Permafrost thawing is a critical climate tipping point, with catastrophic consequences. Existing stabilization methods rely on refrigerant-based systems, such as thermosyphons and active refrigeration, which are capital-intensive, energy-demanding, or increasingly ineffective in warming climates. Most infrastructure built on permafrost requires continuous heat removal from the foundation as the underlying permafrost becomes progressively unstable. To address these challenges, we demonstrate a fully biomass-derived cooling geotextile that can effectively mitigate permafrost thawing through scalable nanoprocessing via a roll-to-roll fabrication (1.3 mmin-1). The cooling geotextile features a hierarchical three-layer design: a strong woven biomass scaffold, a permeable nonwoven fiber network, and an optimized porous coating layer with micro- and nano-structures. When anchored to bare ground, it extracts heat to the cold sky, enhances albedo from similar to 30% to 96.3%, and establishes a thermal barrier between soil and air. Engineered for Arctic durability, it withstands strong winds, extreme cold, and freeze-thaw cycles, exceeding the American National Engineering Handbook requirements (tensile strength 1,682 kg; tear strength 191 kg; puncture strength 61 kg). Field tests in West Lafayette, IN (40 degrees 25 ' 21 '' N, 86 degrees 55 ' 12 '' W) reveal up to 25 degrees C soil cooling under 500 Wm-2 irradiance. Its lightweight (0.8 kgm-2) and rollable attributes enable scalable and fast localized deployment. Simulations predict up to 12 degrees C surface cooling during Arctic summer (2020-2050), preventing up to 40,000 km2 of permafrost from thawing. Completely derived from biomass, cooling geotextile ensures a low carbon footprint (0.7 kgm-2), positioning itself as a sustainable solution for reinforcing Arctic coastline, reconstructing thawing landscape, and restoring the environment.
Arctic ecosystems are highly vulnerable to ongoing and projected climate change. Rapid warming and growing anthropogenic pressure are driving a profound transformation of these regions, increasingly positioning the Arctic as a persistent, globally significant source of greenhouse gases. In the Russian Arctic-a critical zone for national economic growth and transport infrastructure-intensive development is replacing natural ecosystems with anthropogenically modified ones. In this context, Nature-based Solutions (NbS) represent a vital tool for climate change adaptation and mitigation. However, many NbS successfully applied globally have limited applicability in the Arctic due to its inaccessibility, short growing season, low temperatures, and permafrost. This review demonstrates the potential for adapting existing NbS and developing new ones tailored to the Arctic's environmental and socioeconomic conditions. We analyze five key NbS pathways: forest management, sustainable grazing, rewilding, wetland conservation, and ecosystem restoration. Our findings indicate that protective and restorative measures are the most promising; these can deliver measurable benefits for both climate, biodiversity and traditional land-use. Combining NbS with biodiversity offset mechanisms appears optimal for preserving ecosystems while enhancing carbon sequestration in biomass and soil organic matter and reducing soil emissions. The study identifies critical knowledge gaps and proposes priority research areas to advance Arctic-specific NbS, emphasizing the need for multidisciplinary carbon cycle studies, integrated field and remote sensing data, and predictive modeling under various land-use scenarios.
The recent large reduction in anthropogenic aerosol emissions across China has improved China's air quality but has potential consequences for climate forcing. This sharp reduction in anthropogenic emissions has occurred against a background influenced by changing regional biomass burning emissions over a similar period of time. Here, we use the UK Earth System Model (UKESM) to estimate aerosol instantaneous radiative forcing (IRF) due to changes in emissions of aerosols and precursors from biomass burning and anthropogenic sources (separately and in combination) over 2008-2016, with a focus on China and regions downwind. We also separately quantify the IRF due to changes in anthropogenic aerosol emissions inside China (CHN) and the Rest Of the World (ROW). Reductions in Chinese anthropogenic emissions of BC, SO2 and OC contributed -0.30 +/- 0.01, +1.00 +/- 0.04, and +0.05 +/- 0.01 W m-2, respectively to IRF over China, accounting for similar to 97% of the total local anthropogenic aerosol IRF. These emission changes contributed a remote regional IRF of 0.22 +/- 0.04 W m-2 over the North Pacific Ocean. The reduction in SO2 emissions from China contributed a global IRF of equal magnitude to that from SO2 emissions from ROW (similar to 0.08 W m-2). Changes in global biomass burning emissions contributed 0.03 W m-2 (equivalent to over 20% of the magnitude of anthropogenic aerosol IRF), enhancing the global anthropogenic aerosol IRF, whereas they partly offset the anthropogenic IRF over China. Meanwhile, biomass burning emissions dominated the total IRF (around 98%) over the Arctic.
The Arctic has been warming much faster than the global average, known as Arctic amplification. The active layer is seasonally frozen in winter and thaws in summer. In the 2017 Arctic Boreal Vulnerability Experiment (ABoVE) airborne campaign, airborne L- and P- band synthetic aperture radar (SAR) was used to acquire a dataset of active layer thickness (ALT) and vertical soil moisture profile, at 30 m resolution for 51 swaths across the ABoVE domain. Using a thawing degree day (TDD) model, ALT=K root TDD, we estimated ALT along the ABoVE swaths employing the 2-m air temperature from ERA5. The coefficient (K) calibrated has an R2=0.9783. We also obtained an excellent fit between ALT and K root(TDD/theta) where theta is the soil moisture from ERA5 (R2=0.9719). Output based on shared-social economic pathway (SSP) climate scenarios SSP 1-2.6, SSP 2-4.5, and SSP 5-8.5 from seven global climate models (GCMs), statistically downscaled to 25-km resolution, was used to project the impacts of climate warming on ALT. Assuming ALT=K root TDD, the projections of UKESM1-0-LL GCM resulted in the largest projected ALT, up to about 0.7 m in 2080s under SSP5-8.5. Given that the mean observed ALT of the study sites is about 0.482 m, this implies that ALT will increase by 0.074 to 0.217 m (15% and 45%) in 2080s. This will have substantial impacts on Arctic infrastructure. The projected settlement Iset (cm) of 1 to 7 cm will also impact the infrastructure, especially by differential settlement due to the high spatial variability of ALT and soil moisture, given at local scale the actual thawing will partly depend on thaw sensitivity of the material and potential thaw strain, which could vary widely from location to location.
Permafrost thaw and thermokarst development pose urgent challenges to Arctic communities, threatening infrastructure and essential services. This study examines the reciprocal impacts of permafrost degradation and infrastructure in Point Lay (Kali), Alaska, drawing on field data from similar to 60 boreholes, measured and modeled ground temperature records, remote sensing analysis, and community interviews. Field campaigns from 2022-2024 reveal widespread thermokarst development and ground subsidence driven by the thaw of ice-rich permafrost. Borehole analysis confirms excess-ice contents averaging similar to 40%, with syngenetic ice wedges extending over 12 m deep. Measured and modeled ground temperature data indicate a warming trend, with increasing mean annual ground temperatures and active layer thickness (ALT). Since 1949, modeled ALTs have generally deepened, with a marked shift toward consistently thicker ALTs in the 21st century. Remote sensing shows ice wedge thermokarst expanded from 60% in developed areas by 2019, with thaw rates increasing tenfold between 1974 and 2019. In contrast, adjacent, undisturbed tundra exhibited more consistent thermokarst expansion (similar to 0.2% yr(-1)), underscoring the amplifying role of infrastructure, surface disturbance, and climate change. Community interviews reveal the lived consequences of permafrost degradation, including structural damage to homes, failing utilities, and growing dependence on alternative water and wastewater strategies. Engineering recommendations include deeper pile foundations, targeted ice wedge stabilization, aboveground utilities, enhanced snow management strategies, and improved drainage to mitigate ongoing infrastructure issues. As climate change accelerates permafrost thaw across the Arctic, this study highlights the need for integrated, community-driven adaptation strategies that blend geocryological research, engineering solutions, and local and Indigenous knowledge.
As a result of the research performed, the emission of CO2 from soils in the southern tundra ecosystems of the northeastern Russian Plain has been estimated using the example of the environs of Vorkuta. The soil cover of the studied area is presented by Histic Turbic Cryosol, Histic Reductaquic Glacic Cryosol, Reductaquic Glacic Cryosol, and Reductaquic Glacic Cryosol. Atypically high values of CO2 emission from soils [2.13 +/- 0.13 g C/(m2 day)] were largely due to the weather of the 2022 growing season: high air temperatures and low precipitation. About 60% of the variability in the emission value was due to the content of microbial biomass carbon and extractable soil carbon, temperature, and soil moisture. High spatial variation in the content of extractable carbon and microbial biomass carbon and parameters of hydrothermal regime of soils was found. The soils were characterized by low values of extractable organic carbon and soil microbial biomass carbon (224 +/- 18 and 873 +/- 73 mg C/kg of soil, respectively). The thickness of organic horizon of soil determines 72% of variability in the content of microbial biomass carbon and 79% of variability in the content of extractable carbon. Regular measurements of CO2 emissions from soils of tundra ecosystems in the northeast of the Russian Plain should obtain special attention, as this will improve the accuracy of assessing the global greenhouse gas flows.
Subsea pipelines in Arctic environments face the risk of damage from ice gouging, where drifting ice keels scour the seabed. To ensure pipeline integrity, burial using methods like ploughs, mechanical trenchers, jetting, or hydraulic dredging is the conventional protection method. Each method has capabilities and limitations, resulting in different trench profiles and backfill characteristics. This study investigates the influence of these trenching methods and their associated trench geometries on pipeline response and seabed failure mechanisms during ice gouging events. Using advanced large deformation finite element (LDFE) analyses with a Coupled Eulerian-Lagrangian (CEL) algorithm, the complex soil behavior, including strain-rate dependency and strainsoftening effects, is modeled. The simulations explicitly incorporate the pipeline, enabling a detailed analysis of its behavior under ice gouging loads. The simulations analyze subgouge soil displacement, pipeline displacement, strains, and ovalization. The findings reveal a direct correlation between increasing trench wall angle and width and the intensification of the backfill removal mechanism. Trench geometry significantly influences the pipeline's horizontal and vertical displacement, while axial displacement and ovalization are less affected. This study emphasizes the crucial role of trenching technique selection and trench shape design in mitigating the risks of ice gouging, highlighting the value of numerical modeling in optimizing pipeline protection strategies in these challenging environments.
Climate change is transforming the ice-free areas of Antarctica, leading to rapid changes in terrestrial ecosystems. These areas represent <0.5% of the continent and coincide with the most anthropogenically pressured sites, where the human footprint is a source of contamination. Simultaneously, these are the locations where permafrost can be found, not being clear what might be the consequences following its degradation regarding trace element remobilisation. This raises the need for a better understanding of the natural geochemical values of Antarctic soils as well as the extent of human impact in the surroundings of scientific research stations. Permafrost thaw in the Western Antarctic Peninsula region and in the McMurdo Dry Valleys is the most likely to contribute to the remobilisation of toxic trace elements, whether as the result of anthropogenic contamination or due to the degradation of massive buried ice and ice-cemented permafrost. Site-specific locations across Antarctica, with abandoned infrastructure, also deserve attention by continuing to be a source of trace elements that later can be released, posing a threat to the environment. This comprehensive summary of trace element concentrations across the continent's soils enables the geographical systematisation of published results for a better comparison of the literature data. This review also includes the used analytical techniques and methods for trace element dissolution, important factors when reporting low concentrations. A new perspective in environmental monitoring is needed to investigate if trace element remobilisation upon permafrost thaw might be a tangible consequence of climate change.
With polar amplification warming the northern high latitudes at an unprecedented rate, understanding the future dynamics of vegetation and the associated carbon-nitrogen cycle is increasingly critical. This study uses the dynamic vegetation model LPJ-GUESS 4.1 to simulate vegetation changes for a future climate scenario, generated by the EC-Earth3.3.1 Earth System model, with the forcing of a 560 ppm CO2 level. Using climate output from an earth system model without coupled dynamic vegetation, to run a higher resolution dynamic vegetation standalone model, allows for a more in depth exploration of vegetation changes. Plus, with this approach, the drivers of high latitude vegetation changes are isolated, but there is still a complete understanding of the climate system and the feedback mechanisms that contributed to it. Our simulations reveal an uneven greening response. The already vegetated Southern Scandinavia and western Russia undergo a shift in species composition as boreal species decline and temperate species expand. This is accompanied by a shift to a carbon sink, despite higher litterfall, root turnover and soil respiration rates, suggesting productivity increases are outpacing decomposition. The previously barren or marginal landscapes of Siberia and interior Alaska/Western Canada, undergo significant vegetation expansion, transitioning towards more stable, forested systems with enhanced carbon uptake. Yet, in the previously sparsely vegetated northern Scandinavia, under elevated CO2 temperate species quickly establish, bypassing the expected boreal progression due to surpassed climate thresholds. Here, despite rising productivity, there is a shift to a carbon source. The deeply frozen soils in central Siberia resist colonisation, underscoring the role of continuous permafrost in buffering ecological change. Together, these results highlight that CO2 induced greening does not always equate to enhanced carbon sequestration. The interplay of warming, nutrient constraints, permafrost dynamics and disturbance regimes creates divergent ecosystem trajectories across the northern high latitudes. These findings illustrate a strong need for regional differentiation in climate projections and carbon budget assessments, as the Arctic's role as a carbon sink may be more heterogeneous and vulnerable than previously assumed.
The terrestrial program of the Arctic Challenge for Sustainability-II (ArCS II) is dedicated to clarifying the complex responses of Arctic boreal ecosystems and biogeochemical cycles to a warming climate. Focusing on ecosystem function, terrestrial greenhouse gas dynamics, and permafrost and biogeochemical cycles, ArCS II targets key challenges posed by climate change across terrestrial ecosystems. Biodiversity and ecosystem function research emphasizes the interactions between plant and soil microbial communities across Arctic boreal regions, with discoveries such as new fungal species contributing valuable information elucidating the status of Arctic ecosystems. Our study revealed that vegetation has a significant impact on the composition and network structure of microbial communities, and these interactions may influence ecosystem responses to environmental changes. Greenhouse gas dynamics were analyzed using long-term carbon and methane emissions data collected in boreal forests, tundra, wetlands, and glacial termini, as emissions from these regions can accelerate warming. Plant-mediated methane transport was identified as the primary process driving methane emission from wetlands, and elevated methane concentrations were detected in some glacial meltwaters. ArCS II advances permafrost modeling to assess the impacts of thawing on terrestrial processes, emphasizing freeze-thaw cycles and their impact on greenhouse gas dynamics. Excess ice formed within permafrost plays a role in suppressing permafrost warming and may induce anomalous variations in greenhouse gas emissions. Despite limitations imposed on field surveys by COVID-19, the ArCS II project elucidated ecosystem changes using long-term data. ArCS II terrestrial research lays a foundation for the exploration of climate impacts on Arctic boreal ecosystems.