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Understanding soil organic carbon (SOC) distribution and its environmental controls in permafrost regions is essential for achieving carbon neutrality and mitigating climate change. This study examines the spatial pattern of SOC and its drivers in the Headwater Area of the Yellow River (HAYR), northeastern Qinghai-Xizang Plateau (QXP), a region highly susceptible to permafrost degradation. Field investigations at topsoils of 86 sites over three summers (2021-2023) provided data on SOC, vegetation structure, and soil properties. Moreover, the spatial distribution of key permafrost parameters was simulated: temperature at the top of permafrost (TTOP), active layer thickness (ALT), and maximum seasonal freezing depth (MSFD) using the TTOP model and Stefan Equation. Results reveal a distinct latitudinal SOC gradient (high south, low north), primarily mediated by vegetation structure, soil properties, and permafrost parameters. Vegetation coverage and above-ground biomass showed positive correlation with SOC, while soil bulk density (SBD) exhibited a negative correlation. Climate warming trends resulted in increased ALT and TTOP. Random Forest analysis identified SBD as the most important predictor of SOC variability, which explains 38.20% of the variance, followed by ALT and vegetation coverage. These findings likely enhance the understanding of carbon storage controls in vulnerable alpine permafrost ecosystems and provide insights to mitigate carbon release under climate change.

期刊论文 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1007/s43979-025-00130-1 ISSN: 2788-8614

Climate change is transforming the ice-free areas of Antarctica, leading to rapid changes in terrestrial ecosystems. These areas represent <0.5% of the continent and coincide with the most anthropogenically pressured sites, where the human footprint is a source of contamination. Simultaneously, these are the locations where permafrost can be found, not being clear what might be the consequences following its degradation regarding trace element remobilisation. This raises the need for a better understanding of the natural geochemical values of Antarctic soils as well as the extent of human impact in the surroundings of scientific research stations. Permafrost thaw in the Western Antarctic Peninsula region and in the McMurdo Dry Valleys is the most likely to contribute to the remobilisation of toxic trace elements, whether as the result of anthropogenic contamination or due to the degradation of massive buried ice and ice-cemented permafrost. Site-specific locations across Antarctica, with abandoned infrastructure, also deserve attention by continuing to be a source of trace elements that later can be released, posing a threat to the environment. This comprehensive summary of trace element concentrations across the continent's soils enables the geographical systematisation of published results for a better comparison of the literature data. This review also includes the used analytical techniques and methods for trace element dissolution, important factors when reporting low concentrations. A new perspective in environmental monitoring is needed to investigate if trace element remobilisation upon permafrost thaw might be a tangible consequence of climate change.

期刊论文 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.earscirev.2025.105171 ISSN: 0012-8252

This study conducted load-bearing capacity tests to quantitatively analyze the impact of permafrost degradation on the vertical load-bearing capacity of railway bridge pile foundations. Meanwhile, a prediction model vertical load-bearing capacity for pile foundations considering permafrost degradation was developed and validated through these tests. The findings indicate that the permafrost degradation significantly influences both the failure patterns of the pile foundation and the surrounding soil. With the aggravation of permafrost degradation, damage to the pile foundation and the surrounding soil becomes more pronounced. Furthermore, permafrost degradation aggravates, both the vertical ultimate bearing capacity and maximum side friction resistance of pile foundations exhibit a significant downward trend. Under unfrozen soil conditions, the vertical ultimate bearing capacity of pile foundations is reduced to 20.1 % compared to when the permafrost thickness 160 cm, while the maximum side friction resistance drops to 13.2 %. However, permafrost degradation has minimal impact on the maximum end bearing capacity of pile foundations. Nevertheless, as permafrost degradation aggravates, the proportion of the maximum end bearing capacity attributed to pile foundations increases. Moreover, the rebound rate of pile foundations decreases with decreasing permafrost thickness. Finally, the results confirm that the proposed prediction model can demonstrates a satisfactory level of accuracy in forecasting the impact of permafrost degradation on the vertical load-bearing capacity of pile foundations.

期刊论文 2025-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.coldregions.2025.104495 ISSN: 0165-232X

Study area: The Binggou and adjacent Yakou catchments in the northeastern Tibetan Plateau. Study focus: Hillslope flow paths were studied using hydrochemical data of various water types in the spring snowmelt and summer rainfall periods based on hydrochemical tracers and endmember mixing analysis. New hydrological insights for the study region: End-member mixing analysis confirmed the dominance of surface and near-surface runoff during the spring snowmelt. Specifically, the spring Binggou stream water had 61 % surface runoff, 22 % shallow groundwater, and 17 % near-surface runoff. The spring Yakou stream water had 64 % snowmelt, 25.5 % near-surface runoff, and 10.5 % riparian saturated soil water at a depth of 20 cm. The application of end-member mixing analysis failed in the summer rainfall period, and shallow subsurface flow contributed the most to the streamflow (similar to 100 %). The average acid-neutralizing capacity of the spring Yakou stream water was 611 mu eq/L, increasing to 841 mu eq/L in the summer, and for the Binggou stream water, the values were 747 mu eq/L and 1084 mu eq/L, respectively, indicating that the thawed soil layers had a significant buffering effect on stream water chemistry. This study revealed seasonal shifts in flow paths and stream sources, with a transition from surface to subsurface flow influenced by meteorological conditions and the active layer thickness. Future climate change may enhance subsurface flow recharge, leading to less diluted streamflow and stronger water-soil interactions.

期刊论文 2025-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102511

The entrance of permafrost tunnels in cold regions is particularly vulnerable to frost damage caused by complex thermal-hydro-mechanical (THM) interactions in unsaturated frozen soils. The effects of temperaturedependent volumetric strain variations across different stratum materials on heat and moisture transport are often neglected in existing THM coupling models. In this study, a novel THM coupled model for unsaturated frozen soil integrating volumetric strain correction is proposed, which addresses bidirectional interactions between thermal-hydraulic processes and mechanical responses. The model was validated through laboratory experiments and subsequently applied to the analysis of the Yuximolegai Tunnel. The results indicate that distinct layered ice-water distribution patterns are formed in shallow permafrost under freeze-thaw cycles, driven by bidirectional freezing and water migration. Critical mechanical responses were observed, including a shift in maximum principal stress from the invert (1.40 MPa, frozen state) to the crown (5.76 MPa, thawed state), and periodic lining displacements (crown > invert > sidewalls). Frost damage risks are further quantified by the spatial-temporal zoning of ice-water content-sensitive regions. These findings advance unsaturated frozen soil modeling and provide theoretical guidance for frost-resistant tunnel design in cold regions.

期刊论文 2025-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.coldregions.2025.104510 ISSN: 0165-232X

Permafrost degradation on the Tibetan Plateau (TP) has triggered widespread retrogressive thaw slumps (RTSs), affecting hydrology, carbon sequestration and infrastructure stability. To date, there is still a lack of long-term monitoring of RTSs across the TP, the thaw dynamics and comprehensive driving factors remain unclear. Here, using time-series Landsat imagery and change detection algorithm, we identified RTSs on permafrost regions of the TP from 1986 to 2020. Existing RTSs inventories and high-resolution historical imagery were employed to verify the identified results, the temporal validation of RTSs disturbance pixels demonstrated a high accuracy. In the study area, a total of 3537 RTSs were identified, covering a total area of 5997 ha, representing a 26-fold increase since 1986, and 69.2 % of RTSs formed since 2010. Most RTSs are located on gentle slope (4-12 degrees) at elevations between 4500 m and 5300 m, with a tendency to form in alpine grassland and alpine meadow. Annual variations in RTSs area exhibited a significant positive correlation with minimum air temperature, mean land surface temperature, and annual thawing index, while it showing a significant negative correlation with the decrease in downward shortwave radiation. Spatially, RTSs were more common in areas with higher soil water content and shallower active layer. Landsat imagery captured the vast majority of RTSs on the TP and revealed interannual disturbance details, but the 30 m resolution remains inadequate for delineating the refined boundaries of some micro-scale (< 0.18 ha) RTSs. Detected RTSs disturbances on the TP will aid in hazard management and carbon feedback assessments, and our findings provide novel insights into the impacts of climate change and permafrost environments on RTSs formation.

期刊论文 2025-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rse.2025.114786 ISSN: 0034-4257

-The morphology and properties of permafrost-affected gleyzems and peat gleyzems in the tundra landscapes of the Subpolar Urals-the southernmost mineral soils with isolated patches of high-temperature permafrost particularly sensitive to present-day climate change-are considered. The study examines in detail the morphology and cryogenic structure of the soil profiles, temperature regime, mineralogical composition, and physicochemical properties of both seasonally thawed (active) layer and underlying permafrost. A thin active layer is characterized by the predominance of peat horizons and significant gleyzation of mineral horizons; a high-ice transient layer is found in the upper permafrost. Massive cryostructure is formed in seasonally frozen horizons, and lens-type and massive-agglomerate cryostructures are found in the underlying permafrost. Peat gleyzem, in contrast to the colder gleyzem, is characterized by a relatively mild temperature regime, which is explained by the increased thickness of the heat-insulating peat horizon and a greater depth of snow cover. Permafrost-affected soils of the Subpolar Urals are confined to climate-driven ecosystem-modified permafrost. A predominance of the coarse silt fraction in soils with a shallow embedding by permafrost rocks contributes to the significant thixotropy of gleyed horizons of the active layer. Cryogenic and lithological heterogeneity of the soil profiles in the conditions of the subarctic humid climate of the mountainous territory determines the specific structure and properties of permafrost-affected gley soils of the Subpolar Urals.

期刊论文 2025-08-01 DOI: 10.1134/S1064229324604803 ISSN: 1064-2293

The Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP) and the Arctic are prime examples of permafrost distribution in high-altitude and high-latitude regions. A nuanced understanding of soil thermal conductivity (STC) and the various influencing factors is essential for improving the accuracy of permafrost simulation models in these areas. Nevertheless, no comparative analysis of STC between these two regions has been conducted. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the characteristics and influencing factors of STC at varying depths within the active layer (5 to 60 cm) during freezing and thawing periods in the QTP and the Arctic, using the regional-scale STC data products simulated through the XGBoost method. The findings indicate the following: (1) the mean STC of permafrost in the QTP is higher than that in the Arctic permafrost region. The STC in the QTP demonstrates a declining trend over time, while the Arctic permafrost maintains relative stability. The mean STC values in the QTP permafrost region during the thawing period are significantly higher than those during the freezing period. (2) STC of the QTP exhibits a fluctuating pattern at different depths, in contrast, the average STC value in the Arctic increases steadily with depth, with an increase rate of approximately 0.005 Wm-1 K-1/cm. (3) The analysis of influencing factors revealed that although moisture content, bulk density, and porosity are the primary drivers of regional variations in STC between the QTP and the Arctic permafrost, moisture elements in the QTP region have a greater influence on STC and the effect is stronger with increasing depth and during the freeze-thaw cycles. Conversely, soil saturation, bulk density, and porosity in the Arctic have significant impacts. This study constitutes the first systematic comparative analysis of STC characteristics.

期刊论文 2025-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.geoderma.2025.117409 ISSN: 0016-7061

Soil freeze-thaw state influences multiple terrestrial ecosystem processes, such as soil hydrology and carbon cycling. However, knowledge of historical long-term changes in the timing, duration, and temperature of freeze-thaw processes remains insufficient, and studies exploring the combined or individual contributions of climatic factors-such as air temperature, precipitation, snow depth, and wind speed-are rare, particularly in current thermokarst landscapes induced by abrupt permafrost thawing. Based on ERA5-Land reanalysis, MODIS observations, and integrated thermokarst landform maps, we found that: 1) Hourly soil temperature from the reanalysis effectively captured the temporal variations of in-situ observations, with Pearson' r of 0.66-0.91. 2) Despite an insignificant decrease in daily freeze-thaw cycles in 1981-2022, other indicators in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) changed significantly, including delayed freezing onset (0.113 d yr- 1), advanced thawing onset (-0.22 d yr- 1), reduced frozen days (-0.365 d yr- 1), increased frozen temperature (0.014 degrees C yr- 1), and decreased daily freeze-thaw temperature range (-0.015 degrees C yr- 1). 3) Total contributions indicated air temperature was the dominant climatic driver of these changes, while indicators characterizing daily freeze-thaw cycles were influenced mainly by the combined effects of increased precipitation and air temperature, with remarkable spatial heterogeneity. 4) When regionally averaged, completely thawed days increased faster in the thermokarstaffected areas than in their primarily distributed grasslands-alpine steppe (47.69%) and alpine meadow (22.64%)-likely because of their stronger warming effect of precipitation. Locally, paired comparison within 3 x 3 pixel windows from MODIS data revealed consistent results, which were pronounced when the thermokarst-affected area exceeded about 38% per 1 km2. Conclusively, the warming and wetting climate has significantly altered soil freeze-thaw processes on the QTP, with the frozen soil environment in thermokarstaffected areas, dominated by thermokarst lakes, undergoing more rapid degradation. These insights are crucial for predicting freeze-thaw dynamics and assessing their ecological impacts on alpine grasslands.

期刊论文 2025-06-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.catena.2025.108936 ISSN: 0341-8162

Permafrost is one of the crucial components of the cryosphere, covering about 25% of the global continental area. The active layer thickness (ALT), as the main site for heat and water exchange between permafrost and the external atmosphere, its changes significantly impact the carbon cycle, hydrological processes, ecosystems, and the safety of engineering structures in cold regions. This study constructs a Stefan CatBoost-ET (SCE) model through machine learning and Blending integration, leveraging multi-source remote sensing data, the Stefan equation, and measured ALT data to focus on the ALT in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP). Additionally, the SCE model was verified via ten-fold cross-validation (MAE: 20.713 cm, RMSE: 32.680 cm, R2: 0.873, and MAPE: 0.104), and its inversion of QTP's ALT data from 1958 to 2022 revealed 1998 as a key turning point with a slow growth rate of 0.25 cm/a before 1998 and a significantly increased rate of 1.26 cm/a afterward. Finally, based on multiple model input factor analysis methods (SHAP, Pearson correlation, and Random Forest Importance), the study analyzed the ranking of key factors influencing ALT changes. Meanwhile, the importance of Stefan equation results in SCE model is verified. The research results of this paper have positive implications for eco-hydrology in the QTP region, and also provide valuable references for simulating the ALT of permafrost.

期刊论文 2025-06-10 DOI: 10.3390/rs17122006
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