % of the permafrost region within the study area is classified as high to very high susceptibility, concentrated primarily near critical infrastructure such as the Qinghai-Tibet Railway, potentially posing significant risks to its structural stability. The random forest model shows robust predictive capability, achieving an accuracy of 0.906 and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.965. These findings underscore the critical role of advanced modeling in understanding the spatial distribution and drivers of thaw hazards, offering actionable insights for hazard mitigation and infrastructure protection in permafrost regions under a changing climate.
Substantial nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions from permafrost-affected regions could accelerate climate warming, given that N2O exhibits approximately 300 times greater radiative forcing potential than carbon dioxide. Pronounced differences exist in N2O emissions between freeze and thaw periods (FP and TP), but the mechanisms by which environmental factors regulate the production and emission of N2O during these two periods have not been thoroughly examined. We therefore combined static chamber gas chromatography, in-situ soil temperature (ST) and moisture (SM) monitoring, and 16S rRNA sequencing to investigate seasonal N2O variations in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) alpine meadow ecosystem, and assess the relative contributions of environmental and microbial drivers. Our findings indicate that N2O fluxes (-3.15 to 6.10 mu g m-2 h-1) fluctuated between weak sources and sinks, peaking during FP, particularly at its late stage with initial surface soil thawing. Soil properties affect N2O emissions by regulating denitrification processes and altering microbial community diversity. During the FP, ST fluctuations control N2O release by modifying mineral nutrient availability. During TP, soil texture modulates denitrification-driven N2O production through its effect on SM. Spring N2O pulses likely originate from microbial reactivation in thawed soil. N2O accumulated in frozen soil may gradually release during vertical profile thawing. On the QTP, a warmer and wetter climate scenario may alter N2O emissions by modifying the duration of the FP and TP and phase-specific hydrothermal allocation. This study provides mechanistic insights for predicting climate change impacts on N2O flux in fragile alpine meadow ecosystems.
Uneven displacement of permafrost has become a major concern in cold regions, particularly under repeated freezing-thawing cycles. This issue poses a significant geohazard, jeopardizing the safety of transportation infrastructure. Statistical analyses of thermal penetration suggest that the problem is likely to intensify as water erosion expands, with increasing occurrences of uneven displacement. To tackle the challenges related to mechanical behavior under cyclic loading, the New Geocell Soil System has been implemented to mitigate hydrothermal effects. Assessment results indicate that the New Geocell Soil System is stable and effective, offering advantages in controlling weak zones on connecting slopes and reducing uneven solar radiation. Consequently, the New Geocell Soil System provides valuable insights into the quality of embankments and ensures operational safety by maintaining displacement at an even level below 1.0 mm. The thermal gradient is positive, with displacement below 6 degrees C/m, serving as a framework for understanding the stability of the subgrade. This system also enhances stress and release the sealing phenomenon.
Thawing-triggered slope failures and landslides are becoming an increasing concern in cold regions due to the ongoing climate change. Predicting and understanding the behaviour of frozen soils under these changing conditions is therefore critical and has led to a growing interest in the research community. To address this challenge, we present the first mesh-free smoothed particle hydrodynamics (SPH) computational framework designed to handle the multi-phase and multi-physic coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical (THM) process in frozen soils, namely the THM-SPH computational framework. The frozen soil is considered a tri-phase mixture (i.e., soil, water and ice), whose governing equations are then established based on u-p-T formulations. A critical-state elasto-plastic Clay and Sand Model for Frozen soils (CASM-F), formulated in terms of solid-phase stress, is then introduced to describe the transition response and large deformation behaviour of frozen soils due to thawing action for the first time. Several numerical verifications and demonstrations highlight the usefulness of this advanced THM-SPH computational framework in addressing challenging problems involving thawing-induced large deformation and failures of slopes. The results indicate that our proposed single-layer, fully coupled THM-SPH model can predict the entire failure process of thawing-induced landslides, from the initiation to post-failure responses, capturing the complex interaction among multiple coupled phases. This represents a significant advancement in the numerical modelling of frozen soils and their thawing-induced failure mechanisms in cold regions.
Freeze-thaw cycles (FTC) influence soil erodibility (K-r) by altering soil properties. In seasonally frozen regions, the coupling mechanisms between FTC and water erosion obscure the roles of FTC in determining soil erosion resistance. This study combined FTC simulation with water erosion tests to investigate the erosion response mechanisms and key drivers for loess with varying textures. The FTC significantly changed the mechanical and physicochemical characteristics of five loess types (P < 0.05), especially reducing shear strength, cohesion, and internal friction angle, with sandy loam exhibiting more severe deterioration than silt loam. Physicochemical indices showed weaker sensitivity to FTC versus mechanical properties, with coefficients of variation below 5 %. Wuzhong sandy loess retained the highest K-r post-FTC, exceeding that of the others by 1.04 similar to 2.25 times, highlighting the dominant role of texture (21.37 % contribution). Under different initial soil moisture contents (SMC), K-r increased initially and then stabilized with successive FTC, with a threshold effect of FTC on K-r at approximately 10 FTC. Under FTC, the K-r variation rate showed a concave trend with SMC, turning point at 12 % SMC, indicating that SMC regulates freeze-thaw damage. Critical shear stress exhibited an inverse response to FTC compared to K-r, displaying lower sensitivity. The established K-r prediction model achieved high accuracy (R-2 = 0.87, NSE = 0.86), though further validation is required beyond the design conditions. Future research should integrate laboratory and field experiments to expand model applicability. This study lays a theoretical foundation for research on soil erosion dynamics in freeze-thaw-affected areas.
Seasonal freezing and thawing significantly influence the migration and distribution of soil hydrothermal salts. Understanding the dynamics of hydrothermal salt forces in canal foundation soils is crucial for effective canal disease control and optimization. However, the impact on rectangular canals remains poorly understood. Therefore, field-scale studies on water-heat-salt-force-displacement monitoring were conducted for the canal. The study analyzed the changes and interaction mechanisms of water-heat-salt-force in the soil beneath the canal, along with the damage mechanisms and preventive measures. The results indicate that the most rapid changes in temperature, moisture, and salt occur in the subsoil on the canal side, with the greatest depth of freezing. Heat transfer efficiency provides an intuitive explanation for the sensitivity of ground temperature at the junction of the canal wall and subsoil to air temperature fluctuations, as well as the minimal moisture migration in this region under the subcooling effect. The temperature-moisture curve suggests that current waterheat-force and water-heat-salt-force models exhibit a delay in accurately predicting water migration within the subsoil. Rectangular canals are more susceptible to damage under peak freezing conditions, requiring a combined approach of freezing restraint and frost-heaving force to mitigate damage. These findings offer valuable insights for canal design, maintenance, and further research.
The Arctic has been warming much faster than the global average, known as Arctic amplification. The active layer is seasonally frozen in winter and thaws in summer. In the 2017 Arctic Boreal Vulnerability Experiment (ABoVE) airborne campaign, airborne L- and P- band synthetic aperture radar (SAR) was used to acquire a dataset of active layer thickness (ALT) and vertical soil moisture profile, at 30 m resolution for 51 swaths across the ABoVE domain. Using a thawing degree day (TDD) model, ALT=K root TDD, we estimated ALT along the ABoVE swaths employing the 2-m air temperature from ERA5. The coefficient (K) calibrated has an R2=0.9783. We also obtained an excellent fit between ALT and K root(TDD/theta) where theta is the soil moisture from ERA5 (R2=0.9719). Output based on shared-social economic pathway (SSP) climate scenarios SSP 1-2.6, SSP 2-4.5, and SSP 5-8.5 from seven global climate models (GCMs), statistically downscaled to 25-km resolution, was used to project the impacts of climate warming on ALT. Assuming ALT=K root TDD, the projections of UKESM1-0-LL GCM resulted in the largest projected ALT, up to about 0.7 m in 2080s under SSP5-8.5. Given that the mean observed ALT of the study sites is about 0.482 m, this implies that ALT will increase by 0.074 to 0.217 m (15% and 45%) in 2080s. This will have substantial impacts on Arctic infrastructure. The projected settlement Iset (cm) of 1 to 7 cm will also impact the infrastructure, especially by differential settlement due to the high spatial variability of ALT and soil moisture, given at local scale the actual thawing will partly depend on thaw sensitivity of the material and potential thaw strain, which could vary widely from location to location.
Permafrost peatlands store substantial amounts of carbon, though persistence of this soil carbon is unknown in a rapidly warming Arctic. To investigate potential carbon production from soils at different stages of permafrost degradation, we incubated soils from a palsa mire in northern Fennoscandia. Three soil horizons from four thaw stages were included within the transect, beginning with intact permafrost and ending in an established post-thaw wetland. Samples were incubated anaerobically for a year at different temperatures (4 degrees C, 20 degrees C) with the aim of investigating drivers of carbon degradation rates. Additional subsamples from the intact palsa were incubated under aerobic conditions, or inoculated with thermokarst pond water to further explore thaw processes on soil. Total CO2 and CH4 produced ranged from 9,910 +/- 626 (from the surface peat of the established post-thaw wetland, at 20 degrees C) to 1,921 +/- 126 mu g C g-1 DW (from the intermediate thaw stage of the palsa permafrost, incubated at 20 degrees C). The CH4 temperature sensitivity was markedly higher in permafrost soils, with Q 10 s more than four times larger than that of the active layer (active layer average: 1.7 +/- 1.6, permafrost average: 8.4 +/- 5). Methanogenesis generally increased with thaw, but the largest increase of cumulative methane production was between the wetland thaw stages (from 633 to 2,880 mu g CH4-C g-1 DW), where graminoids colonized the post-thaw environment. This uptick in CH4 production 30+ years after post-thaw wetland establishment implies that increases in CH4 production are largely due to vegetation inputs rather than thawed permafrost carbon contributions.
Soil chemical washing has the disadvantages of long reaction time, slow reaction rate and unstable effect. Thus, there is an urgent need to find a cost-effective and widely applicable alternative power to facilitate the migration of washing solutions in the soil, so as to achieve efficient removal of heavy metals, reduce the risk of soil compaction, and mitigate the damage of soil structure. Therefore, the study used a combination of freeze-thaw cycle (FTC) and chemical washing to obtain three-dimensional images of soil pore structure using micro-X-ray microtomography, and applied image analysis techniques to study the effects of freeze-thaw washing on the characteristics of different pore structures of the soil, and then revealed the effects of pore structure on the removal of heavy metals. The results showed that the soil pore structure of the freeze-thaw washing treatment (FT) became more porous and complex, which increased the soil imaged porosity (TIP), pore number (TNP), porosity of macropores and irregular pores, permeability, and heavy metal removal rate. Macroporosity, fractal dimension, and TNP were the main factors contributing to the increase in TIP between treatments. The porous structure resulted in larger effective pore diameters, which contain a greater number of branching pathways and pore networks, allowing the chemical washing solutions to fully contact the soil, increasing the roughness of the soil particle surface, mitigating the risk of soil compaction, and decreasing the contamination of heavy metals. The results of this study contribute to provide new insights into the management of heavy metal pollution in agricultural soils.