Globally, land subsidence (LS) often adversely impacts infrastructure, humans, and the environment. As climate change intensifies the terrestrial hydrologic cycle and severity of climate extremes, the interplay among extremes (e.g., floods, droughts, wildfires, etc.), LS, and their effects must be better understood since LS can alter the impacts of extreme events, and extreme events can drive LS. Furthermore, several processes causing subsidence (e.g., ice-rich permafrost degradation, oxidation of organic matter) have been shown to also release greenhouse gases, accelerating climate change. Our review aims to synthesize these complex relationships, including human activities contributing to LS, and to identify the causes and rates of subsidence across diverse landscapes. We primarily focus on the era of synthetic aperture radar (SAR), which has significantly contributed to advancements in our understanding of ground deformations around the world. Ultimately, we identify gaps and opportunities to aid LS monitoring, mitigation, and adaptation strategies and guide interdisciplinary efforts to further our process-based understanding of subsidence and associated climate feedbacks. We highlight the need to incorporate the interplay of extreme events, LS, and human activities into models, risk and vulnerability assessments, and management practices to develop improved mitigation and adaptation strategies as the global climate warms. Without consideration of such interplay and/or feedback loops, we may underestimate the enhancement of climate change and acceleration of LS across many regions, leaving communities unprepared for their ramifications. Proactive and interdisciplinary efforts should be leveraged to develop strategies and policies that mitigate or reverse anthropogenic LS and climate change impacts.
2024-12-01 Web of ScienceGlobal climate warming has led to the deepening of the active layer of permafrost on the Tibetan Plateau, further triggering thermal subsidence phenomena, which have profound effects on the carbon cycle of regional ecosystems. This study conducted warming (W) and thermal subsidence (RR) control experiments using an Open-Top Chamber (OTC) device in the river source wetlands of the Qinghai Lake basin. The aim was to assess the impacts of warming and thermal subsidence on soil temperature, volumetric water content, biomass, microbial diversity, and soil respiration (both autotrophic and heterotrophic respiration). The results indicate that warming significantly increased soil temperature, especially during the colder seasons, and thermal subsidence treatment further exacerbated this effect. Soil volumetric water content significantly decreased under thermal subsidence, with the RRW treatment having the most pronounced impact on moisture. Additionally, a microbial diversity analysis revealed that warming promoted bacterial richness in the surface soil, while thermal subsidence suppressed fungal community diversity. Soil respiration rates exhibited a unimodal curve during the growing season. Warming treatment significantly reduced autotrophic respiration rates, while thermal subsidence inhibited heterotrophic respiration. Further analysis indicated that under thermal subsidence treatment, soil respiration was most sensitive to temperature changes, with a Q10 value reaching 7.39, reflecting a strong response to climate warming. In summary, this study provides new scientific evidence for understanding the response mechanisms of soil carbon cycling in Tibetan Plateau wetlands to climate warming.
2024-11-01 Web of ScienceThe thawing of permafrost in the Arctic has led to an increase in coastal land loss, flooding, and ground subsidence, seriously threatening civil infrastructure and coastal communities. However, a lack of tools for synthetic hazard assessment of the Arctic coast has hindered effective response measures. We developed a holistic framework, the Arctic Coastal Hazard Index (ACHI), to assess the vulnerability of Arctic coasts to permafrost thawing, coastal erosion, and coastal flooding. We quantified the coastal permafrost thaw potential (PTP) through regional assessment of thaw subsidence using ground settlement index. The calculations of the ground settlement index involve utilizing projections of permafrost conditions, including future regional mean annual ground temperature, active layer thickness, and talik thickness. The predicted thaw subsidence was validated through a comparison with observed long-term subsidence data. The ACHI incorporates the PTP into seven physical and ecological variables for coastal hazard assessment: shoreline type, habitat, relief, wind exposure, wave exposure, surge potential, and sea-level rise. The coastal hazard assessment was conducted for each 1 km2 coastline of North Slope Borough, Alaska in the 2060s under the Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 and 8.5 forcing scenarios. The areas that are prone to coastal hazards were identified by mapping the distribution pattern of the ACHI. The calculated coastal hazards potential was subjected to validation by comparing it with the observed and historical long-term coastal erosion mean rates. This framework for Arctic coastal assessment may assist policy and decision-making for adaptation, mitigation strategies, and civil infrastructure planning.
2023-10-01 Web of ScienceLong-term (1991-2018) thaw tube measurements highlight widespread permafrost thaw and ground surface (GS) subsidence over a large portion of northwest Canada. Statistically significant positive trends in thaw penetration (TP), measured with respect to a fixed datum, were observed at 18 of 28 sites with data that span three decades at a median rate of 0.8 cm a(-1). This rate implies thawing of about 22 cm of permafrost over the study period. Similarly significant trends in GS subsidence occurred at 21 of 28 sites, at a median rate of 0.4 cm a(-1). In contrast with TP and GS elevation, long-term trends in active layer thickness (ALT) were less consistent, with 10 of 28 sites having statistically significant trends indicating increasing ALT (median rate: 0.6 cm a(-1)), and 7 sites having trends indicating decrease in ALT (median: 0.3 cm a(-1)). The ALT measurements underestimated the thawing of ice-rich permafrost due to GS subsidence. Sites with high rates of thaw had relatively warm permafrost, deep snow cover, and poor drainage. Masking of ice-rich permafrost degradation by ALT measurements has important implications for modeling permafrost thaw and climate change reporting. Accurate simulation of ice-rich permafrost thaw is conceivable for sites where conditions are well-defined. However, the prediction of subsidence and TP at regional or broader scales is only possible in general terms due to variation in surface conditions and ground ice content. Trends in TP and GS subsidence more accurately characterize ice-rich permafrost degradation than trends in ALT.
2023-08-01 Web of ScienceIn this study, we applied small baseline subset-interferometric synthetic aperture radar (SBAS-InSAR) to monitor the ground surface deformation from 2017 to 2020 in the permafrost region within an ~400 km x 230 km area covering the northern and southern slopes of Mt. Geladandong, Tanggula Mountains on the Tibetan Plateau. During SBAS-InSAR processing, we inverted the network of interferograms into a deformation time series using a weighted least square estimator without a preset deformation model. The deformation curves of various permafrost states in the Tanggula Mountain region were revealed in detail for the first time. The study region undergoes significant subsidence. Over the subsiding terrain, the average subsidence rate was 9.1 mm/a; 68.1% of its area had a subsidence rate between 5 and 20 mm/a, while just 0.7% of its area had a subsidence rate larger than 30 mm/a. The average peak-to-peak seasonal deformation was 19.7 mm. There is a weak positive relationship (~0.3) between seasonal amplitude (water storage in the active layer) and long-term deformation velocity (ground ice melting). By examining the deformation time series of subsiding terrain with different subsidence levels, we also found that thaw subsidence was not restricted to the summer and autumn thawing times but could last until the following winter, and in this circumstance, the winter uplift was greatly weakened. Two import indices for indicating permafrost deformation properties, i.e., long-term deformation trend and seasonal deformation magnitude, were extracted by direct calculation and model approximations of deformation time series and compared with each other. The comparisons showed that the long-term velocity by different calculations was highly consistent, but the intra-annual deformation magnitudes by the model approximations were larger than those of the intra-annual highest-lowest elevation difference. The findings improve the understanding of deformation properties in the degrading permafrost environment.
2022-02-01 Web of ScienceClimate warming is causing rapid permafrost degradation, including thaw-induced subsidence, potentially resulting in heightened carbon release. Nevertheless, our understanding of the levels and variations of carbon components in permafrost, particularly during the degradation process, remains limited. The uncertainties arising from this process lead to inaccurate assessments of the climate effects during permafrost degradation. With vast expanses of permafrost in the Tibetan Plateau, there is limited research available on SOC components, particularly in the central Tibetan Plateau. Given remarkable variations in hydrothermal conditions across different areas of the Tibetan Plateau, the existing limited studies make it challenging to assess the overall SOC components in the permafrost across the Tibetan Plateau and simulate their future changes. In this study, we examined the properties of soil organic carbon (SOC) and microbial necromass carbon (MicrobialNC) in a representative permafrost thaw-subsidence area at the southern edge of continuous permafrost in the central Tibetan Plateau. The results indicate that prior to the thaw-subsidence, the permafrost had a SOC content of 72.68 +/- 18.53 mg g(-1), with MicrobialNC accounting for 49.6%. The thaw-subsidence of permafrost led to a 56.4% reduction in SOC, with MicrobialNC accounting for 70.0% of the lost SOC. MicrobialNC constitutes the primary component of permafrost SOC, and it is the main component that is lost during thaw-subsidence formation. Changes in MicrobialNC are primarily correlated with factors pH, plant input, and microbial properties. The present study holds crucial implications for both the ecological and biogeochemical processes associated with carbon release from permafrost, and it furnishes essential data necessary for modeling the global response of permafrost to climate warming. Based on this study and previous research, permafrost thawing in the Tibetan Plateau causes substantial loss of SOC. However, there's remarkable heterogeneity in SOC component changes across different regions, warranting further in-depth investigation.
2022-02We investigate permafrost surface features revealed from satellite radar data in the Siberian arctic at the Yamal peninsula. Surface dynamics analysis based on SRTM and TanDEM-X DEMs shows up to 2 m net loss of surface relief between 2000 and 2014 indicating a highly dynamic landscape. Surface features for the past 14 years reflect an increase in small stream channels and a number of new lakes that developed, likely caused by permafrost thaw. We used Sentinel-1 SAR imagery to measure permafrost surface changes. Owing to limited observation data we analyzed only 2 years. The InSAR time-series has detected surface displacements in three distinct spatial locations during 2017 and 2018. At these three locations, 60-120 mm/yr rates of seasonal surface permafrost changes are observed. Spatial location of seasonal ground displacements aligns well with lithology. One of them is located on marine sediments and is linked to anthropogenic impact on permafrost stability. Two other areas are located within alluvial sediments and are at the top of topographic elevated zones. We discuss the influence of the geologic environment and the potential effect of local upwelling of gas. These combined analyses of InSAR time-series with analysis of geomorphic features from DEMs present an important tool for continuous process monitoring of surface dynamics as part of a global warming risk assessment.
2021-12-17 Web of ScienceNear-surface wedges of massive ice commonly outline polygons in tundra lowlands, but such polygons have been difficult to identify on hillslopes because soil movement flattens the ridges and infills the troughs that form beside and above the ice wedges. Over the past three decades, the active layer has thickened near the western Arctic coast of Canada and consequent thawing of ice wedges has been detected by remote sensing for flat terrain but not, generally, on hillslopes. Annual field surveys (1996-2018) at the Illisarvik field site of thaw depth and ground surface elevation show the mean subsidence rate above hillslope ice wedges has been up to 32 mm a(-1) since thaw depth reached the ice-wedge tops in 2007. Annual mean ground temperatures at the site are about -3.0 degrees C beneath late-winter snow depths characteristic of the ice-wedge troughs but about -5.3 degrees C under conditions of the intervening polygons. The rate of thaw subsidence is high for natural, subaerial disturbances because meltwater from the ice wedges runs off downslope. The rate is constant, because the thickness of seasonally thawed ground above the ice wedges and the ice content of the ground remain the same while the troughs develop. Observations of changes in surface elevation in northern Banks Island between the late 1970s and 2019 show troughs on hillslopes where none was previously visible. Development of these troughs creates regional thermokarst landscapes, distinct from the widely recognized results of thawing relict glacier ice, that are now widespread over Canada's western Arctic coastlands. Recognition of ice-wedge occurrence and accelerated thaw subsidence on hillslopes is important in the design of infrastructure proposed for construction in rolling permafrost terrain.
2021-04-01 Web of ScienceAs global warming, permafrost has degraded seriously. The ecological security of many regions has faced a serious threat to their ecological environment, especially the Tianshan mountain regions, which is one of the five major animal husbandry production bases. At present, in these regions, most studies focus on glacier analysis and few pieces of research about permafrost measure. According to 39 ENVISAT ASAR imagines, covered form 2003 June 17th to 2010 June 15th, surface deformation in permafrost region was monitored by SBAS-InSAR method. In this paper, the principles of deformation algorithm were introduced first. When generating the connection graph of the single look complex image of ASAR dataset, there was 126 differential interferogram based on 500 m and 550 days for temporal and spatial baseline respectively. Because of Spatio-temporal baselines and the Doppler centroid difference, 6 ASAR imagines were not generated the connection graph. Then using STRM V4 DEM, 52 low-quality pair of interferogram were eliminated, after the processes of interferograms flattening, adaptive filter, coherence generation and unwrapping. The ground deformation results of the study area were calculated by external ground control points, refinement and re-flattening, estimation of displacement velocity and residual deformation, coherence threshold control, SVD, spatially low-path filtering and temporally high-path filtering. There were 33 results of ground deformation, which covered from 2004 to 2010. According to the deformation results, there were different subsidence and uplift phenomenon in study areas. The deformation rate of the overall study area was no more than +/- 5 cm . yr(-1), and its average deformation rate was < 0. 07 +/- 3. 38) mm . yr(-1). It is indicating that there is a slight subsidence phenomenon in the study area. With the altitude of 3 000 m, the deformation changing mechanism were excavated for the plains and mountain areas distributed by seasonal frozen ground and permafrost respectively. From the research results, deformations in the plain region were uplift except for deformations in the area near cities were subsidence largely. In the mountainous region, the deformations were very scattered than them in the plain region. The overall trend of deformations of the mountain was dominated by subsidence, and subsidence and uplift in the western and eastern regions respectively. There were 15 198 deformation points, which altitude were more than 3 000 m. The annual variation mechanisms of temperature and precipitation about overall deformation points and different deformation intervals points were demonstrated by temperature and precipitation dataset. The results showed that both trends of them have a gradual warming phenomenon. The numbers of deformation rate points about different intervals were 6 364, 6 449 and 2 385 for rates lower than -2. 0 cm . yr(-1), from -2. 0 to 2. 0 cm . yr(-1)( )and higher than 2. 0 cm . yr(-1) in the study mountainous region respectively. Points with negative values were more than points with positive values in the mountainous region, which reflected that subsidence positions were more than uplift positions. This result was also consistent with that global warming cause permafrost degradation then ground subsided. In this paper, the ground deformation results of the study area were successfully calculated by ASAR dataset which was active microwave spectrum. Meanwhile, the deformation results were discussed and prospected in the respects of space, time and the time lag of the permafrost deformation. The study results could provide a new way and reference for the monitoring of permafrost deformation in the Tianshan mountain region.
2021-01Climate change results in physical changes in permafrost soils: active layer thickness, temperature, soil hydrology and abrupt thaw features in ice-rich soils. Abrupt thaw features create new landforms such as ponds, lakes and erosion phenomena. In this chapter, current observations of physical changes in permafrost soils are discussed, including their effect on the soil carbon cycle. For the carbon cycle changes, the results of observations and experimental studies are emphasized. First, the effects of soil warming without further geomorphological change is considered. The potential effect of self-amplifying soil warming by heat production from bacterial production is discussed. Next, the changes in geomorphological processes expressed by formation of thaw ponds, lakes and erosion features are considered. These contribute to an increase of CO2 and non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions. Hydrological changes include the effects of permafrost thaw on the water cycle via groundwater flow and directly climate-driven changes in precipitation and evapotranspiration. These result in river discharge changes with effects on floodplains, and influence transport of carbon from permafrost regions to the Arctic Ocean. Soil hydrology changes - wetting or drying - induce changes in the pattern of greenhouse gas emissions of permafrost soils.
2020-01-01 Web of Science